Bankers '17-'18 NFL

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #561
    Originally posted by jaymilly
    This season has taken me more time than usual to adjust too. Pretty wacky games so far.

    Good work nonetheless!
    I think my biggest problem I was way off on some teams coming into the season which happens, unfortunately I been stubborn/slow to adjust my ratings on a few..

    identifying our weaknesses/mistakes a huge part of the battle in this and life so hopefully this a learning moment in my process and I can overcome those mistakes to make proper adjustments in my ratings/perception of teams!
    Comment
    • jtoler
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-17-13
      • 30967

      #562
      Wonder what are your thoughts about Ville going into Raleigh this Thursday. Power ratings say they shouldnt be favored, history says you cant trust State, you prob saw game last year and know Ville can handle them even on the road and seemingly a better than last year State team. Do you think -4 is the right side? Or does Ville get caught taking State lightly here.
      Comment
      • jtoler
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-17-13
        • 30967

        #563
        Sorry bout that I see this is your NFL thread, should have looked to see if you have a college thread.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #564
          Originally posted by jtoler
          Wonder what are your thoughts about Ville going into Raleigh this Thursday. Power ratings say they shouldnt be favored, history says you cant trust State, you prob saw game last year and know Ville can handle them even on the road and seemingly a better than last year State team. Do you think -4 is the right side? Or does Ville get caught taking State lightly here.
          I'm gonna try and get into NCAA tonight. I certainly don't think they take state lightly. Off top of my head I cant remember last seasons game. Soon as I look into this game I will come back w best answer I can give ya on how i think it will go.
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #565
            Originally posted by jtoler
            Sorry bout that I see this is your NFL thread, should have looked to see if you have a college thread.
            All good my dude, don't have a NCAA thread but we discuss some plays in here every week and I post few totals and occasional side.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #566
              1st half played out about as perfect as could be and was pretty spot on w skins having to get td from outside red zone and stalling out for fg's inside the 20. Skins contained hunt and kept almost everything short and as we thought kelce a problem for them.
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #567
                Fukk me, getting worried I had feeling should have attempted middle and covered my ass here.
                Comment
                • shocka1212
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-06-12
                  • 16788

                  #568
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  Fukk me, getting worried I had feeling should have attempted middle and covered my ass here.
                  This games a damn rig job. Penalties on Washington to get KC back in it. Alex smith just snapped the ball clearly after the play clock expired and nada
                  Comment
                  • BreesIsTheGOAT
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-26-17
                    • 822

                    #569
                    Tough push bro. You had it pegged.
                    Comment
                    • BreesIsTheGOAT
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-26-17
                      • 822

                      #570
                      Originally posted by shocka1212
                      This games a damn rig job. Penalties on Washington to get KC back in it. Alex smith just snapped the ball clearly after the play clock expired and nada

                      Lol there wasn't one fishy call in the game. Just unfortunate
                      Comment
                      • shocka1212
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-06-12
                        • 16788

                        #571
                        Originally posted by BreesIsTheGOAT
                        Lol there wasn't one fishy call in the game. Just unfortunate
                        Are you phuxkin serious?
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #572
                          Originally posted by BreesIsTheGOAT
                          Tough push bro. You had it pegged.
                          Just another in long line of the hits that keep on coming this year, lol.. eventually I'll be on right side of one!!!

                          Thanks buddy, honestly in the end it was my own fault cause number was 49.5 when I went to bed last night but wasn't done w research. Goes to show how important getting best number is.. only reason I'm not throwing shit it cause I bought that half point, something I never ever ever do! So feel "lucky" in that regard at least, lmao..
                          Comment
                          • shocka1212
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-06-12
                            • 16788

                            #573
                            Originally posted by shocka1212
                            two team tease the total and Washington
                            I should've listened to myself. Ended up taking Washington +7.5.... one of the worst beats of my life have come in the same year. Knicks +12.5 and now this
                            Comment
                            • JayDr3am
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-06-14
                              • 18260

                              #574
                              Originally posted by BreesIsTheGOAT
                              Lol there wasn't one fishy call in the game. Just unfortunate
                              i
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #575
                                Well that push leaves us

                                15-12 +2.05 on season.

                                I guess the happy way of looking at it is while I can be better it a small miracle I'm plus anything considering amount of games I've chosen being all the most fukked up beats of season! Lol.

                                No more talk of the impossible to cap, we know a few these losses/pushes the projection been spot on. I'll just keep doing that and eventually the wins will pile up!!

                                On to week 5, a card that at 1st glance might be my favorite of the year! I'm jacked up to start digging deeper!!
                                Comment
                                • shocka1212
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-06-12
                                  • 16788

                                  #576
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  Well that push leaves us

                                  15-12 +2.05 on season.

                                  I guess the happy way of looking at it is while I can be better it a small miracle I'm plus anything considering amount of games I've chosen being all the most fukked up beats of season! Lol.

                                  No more talk of the impossible to cap, we know a few these losses/pushes the projection been spot on. I'll just keep doing that and eventually the wins will pile up!!

                                  On to week 5, a card that at 1st glance might be my favorite of the year! I'm jacked up to start digging deeper!!
                                  Well Put. Trust the process. This shit all evens out in the long run of you stay consistent with bankroll management
                                  Comment
                                  • Ryermkd
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-11-12
                                    • 3739

                                    #577
                                    Banker you count your pushes as losses, or just don't add em? Irrelevant anyways I guess other than %.

                                    GL, looking to tail a few. Seems like a tough card for me.
                                    Comment
                                    • shocka1212
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-06-12
                                      • 16788

                                      #578
                                      The second the kicker didn't squib that kickoff I knew I was in for a bad ending same way I knew he second the Giants punter shanked the punt yesterday they'd lose. Bad beats even tho New York covered
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #579
                                        Originally posted by Ryermkd
                                        Banker you count your pushes as losses, or just don't add em? Irrelevant anyways I guess other than %.

                                        GL, looking to tail a few. Seems like a tough card for me.
                                        I just drop them off. I'm beat so I'm sure there easy answer but how do pushes effect w/l percentage?
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #580
                                          Originally posted by shocka1212
                                          Well Put. Trust the process. This shit all evens out in the long run of you stay consistent with bankroll management
                                          No doubt, problem is in NFL the season so short lots of times doesn't even out till next year or even 2 years down the line! With bases I never sweat the bad beats cause i know I make enough plays over course of season it might not always be even but there be so much good and bad who can count!
                                          Comment
                                          • pimike
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-23-08
                                            • 37140

                                            #581
                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                            Skins/kc un 49 -120 (1x). I went ahead and paid the extra to have 49 even tho I don't think that a good thing to make a habit of. My mistake for not playing it last night but I wanted to dig into some of those efficiency ratings to make sure this play was worth the risk cause as I mentioned there is certainly point potential here.. I have this finishing between 43-47 so think worth a 1x play.. for rest of thoughts on game see post 556 above.. gl everyone.
                                            Good Job!!!


                                            I always say bet key Numbers!!!! Smart bud!

                                            Wow!!! very lucky to push!!!! Count it as a win bud...
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #582
                                              Originally posted by pimike
                                              Good Job!!!


                                              I always say bet key Numbers!!!! Smart bud!

                                              Wow!!! very lucky to push!!!! Count it as a win bud...
                                              I guess depends how you look at it. I'd say I was incredibly unlucky to push considering had game basically nailed to a tee until that ignorant crap at the end.. I guess lucky they didn't kick the extra point and that I Bought hook which I never do but I certainly don't feel "lucky", lol..

                                              What you think bout Texans again this week? I think this be last time we will have chance to play them as home dogs for a very long time!
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #583
                                                Wow the thu night shitfest stealing away what would be a epic over play if this game was on Sunday! They couldn't make this number high enough! 2 very good offenses vs unbelievably bad defensive dvoa squads!

                                                Not only do we have top notch offenses against bottom feeder d's but in the 1st halves they 1st and 2nd in pace of which they snap the ball! Both average 6 ypp or better, pats among leaders in plays per game while bucs 31st in plays ran against them. Pats allowing 7.2 ypp, bucs 5.7..

                                                All just a big waste as they have to play Thursday night, I mean does anyone really believe I'd touch a over 56 on a Thursday night knowing how I feel about this cash grab garbage game? Believe me I'm tempted as ya pretty much gotta be to play over in every pats game, they managed to make sCam newton play well that how bad they are! Now they going up against a Tampa passing defense that pats only rival in defensive ineptitude.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #584
                                                  Week 5

                                                  Houston +1.5 ev (2x).. I'm all aboard the Texans bandwagon, these guys been the class of the south for years and that was while playing bum qbs off the street, I said when these guys drafted Watson they were instant contenders and it now starting to look that way. No clue why obrien started the season w savage as all that did was put them a week behind. I'll talk more about game breakdown later on, right now I'll just say this be last time in a long time we will have a chance to play Texans as home dogs, don't let that chance pass ya by..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Notorious_Donk
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-29-11
                                                    • 2689

                                                    #585
                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                    Wow the thu night shitfest stealing away what would be a epic over play if this game was on Sunday! They couldn't make this number high enough! 2 very good offenses vs unbelievably bad defensive dvoa squads!

                                                    Not only do we have top notch offenses against bottom feeder d's but in the 1st halves they 1st and 2nd in pace of which they snap the ball! Both average 6 ypp or better, pats among leaders in plays per game while bucs 31st in plays ran against them. Pats allowing 7.2 ypp, bucs 5.7..

                                                    All just a big waste as they have to play Thursday night, I mean does anyone really believe I'd touch a over 56 on a Thursday night knowing how I feel about this cash grab garbage game? Believe me I'm tempted as ya pretty much gotta be to play over in every pats game, they managed to make sCam newton play well that how bad they are! Now they going up against a Tampa passing defense that pats only rival in defensive ineptitude.
                                                    That over caught my eye as well, but like you said its the thursday night shitfest. I'm gonna watch the line movement
                                                    Comment
                                                    • shocka1212
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-06-12
                                                      • 16788

                                                      #586
                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                      Wow the thu night shitfest stealing away what would be a epic over play if this game was on Sunday! They couldn't make this number high enough! 2 very good offenses vs unbelievably bad defensive dvoa squads!

                                                      Not only do we have top notch offenses against bottom feeder d's but in the 1st halves they 1st and 2nd in pace of which they snap the ball! Both average 6 ypp or better, pats among leaders in plays per game while bucs 31st in plays ran against them. Pats allowing 7.2 ypp, bucs 5.7..

                                                      All just a big waste as they have to play Thursday night, I mean does anyone really believe I'd touch a over 56 on a Thursday night knowing how I feel about this cash grab garbage game? Believe me I'm tempted as ya pretty much gotta be to play over in every pats game, they managed to make sCam newton play well that how bad they are! Now they going up against a Tampa passing defense that pats only rival in defensive ineptitude.
                                                      Have to check the stats but Tampa Thursday night games that I've watched have all gone over. Atlanta game them the business last year on a Thursday if I'm not mistaken and the fact that it's in Tampa makes me like it more. Expect a 38-20 type game
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shocka1212
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-06-12
                                                        • 16788

                                                        #587
                                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                        Week 5

                                                        Houston +1.5 ev (2x).. I'm all aboard the Texans bandwagon, these guys been the class of the south for years and that was while playing bum qbs off the street, I said when these guys drafted Watson they were instant contenders and it now starting to look that way. No clue why obrien started the season w savage as all that did was put them a week behind. I'll talk more about game breakdown later on, right now I'll just say this be last time in a long time we will have a chance to play Texans as home dogs, don't let that chance pass ya by..
                                                        I don't trust them in games outside the division.. and they always disappoint in prime time games. Liked the Chiefs ATS before I saw the time the game was going to be played so will probably lay off here.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #588
                                                          Originally posted by shocka1212
                                                          Have to check the stats but Tampa Thursday night games that I've watched have all gone over. Atlanta game them the business last year on a Thursday if I'm not mistaken and the fact that it's in Tampa makes me like it more. Expect a 38-20 type game
                                                          How many thu games have they played?

                                                          Hell if it Sunday I'd honestly make the number 63ish and I'm not even joking. I just don't think I can play over this big a number on Thursday.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #589
                                                            Originally posted by shocka1212
                                                            I don't trust them in games outside the division.. and they always disappoint in prime time games. Liked the Chiefs ATS before I saw the time the game was going to be played so will probably lay off here.
                                                            Last year they beat kc 19-12 with oswiler at qb! I think you can start looking at them differently now that they have a winner at qb, yes he a rookie but he was most NFL ready by far I thought, playing bama 2 years in a row in championship game will do that for ya, the kid has the IT factor..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shocka1212
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-06-12
                                                              • 16788

                                                              #590
                                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                              Last year they beat kc 19-12 with oswiler at qb! I think you can start looking at them differently now that they have a winner at qb, yes he a rookie but he was most NFL ready by far I thought, playing bama 2 years in a row in championship game will do that for ya, the kid has the IT factor..
                                                              Not saying he doesn't. Just look at houstons primtetime record. They won that ugly one against the bengals and then played two Swiss cheese defenses that love giving up points. Not fading the chiefs, not after that robbery they pulled on me last night.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jaymilly
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 09-12-15
                                                                • 139

                                                                #591
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                Skins/kc un 49 -120 (1x). I went ahead and paid the extra to have 49 even tho I don't think that a good thing to make a habit of. My mistake for not playing it last night but I wanted to dig into some of those efficiency ratings to make sure this play was worth the risk cause as I mentioned there is certainly point potential here.. I have this finishing between 43-47 so think worth a 1x play.. for rest of thoughts on game see post 556 above.. gl everyone.
                                                                Should have bought the extra point like u did.. hahah penetrate sakes
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jaymilly
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 09-12-15
                                                                  • 139

                                                                  #592
                                                                  haha this forum corrects F-Bombs to penetrate hahahaha
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • #deleteuber
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 09-12-17
                                                                    • 137

                                                                    #593
                                                                    love my texans to upset the chiefs
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KRIT
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-11-14
                                                                      • 12878

                                                                      #594
                                                                      I really like Texans as a dog, perfect spot for KC to drop a game. They are due. Cinci I like, especially with Buffalo coming off the big win in Atlanta. Seahawks should win straight up, don't think Rams are ready for this big of game.

                                                                      For fantasy purposes, Eli vs Chargers, Tyrod @ Cinci, or Dalton vs Buffalo. I'm leaning Eli just because they have no run game and he has to throw.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • A4K
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 10-08-12
                                                                        • 5243

                                                                        #595
                                                                        Originally posted by KRIT
                                                                        I really like Texans as a dog, perfect spot for KC to drop a game. They are due. Cinci I like, especially with Buffalo coming off the big win in Atlanta. Seahawks should win straight up, don't think Rams are ready for this big of game.

                                                                        For fantasy purposes, Eli vs Chargers, Tyrod @ Cinci, or Dalton vs Buffalo. I'm leaning Eli just because they have no run game and he has to throw.
                                                                        Same but I'm going to see if the line moves our way.
                                                                        Comment
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