Smitty's 2014 NFL Thread
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SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#106Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#107SNF
Last leg of teaser GB +8.5
GB TT026 1.9 to win 1.75
O 54.5 2.2 to win 2.1
GL People!Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#108MNF
O48 2.2 to win 2Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#109Week 8 and MNF
3-6 -6.4 Units rough week, lot of close loses which are even more frustrating! Great looking lines this week for a bounce back
YTD 50-34 +18.48 UnitsComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#110Week 9 NFL locked in:
Pats +3 +110 3 to win 3.3- Already wrote this game up in a ton of threads. Pats coaching staff have already prepared for this game ahead of this week, Gronk is 100% and we have seen the difference that makes in this offense, no one can stop this guy when healthy. LaFell looks great down the middle and the Pats offense has exploded scoring 113 points in the last 3 weeks and thats with Edleman production way down, which I think will change this week. Also, if Pats drop this game to Broncos they will not catch them the rest of the season, Pats chance at home field is 100% at stake in this game, Broncos schedule is pretty easy the rest of the season.
Can't wait to watch the game and I am by no means saying the Pats will walk away with this. But Brady at home +points, home field advantage at stake and Brady 10-4 against Manning all time, 2-1 in the playoffs, yes please!
Indy-3 2.2 to win 2.
Anyone paying any attention to this thread knows I am firmly on the Colts train right now, anything 3 or less is an autobet right now. Do not overvalue the loss to Pitt last week, Indy had numerous injuries and even with getting screwed by the zebras almost crawled back in that game. This team and QB do not quit and the offense can put up points as fast or faster than anyone in the league. I think we see the Colts come back with a statement game here. Decent run by the Giants before dropping 2 to the Eagles and Cowboys, but who did they beat Texans, skins, and Falcons?? Legit contender coming off a loss with one of the best QBs in the league? Take that over a bye week all day long.
6.5 Tease
SD+8 KC-3 2.5 to win 2 Should be self explanatory here. KC vs the Jets, easy money there and again a MUCH better AFC team off a loss against a HUGE overachieving Dolphins team. Dolphins always give fans a little hope each year before collapsing into the team they are.
More to come Good Luck PeopleComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#111TNF
Carolina +3 2 to win 2
Lean on the 1h Under and U49.5 or a 6pt +9 U55.5 no bet yetComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#1127pt 5 Team. Not usually big on the 5 teamers, but the lines and opponents match up here very well.
2 to win 6
SD +8.5
SF -3
NE +10
KC -2.5
CIN -3.5 AJ Greene said he expects to be healthy for SundayComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#113Added 1H U24.5 1.2 to win 1.1Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#1141 Additional unit on Carolina +3 3 to win 3. Public all over Saints here and TNF has been a strong public night, I think we see a change in that tonight. I bet the 1st half under which I like, but I am also starting to like the game total OVER. I am going to hold off and live bet when I see how the game is going.
GL peopleComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#115Week 9 with additions
6pt Tease 2.5 to win 2
SD+8
KC-3
7 pt 2 to win 6
SD +8.5
SF -3
NE +10
KC -2.5
CIN -3.5
Straight
Patriots +3 3 to win 3.3
Indy -3 2.2 to win 2
Eagles -1 2.35 to win 2.2
Cards +3 2.2 to win 2.3
Skins PK 2.1 to win 2Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#116Added
NE/Den 1H U24.5 1.6 to win 1.5 It is nasty here right nowComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#117Ravens +3 1.6 to win 1.2
U47.5 1.3 to win 1.2
GL PeopleComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#118MNF:
Already booked colts as listed above, added 1 more unit on -3
Colt TT 026 1.8 to win 1.5
O50.5 2.2 to win 2Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#1192.2 to win 2 Colts +3.5 O44Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#120E. Manning O250.5 Pass YDS 1.8 to win 1.5. Do not see how the Giants run the ball here and as evident by my bets I think the Giants play from behind therefore even more likely Eli will be slinging, my book had a good line compared to others I haven see so I am taking itComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#121
Hope you fools cashed some checks, GNIGHTComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#122Week 9 with additions
6pt Tease 2.5 to win 2 LOSS
SD+8
KC-3
7 pt 2 to win 6 LOSS
SD +8.5
SF -3
NE +10
KC -2.5
CIN -3.5
Straight
Patriots +3 3 to win 3.3 WIN
Indy -3 2.2 to win 2 WIN
Eagles -1 2.35 to win 2.2 WIN
Cards +3 2.2 to win 2.3 WIN
Skins PK 2.1 to win 2 LOSS
1H U24.5 1.2 to win 1.1 LOSS
Ravens +3 1.6 to win 1.2 LOSS
U47.5 1.3 to win 1.2 LOSS
MNF:
Manning O250.5 1.8 to win 1.5 WIN
Colts-3 3.3 to win 3 WIN
Colts +3.5 O44 2.2 to win 2 WIN
Colts TT 026 1.8 to win 1.5 WIN
O50.5 2.2 to win 2 WIN
YTD 59-40 +27.58 UnitsComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#123TNF 6pt teaser
Cincy -1/2 O38 3 to win 2.5Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#124Added Cincy -6.5 1.7 to win 1.5
1H Under 23 1.55 to win 1.5
GL peopleComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#125YTD 60-42 +24.38
Week 10 Card Playing a ton of favorites this week...
Teaser 2 to win 3
260] BAL RAVENS -3-110 (B+6½)
[268] ARI CARDINALS -½-115 (B+6½)
[272] GB PACKERS -½-115 (B+6½)
Straight
KC -1.5 4.2 to win 4 My biggest bet of the week. Orton is the most sacked QB on passing plays in the league, Chiefs one of the best defensive fronts in the league. Watkins has not practiced all week, might go Sunday but how effective? F. Jackson is also questionable. This line scares me, I had this figured at -3.5 but I do not see an angle where Buff can win this game.
Detroit -3 +105 2.5 to win 2.65 Best D in the league, Tannehill has been great but they have not played a good defense since week 2 vs the chiefs and they scored 15 points. Admittedly I have a hard time giving any credit to this team but the Lions have the edge in Defense, QB/offense and home field advantage and they are coming off a Bye.
Atlanta -2.5 2.7 to win 2.5 Tampa Bay sucks, I do not care they got embarrassed last time these teams played and are coming home, they got embarassed because they suck. Atlanta has twice the talent this TB team has and they are off a Bye. ATL is certainly one of the worst road teams, probably even the worst, but TB is the worst team in the league. For a line under 3, I have to bet the better, rather more talented, team off a bye.
Steelers -3.5 2.76 to win 2.6 The Jets are the worst pass defense in the league, by a lot. 24 TDs given up in the air, to give you an idea how bad that is Houston and Washington are tied for 2nd worse with 18! The jets are giving up 33% more passing TDs than the next worse team. Worst pass D against the hottest QB/Receivers in the league right now. All day.
GB/Chi O53.5 2.76 to win 2.6 Also going to bet the GB team total when the line comes out, Aaron Rodgers full bye week rest and practice against a Bears D that over the last couple of weeks have been as bad as the Jets. On the other side of the ball, although I think GB wins this comfortably. Forte is going to have a big game and the bears will get their points
GB-7 2.9 to win 2.7- Same reasons as above
Den 1H -7 1.8 to win 1.6
Leans
Pitt TT Over
GB TT Over
Det/Mia Under
Carolina +7
SF +6
NYG +9 hoping this gets pounded to 10 but its been back and forth seen it as low as 8
Big card this week, GL peopleComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#1266 Pt teasers 2 to win 1.7
Seattle -3.5/Chiefs +7.5
Detroit +3/ Denver -5.5Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#127ML Parlay
Denver+Baltimore+GB 2 to win 1.55
Miami Det 1H U21.5 1.6 to win 1.5
KC/Buff 1H U21 1.8 to win 1.5
Good luck peopleComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#128NYG +9.5 1.7 to win 1.5Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#129YTD 60-42 +24.38
Week 10 Card Playing a ton of favorites this week...
Teaser 2 to win 3 WIN
260] BAL RAVENS -3-110 (B+6½)
[268] ARI CARDINALS -½-115 (B+6½)
[272] GB PACKERS -½-115 (B+6½)
Straight
KC -1.5 4.2 to win 4 WIN
NYG +9.5 1.7 to win 1.5 LOSS
Detroit -3 +105 2.5 to win 2.65 WIN
Atlanta -2.5 2.7 to win 2.5 WIN
Steelers -3.5 2.76 to win 2.6 LOSS
GB/Chi O53.5 2.76 to win 2.6 WIN
GB-7 2.9 to win 2.7 WIN
1st half
Den 1H -7 1.8 to win 1.6 WIN
Miami Det 1H U21.5 1.6 to win 1.5 WIN
KC/Buff 1H U21 1.8 to win 1.5 WIN
6 Pt teasers 2 to win 1.7
Seattle -3.5/Chiefs +7.5 WIN
Detroit +3/ Denver -5.5 WIN
ML Parlay
Denver+Baltimore+GB 2 to win 1.55 WIN
Week 10 12-2 +22.85 Units
YTD 72-44 +47.27 UnitsComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#130Small play tonight. Carolina playing for 1st place against a QB that time after time turns the ball over in crucial spots. However, I look at 3 things. Eagles D is middle of the road but so much better than Carolina. Carolina is in the bottom 3 or 4 against the run, I think Chip puts more of the game in McCoys hands with Sanchez under center, Carolina has given up 11 rushing TDs so far this year. Looking everywhere but the QB spot, which is pretty close, Eagles are insanely more talented at every skill position.
I think both teams score and there will be turnovers hopefully some of which happen to set up the teams deep in their opponents territory.
1.5 to win 1.4
Eagles -1 O42
GLComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#131Small play tonight. Carolina playing for 1st place against a QB that time after time turns the ball over in crucial spots. However, I look at 3 things. Eagles D is middle of the road but so much better than Carolina. Carolina is in the bottom 3 or 4 against the run, I think Chip puts more of the game in McCoys hands with Sanchez under center, Carolina has given up 11 rushing TDs so far this year. Looking everywhere but the QB spot, which is pretty close, Eagles are insanely more talented at every skill position.
I think both teams score and there will be turnovers hopefully some of which happen to set up the teams deep in their opponents territory.
1.5 to win 1.4
Eagles -1 O42 WIN
GL
YTD 73-44 +48.67 UnitsComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#132TNF
6Pt teaser
Buffalo +10 O35
1.8 to win 1.5
Really wanted the 1st U of 21, line dropped to 20.5 which I do not like. Hope it jumps up
Good luck peopleComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#133Week 11
NE +3 4.2 to win 3.8 Wrote this game up all over the forum
ML +130 1.5 to win 2
7 Pt Teaser 1.85 to win 2.5
Denver -2
SD -3
NE +10Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#134Miami/Buffalo 1H Under 20.5 1.1 to win 1Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#135TNF 1-1 -.8 UnitsComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#136Week 11 Added
GB-6 2.5 to win 2.3
6Pt Tease 3 to win 2.5
Seattle +8.5
NO-1
Leans:
GB/PH O55
GB TT Over
Arizona -1.5
Saints TT OComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#137Added
GB TT 029 2.2 to win 2
NO TT O28 2.5 to win 2
Chi/Minn 046.5 2.2 to win 2Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#138Denver -6 1Half 2 to win 2 This has been hitting the past 3 or 4 weeks in a row. Betting the trend
Good luck everyoneComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#139Got these in just able to post now ticket below for accuracy
Nov 16 11:57 AM
by: INTERNET91940194
NFL
Nov 16 04:25 PM
STRAIGHT BET
[20015] TOTAL o29½-115
(PACKERS TOTAL POINTS vrs PACKERS TOTAL POINTS)
115/100
Nov 16 03:38 PM
by: INTERNET92017100
NFL
Nov 16 04:05 PM
STRAIGHT BET
[20043] TOTAL o27½-125
(CHARGERS TOTAL POINTS vrs CHARGERS TOTAL POINTS)
125/100
Nov 16 03:49 PM
by: INTERNET92021720
NFL
Nov 16 04:25 PM
STRAIGHT BET
[455] TOTAL o54½-110
(PHI EAGLES vrs GB PACKERS)
110/100Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#140Pats TT 027 3.4 to win 3
Pats 1H ML +125 1 to win 1.25Comment
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