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  • 100Dimes
    SBR MVP
    • 08-27-09
    • 1077

    #1
    Get used to seeing my name!
    I been doing this for years now. But I finally decided to start posting my plays publicly today...Considering I made this play about a week ago, I 'd say my analysis was right where it needed to be. Hope you enjoyed my winner. I want to do this one day for a living. Hope I can continue to provide the winners for free for you all...for now that is!

    If you missed it here it was




    Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3)
    222 ATLANTA
    In my first day of recording my picks / analysis. Here we go.
    First things first, here we have 2 strong young QB's here looking to take advantage of a defining moment in their season. I look each man's weapons to throw to, and with obvious notion you must side with Matty Ice's edge in the receiving core. Roddy White has really shown his ability to be considered in the upper tier of WR’s in the NFL so far this season. Secondly, I could care less that the Bears are coming off of a bye into this game. If anything, they might has well have had 2 byes (they played the Lions in their last game). Rest will not be an issue coming into this night game. As well, I like the momentum generated against a strong defense of the Niners last weekend, as opposed to the Bears going against their own scout team for two weeks (make it 3 with the Lions prep week). Thirdly, quite frankly I looked at this weeks games on Monday while watching the Monday Night game, and this was the primary game that jumped off the board for me. If this weren’t my first recorded pick I’d probably rate this one a little higher.
    ***Since I’ve already placed my bet, I’ll rate this as a 222 release (bet is to win $222.40). ATL to run with this one, Chicago keeps it close for a while. I see this one landing somewhere around Chi. 16 ATL 27
    ***Hints the bookies are expecting ATL loading so the line will move. I put my bet in at -125 and it quickly went up to -130. Thus meaning, the line will soon be up around 3.5-4 around game time on my book. Altough I expect the Falcons to take this one easier then -3, it is a game and there are uncontrollable variables. Therefore, give yourself the most protection and get this one in early.
    0 Comments Blog Back
  • texhooper
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-05-09
    • 10001

    #2
    couldn't find anywhere else to post this again? i think we get it.
    Comment
    • joeygats
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-24-07
      • 782

      #3
      nice write up but man that was scary for me..cause i went all in on atl.
      Comment
      • PeePee
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-08-09
        • 619

        #4
        Congrats...

        Def. keep an eye out for your future plays...
        Comment
        • joeygats
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-24-07
          • 782

          #5
          no offense to you but your taking credit for a pick that 69% of us liked...pick me a winner for mn then yull get some credability...until then nice win.
          Comment
          • 100Dimes
            SBR MVP
            • 08-27-09
            • 1077

            #6
            Sounds like Texhoper had a bed day lol...And Joey Gats 69% of you didnt release the play a week ago. Probably 20% of that 69 had a losing day so they jumped on the favorite to make up for their losses...Fact is I saw the play, my analysis was there, and I hit - just like my last 3 plays I released publicly. Dont hate...As for picking the MNF game, its not a game that stood out to me so I won't be tarnishing my great weekend on a game I dont like enough to make a hefty bet. However, for the record, I do like SD tonight at -3. I really like them tonight but I would consider this a free play 5* range if I were a paid capper. But to me, its not worth it to ruin a good weekend. I like Bobby V's approach to going after good plays. I dont take action just to have action...GL tonight, hope your on SD and win!
            Comment
            • 100Dimes
              SBR MVP
              • 08-27-09
              • 1077

              #7
              Plus who really wants to make a large wager against Denver right now? Those f-rs weasal out a W somehow all the time. Hope they lose tonight though!
              Comment
              • JGILL50
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-31-08
                • 836

                #8
                dude good job but stop with the self promoting
                this game could have very easily went the other way the bears left 21 points out there
                Comment
                • 100Dimes
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-27-09
                  • 1077

                  #9
                  JGill50, Thanks for the good job line. Hey man when you win you gotta promote it. I just started finally showing my work. I'm 4-0, how else am I supposed to get my name out there. I understand the Bears left points out there. The fact is I accounted for that and really expected that out of them, thats the way I see them in my head. A QB who just cant get over the hump with average receivers to throw to. I'll put it like this, i didnt think a FG would decide this game so I saw it as a pickem. Therefore I took the home team, the better QB, better talent at skill positions, and the team less likely to shoot themselves in the foot. I understand I could have still lost. It IS a game and there are always variables out there to F you. But if you put yourself in the right side of it, more times than not you'll succeed. Always aiming for 60%
                  Comment
                  • G's pks
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-01-09
                    • 22251

                    #10
                    post the plays here before the games start Ace... A lot of us had Atlanta and won yesterday...no big deal!
                    Comment
                    • 100Dimes
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-27-09
                      • 1077

                      #11
                      G's Picks. I did post the play here and on my Blog as well. http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...day-night.html . In fact, I made this play a week ago because it stood out. Glad you won and whoever else did as well. Didnt see too many people sticking their neck out there with any analysis on it though. I'm just starting to post publicly so trying to get my name out there. But since when is winning not a big deal in gambling?? Besides that, your football winning % looking good though man - keep it up!
                      Comment
                      • G's pks
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-01-09
                        • 22251

                        #12
                        Originally posted by 100Dimes
                        G's Picks. I did post the play here and on my Blog as well. http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...day-night.html . In fact, I made this play a week ago because it stood out. Glad you won and whoever else did as well. Didnt see too many people sticking their neck out there with any analysis on it though. I'm just starting to post publicly so trying to get my name out there. But since when is winning not a big deal in gambling?? Besides that, your football winning % looking good though man - keep it up!

                        If you posted it already...why are you starting another thread???? I have seen it now in three places...was waiting for that response!
                        Comment
                        • G's pks
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-01-09
                          • 22251

                          #13
                          if you look at that machine choice all in thread it was around 60 people for for Atlanta and in the 20's for the Bears... good win but a new day...GL
                          Comment
                          • 100Dimes
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-27-09
                            • 1077

                            #14
                            The original thread was just to post my play..2nd one just to get my name out there b/c I just started going public...My Blog - Well just for obvious reasons, and to help me keep it on record. I see where you started and individual thread for your baseball picks. Maybe I'll try that as well...Trying to keep my picks updated on my spreadsheet as well...I take it you just rely on your thread for record backing to help yourself keep track? Or just have your own spreadsheet on your computer? Just wondering for best ways to keep my work in order...
                            Comment
                            • Serbone
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-21-09
                              • 1300

                              #15
                              At least he gave some rationale for the pick, most on this board just make picks, I say "so what" to them.
                              Comment
                              • 100Dimes
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-27-09
                                • 1077

                                #16
                                Thanks Serbone, Glad to hear someone that actually understands the fact that it wasnt just a shot in the dark. I called my shot and I hit it so yea I'm going to talk about it. I agree, just throwing picks out there doesnt mean anything to me if you got nothing to back it up. A Redd can do it, but I mean he's got the track record so he doesnt need to explain his picks. If I were at his status I probably wouldnt give out analysis either. Otherwise, you got people just saying pro cappers picks are theirs, and then claiming their fame. I put this out there last week. BEFORE any cappers could show this play...BOL Serbone!
                                Comment
                                • investor
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-08-09
                                  • 1929

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by G's pks
                                  post the plays here before the games start Ace... A lot of us had Atlanta and won yesterday...no big deal!
                                  Comment
                                  • stats13
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-29-09
                                    • 1687

                                    #18
                                    here's a link to my response to his initial thread saying i was on the same play. just, for the record:

                                    nah, i'm not that lame
                                    Comment
                                    • 100Dimes
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-27-09
                                      • 1077

                                      #19
                                      [COLOR=#000000! important]if you look at that machine choice all in thread it was around 60 people for for Atlanta and in the 20's for the Bears... good win but a new day...GL[/COLOR]
                                      [COLOR=#000000! important][/COLOR]
                                      [COLOR=#000000! important]Just saw that one - understandable. Ha I have to ask though, how many of them were praying to rebound from their day's losses and made the play on the home favorite, how many had rationale to back it up, and how many of them made the play with analysis a week ago? But yes you are right it is a new day and BOL to all. If I already had an established capper name like Demarco's gang I wouldnt be screaming my name out there with my write up. This is more or less me just working to get the name out. GL[/COLOR]
                                      Comment
                                      • 100Dimes
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-27-09
                                        • 1077

                                        #20
                                        [COLOR=#000000! important]here's a link to my response to his initial thread saying i was on the same play. just, for the record:

                                        nah, i'm not that lame
                                        [/COLOR]
                                        [COLOR=#000000! important][/COLOR]
                                        [COLOR=#000000! important]Nice Stats - Glad we could get a W - alright I'll let this one go now so everyone will calm down ha. Just wanted to get my name out. Its gotta be done when you first start posting analysis and a spreadsheet record to the public...BOL to everyone here out![/COLOR]
                                        Comment
                                        • teaserpleaser
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 08-14-08
                                          • 26015

                                          #21
                                          Comment
                                          • RoagBettor
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-20-09
                                            • 8355

                                            #22
                                            Here's a good system to build a following:

                                            Post plays, give analysis, make money

                                            The drama, BS, and other irrelevant comments are not conducive to a long-term winning strategy.

                                            Too many distractions and detractors = Bad Karma.

                                            Good luck.
                                            Comment
                                            • 100Dimes
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-27-09
                                              • 1077

                                              #23
                                              Well said RoagBettor...Agreed. GL to you as well
                                              Comment
                                              • G's pks
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-01-09
                                                • 22251

                                                #24
                                                100dimes... just do not act like the King (a poster here Enogsiwon)...if you want recognition post in the players forum as well as the sport forum (nfl, nba, ncaa)...

                                                The spreadsheets can be altered... when you post a thread it is time stamped...do not edit it if a pick is in the post...especially to add a win...quote the post only...any edited post with picks is not worth its weight in water... GL G
                                                Comment
                                                • 100Dimes
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-27-09
                                                  • 1077

                                                  #25
                                                  G's Pks, Yea I got ya, I know who your talking about...I didnt know the spreadsheets could be altered. I just went and checked and see where you can change the amount, nothing else. At least it still shows win % I guess, I'll just use it for personal then....Yea i gotcha, probably looking to just start a thread for my picks when I post them like I see you did for baseball....I'm assuming your talking about the Players Talk one - is that just an anything goes forum?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • OuchaDirkFan41
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-20-08
                                                    • 186

                                                    #26
                                                    Good call on the Falcons. I just watched the SNF game, didnt want to bet it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dbldown11
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-17-06
                                                      • 3605

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by OuchaDirkFan41
                                                      Good call on the Falcons. I just watched the SNF game, didnt want to bet it.
                                                      ALERT beware of this poster, he is a stiff and a ghost of Richie801, and is only posting because he loses bets and doesnt want to follow through so he had to change names
                                                      Comment
                                                      • morri1962
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 08-21-09
                                                        • 52

                                                        #28
                                                        Tailed your ATL pick last night Many tHANKS
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 100Dimes
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-27-09
                                                          • 1077

                                                          #29
                                                          [COLOR=#000000! important]Tailed your ATL pick last night Many tHANKS[/COLOR]
                                                          [COLOR=#000000! important][/COLOR]
                                                          [COLOR=#000000! important]No Problem Morri- [/COLOR]
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Rydawg
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 02-24-09
                                                            • 71

                                                            #30
                                                            where is today's pick?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Karate
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 01-25-09
                                                              • 226

                                                              #31
                                                              no play on the game tonight?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #32
                                                                wow u picked a winner i had baltimore yesterday so da fuk what! if u pickin winners shouldnt that b enough? y u need ppl 2 suk u off 4 it? and if u really any good y would u want 2 build a rep and con a few suckers into paying 4 ur picks? grow a set and put up ur rent money instead of tryin to talk some1 else outta theres
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 100Dimes
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-27-09
                                                                  • 1077

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Sorry guys no there wasn't a play Monday night. I didnt like this game. Couldnt get a god lean. At first I liked SD, then the more I looked at it I considered Denver. Just thought maybe their luck had run out. And there was no way I was betting against them. I take more of a Bobby V approach and go after games I like. I dont like having action just to have it. If I were a paid capper then yea I could see feeding the feens a pick. But it would have been a low rating, and I just dont see the need in that for free. Dont want to push anyone in the wrong direction without a strong enough opinion.. and 2dabank, the point was I made the play a week ago and I rated it with analysis. It was my first ever public release. Let me ask where did you rate this play? where did you back it up with analysis over a week ago? where's your record of note for everyone to see? All I see is a couple dud NBA losers on your spreadsheet...No need to hate, glad you ended up on the right side of your bet. I've put my rent $ up more times then I can count. I been doing this for years, this is first start to public posting, Why dont u grow a pair and put your name out there with a rating system, a winning %, i mean something. Anybody can look at the cappers picks on sunday and claim it as theirs. I did that s like a week ago. Get off my d
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • atlman_7
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 10-16-09
                                                                    • 68

                                                                    #34
                                                                    hey thanks for offering us your analysis, much appreciated, falcons play was also my strongest play of the week. in the end it looked like Chicago blew their chances, but the falcons should have put it away early. Jamaal Anderson moving to NT really has caused a spark for the D-line. Im looking for Falcons ML all week for the game against Dallas. Dallas has showed me nothing so far. I think ATL makes sure they get their offense on track this week knwoing they could have out the game away early against the Bears.

                                                                    I appluad you for picking and posting here, takes guts to show your record.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Chi_archie
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-22-08
                                                                      • 63172

                                                                      #35
                                                                      good no play
                                                                      Comment
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