bank in my thread I went into the wrong thread I like cinny -3 in college sorry . whats happening nice hit last week in pro on the Detroit over and the DENVER over
Bankers throwing darts at the NFL all season (again)...
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dilaudid8SBR MVP
- 10-19-10
- 1866
#981Comment -
dilaudid8SBR MVP
- 10-19-10
- 1866
#982bank yeah that Detroit game I never seen anything like that. that was my biggest burn that score should have been Detroit 40-7 40 -9 Detroit 631 yards dallas 262 are you kidding me whoever had DALLAS should thank god for his help. but thats gambling what can you do you can have the right team and still loseComment -
Big BearSBR Aristocracy
- 11-01-11
- 43253
#983bank yeah that Detroit game I never seen anything like that. that was my biggest burn that score should have been Detroit 40-7 40 -9 Detroit 631 yards dallas 262 are you kidding me whoever had DALLAS should thank god for his help. but thats gambling what can you do you can have the right team and still loseComment -
Cross44SBR High Roller
- 10-29-12
- 102
#984Bank,
It's been a good year for both of us in the NFL. Let's see if we can keep it rolling...
BTW, Houston does in fact have a retractable dome. I know this because my friends sister dates a big shot down there and during a baseball game (I think) she told her date she was cold and he made a call and had the dome closed.
My Leans for Week 9...
Miami (+3) over CIN
I watched the entire Dolphins v. Patriots game last weekend (having a -1 Pats teased) and the Pats should've lost that game. There were 3-4 HUGE penalties that went against the Dolphins and each one of them was iffy at best. The Miami D has been underrated all year, and they just got Cameron Wake back. Llamar Miller is feeling his oats of late. But really, this is a kind of degenerate bet against Andy Dalton. I just don't see him sustaining the level of play he had the past three games... I know you hate sides on a Thursday Night, but it feels like there's a lot of value with the Dolphins, especially if this line somehow climbs to 3.5.
Indy (-1) over Houston Texans
I understand the Texans are coming off a bye, their D is still pretty good, and Case Keenum looked good in his first start... but this is a team that's lost their last 3 home games including a blowout to the Rams... both their RB's are hurt... They're playing against a great road team with a future Hall-of-Fame QB... Additionally, the Colts have a legit shot at the 1-2 seed as the Patriots & Broncos are trending downwards, and KC is only 8-0 because of their schedule...
Chargers (PK) over Redskin
Obviously Vegas is expecting a shoot out here with the 50.5 Over, but I'm not sold this Washington offense can match the Chargers offensive firepower, especially since the Chargers D have been trending upwards and RG3's knees are giving him issues again. Chargers are coming off a bye week and are in the hunt for the 6th seed, and River has been lights out all year minus that one Oakland game that started way past his bedtime.
TEASE Greenbay, Panthers & Dallas (10 points)
What can I say? The obvious tease that everyone will be making but I can't see any reason not to make it myself? I mean maybe Dallas blows it, but as bad as Dallas has looked, the Vikings have looked worse.Comment -
faceSBR Posting Legend
- 01-31-11
- 14740
#985bank i want to pound the fukkin raidersComment -
killersweetSBR MVP
- 12-02-08
- 1483
#986well, starting to look at the games for this week. Seems like Buff could be a good teaser team. What do you think? KC has played some close games and I think Bills at home can keep this close and may beat KC this weekend. Only thing is, Charles might go buck wild on Buff defense. Another team I like is the Titans for this week. Their defense is underrated and they will give Clemens trouble.Comment -
YOUNGBUCKSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-16-10
- 6510
#988NVMComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#989well, starting to look at the games for this week. Seems like Buff could be a good teaser team. What do you think? KC has played some close games and I think Bills at home can keep this close and may beat KC this weekend. Only thing is, Charles might go buck wild on Buff defense. Another team I like is the Titans for this week. Their defense is underrated and they will give Clemens trouble.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#990i liked them better last week, hell even then i only teased them (they may have found their way into a ml parlay or 2 , lol)..not that i have any expectation of philly going to oak and playing well as much as it just really hard to wrap my head around oak as favs and popular ones at that..i gotta look at this gm a lot more but my initial lean was oak too, just gonna be a hard one for me to pull the trigger on as im certainly not confident enough in them to pound anything. maybe a small play but i dunno, ill get back to ya...Comment -
faceSBR Posting Legend
- 01-31-11
- 14740
#991thanks man
reasons i like them are just simple and not too deep, not really an expert
coaching- raiders
eagles secondary - trash
raiders at home, i think pryor is a play maker, he will run to the edge if he can't throw
anyway that's my only lean so farComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#992Bank,
It's been a good year for both of us in the NFL. Let's see if we can keep it rolling...
BTW, Houston does in fact have a retractable dome. I know this because my friends sister dates a big shot down there and during a baseball game (I think) she told her date she was cold and he made a call and had the dome closed.
My Leans for Week 9...
Miami (+3) over CIN
I watched the entire Dolphins v. Patriots game last weekend (having a -1 Pats teased) and the Pats should've lost that game. There were 3-4 HUGE penalties that went against the Dolphins and each one of them was iffy at best. The Miami D has been underrated all year, and they just got Cameron Wake back. Llamar Miller is feeling his oats of late. But really, this is a kind of degenerate bet against Andy Dalton. I just don't see him sustaining the level of play he had the past three games... I know you hate sides on a Thursday Night, but it feels like there's a lot of value with the Dolphins, especially if this line somehow climbs to 3.5.
Indy (-1) over Houston Texans
I understand the Texans are coming off a bye, their D is still pretty good, and Case Keenum looked good in his first start... but this is a team that's lost their last 3 home games including a blowout to the Rams... both their RB's are hurt... They're playing against a great road team with a future Hall-of-Fame QB... Additionally, the Colts have a legit shot at the 1-2 seed as the Patriots & Broncos are trending downwards, and KC is only 8-0 because of their schedule...
Chargers (PK) over Redskin
Obviously Vegas is expecting a shoot out here with the 50.5 Over, but I'm not sold this Washington offense can match the Chargers offensive firepower, especially since the Chargers D have been trending upwards and RG3's knees are giving him issues again. Chargers are coming off a bye week and are in the hunt for the 6th seed, and River has been lights out all year minus that one Oakland game that started way past his bedtime.
TEASE Greenbay, Panthers & Dallas (10 points)
What can I say? The obvious tease that everyone will be making but I can't see any reason not to make it myself? I mean maybe Dallas blows it, but as bad as Dallas has looked, the Vikings have looked worse.
i agree with fish and certainly agree that their pass defense is good enough to bring cincy ginger qb a little dose of reality, especially on a short week. my biggest problem with playing them is that i think even tho cincy has been successful passing of late Lewis is the type of coach that wont let them abandon the run gm and bungals will pile up the rushing yards if they are committed to it which i believe they will be..Millar been little better and really while he hasnt done enough i guess to warrant more touches he hasnt been bad with the ones he has gotten, just hasnt gotten enough to prove a whole lot. coming from a guy that has took thomas in a few fantasy drafts his 1st couple years (obviously not this yr) only to be greatly disappointed ive thought he has ran much stronger than ive ever seen him the last few weeks as well..mia run gm has def looked better but i got temper that a little cause it was against the bills and a pats team that getting tuned up for 150 a gm since the rash of injuries up the middle hit, this cincy front 7 way more stout than either of those units and mia just hasnt shown the commitment to sticking with the run enough when it isnt going well imo.. this a tough gm overall, i kinda like mia but i know they prob gonna be outgained, even tho funny enough when they were winning the were out gained in all those gms and have actually out gained last 2 opponents while losing. basically betting tannehill w/o who has been his most productive wr of late against a tough d as i think it be on his shoulders late to win, i do think it will be a close 1 possession gm just think bit of a coin flip which way it goes. .
ironically enough a week after saying i was axing the thu night 1st half under autobet, i really like the under in this gm. i guess the fact both these teams in the top 5 in red zone efficiency may be a little concerning but not sure we see a whole lot of red zone opportunities in this gm as i think a lot of this gm is gonna be being played between the 20s, also both have strong enough d's where a little red zone regression from both i think is to be expected here.. i think there be a lot of running, at least from the cincy side, and id think phins at least attempt to run early on and their d should keep them in it to not abandon it.. i made this in the 37-41 point range, 43 kinda pushing it with these low totals as i think 43/44 is the high side of this one, as in 24-20/23-20 but i lean more toward a 20-17/21-20/23-17 type of score. been debating best way to go about this one? kinda like teasing fish and under as i dont think this gm sniffs 49 and pretty sure win or not phins can stay within a td, also under straight either 1st half or gm..
there no way i can play indy this week. whether i can make a play on hou has a lot to do w the status of the rbs which is still unclear...i dont think the loss of wayne can be overstated here, he has been luck's security blanket and main man since he been in the league. it been mentioned repeatedly how much i dislike Pep hamilton as OC of this team (maybe foolishly as they are after all winning gms), i think the way to beat hou defense is to spread them out a little and let it fly and while indy has the ability to do that good old pep rather pound they ball into the line for 2 yards a carry on 1st and 2nd down, that all well and good when you had wayne to make plays and move the sticks but he not there now and do we really think stone hands DHB is gonna consistently make those plays? i can pretty much bet he drops half of them! i know your retort on this will be TY and i luv that kid and think he been being severely underused with this OC and while i do think with wayne gone he is gonna start to shine, just not sure he ready to be thrust into role of a guy that can make all those huge 3rd down plays that extend drives and keep this wanna be power run gm moving.. other side i think putting keenum in and now leaving him in may be best move kubiak's dumb ass ever made, ive heard nothing but good things about this kid and i thought he played very solid being thrust into a tough spot at arrowhead, now with a bye and more 1st team reps at home id expect him to be even better, dont think indy corners can bump up on hopkins and johnson the way they bullied den wrs and dared peyton to beat them deep as keenum showed me he can do just that in kc making some nice throws for hopkins to go up and get.. we gonna find out a lot bout indy's corners who played great vs den this week who are in the bottom 10 in yards per completion against.. think we would agree that indy can def be run on, so again it huge to me whether foster or tate (hopefully both) can go and i have not much a clue at this point, then again think hou prob has another guy they could put in behind that scheme and push indy around a little..this no doubt hou or nothing to me, maybe a hou tease but the only thing im certain on right or wrong there no way ill be on indy...
i gave up on knocking superchargers several weeks ago, i like their offense and it certainly better than i thought it would be. however i do not buy their defensive uptick and think that skins can and will run successfully on them which will open up the pass, whether rg3 can actually anticipate a throw and connect is a whole different story, lol.. i cant argue with this one as i wouldnt touch skins but i think i like the over better than a side, only concern is i could see both teams with a good number of rushing attempts but think it gonna take 30 to win this gm so i lean there more than a side...
i never do 10 point teasers but i agree all those teams win so i dont see anything wrong with it..it pretty much a certainty that panthers are gonna be in my 6 point 2 teamer, we all know i like this team and def not jumping off a bandwagon i been on all year now that they rolling, i think there a good chance they put a beating on the not so dirty birds but obviously like them teased under a fg better than laying a full td..
not sure i end up playing any of the gms you have here but looks like the only one there even a chance id be against is indy/hou.. thanks for the post and gl this week..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#993i promise after i fully cap this gm i wont be coming in here with a play on philly, just not sure if ill be on oak, i picked them in my yearly ats pool i play in but not sure im willing to lay money on this one.. i like pryor, wonder if the fact philly d deals with a running qb in practice maybe better enables them to be prepared for him tho? i dunno the answer to that honestly, doubt it hurts.. i was pretty clear on how nuts i thought the ppl that were acting like Foles was a upgrade over vick last time he got hurt, not much has changed since then, not like much time has went by as vick been hurt ever since but think it clear he a better fit and simply a much better qb than Foles will ever be imo.. bigger problem for me is oak offense is a hard unit to trust and while philly has been getting exposed i do think Foles can move the ball, bigger issue with him in is it limits the explosive plays and gives shady much less room to roam. under might be worth a look in this gm but i seriously havnt did any work on this gm as it doesnt hold a ton of appeal for me..Comment -
dilaudid8SBR MVP
- 10-19-10
- 1866
#994bank nice reading bol i'm betting the under in cinny under 43 I think this game goes way underComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#995i tend to agree my friend. anything less than 44 always scares me these days but i think under is the best play in this gm. wavering between just riding it straight up or teasing fish and under to give me that cushion..think this a great spot for cincy to get their run gm back on track as they gonna need it down the stretch and mia a good team to get it going the right direction against as their pass d much better than rushing defense..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#996i wonder if anyone can talk me off of balty? if you think you can please do cause it certainly not the type of play i generally like to make but fuk me if i dont like them laying less than a fg when they off a bye against the brownies. i get that every qb is better than weeden, hell ive took cle plenty but cmon now, balty off a bye i have enough faith in harbaugh as a coach to get this teams offense acting right, as in rushing the ball with authority. run blocking been horrid, rice and pierce been bad even when blocking been ok, but bottom line is there not a lot of reason for this, this team should be able to run, should be throwing it to rice out of the backfield, and should control this gm while putting campbell on his ass a bunch.. like i said please talk me off it cause i feel pretty lame wanting to make this play but i think it the right side here..Comment -
SlimpickensSBR MVP
- 10-28-12
- 2030
#997i wonder if anyone can talk me off of balty? if you think you can please do cause it certainly not the type of play i generally like to make but fuk me if i dont like them laying less than a fg when they off a bye against the brownies. i get that every qb is better than weeden, hell ive took cle plenty but cmon now, balty off a bye i have enough faith in harbaugh as a coach to get this teams offense acting right, as in rushing the ball with authority. run blocking been horrid, rice and pierce been bad even when blocking been ok, but bottom line is there not a lot of reason for this, this team should be able to run, should be throwing it to rice out of the backfield, and should control this gm while putting campbell on his ass a bunch.. like i said please talk me off it cause i feel pretty lame wanting to make this play but i think it the right side here..Comment -
dilaudid8SBR MVP
- 10-19-10
- 1866
#999yeah dallas did nothing and still almost won the gameComment -
dilaudid8SBR MVP
- 10-19-10
- 1866
#1000bank like I said nice reading you really put a lot of time into writing and posting. ty for the great info and your picks nice jobComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1001The Ravens as a road favorite is enough for me to not even consider them as a play. Cleveland's defense is just as good if not better than the Ravens. The 1st game they played in week 2 the Browns took a 6-0 lead into the half and really played an even game against the Ravens in there stadium. I think the Browns have really improved offensively since that game and remember they didnt have Josh Gordon in the 1st clash. IMO the wrong team is favored. This game will primarily be played under the lights as its a late kickoff which should make the atmosphere more electric. I also just think the Ravens stink. The Browns have lost 11 in a row to these guys. Think there hungry? Just my take on this game.Comment -
SlimpickensSBR MVP
- 10-28-12
- 2030
#1002Yea, I circled this game after the week 2 match. Id be suprised if the Browns dont come to play big time here. Not that they have any real post season aspirations but for now this is the biggest game of the year. The fact that they have lost 11 in a row to these guys which remember were the old Cleveland Browns is a real factor to me. I think they will be able to put up some points. Cleveland actually outgained the Chiefs last week despite having the rock for a total of under 24 minutes, they really need to improve there 3rd down efficiency though. I think the Browns play there best game of the year and if that isnt enough then I will tip my cap to Balty.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1003Yea, I circled this game after the week 2 match. Id be suprised if the Browns dont come to play big time here. Not that they have any real post season aspirations but for now this is the biggest game of the year. The fact that they have lost 11 in a row to these guys which remember were the old Cleveland Browns is a real factor to me. I think they will be able to put up some points. Cleveland actually outgained the Chiefs last week despite having the rock for a total of under 24 minutes, they really need to improve there 3rd down efficiency though. I think the Browns play there best game of the year and if that isnt enough then I will tip my cap to Balty.Comment -
TwizSBR Sharp
- 10-22-13
- 442
#1004Always thought Campbell was at least decent. He's confident off performing well against a tougher D last week (only took 1 sack I think too). Think Balty might have trouble getting to him and cleveland won't have trouble getting to flacco. I'm thinking this a typical AFC North clash score for score except Cleveland gets a TD where Balt gets a FG. Maybe even 27-23...seems high but these teams won't be able to run here. Prolly try early maybe 1st half under. I don't know I think line is pretty spot on if Balt wasn't off two losses before that bye I think cleveland is an easy play.
I don't play teasers but they look real good with this game.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1005Always thought Campbell was at least decent. He's confident off performing well against a tougher D last week (only took 1 sack I think too). Think Balty might have trouble getting to him and cleveland won't have trouble getting to flacco. I'm thinking this a typical AFC North clash score for score except Cleveland gets a TD where Balt gets a FG. Maybe even 27-23...seems high but these teams won't be able to run here. Prolly try early maybe 1st half under. I don't know I think line is pretty spot on if Balt wasn't off two losses before that bye I think cleveland is an easy play.
I don't play teasers but they look real good with this game.Comment -
imarkpSBR High Roller
- 10-05-12
- 233
#1006I'm a sucker for teasers. bet more of them than I should. as far as 10pts dal,gb,car why not gb, dal, and sd+10 (afc west 20-5 against rest of league nfc east 5-14) or kc u +10pts more. there's value in teasing low total games and expect buf to play kc tight this week. not that I think car. can lose to atl. (like car. in 2 team tease) just have an aversion to crossing 0 in teasers. all that being said still like chances with 3 teams you mentioned. you've been killing teasers lately so just a thought.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1007I'm a sucker for teasers. bet more of them than I should. as far as 10pts dal,gb,car why not gb, dal, and sd+10 (afc west 20-5 against rest of league nfc east 5-14) or kc u +10pts more. there's value in teasing low total games and expect buf to play kc tight this week. not that I think car. can lose to atl. (like car. in 2 team tease) just have an aversion to crossing 0 in teasers. all that being said still like chances with 3 teams you mentioned. you've been killing teasers lately so just a thought.Comment -
imarkpSBR High Roller
- 10-05-12
- 233
#1008shoulda known better. that would have been totally out of character. was surprised that you hit 6 teamer. not surprised you hit, just that you bet it. well maybe he'll see it and think twice about crossing 0. don't want to talk him out of winning bet but need to adhere to certain principles. done pretty well with 10 pointers here and there but generally don't recommend them as well.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1009shoulda known better. that would have been totally out of character. was surprised that you hit 6 teamer. not surprised you hit, just that you bet it. well maybe he'll see it and think twice about crossing 0. don't want to talk him out of winning bet but need to adhere to certain principles. done pretty well with 10 pointers here and there but generally don't recommend them as well.
yea i generally play 1 like that a week (6-8 teams kinda just depending on what numbers i like), i dont post them often cause seriously i dont encourage playing them cause like i said it takes some simple dumb luck to hit them no matter how solid the capping is. only reason i posted it cause i had that 1 i liked few weeks back and it hit so when i mentioned that i put oak in the 1 i played this week somebody asked me to post it..i know they not exactly high percentage plays, although my 6 team 6 point teases i posted are 2-0 (maybe 2-1 forget if i posted more than 2?), at 6 to 1 that aint bad, lol.. still lucky and of coarse there been a few i havnt posted and missed..
far as 10 pointers there something about adding that 3rd team that is worse for me than the extra 4 points plus dont like the extra juice on them, i think they juiced more arnt they? i know at 5d i can get my 6 point 2 teamers for ev money but often i gotta play them at bol at -110 cause 5d teaser protects a lot more. dont like paying more than -110 tho and again the 4 extra points i never feel like i need with the teams i play as you know the type gms i look for..Comment -
Tommy KarateSBR Posting Legend
- 10-12-13
- 13445
#1010great thread banker....will read up and join in.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1011thu night week 9
ok it well documented ive squashed the auto bet but low and behold after i decide that of coarse as fate would have it i happen to like this under...been discussed plenty i think, i made the number 38-41 range, not thrilled with anything under 44 in the nfl these days so gonna go about it all like this..
2 team 6 point teaser (1x)
fish +9
under 49
1st half un 21.5 -105 (1x). not sure that i like the 1st half better than gm under here but if i lose this i figure ill get better number on 2nd half and re-pop it..so i guess mini chase if you will..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1013promised the nephews id take them out for this Halloween bs, so hopefully i can get it over with and back inside by time gm starts,, fukin walking around in the rain with bunch of kids yay! anyways will actually try and crank out most my official card 2marro.. appreciate everyone that has contributed to discussion this week as always, feel free to continue to add on anything we have talked bout or any other gm as im far from done with my card.
think i mentioned already but if i get the sense foster or tate gonna go i really like hou. i know that be unpopular so feel free to make indy's case so i can come back and try to pick it apart
speaking of unpopular, dont think ive talked much about this gm in here but good chance im gonna be on jets as well, def wont be on aints, hoping i can get a +7 and will talk plenty about gm later but i do like jets and will see if i can avoid saints burning me 2 weeks in a row.. if you want a clue as to why it pretty much same theme with sainst, very good pass d but i believe they can be run on and jets should pound the rock 50+ times in this gm, of coarse that means the d has to limit brees and co early on to allow this but i think they can and 15+ mph winds should help them accomplish that..
i know ive somehow turned into more of a over bettor than under these last couple years (which i would have never believed) but i see a ton of unders on this card, maybe a few overs as well. not all the way done with my numbers but should have time to finish 2marro and get them posted..
gl everyone..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1014thu night week 9
ok it well documented ive squashed the auto bet but low and behold after i decide that of coarse as fate would have it i happen to like this under...been discussed plenty i think, i made the number 38-41 range, not thrilled with anything under 44 in the nfl these days so gonna go about it all like this..
2 team 6 point teaser (1x)
fish +9
under 49
1st half un 21.5 -105 (1x). not sure that i like the 1st half better than gm under here but if i lose this i figure ill get better number on 2nd half and re-pop it..so i guess mini chase if you will..Comment -
jocoSBR MVP
- 04-24-11
- 3242
#1015Love that teaser although I'm already gonna play phins +3.5 and under 43.5Comment
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