SmokingPreseason Wk2: One losing streak ends & another winning streak end..continues?

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  • SmokingKing
    SBR MVP
    • 02-14-19
    • 1234

    #1
    SmokingPreseason Wk2: One losing streak ends & another winning streak end..continues?
    Overall: 7-5, +2.64

    so we have two double digit streaks going on this week with the Falcons now on a 10 game losing streak(0-10 ATS) in the preseason while the Ravens have held an impressive 14 game winning streak(12-2 ATS) dating back to 2016.

    Jets/Falcons


    The Falcons have been ahead in these games in the 1st half but in the 2nd half they seem to have trouble closing it out. Maybe situational awareness is something Dan Quinn needs to practice more on in these prrseason games to get some "good habits" so his team doesnt choke on games that matter.

    the one thing i am zeroing in on is: the Jets secondary. This area already looked like a position of weakness heading into training camp and so far those concerns were realized when they allowed 374 yds passing to the Giants last week. Compared to last season the secondary had some veteran depth but it was still an underwhelming group overall. This year half their cornerbacks on the current roster are comprised of mostly undrafted rookies and the other half 3 years of experience or less. Trumaine Johnson going down with a hamstring injury isnt helping matters. Promising young safety Jamal Adams is going to need lots of help this season. Having Marcus Maye back will improve the situation a bit but its hard to see him playing much this Thursday. I dont expect marked improvements so quickly as the Jets secondary is in line for another +300 yds performance against a competitive Falcons recieving unit

    The few concerns I have backing the Falcons is Dan Quinn.. of course. The Falcons also need to work on their pass protection, run defense and special teams. 3rd string QB Benkurt is out for the season so we may have to rely on below average Matt Simms to maintain the lead. Fortunately, Jets backup QB's arent all that great either so its a wash. I'll take my chances going against Davis Webb

    Falcons -1.5 , 0.5u

    got this line in the morning. now its -2 currently i'd still recommend it at this line.
  • SmokingKing
    SBR MVP
    • 02-14-19
    • 1234

    #2
    adding

    Falcons -2.5 1st half, 0.5u
    Comment
    • SmokingKing
      SBR MVP
      • 02-14-19
      • 1234

      #3
      adding

      Eagles/Jaguars Under 33.5 , 0.5u

      rain in the forecast and an underwhelming QB roster
      Comment
      • SmokingKing
        SBR MVP
        • 02-14-19
        • 1234

        #4
        scattershot 6 team parlay

        Falcons 1st half -2.5
        Eagles +3
        Eagles/Jags Under 33.5
        Packers +3.5
        Packers/Ravens Under 36.5
        Redskins -2.5

        +4500 , 0.2u
        Comment
        • SmokingKing
          SBR MVP
          • 02-14-19
          • 1234

          #5
          add

          Packers +3.5 , 1u

          well its 4 now.. but got it at 3.5....

          Harbaugh and Ravens are 3-3 SU, 1-4-1 ATS after a shutout win either regular or preseason. they pitched a shutout in a preseason game back in 2009. they won by 1 point but didnt cover. i see the same scenario happening here. The Ravens are the better team but the Packers are trying to turn a new leaf with LaFleur. i see the Packers being competitive and keeping within the number. only reason i dont think the Packers can pull off upset is their defense missed 20 tackles last week. i expect them to clean up a little better but thats something to keep in mind. Ravens just have better depth on defense and can keep Kizer and Tim Boyle in check. Ravens also signed a new kicker after trading Vedvik so i dont know if this will come into play.
          Comment
          • SmokingKing
            SBR MVP
            • 02-14-19
            • 1234

            #6
            Falcons 1st half.. winner winner
            Comment
            • SmokingKing
              SBR MVP
              • 02-14-19
              • 1234

              #7
              1-4 , -1.65u Friday

              Overall: 8-9 , +0.99u

              week 2 not off to a good start. onto the next one..
              Comment
              • SmokingKing
                SBR MVP
                • 02-14-19
                • 1234

                #8
                Friday plays

                Giants -3 , 0.5u
                Dolphins +2.5 , 0.5u
                Dolphins +135 ML , 0.25u

                3 team parlay( Panthers -1, Dolphins +2.5, Giants -3) +600 , 0.2u
                Comment
                • sosawestbrook
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-10-16
                  • 3135

                  #9
                  good luck bro.

                  what you smoking on tonight???
                  Comment
                  • SmokingKing
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-14-19
                    • 1234

                    #10
                    Originally posted by sosawestbrook
                    good luck bro.

                    what you smoking on tonight???
                    live betted A's.. as soon as Rondon came in.. his SVO % didnt look so good but A's couldnt take advantage man, i def need a smoke after that lol. thank you sosa
                    Comment
                    • SmokingKing
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-14-19
                      • 1234

                      #11
                      Friday results: 2-2 , +0.46u
                      Overall: 10-11, +1.45u

                      Satueday play
                      Browns +3 , 0.5u
                      Browns ML +145 , 0.5u
                      Patriots -1, 0.5u
                      Steelers +2.5 , 0.5u

                      Browns +3, Pats -1, Steelers +2.5 parlay +600 , 0.2u
                      Comment
                      • SmokingKing
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-14-19
                        • 1234

                        #12
                        depending how i do in the early games. might play Steelers ML.

                        the backup qb battle for steelers is a big reasom for me plus i would think they'll be playing for coach Drake. as long as Steelers 1st unit defense plays at least a quarter i can see Steelers hang within 10 pts in 1st half then i like my chances in 2nd half against KC reserves. Tomlin is gettin his boys to play in presason as of late. that wasnt the case a few years ago
                        Comment
                        • SmokingKing
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-14-19
                          • 1234

                          #13
                          buying out of Browns +3, will just ride them in parlay

                          Colts -3 (+100)
                          Comment
                          • SmokingKing
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-14-19
                            • 1234

                            #14
                            RIP Browns ML... just gonna ride it anyway
                            Comment
                            • SmokingKing
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-14-19
                              • 1234

                              #15
                              aAdd

                              Steelers +150 ML , 0.5u
                              Comment
                              • SmokingKing
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-14-19
                                • 1234

                                #16
                                add

                                Pats ML live +170 , 0.25u

                                Stidham is the real deal ,is the heir apparent to Brady
                                Comment
                                • SmokingKing
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-14-19
                                  • 1234

                                  #17
                                  no goood. wide left!
                                  Comment
                                  • SmokingKing
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-14-19
                                    • 1234

                                    #18
                                    saturday: 7-1, +3.96u
                                    overall: 17-12, +5.41u

                                    not feeling as confident about today's plays you know usually after a winning day comes the letdown

                                    Saints -1 , 0.5u
                                    Vikings -3 , 0.5u
                                    Comment
                                    • SmokingKing
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-14-19
                                      • 1234

                                      #19
                                      geno smith not playing. well damn bummer.
                                      Comment
                                      • SmokingKing
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-14-19
                                        • 1234

                                        #20
                                        add

                                        Vikings -2.5 2nd half , 0.5u
                                        Comment
                                        • SmokingKing
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-14-19
                                          • 1234

                                          #21
                                          3-0 , +1.36

                                          Overall: 20-12 , +6.77u
                                          Comment
                                          • SmokingKing
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-14-19
                                            • 1234

                                            #22
                                            MNF

                                            49ers vs Broncos

                                            I see the line is moving the other way despite the Broncos being the slight public play.. Broncos were the favorites but they could likely become dogs by kickoff.

                                            I can see why. The Broncos offense has looked like trash thru their 1st two preseason games scoring only 14 pts in both outings.. if it werent for a fluke catch in the HOF game the Broncos would be 0-2 right now. the main problem for them is converting those 3rd downs... 3 of 13 against the Seahawks, 3 of 15 against the Falcons. that is pitiful. the redzone opportunities are limited but they are a combined 3 of 5(60%) in the redzone. no issues there except moving the ball down the field and scoring points. Drew Lock has had a busy if not uneven performance. not too terrible but not really great either but he's improving or growing i shall say little by little

                                            to be continued
                                            Comment
                                            • SmokingKing
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-14-19
                                              • 1234

                                              #23
                                              Anyway, the Broncos offense has looked like trash this preseason.. Can they be trash once again in game #3? Can't be trash for long. I think the Broncos will put together an exceptional game tonight where they'll actually play good enough to win. Flacco will get the ball rollin' for maybe a quarter. Lock will probably have a whole 2nd half to himself again. What it really boils down to is Drew Lock's inexperience vs INT prone CJ Beathard.. i think Lock has a winnable battle here if he doesnt make any mistakes and plays a little more aggressively. the Broncos backup QB battle is still relevant and perhaps this may be Lock's close to last chance to win the backup job over Kevin Hogan.

                                              The 49ers offense has a bit more life than the Broncos offense but they didnt fare much better imo against a complacent Cowboys team i wasnt that impressed tbh. my concern is the 49ers penalties from last week.. they had 18 penalties which could haunt them in this game if not careful.

                                              Vic Fangio has his guys playing a little more disciplined. In the joint practices, the Broncos offense played like trash against 49er defense in day 1, but day 2 was a different story. the offense responded with a better outing. One Broncos player was quoted as saying they evened things up in the 2 days of practice but the game tonight is like playing for the Super Bowl. The Broncos seem motivated and serious about beating the 49ers. that's why i'll be taking.

                                              Broncos ML +100 , 0.5u
                                              Comment
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