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tiki barbers salty ass calling the giants game shouldn't be allowed.Comment -
Indy/sea over 42 (1x)Comment -
Wtf happened to Carr? I stepped out for a while and get home to see the wrong damn qb in the game!!
Shit not a good day. Can't believe that charger
hilly game got over, it was playing out about perfectly till they scored 21 in 4th w 2 tds coming in final minutes.
Falcons blew the teaser with a assist from one of worst calls I've seen, how it a fumble when Ryan throws the ball 10 yards forward? Just fukkin ignorant.
No excuses for ravens, they fukkin suck, terrible play by me.Comment -
He hurt his back or somethingWtf happened to Carr? I stepped out for a while and get home to see the wrong damn qb in the game!!
Shit not a good day. Can't believe that chargerhilly game got over, it was playing out about perfectly till they scored 21 in 4th w 2 tds coming in final minutes.
Falcons blew the teaser with a assist from one of worst calls I've seen, how it a fumble when Ryan throws the ball 10 yards forward? Just fukkin ignorant.
No excuses for ravens, they fukkin suck, terrible play by me.
Prob be out for a while knowing himComment -
reports say "back spasms. should be good quickly"Wtf happened to Carr? I stepped out for a while and get home to see the wrong damn qb in the game!!
Shit not a good day. Can't believe that chargerhilly game got over, it was playing out about perfectly till they scored 21 in 4th w 2 tds coming in final minutes.
Falcons blew the teaser with a assist from one of worst calls I've seen, how it a fumble when Ryan throws the ball 10 yards forward? Just fukkin ignorant.
No excuses for ravens, they fukkin suck, terrible play by me.
hmmmmmmmmmmComment -
Lost a big parlay because of garbage ass baltyWtf happened to Carr? I stepped out for a while and get home to see the wrong damn qb in the game!!
Shit not a good day. Can't believe that chargerhilly game got over, it was playing out about perfectly till they scored 21 in 4th w 2 tds coming in final minutes.
Falcons blew the teaser with a assist from one of worst calls I've seen, how it a fumble when Ryan throws the ball 10 yards forward? Just fukkin ignorant.
No excuses for ravens, they fukkin suck, terrible play by me.Comment -
I don't ever recall a John harbaugh team playing such a pathetic uninspired game after taking a asswhipping the week before. To even let steelers beat you at home is pathetic as bad of a road team as they are, but to be fukkin manhadled like that for second week in a row just says they garbage.Comment -
Well at least we ended the night with a winner
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Shit happens, think it was a fumble... the one int surely hit the ground though... Atlanta game was a job, so was last week vs Detriot though...
Upon reviewing the Jacksonville game, it was a job and a half as well. Oh well that's what you get when you bet on the travelling carnies.Comment -
3-4 -2.05
Season
15-12 +2.15u
Really expect to be better, on the bright side still in the black and don't feel like I've found my groove yet as I think I'm still adjusting on some teams.
Last year I was down a decent amount at this time and turned things around toward the midway point and playoffs. Hopefully the best is still to come as I'll try and be better.Comment -
Almost positive I'll have a play on 2marro's game but the little woman is calling me to bed so will have to wait, lol.Comment -
U thinking totals banker?Comment -
Yea, I lean under but just checking few more things cause want to make sure. Kinda scary play cause potential for points certainly here but at same time some good things for the under. Actually very similar to the philly/charger game where our under got clipped by few big plays in 4th qrtr.Comment -
Yea they should match up well. It just the whole arrowhead in prime time where the big advantage for kc, place a nuthouse in prime time, see patriots getting dismantled there a few years ago., arrowhead and I think kc holds pretty big edge in special teams return and coverage units, they do have new kicker so not so much there.. clearly I fukked up waiting on total as now it dropped down below key 49. UghComment -
I personally feel like if Washington covers it soars over the total.Comment -
I'm not so sure about that, their defense has been playing incredibly well, particularly the rush defense which that ranks 3rd in efficiency. The pass d solid as well, obviously they do a good job against number 1 WRs w Norman although Hill does present a different type of challenge.
Where skins d worrisome is they are 30th against tight ends. Even tho I do expect Kelce to have big game I think skins will bottle up hunt which will keep kc from having a lot of successful drives as they go as their rookie rb goes. Skins also been great against the deep ball so don't think kc gonna be burning them with those explosive plays that have become instrumental in their scoring this season.
Skins number 1 in yards allowed per drive and drive success rate, these not weighted for strength of opponent yet but they have faced some of the top offenses, rams, raiders, philly.
Another big factor is skins offense who like philly excel at ball control, they also among the slowest paced teams, that important because kc defense hasn't been real effective getting off the field entering game 27th in yards allowed per drive. Skins offense will be a big help to the d as they chew up clock and limit chiefs amount of plays. Another great thing for under is while skins excell moving the ball between the 20s they have been a poor red zone team dating back to last season, long clock eating drives that end in fgs are great for unders on fairly high totals!!
I understand your thoughts on it cause there is certainly potential for points in this game. I think it incredibly similar to the philly/charger game and as we saw even tho it played to a under pace the big plays in the 4th qrtr pushed it just over the number. No doubt this game be played in the 20s but I think the pace and styles in this matchup lend itself to be low 20s opposed to mid or high.
I know I'm getting long winded but forgot to mention chiefs biggest weakness is against #1 WRs and skins really haven't gotten Pryor on that level of yet. Kc strong against Te's and pass catching backs which what skins been doing best. I think we might get a big play from doctson but overall I think skins gonna be using run game and converting short 3rd downs to Pryor.Comment -
Skins/kc un 49 -120 (1x). I went ahead and paid the extra to have 49 even tho I don't think that a good thing to make a habit of. My mistake for not playing it last night but I wanted to dig into some of those efficiency ratings to make sure this play was worth the risk cause as I mentioned there is certainly point potential here.. I have this finishing between 43-47 so think worth a 1x play.. for rest of thoughts on game see post 556 above.. gl everyone.Comment -
Your totals are on pointComment -
Thanks buddy. I think they always been strongest aspect of my capping. I've had to make some adjustments over the years as almost 20 years ago (jeesh getting old, lol) I almost played solely unders cause for whatever reason identifying low scoring defensive affairs were easy for me.
Then we had all the rules and style of play changing to emphasize offense and I had a few years where my totals got destroyed! My worst overall seasons ever where I dumped between 8-15k both seasons (I bet way bigger when I was a youngster, lol). That off-season I did a lot of work and some soul searching trying to figure out the problem w my process or whatever. There were lot of holes in my game to fix but the simplest silliest thing was realizing I was really limiting myself avoiding overs, lol. All these years later I think I may be better on overs and unders now tougher plays for me to make a lot of times (like tonight where both offenses very capable of scoring!!)..Comment
