Smitty's 2014 NFL Thread

[SmittyZ28]

Nov 16 08:12 PM by: INTERNET

92096434

NFL

Nov 16 08:31 PM

STRAIGHT BET [473] TOTAL o58-110 (NE PATRIOTS vrs IND COLTS)

138/125

[SmittyZ28]

Week 11
7 Pt Teaser 1.85 to win 2.5 LOSS
Denver -2
SD -3
NE +10
6Pt Tease 3 to win 2.5 LOSS
Seattle +8.5
NO-1
GB/PH o54½-110 2.2 to win 2 WIN
GB- 6 2.5 to win 2.3 WIN
GB TT 029 2.2 to win 2 WIN
NO TT O28 2.5 to win 2 LOSS

Chi/Minn 046.5 2.2 to win 2 LOSS
Denver -6 1Half 2 to win 2 LOSS


Chargers TT o27½-125 2.5 to win 2 LOSS
Pats/Indy O58 2.65 to win 2.5 WIN
Pats TT 027 3.4 to win 3 WIN
Pats 1H ML +125 1 to win 1.25 WIN
NE +3 4.2 to win 3.8 WIN
ML +130 1.5 to win 2 WIN

Week 11 is another winner
8-6 +4.8 Units

YTD 81-50 +48.67

[SmittyZ28]

Thursday Night

Chiefs -6.5 1.9 to win 1.7
Strong lean on the U21.5 1st Half

[SmittyZ28]

MNF Pitt-7
2 to win 2

I know they laid an awful egg in the meadowlands but this team is better at every phase of the game than the Titans. Tenn is giving up 135 Yards rushing per game! Bell is going to Gash this team and the Time of poss for big ben and crew should be super lopsided. I just do not see how Tenn keeps up here, they are scoring 17 points per game.

Good luck

[Dmoneytx]

MNF Pitt-7
2 to win 2

I know they laid an awful egg in the meadowlands but this team is better at every phase of the game than the Titans. Tenn is giving up 135 Yards rushing per game! Bell is going to Gash this team and the Time of poss for big ben and crew should be super lopsided. I just do not see how Tenn keeps up here, they are scoring 17 points per game.

Good luck

Just so you know Smitty, I think that 17 pts per game is MORE than Pitt is averaging on the "road".. Pitt is def a diff team on the road without question man. With Palamalalalaoo gone & the other defensive stud cpt, their defense has definitely not looked the same since they both were out with injuries. Both out tonight again, hmmm... Also, IF and I mean "if" Tenn can play the way they did the first half last week, they might easily win outright. Metten looked so good the first half and their defense was on fire. You have got to see this from another angle I think as well. This "IS" Tenn's Super Bowl I think. They are at home, on primetime Monday NIGHT, playing the Steelers, getting a TD or more??? I honestly think the GOOD Pitt team has to show up tonight or things won't go well for Pitt backers. A BIGGER also is that IF Pitt covers tonight, Vegas will get completely rolled this weekend & as we all know, Vegas doesn't like to lose. So many people will clean house if Pitt covers the TD, that gets me thinking hard the other way...

Just my thoughts, thanks..

[SmittyZ28]

DMoney, thanks for checking in buddy. You make some great points especially about the Jeckyl and Hyde nature of the Steelers, the good team needs to show up tonight and that in and of itself is no sure thing. Mettenberger showed us something for sure but at the end of the day this is a Pitt team coming off an embarrassing loss in NY after smashing the Ravens and Colts, two decent teams. That D line in NY ate up the Steelers O line and effectively shut down the run game. I think we see the Steelers come out slow handing the ball off to Bell to open up the play action later in the game. I think Tenn has a decent shot here, but Pitt, although they have a split personality, is infinitely more talented than this team. Talented teams win on Monday night, especially after a textbook let down last week. Going smaller than usual because I have not paid an immense amount of attention to these teams, but teams that rush over 100YDS win the vast majority of games. Bell is going to have a big night tonight, Tenn Run D bottom 3-4 teams in the league

Good luck with your plays buddy

[SmittyZ28]

MNF
0-1 -2 Units. Game went exactly as I thought it would but Pitt came up short here, broke my own rule of not betting against 7+ home dogs, Steelers did pretty much what I expected but gave up more points than expected. Good game at least.

[SmittyZ28]

Week 12 locked in

Balty +3 +110 2 to win 2.2

[Dmoneytx]

MNF
0-1 -2 Units. Game went exactly as I thought it would but Pitt came up short here, broke my own rule of not betting against 7+ home dogs, Steelers did pretty much what I expected but gave up more points than expected. Good game at least.

I knew that Vegas angle was too great to ignore Smitty.. Vegas was gonna lose a ton if Pitt covered, I am now seeing this time and time again.. Almost becomes too easy to predict sometimes. Two units is not a big deal bec you are having a wonderful season so far. I hope you kick some ass this weekend, I will be tailing prob all of your plays. BOL man!!!

[SmittyZ28]

Thursday Night

Chiefs -6.5 1.9 to win 1.7
Strong lean on the U21.5 1st Half

Added 1st H Under 21.5 1.8 to win 1.7

[SmittyZ28]

I knew that Vegas angle was too great to ignore Smitty.. Vegas was gonna lose a ton if Pitt covered, I am now seeing this time and time again.. Almost becomes too easy to predict sometimes. Two units is not a big deal bec you are having a wonderful season so far. I hope you kick some ass this weekend, I will be tailing prob all of your plays. BOL man!!!

You called it buddy, should have listened! Let's get it in week 12!

[SmittyZ28]

Added 1st H Under 21.5 1.8 to win 1.7

Raiders TT U17.5. 1.1 to win 1 Oakland only scoring 15.2 per game and they are facing the toughest defense they have faced all year. I like this on a lot, only wild card here is a "prime time" game which we know has led to a ton of points.

[SmittyZ28]

Raiders TT U17.5. 1.1 to win 1 Oakland only scoring 15.2 per game and they are facing the toughest defense they have faced all year. I like this on a lot, only wild card here is a "prime time" game which we know has led to a ton of points.

1-2 -1.3 as far on the record here is concerned which is what matters. Accidently bet the OVER 17.5 TT for the raiders and bookie wouldnt let me cancel it what a lucky hit haha. But the thread is what counts

Nov 20 11:23 AM by: INTERNET

92398191

NFL

Nov 20 08:26 PM

STRAIGHT BET [20003] TOTAL o17½-110 (RAIDERS TOTAL POINTS vrs RAIDERS TOTAL POINTS)

55/50

WIN WIN

50

[SmittyZ28]

Week 12 Locked in

Baltimore +3 2 to win 2.2
Atlanta-3 2.3 to win 2
NE-7 2.1 to win 2

Leans
SF-9/SF TT O
Cards +7
CowGirls -3

[SmittyZ28]

Added

Cincy+2 2.2 to win 2 Foster questionable with 1 day of practice, will prob go but most likely will be limited. Geo coming back fully healthy with a full week of practice. Unless JJ Watt starts at QB, not seeing much of a chance here for Houston

[SmittyZ28]

Week 12 Added

6pt Teaser 3 to win 2.5
GB-2
SF-3

7 Pt teaser 3 to win 2.15
Miami +14
Indy -7

[SmittyZ28]

Week 12:


Atlanta-3 2.3 to win 2
NE-7 2.1 to win 2
Cincy+2 2.2 to win 2
Indy/Jax O49 2.1 to win 2
49ers TT 026 2.2 to win 2
GB 1H -5 2 to win 2
GB TT 028 1.9 to win 1.7
NYG/Dal O47.5 2.2 to win 2
Baltimore +3 2 to win 2.2

6pt Teaser 3 to win 2.5
GB-2
SF-3

7 Pt teaser 3 to win 2.15
Miami +14
Indy -7

Lets get it! BOL

[SmittyZ28]

Added

2nd Half 2.1 to win 2 on both
Colts -6.5
Pats -3

[SmittyZ28]

Added

Dallas- 4 2.1 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

MNF Footbal

Added Buffalo -2.5 2.1 to win 2
Pending Balt+3 2 to win 2.2

[SmittyZ28]

Hitting both overs tonight

3.25 to win 3 on each
O42
O50.5

[SmittyZ28]

MNF 2H O28 2 to win 2

[TDKJET1717]

[SmittyZ28]

Week 12:

TNF
Raiders TT U17.5. 1.1 to win 1 LOSS
1st H Under 21.5 1.8 to win 1.7 WIN
Chiefs -6.5 1.9 to win 1.7 LOSS

Atlanta-3 2.3 to win 2 LOSS
NE-7 2.1 to win 2 WIN
Cincy+2 2.2 to win 2 WIN
Indy/Jax O49 2.1 to win 2 LOSS
49ers TT 026 2.2 to win 2 LOSS
GB 1H -5 2 to win 2 LOSS
GB TT 028 1.9 to win 1.7 LOSS
NYG/Dal O47.5 2.2 to win 2 WIN
Dallas- 4 2.1 to win 2 LOSS
Baltimore +3 2 to win 2.2 WIN

6pt Teaser 3 to win 2.5 WIN
GB-2
SF-3

7 Pt teaser 3 to win 2.15 WIN
Miami +14
Indy -7

2nd Half 2.1 to win 2 on both
Colts -6.5 WIN
Pats -3 WIN
Buffalo -2.5 2.1 to win 2 WIN
Buff/NJ O42 3.25 to win 3 LOSS
NO/Balt O50.5 3.25 to win 3 WIN
MNF 2H O28 2 to win 2 WIN



Lets get it! BOL

Week 12 12-9 +6.95

YTD 93-60 +53.62

[SmittyZ28]

Week 13 Locked in:

Pats +3 Even 4 to win 4

[SmittyZ28]

Turkey Day

Locked In

Detroit -7 1.9 to win 1.75
Det/Chi U47 1.9 to win 1.75

[SmittyZ28]

Added

6 Point 2.2 to win 2

Det -1/Seattle +7.5

[SmittyZ28]

Turkey Day 2-1 +1.76

Hope everyone had a great day

Additions to week 13:

Miami-6.5 2.2 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

Added Week 13

Browns +3.5 2.4 to win 2. Buffalo is a decent team this year but is overvalued after the stomping they dropped on the basically defenseless Jets. Considering field advantage, Vegas is saying Bills are a 6.5 point better team??? Not a chance

[SmittyZ28]

Added:

Giants -3 1.2 to win 1

[SmittyZ28]

Rough day yesterday going 0-3 will update the week 13 and YTD record after tonight.

Miami -6.5 2.2 to win 2
1H U21 1.85 to win 1.75

[SmittyZ28]

Miami -4.5 2H 2.2 to win 2. Usually hesitate to back a 2H bet that needs to hit to get my game bet, but I can't see Miami giving up another half on the ground like that and Geno can't hit open people all over the field. Miami Offense started to open a bit, I am taking it.

BOL

[SmittyZ28]

Week 13

Monday
Dolphs -6.5 2.2 to win 2 LOSS
Dolphs 2H -4.5 2.1 to win 2 WIN
U21 1H 1.85 to win 1.75 WIN

Thurs
Detroit -7 1.9 to win 1.75 WIN
Det/Chi U47 1.9 to win 1.75 LOSS
Det -1/Seattle +7.5 2.2 to win 2 WIN

Sunday
Pats +3 4 to win 4 LOSS
Clev +3.5 2.2 to win 2 LOSS
NYG -3 1.2 to win 1 LOSS

4-5 -4 Units. Sunday hurt, first losing week in the last 5.

YTD 97-65 +49.62

[SmittyZ28]

Thursday Night Football

Cowboys -3 -140 2.8 to win 2
1H Under 27 2.4 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

Thursday Night Football

Cowboys -3 -140 2.8 to win 2
1H Under 27 2.4 to win 2

2-0 + 4 Units

YTD 99-65 +53.62 Units