Smitty's 2014 NFL Thread

[SmittyZ28]

Couple of week 16 look a head lines, lot of enticing lines that jump out this early which scares me hahaha.

Colts +3 @ Dallas Colts or Pats +3 or more is normally an auto bet for me
Denver -3 @ Bengals Denver has to and will win out the season and hope for a Pats loss to the Jets or Bills
Chiefs +3.5 @ Pitt That Chiefs D is going to slow down the over-hyped Pitt Offense, Pitt hasn't played a defense in almost 2 months
Bills -6 @ Oak- Raiders won't score a TD in this one

[SmittyZ28]

Big play coming on 1H Under on TNF, going to be the back-up/1st round pick bowl in Florida, this bet is 6-2 since 10/16

[blackHIPPY]

like the chiefs pick, hadn't put any thought in that one. I agree the steelers are overrated.
However, I disagree with the Broncos I think Cincy is going to get the bad taste out of their mouth from their past primetime performances and Manning was hobbled last week so I'd expect the bengals to hit him a few times early to see how healthy he really is. And he's on the road and it's cold so ya.

[SmittyZ28]

like the chiefs pick, hadn't put any thought in that one. I agree the steelers are overrated.
However, I disagree with the Broncos I think Cincy is going to get the bad taste out of their mouth from their past primetime performances and Manning was hobbled last week so I'd expect the bengals to hit him a few times early to see how healthy he really is. And he's on the road and it's cold so ya.

Yea man Chiefs looking like a solid play. Not sure on Cincy, I made a lot of money betting them ATS at home over the years, traditionally one of the best home cover teams in the league, not sure on the stats of being a home dog, would have to look it up. Cincy giving up a ton of yards to the rushing attack and Denver's running game has really come on the past couple of weeks, limiting Peyton's need to do everything on the field. Denver has a pretty good O Line and Cincy has a hard time getting pressure on the passer, if you can't pressure Manning you are in for a long afternoon. Cincy hasn't beat anyone worth mentioning in weeks, even last week sure they won 30-0 but it was mostly the D and Johnny Football that made that happen. Denver 3 points or less has some strong value. Going to be an interesting game.

Good luck with your plays man

[SmittyZ28]

Dalton 2-8 in Primetime, forgot how bad the red rocket is on the big stage, talked myself into it

Den -3 -120 2.4 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

Added TNF 1H U20 2.1 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

TNF Teaser 6.5 pts 2.5 to win 2

Jags +3.5 U46.5

[TDKJET1717]

Added TNF 1H U20 2.1 to win 2

$$$$$$$$$$

got this with 19 1/2. was sweatin

[SmittyZ28]

$$$$$$$$$$

got this with 19 1/2. was sweatin

Another sweep Bro. TNF 2-0 +4 units

[SmittyZ28]

ytd 117-79-2 +62.24

[SmittyZ28]

Added Chi/Det 1H U21.5 2.1 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

Ravens -5.5 2.1 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

Added 3.1 to win 2.5

2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 4, 4½, 5 CBB 4, 4½, 5 PTS

[111] DET LIONS -2-110 (B+6½)
[113] ATL FALCONS +13-110 (B+6½) FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 4, 4½, 5 CBB 4, 4½, 5 PTS
[111] DET LIONS -2-110 (B+6½)
[113] ATL FALCONS +13-110 (B+6½)

[2daBank]

thu night 1st half under been hitting quite a bit again

love lions teased, havnt looked much at the card yet for a partner. hell i like them to win by dd. think anyone expecting clausen to come in and be better than cutler is sadly mistaken. didnt really feel like players were behind the move either. lions d should have a freaking field day..


any thoughts on todays games? think im rolling with skins+8, actually think they have shot at the W. never been on board as a philly believer, if rg3 plays like he did when he came in last week skins will put up plenty of points. seems like the team played hard when 3 came in last week which i dont think was the case earlier when he got handed the job back after mccoy just beat dal. have a feeling 3 and gruden reconcile these last few weeks as they both realize like it or not their futures are dependent on the other.. forget all that tho, at end of day it still a div rivalry at home catching more than a td which always appealing to me..

[SmittyZ28]

thu night 1st half under been hitting quite a bit again

love lions teased, havnt looked much at the card yet for a partner. hell i like them to win by dd. think anyone expecting clausen to come in and be better than cutler is sadly mistaken. didnt really feel like players were behind the move either. lions d should have a freaking field day..


any thoughts on todays games? think im rolling with skins+8, actually think they have shot at the W. never been on board as a philly believer, if rg3 plays like he did when he came in last week skins will put up plenty of points. seems like the team played hard when 3 came in last week which i dont think was the case earlier when he got handed the job back after mccoy just beat dal. have a feeling 3 and gruden reconcile these last few weeks as they both realize like it or not their futures are dependent on the other.. forget all that tho, at end of day it still a div rivalry at home catching more than a td which always appealing to me..

Yea man you clued me to that bet like two years ago and I have been paying attention to it and capping it ever since, actually been killing a ton of 1H under bets. How you been brotha?

I agree on the Lions, I think they roll here Clausen has talent but what a terrible team to try and make a league comeback against Detroit is going to wreck that team.

Today, I just don't know about these games man. Leaning SD+1, will prob through a unit on it for some action, was thinking about SD+7 O34, or SD +7/PH -1. Phi/Wash over looks appealing but Wash has scored 40 points in the last 3 games and 27 of them were against Indy with all of the Indy turnovers. Line on Philly has dropped to -7 and they are such a better team than Washington. In the long run I know I won't make money against 7+ home dogs bug I am so down on this Washington team. I think we see RGIII perform better, but not enough against that chip kelly offense, washing giving up almost 27 points per game. Probably a small play on SD+1 and Phi -7

Tough call

[SmittyZ28]

12/20

SD +1.5 2.2 to win 2

Eagles -7 2.35 to win 2

Eagles TT 028 2.2 to win 2

Good Luck People

[SmittyZ28]

Also a CFB play I booked, not going to include in my NFL record

Utah -2.5 1.5 to win 1.3

[TDKJET1717]

line em up!

[2daBank]

told ya skins would upset these bums. cant believe you faded me! lol... get'em 2marro buddy...

[SmittyZ28]

Sunday Added

Chiefs +3 2.1 to win 2
NO/Atl O 55 2.2 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

told ya skins would upset these bums. cant believe you faded me! lol... get'em 2marro buddy...

Hahaha, F the skins. Parkey screwed by TT with two missed under 40, what a bum. SD saved me from a real bruiser yesterday

[SmittyZ28]

3.3 to win 2.5

2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 4, 4½, 5 CBB 4, 4½, 5 PTS
[109] GB PACKERS -5-110 (B+6½)
[115] NE PATRIOTS -3-110 (B+6½)

[2daBank]

Hahaha, F the skins. Parkey screwed by TT with two missed under 40, what a bum. SD saved me from a real bruiser yesterday

i used that pussy in fanduel leagues. he been great all year cause philly garbage asses always settle for fgs. cant believe he missed 2! prick..

[SmittyZ28]

Miami/Minny O42 2.1 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

6 Pt tease 2.2 to win 2

Stl -1/2
Buff -1/2

2.1 to win 2 Stl/NYG O43

[SmittyZ28]

Buff/Oak 1H U21 2.2 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

2 units each

Az+9

Under 37

[SmittyZ28]

Rough weekend. Denver -3 was booked early in the week. Also 2.2 to win 2 on the O47, weather looks good until 11pm going to be 45

[SmittyZ28]

Den TT 024.5 2.2 to win 2

[SmittyZ28]

2H Den-6 2.1 to win 2. Broncos will finally open it up and stop trying to run the damn ball with 6 O linemen

[Zubi]

good luck

[SmittyZ28]

Week 16: I am glad the regular season is almost over. Just have not been able to hit more than 52% on Sunday afternoon games, and I have crushed Primetime games all year, close to 70%. Can't lay off the Sunday action though, haha. Usually come out of the playoffs strong, good luck everyone

Week 16
TNF 1H U20 2.1 to win 2 WIN
TNF Teaser 6.5 pts 2.5 to win 2 WIN
Jags +3.5 U46.5
Den -3 -120 2.4 to win 2\ WIN
Chi/Det 1H U21.5 2.1 to win 2 WIN
Ravens -5.5 2.1 to win 2 LOSS

3.1 to win 2.5
2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 4, 4½, 5 CBB 4, 4½, 5 PTS WIN
[111] DET LIONS -2-110 (B+6½)
[113] ATL FALCONS +13-110 (B+6½) FB 6, 6½, 7
SD +1.5 2.2 to win 2 WIN
Eagles -7 2.35 to win 2 LOSS
Eagles TT 028 2.2 to win 2 LOSS
Chiefs +3 2.1 to win 2 LOSS
NO/Atl O 55 2.2 to win 2 LOSS
3.3 to win 2.5
2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 4, 4½, 5 CBB 4, 4½, 5 PTS
[109] GB PACKERS -5-110 (B+6½)
[115] NE PATRIOTS -3-110 (B+6½) LOSS
Miami/Minny O42 2.1 to win 2 WIN
6 Pt tease 2.2 to win 2 LOSS
Stl -1/2
Buff -1/2
2Buff/Oak 1H U21 2.2 to win LOSS
2.1 to win 2 Stl/NYG O43 WIN
Az+9 2.1 to win 2 LOSS

Under 37 2.1 to win 2 LOSS
Den TT 024.5 2.2 to win 2 WIN
Den -6 2H 2.2 to win 2 LOSS
Den/Cincy O48 2.2 to win 2 WIN

Week 16 9-12 -6.45

YTD Thread 126-91-2 +55.79 Units

Hope everyone had a great holiday

[SmittyZ28]

Week 17 Booked

2.2 tow in 2 STL+13

2.2 to win 2 Atlanta -3

Leans

Atl/Car O47.5
GB-7
Oak+14
Chi/Minny O44

[SmittyZ28]

Added 12/28

NYG/PHI O52 2.2 to win 2
PHI +3 2.4 to win 2
MIN/CHI O45 2.2 to win 2
BUFF +5.5 2.2 to win 2

1H Totals

Piit/Cinci U24 2.2 to win 2
1H Under 23.5 Tenn/Indy 2 to win 2
1H Under 24 Atl/Carolina 2.2 to win 2

[2daBank]

atl seems like the best play on the board and it not even close.. no idea why you would back philly but think im sticking wih the dirty birds and nothing else.. gl buddy..