Fade the public

[WWCD]

Gb -8
cin -5

[WWCD]

you are a beast man

Thanks for noticing. Just on a hot streak right now.

[Venom OG]

Gb -8
cin -5

You're seeing GB -8 is fading the public? I'm seeing the opposite.

[WWCD]

You did not read the thread.

[Venom OG]

True. Lol. My bad. Bol this weekend.

[WWCD]

Considering Minn +3

[WWCD]

Scratch Minn.

Taking a stab at college:
Gamecocks +6.5

[OMGChoGath]

makes me love my carolina play even more being on the other side of the public.

[WWCD]

makes me love my carolina play even more being on the other side of the public.

That's a tough for me. I put them on a parlay though.

[joeygats]

makes me love my carolina play even more being on the other side of the public.

your on sc?

[WWCD]

Gamecocks looking good so far.

[WWCD]

My plays just in this thread:
Sides 7-1
Totals 1-0
Parlay 0-1

2 tickets still in play:
GB -8
CIN -5

If you want to dig up my posts, you will see there were 3 more sides and 1 more Total that I hit. However for record keeping I am only counting the plays I mentioned in this thread.

I am on a roll right now. Hope I can keep the streak going.

[TheeArchBishop]

Forgive the ignorance, but are you FADING or SIDING with GB and Cincy?

[WWCD]

Siding with public in GB game. (74% on GB)

Wouldn't exactly call it fading anymore on CIN as now I show only 57% on ATL.

70% or more on public is considered "Public Heavy" for my purposes.

I do side with the public on games if I feel like I have a good read on the game. However I do look at all the games that are public heavy first when I start analyzing the week. To me looking at it early helps me understand which way the books want you to bet.

The books aren't always right, but definitely more often than not.

[WWCD]

To clarify, CIN is favored however public was on the dog until yesterday. I think sharps went in on CIN thus the line movement to -5.5

Just a hunch.

[TheeArchBishop]

Thanks man. I am following you. BOL

[joeygats]

wow killing it. to bad i went broke on UGA after i read u were on sc i knew i was screwed.. oh well 2 weeks in -600 nothing new

im also 1-7 in the prick contest lol.

[WWCD]

8-1

one live bet left. Let's go GB!

[joeygats]

GB looking bad

[joeygats]

8-1

one live bet left. Let's go GB!

if i dont mind asking how are you 8-1?

[WWCD]

Total side bets in this thread since Week 1.

[joeygats]

8-1

one live bet left. Let's go GB!

if i dont mind asking how are you 8-1?
what are you for week 2? i counted 4-0 but about to lose GB actually you prob lost gb so lets say. 4-1 am i correct?
can you make it clear what games you are actually betting on when you post the statistics, ty

[WWCD]

Bro if you can't read the thread and count the winners I don't know what to tell you.

I don't care if you tail fade or ignore. I just want to have a record of my plays. It's all there if you would take the time to read.

[joeygats]

Week 2 (Tues)

PITT@BAL 73% on BAL
DET@CAR 77% on DET
ARI@NYG 83% on ARI
NE@MIN 80% on NE
NO@CLE 87% on NO
ATL@CIN 72% on ATL
SEA@SD 91% on SEA
NYJ@GB 79% on GB
KC@DEN 81% on DEN
HOU@OAK 78% on HOU

My early leans:
PITT@BAL - Under 44.5 - I don't remember the last time they have hit 45 points or more.
ATL@CIN - CIN - They both have offense. Who has defense? CIN perfect at home. Public all over ATL. How often does a public dog hit?
NYJ@GB - When Jets lose, they lose big. Last year out of their 8 losses, only 1 game was below 8 points. Do they lose big here or win? I am with the public on this one.

PHI@IND - Not exactly "Public Heavy" though most are on IND (66%). Colts could not get a pass rush on Manning the statue, how are they going to apply pressure here? Now they go against in many ways a faster, more complex offense to prepare for. Indy defense may be back peddling the entire game. Over/Under is 53 so I assume lots of scoring. Both offenses can come right of nowhere and score points in a short amount of time. I'm going take the 3 here since I think the final score may end up within that range.

ok so you didnt bet all the games just posted the % for us.. got it thats where i was confused

[WWCD]

There were some big swings this week as far as where the numbers ended up being at by kickoff. I think it's pretty important to watch the percentages everyday if you are going to utilize the information in your capping.

Updated with closing percentages and results:
PITT@BAL 60% on PITT - Public LOSE -Public was on BAL, and totally swung to PITT late.
DET@CAR 62% on DET - Public LOSE
ARI@NYG 56% on ARI - Public WIN - For whatever reason, a lot of money went in on NYG Saturday/Sunday.
NE@MIN 82% on NE - Public WIN
NO@CLE 78% on NO - Public LOSE
ATL@CIN 53% on ATL - Public LOSE - Money came in late on ATL here too.
SEA@SD 72% on SEA - Public LOSE
NYJ@GB 78% on GB - Public LOSE or PUSH depending on line.
KC@DEN 81% on DEN - Public LOSE
HOU@OAK 78% on HOU - Public WIN
CHI@SF 73% on SF - PENDING

So between Week 1 and 2 so far:
Public WINS = 6
Public LOSSES = 12 possibly 13 if Bears pull it out.

At THIS point of the season, Public is losing about 70% of the time.

I know not everyone cares or believes in using this kind of information, but for me... my winning percentages really jumped once I started making these numbers part of the equation when choosing games.

Good luck out there guys.

[2daBank]

best guess on the nyg money coming in was due to palmer being out..

[WWCD]

best guess on the nyg money coming in was due to palmer being out..

Ah you're right. Slipped my mind.

[TheWolfofVegas]

There were some big swings this week as far as where the numbers ended up being at by kickoff. I think it's pretty important to watch the percentages everyday if you are going to utilize the information in your capping.

Updated with closing percentages and results:
PITT@BAL 60% on PITT - Public LOSE -Public was on BAL, and totally swung to PITT late.
DET@CAR 62% on DET - Public LOSE
ARI@NYG 56% on ARI - Public WIN - For whatever reason, a lot of money went in on NYG Saturday/Sunday.
NE@MIN 82% on NE - Public WIN
NO@CLE 78% on NO - Public LOSE
ATL@CIN 53% on ATL - Public LOSE - Money came in late on ATL here too.
SEA@SD 72% on SEA - Public LOSE
NYJ@GB 78% on GB - Public LOSE or PUSH depending on line.
KC@DEN 81% on DEN - Public LOSE
HOU@OAK 78% on HOU - Public WIN
CHI@SF 73% on SF - PENDING

So between Week 1 and 2 so far:
Public WINS = 6
Public LOSSES = 12 possibly 13 if Bears pull it out.

At THIS point of the season, Public is losing about 70% of the time.

I know not everyone cares or believes in using this kind of information, but for me... my winning percentages really jumped once I started making these numbers part of the equation when choosing games.

Good luck out there guys.

Where do you get these numbers and percentages from? What site?

Thanks.

[WWCD]

I use the app SportsInsights. There are a few web links out there also.

It pulls percentages and line movements from several books. Even shows the time the lines moved. Totals movements as well.

[O]

Very interesting man. Good work. Where are you getting your percentages for where the public is siding?

Continued success......

[GSoro]

There were some big swings this week as far as where the numbers ended up being at by kickoff. I think it's pretty important to watch the percentages everyday if you are going to utilize the information in your capping.

Updated with closing percentages and results:
PITT@BAL 60% on PITT - Public LOSE -Public was on BAL, and totally swung to PITT late.
DET@CAR 62% on DET - Public LOSE
ARI@NYG 56% on ARI - Public WIN - For whatever reason, a lot of money went in on NYG Saturday/Sunday.
NE@MIN 82% on NE - Public WIN
NO@CLE 78% on NO - Public LOSE
ATL@CIN 53% on ATL - Public LOSE - Money came in late on ATL here too.
SEA@SD 72% on SEA - Public LOSE
NYJ@GB 78% on GB - Public LOSE or PUSH depending on line.
KC@DEN 81% on DEN - Public LOSE
HOU@OAK 78% on HOU - Public WIN
CHI@SF 73% on SF - PENDING

So between Week 1 and 2 so far:
Public WINS = 6
Public LOSSES = 12 possibly 13 if Bears pull it out.

At THIS point of the season, Public is losing about 70% of the time.

I know not everyone cares or believes in using this kind of information, but for me... my winning percentages really jumped once I started making these numbers part of the equation when choosing games.

Good luck out there guys.

Welp, and there u have it folks. Nice post

[Celtics08]

What % with Colts today, 80?

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

High 60s. 67/68

[WWCD]

Moved DOWN to 64%

Sharps or chasers on Eagles?

[joeygats]

crazy that your killing it like this... keep it up!