Smitty's 2014 NFL Thread

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  • SmittyZ28
    SBR MVP
    • 09-04-12
    • 1469

    #106
    Originally posted by SmittyZ28
    late grab right before game time today... Since it still has a leg left I am going to post and count. GL

    2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 4, 4½, 5 CBB 4, 4½, 5 PTS
    [275] GB PACKERS +8½-110 (B+6)
    [256] NE PATRIOTS +½-110 (B+6)
    1.8 to win 1.5
    Comment
    • SmittyZ28
      SBR MVP
      • 09-04-12
      • 1469

      #107
      SNF

      Last leg of teaser GB +8.5

      GB TT026 1.9 to win 1.75
      O 54.5 2.2 to win 2.1

      GL People!
      Comment
      • SmittyZ28
        SBR MVP
        • 09-04-12
        • 1469

        #108
        MNF

        O48 2.2 to win 2
        Comment
        • SmittyZ28
          SBR MVP
          • 09-04-12
          • 1469

          #109
          Week 8 and MNF

          3-6 -6.4 Units rough week, lot of close loses which are even more frustrating! Great looking lines this week for a bounce back

          YTD 50-34 +18.48 Units
          Comment
          • SmittyZ28
            SBR MVP
            • 09-04-12
            • 1469

            #110
            Week 9 NFL locked in:

            Pats +3 +110 3 to win 3.3- Already wrote this game up in a ton of threads. Pats coaching staff have already prepared for this game ahead of this week, Gronk is 100% and we have seen the difference that makes in this offense, no one can stop this guy when healthy. LaFell looks great down the middle and the Pats offense has exploded scoring 113 points in the last 3 weeks and thats with Edleman production way down, which I think will change this week. Also, if Pats drop this game to Broncos they will not catch them the rest of the season, Pats chance at home field is 100% at stake in this game, Broncos schedule is pretty easy the rest of the season.
            Can't wait to watch the game and I am by no means saying the Pats will walk away with this. But Brady at home +points, home field advantage at stake and Brady 10-4 against Manning all time, 2-1 in the playoffs, yes please!

            Indy-3 2.2 to win 2.
            Anyone paying any attention to this thread knows I am firmly on the Colts train right now, anything 3 or less is an autobet right now. Do not overvalue the loss to Pitt last week, Indy had numerous injuries and even with getting screwed by the zebras almost crawled back in that game. This team and QB do not quit and the offense can put up points as fast or faster than anyone in the league. I think we see the Colts come back with a statement game here. Decent run by the Giants before dropping 2 to the Eagles and Cowboys, but who did they beat Texans, skins, and Falcons?? Legit contender coming off a loss with one of the best QBs in the league? Take that over a bye week all day long.

            6.5 Tease

            SD+8 KC-3 2.5 to win 2 Should be self explanatory here. KC vs the Jets, easy money there and again a MUCH better AFC team off a loss against a HUGE overachieving Dolphins team. Dolphins always give fans a little hope each year before collapsing into the team they are.

            More to come Good Luck People
            Comment
            • SmittyZ28
              SBR MVP
              • 09-04-12
              • 1469

              #111
              TNF

              Carolina +3 2 to win 2

              Lean on the 1h Under and U49.5 or a 6pt +9 U55.5 no bet yet
              Comment
              • SmittyZ28
                SBR MVP
                • 09-04-12
                • 1469

                #112
                7pt 5 Team. Not usually big on the 5 teamers, but the lines and opponents match up here very well.

                2 to win 6

                SD +8.5
                SF -3
                NE +10
                KC -2.5
                CIN -3.5 AJ Greene said he expects to be healthy for Sunday
                Comment
                • SmittyZ28
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-04-12
                  • 1469

                  #113
                  Added 1H U24.5 1.2 to win 1.1
                  Comment
                  • SmittyZ28
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-04-12
                    • 1469

                    #114
                    1 Additional unit on Carolina +3 3 to win 3. Public all over Saints here and TNF has been a strong public night, I think we see a change in that tonight. I bet the 1st half under which I like, but I am also starting to like the game total OVER. I am going to hold off and live bet when I see how the game is going.

                    GL people
                    Comment
                    • SmittyZ28
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-04-12
                      • 1469

                      #115
                      Week 9 with additions

                      6pt Tease 2.5 to win 2
                      SD+8
                      KC-3

                      7 pt 2 to win 6
                      SD +8.5
                      SF -3
                      NE +10
                      KC -2.5
                      CIN -3.5

                      Straight
                      Patriots +3 3 to win 3.3
                      Indy -3 2.2 to win 2
                      Eagles -1 2.35 to win 2.2
                      Cards +3 2.2 to win 2.3
                      Skins PK 2.1 to win 2
                      Comment
                      • SmittyZ28
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-04-12
                        • 1469

                        #116
                        Added

                        NE/Den 1H U24.5 1.6 to win 1.5 It is nasty here right now
                        Comment
                        • SmittyZ28
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-04-12
                          • 1469

                          #117
                          Ravens +3 1.6 to win 1.2

                          U47.5 1.3 to win 1.2

                          GL People
                          Comment
                          • SmittyZ28
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-04-12
                            • 1469

                            #118
                            MNF:

                            Already booked colts as listed above, added 1 more unit on -3

                            Colt TT 026 1.8 to win 1.5
                            O50.5 2.2 to win 2
                            Comment
                            • SmittyZ28
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-04-12
                              • 1469

                              #119
                              2.2 to win 2 Colts +3.5 O44
                              Comment
                              • SmittyZ28
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-04-12
                                • 1469

                                #120
                                E. Manning O250.5 Pass YDS 1.8 to win 1.5. Do not see how the Giants run the ball here and as evident by my bets I think the Giants play from behind therefore even more likely Eli will be slinging, my book had a good line compared to others I haven see so I am taking it
                                Comment
                                • SmittyZ28
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-04-12
                                  • 1469

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                                  MNF:
                                  Manning O250.5 1.8 to win 1.5 WIN
                                  Colts-3 3.3 to win 3 WIN
                                  Colts +3.5 O44 2.2 to win 2 WIN
                                  Colts TT 026 1.8 to win 1.5 WIN
                                  O50.5 2.2 to win 2 WIN
                                  Clean 5-0 Sweep +10 units. Will update the YTD tomorrow, first game I bet of the week this one was a no brainer. Just wish I parlayed the TT, GT and ML for a unit like I was contemplating all day.

                                  Hope you fools cashed some checks, GNIGHT
                                  Comment
                                  • SmittyZ28
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-04-12
                                    • 1469

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                                    Week 9 with additions

                                    6pt Tease 2.5 to win 2 LOSS
                                    SD+8
                                    KC-3

                                    7 pt 2 to win 6 LOSS
                                    SD +8.5
                                    SF -3
                                    NE +10
                                    KC -2.5
                                    CIN -3.5

                                    Straight
                                    Patriots +3 3 to win 3.3 WIN
                                    Indy -3 2.2 to win 2 WIN
                                    Eagles -1 2.35 to win 2.2 WIN
                                    Cards +3 2.2 to win 2.3 WIN
                                    Skins PK 2.1 to win 2 LOSS
                                    1H U24.5 1.2 to win 1.1 LOSS
                                    Ravens +3 1.6 to win 1.2 LOSS
                                    U47.5 1.3 to win 1.2 LOSS
                                    MNF:
                                    Manning O250.5 1.8 to win 1.5 WIN
                                    Colts-3 3.3 to win 3 WIN
                                    Colts +3.5 O44 2.2 to win 2 WIN
                                    Colts TT 026 1.8 to win 1.5 WIN
                                    O50.5 2.2 to win 2 WIN
                                    Week 9 9-6 +9.1 Units

                                    YTD 59-40 +27.58 Units
                                    Comment
                                    • SmittyZ28
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-04-12
                                      • 1469

                                      #123
                                      TNF 6pt teaser

                                      Cincy -1/2 O38 3 to win 2.5
                                      Comment
                                      • SmittyZ28
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-04-12
                                        • 1469

                                        #124
                                        Added Cincy -6.5 1.7 to win 1.5

                                        1H Under 23 1.55 to win 1.5

                                        GL people
                                        Comment
                                        • SmittyZ28
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-04-12
                                          • 1469

                                          #125
                                          YTD 60-42 +24.38

                                          Week 10 Card Playing a ton of favorites this week...

                                          Teaser 2 to win 3
                                          260] BAL RAVENS -3-110 (B+6½)
                                          [268] ARI CARDINALS -½-115 (B+6½)
                                          [272] GB PACKERS -½-115 (B+6½)

                                          Straight
                                          KC -1.5 4.2 to win 4 My biggest bet of the week. Orton is the most sacked QB on passing plays in the league, Chiefs one of the best defensive fronts in the league. Watkins has not practiced all week, might go Sunday but how effective? F. Jackson is also questionable. This line scares me, I had this figured at -3.5 but I do not see an angle where Buff can win this game.

                                          Detroit -3 +105 2.5 to win 2.65 Best D in the league, Tannehill has been great but they have not played a good defense since week 2 vs the chiefs and they scored 15 points. Admittedly I have a hard time giving any credit to this team but the Lions have the edge in Defense, QB/offense and home field advantage and they are coming off a Bye.

                                          Atlanta -2.5 2.7 to win 2.5 Tampa Bay sucks, I do not care they got embarrassed last time these teams played and are coming home, they got embarassed because they suck. Atlanta has twice the talent this TB team has and they are off a Bye. ATL is certainly one of the worst road teams, probably even the worst, but TB is the worst team in the league. For a line under 3, I have to bet the better, rather more talented, team off a bye.

                                          Steelers -3.5 2.76 to win 2.6 The Jets are the worst pass defense in the league, by a lot. 24 TDs given up in the air, to give you an idea how bad that is Houston and Washington are tied for 2nd worse with 18! The jets are giving up 33% more passing TDs than the next worse team. Worst pass D against the hottest QB/Receivers in the league right now. All day.

                                          GB/Chi O53.5 2.76 to win 2.6 Also going to bet the GB team total when the line comes out, Aaron Rodgers full bye week rest and practice against a Bears D that over the last couple of weeks have been as bad as the Jets. On the other side of the ball, although I think GB wins this comfortably. Forte is going to have a big game and the bears will get their points

                                          GB-7 2.9 to win 2.7- Same reasons as above

                                          Den 1H -7 1.8 to win 1.6

                                          Leans
                                          Pitt TT Over
                                          GB TT Over
                                          Det/Mia Under
                                          Carolina +7
                                          SF +6
                                          NYG +9 hoping this gets pounded to 10 but its been back and forth seen it as low as 8


                                          Big card this week, GL people
                                          Comment
                                          • SmittyZ28
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-04-12
                                            • 1469

                                            #126
                                            6 Pt teasers 2 to win 1.7

                                            Seattle -3.5/Chiefs +7.5
                                            Detroit +3/ Denver -5.5
                                            Comment
                                            • SmittyZ28
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-04-12
                                              • 1469

                                              #127
                                              ML Parlay
                                              Denver+Baltimore+GB 2 to win 1.55

                                              Miami Det 1H U21.5 1.6 to win 1.5
                                              KC/Buff 1H U21 1.8 to win 1.5

                                              Good luck people
                                              Comment
                                              • SmittyZ28
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-04-12
                                                • 1469

                                                #128
                                                NYG +9.5 1.7 to win 1.5
                                                Comment
                                                • SmittyZ28
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-04-12
                                                  • 1469

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                                                  YTD 60-42 +24.38

                                                  Week 10 Card Playing a ton of favorites this week...

                                                  Teaser 2 to win 3 WIN
                                                  260] BAL RAVENS -3-110 (B+6½)
                                                  [268] ARI CARDINALS -½-115 (B+6½)
                                                  [272] GB PACKERS -½-115 (B+6½)

                                                  Straight
                                                  KC -1.5 4.2 to win 4 WIN
                                                  NYG +9.5 1.7 to win 1.5 LOSS
                                                  Detroit -3 +105 2.5 to win 2.65 WIN
                                                  Atlanta -2.5 2.7 to win 2.5 WIN
                                                  Steelers -3.5 2.76 to win 2.6 LOSS
                                                  GB/Chi O53.5 2.76 to win 2.6 WIN
                                                  GB-7 2.9 to win 2.7 WIN

                                                  1st half
                                                  Den 1H -7 1.8 to win 1.6 WIN
                                                  Miami Det 1H U21.5 1.6 to win 1.5 WIN
                                                  KC/Buff 1H U21 1.8 to win 1.5 WIN

                                                  6 Pt teasers 2 to win 1.7

                                                  Seattle -3.5/Chiefs +7.5 WIN
                                                  Detroit +3/ Denver -5.5 WIN

                                                  ML Parlay
                                                  Denver+Baltimore+GB 2 to win 1.55 WIN
                                                  Killed the book today.

                                                  Week 10 12-2 +22.85 Units

                                                  YTD 72-44 +47.27 Units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SmittyZ28
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-04-12
                                                    • 1469

                                                    #130
                                                    Small play tonight. Carolina playing for 1st place against a QB that time after time turns the ball over in crucial spots. However, I look at 3 things. Eagles D is middle of the road but so much better than Carolina. Carolina is in the bottom 3 or 4 against the run, I think Chip puts more of the game in McCoys hands with Sanchez under center, Carolina has given up 11 rushing TDs so far this year. Looking everywhere but the QB spot, which is pretty close, Eagles are insanely more talented at every skill position.

                                                    I think both teams score and there will be turnovers hopefully some of which happen to set up the teams deep in their opponents territory.

                                                    1.5 to win 1.4

                                                    Eagles -1 O42

                                                    GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SmittyZ28
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-04-12
                                                      • 1469

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                                                      Small play tonight. Carolina playing for 1st place against a QB that time after time turns the ball over in crucial spots. However, I look at 3 things. Eagles D is middle of the road but so much better than Carolina. Carolina is in the bottom 3 or 4 against the run, I think Chip puts more of the game in McCoys hands with Sanchez under center, Carolina has given up 11 rushing TDs so far this year. Looking everywhere but the QB spot, which is pretty close, Eagles are insanely more talented at every skill position.

                                                      I think both teams score and there will be turnovers hopefully some of which happen to set up the teams deep in their opponents territory.

                                                      1.5 to win 1.4

                                                      Eagles -1 O42 WIN

                                                      GL
                                                      Another day another dollar

                                                      YTD 73-44 +48.67 Units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SmittyZ28
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-04-12
                                                        • 1469

                                                        #132
                                                        TNF

                                                        6Pt teaser
                                                        Buffalo +10 O35

                                                        1.8 to win 1.5

                                                        Really wanted the 1st U of 21, line dropped to 20.5 which I do not like. Hope it jumps up

                                                        Good luck people
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SmittyZ28
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-04-12
                                                          • 1469

                                                          #133
                                                          Week 11

                                                          NE +3 4.2 to win 3.8 Wrote this game up all over the forum
                                                          ML +130 1.5 to win 2

                                                          7 Pt Teaser 1.85 to win 2.5
                                                          Denver -2
                                                          SD -3
                                                          NE +10
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SmittyZ28
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-04-12
                                                            • 1469

                                                            #134
                                                            Miami/Buffalo 1H Under 20.5 1.1 to win 1
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SmittyZ28
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-04-12
                                                              • 1469

                                                              #135
                                                              TNF 1-1 -.8 Units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SmittyZ28
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-04-12
                                                                • 1469

                                                                #136
                                                                Week 11 Added

                                                                GB-6 2.5 to win 2.3

                                                                6Pt Tease 3 to win 2.5
                                                                Seattle +8.5
                                                                NO-1

                                                                Leans:
                                                                GB/PH O55
                                                                GB TT Over
                                                                Arizona -1.5
                                                                Saints TT O
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SmittyZ28
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-04-12
                                                                  • 1469

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Added

                                                                  GB TT 029 2.2 to win 2
                                                                  NO TT O28 2.5 to win 2

                                                                  Chi/Minn 046.5 2.2 to win 2
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SmittyZ28
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-04-12
                                                                    • 1469

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Denver -6 1Half 2 to win 2 This has been hitting the past 3 or 4 weeks in a row. Betting the trend

                                                                    Good luck everyone
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SmittyZ28
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-04-12
                                                                      • 1469

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Got these in just able to post now ticket below for accuracy

                                                                      Nov 16 11:57 AM
                                                                      by: INTERNET91940194
                                                                      NFL

                                                                      Nov 16 04:25 PM
                                                                      STRAIGHT BET
                                                                      [20015] TOTAL o29½-115
                                                                      (PACKERS TOTAL POINTS vrs PACKERS TOTAL POINTS)
                                                                      115/100
                                                                      Nov 16 03:38 PM
                                                                      by: INTERNET92017100
                                                                      NFL

                                                                      Nov 16 04:05 PM
                                                                      STRAIGHT BET
                                                                      [20043] TOTAL o27½-125
                                                                      (CHARGERS TOTAL POINTS vrs CHARGERS TOTAL POINTS)
                                                                      125/100
                                                                      Nov 16 03:49 PM
                                                                      by: INTERNET92021720
                                                                      NFL

                                                                      Nov 16 04:25 PM
                                                                      STRAIGHT BET
                                                                      [455] TOTAL o54½-110
                                                                      (PHI EAGLES vrs GB PACKERS)
                                                                      110/100
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SmittyZ28
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-04-12
                                                                        • 1469

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Pats TT 027 3.4 to win 3
                                                                        Pats 1H ML +125 1 to win 1.25
                                                                        Comment
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