I will be making picks for the playoffs. I usually like to stay on a small amount of games and up my bet. I'm not a high roller so I may lay down a couple hundred here or there for decent returns. Feel free to follow and leave feedback, but I do warn. I am not here to act as if I know what will happen, I do my research heavily and I know the sport pretty well. For week #17 I went a very nice 7/7 on a 7 game parlay, which isn't normal for me at all. I usually only bet 3 or maybe 4 games if Im lucky.
The Games I will be playing this week:
NO @ PHI
Early preview, legitimate potential shooting with two of the best offenses in the league on the same field. Sometimes two great offenses seem to counter each other and both lay an egg when playing each other, but I don't think thats what happens here. One of the biggest drawbacks so far is NO clear road-woes, they are a totally different team on the road. And the Eagles however haven't played well at home for whatever reason. Both defenses have their moments when they lay down and play dead & rise to the occasion. Without seeing a line, I would intuitively lean towards the over, assuming it be about 54.5.
GB @ SF
Will really be surprised if this is a PK, it would make me seriously consider pounding the 49ers as I did in week 17 vs Arizona. Rodgers may be back, but will still be receiving treatment on his collarbone up until the game, and vs a defense like SFo that could spell disaster. Not to mention his inaccuracy vs Chicago in week 17, which probably is attributed to the time he spent with the injury. But this is one of the leagues best and most ferocious defenses, and Rodgers will have to be sharp from go. SFo on offense easily has every advantage possible, Gore in the playoffs is money and the Packers run defense is pretty bad. Also Kaep, seems to be getting into a groove, which is why early I'd probably be leaning SF. Especially in a PK & Over 46.5
KC @ IND
Indy spanked the chiefs by multiple scores last time they met up, and they meet again. More of the same? Or Revenge?. If week 17 was any indicator, either Reid is a super coach or this team is deep and talented. I'd meet somewhere in the middle of the two previous statements, and expect Indy to do what Indy does which is look like world beaters the past two weeks then lay an egg in the playoffs. Andrew Luck is quietly having one of the best seasons of anyone not named Peyton Manning and Donald Brown and dare I say Trent Richardson are starting to hit stride. But in comes KC who has a knack for keeping things close with that stingy d and very un-stingy offense. I'd expect Charles to be fully rested from what would be 2 weeks off and for Indy to get a full dose of him. Even in week 17 vs Indy, the Jags had success through the air with Chade Henne. I'd expect KC to have much success on offense and to sick Houston & Hali on Luck. Its the playoffs lean the better DEFENSE + BETTER RUN GAME. I'm leaning KC on the road, expecting about a Indy -2.5 line. I'd jump all over that and the under which could be 43.5.
Official picks come around mid week, with final picks 9am sunday sat morning.
The Games I will be playing this week:
NO @ PHI
Early preview, legitimate potential shooting with two of the best offenses in the league on the same field. Sometimes two great offenses seem to counter each other and both lay an egg when playing each other, but I don't think thats what happens here. One of the biggest drawbacks so far is NO clear road-woes, they are a totally different team on the road. And the Eagles however haven't played well at home for whatever reason. Both defenses have their moments when they lay down and play dead & rise to the occasion. Without seeing a line, I would intuitively lean towards the over, assuming it be about 54.5.
GB @ SF
Will really be surprised if this is a PK, it would make me seriously consider pounding the 49ers as I did in week 17 vs Arizona. Rodgers may be back, but will still be receiving treatment on his collarbone up until the game, and vs a defense like SFo that could spell disaster. Not to mention his inaccuracy vs Chicago in week 17, which probably is attributed to the time he spent with the injury. But this is one of the leagues best and most ferocious defenses, and Rodgers will have to be sharp from go. SFo on offense easily has every advantage possible, Gore in the playoffs is money and the Packers run defense is pretty bad. Also Kaep, seems to be getting into a groove, which is why early I'd probably be leaning SF. Especially in a PK & Over 46.5
KC @ IND
Indy spanked the chiefs by multiple scores last time they met up, and they meet again. More of the same? Or Revenge?. If week 17 was any indicator, either Reid is a super coach or this team is deep and talented. I'd meet somewhere in the middle of the two previous statements, and expect Indy to do what Indy does which is look like world beaters the past two weeks then lay an egg in the playoffs. Andrew Luck is quietly having one of the best seasons of anyone not named Peyton Manning and Donald Brown and dare I say Trent Richardson are starting to hit stride. But in comes KC who has a knack for keeping things close with that stingy d and very un-stingy offense. I'd expect Charles to be fully rested from what would be 2 weeks off and for Indy to get a full dose of him. Even in week 17 vs Indy, the Jags had success through the air with Chade Henne. I'd expect KC to have much success on offense and to sick Houston & Hali on Luck. Its the playoffs lean the better DEFENSE + BETTER RUN GAME. I'm leaning KC on the road, expecting about a Indy -2.5 line. I'd jump all over that and the under which could be 43.5.
Official picks come around mid week, with final picks 9am sunday sat morning.