Bankers throwing darts at the NFL all season (again)...

[2daBank]

He's been practicing a good bit now, and his injury won't be hampering him from what I hear, it's just the worry of reinjury. Don't discount his value to picking this game.

Yeah, good luck telling re: kelly earlier than saturday and even then with belicheat on the injury reports. think talib playing though from what i hear.

And i think you may find if you look back if you have the data on bets against pats and other teams @ the top of their game, you'll find you're no better than 50% for sure, unless you called it amazingly.

i understand he been practicing but that doesnt exactly simulate gm conditions, especially these days where they barely allowed to hit... not saying he wont be good (if he actually cleared), do think his snaps be somewhat limited but still have impact on gm..

yea bellicheat and his "injury report" a freakin joke, kelly is a huge deal in this gm imo so have to wait cause he more important to my decision than gronk really... assuming talib will play but he was really gimpy last week so not sure what kind of impact he will have, of coarse jets run gm the key to this gm as they have to be able to get geno nice easy defined routes off play action..

pats not exactly at the top of their gm, this yr i believe im 2-1 against and 2-0 on them,,have to look to make sure but think that right..over years ive had pretty decent success against teams on top, generally even when im wrong like sea against hou (thanx to bs late gm pick 6) they still came back and paid me with a loss the next week.. everyone loses, or at least doesnt cover spreads sometimes. i get the mindset of not going against those teams but it just part of my nature as i go in capping the gm looking for reasons to be against the team everyone high on. dont always find enough but often do..

[2daBank]

not sure if i will be around later guys..ya know the auto-bet by now, it has lost 2 in a row so hoping it gets back on track this week..if ya dont know it thu night 1st half under.. always for 1.5x, havnt made it yet as think if anything we can get plus money on 20.5, maybe a 21? i dunno but waiting for a while, if it hits 21 i will hit under then. if it ev or + on 20.5 and think that best it gets ill be there...will try and post it from my phone when i bet it but no promises..

[pulledclear]

Bank they are giving one back to the squares today, setting them up for their Sunday fist fck........

Seattle BY A MILE. Thank me later.

[2daBank]

Bank they are giving one back to the squares today, setting them up for their Sunday fist fck........

Seattle BY A MILE. Thank me later.

i very rarely play sides on this gm bro.. id lean the points but i dont trust palmer vs this d..

[ghetto1]

So u goin with miami(fl) and Arizona tonight bank?

[pulledclear]

Seattle. BOOOOOOOOOOM.

[Madison]

Input on NYJ/DAL ML parlay 100/465. Thx.

Talib not expected to play for NE. History says he doesn't play if not 98% or so.

[pulledclear]

Parlays =

[pulledclear]

[Madison]

Parlays =

Well you may be correct with NFL but I've done very well with MLB.

[pulledclear]

Bank for your consideration

Tex Tech -5

TCU +260

SYR +260

WAS +140

Utah +160

COLO OVER 51.5

GL

[amrit]

banker i know you love NFL teasers...I'm liking 2 this week- Miami/Cincy and GB/Houston.

[buurrdman]

Hey Bank and company saw this tweet by Gil about Thursday night over/unders thought it was pretty interesting

*Thursday Night Football* since 2011, Divisional matchups have gone 14-4 UNDER / Non-Divisional matchups have gone 10-2 OVER

[2daBank]

Hey Bank and company saw this tweet by Gil about Thursday night over/unders thought it was pretty interesting

*Thursday Night Football* since 2011, Divisional matchups have gone 14-4 UNDER / Non-Divisional matchups have gone 10-2 OVER

huh, didnt realize that.. they have certainly took a turn for the worse as of late losing 3 in a row which i dont think happened all last season that i can recall..if these 2 playing thu cant stay under nobody can, hopefully they get back in the black this week..

[2daBank]

sorry about not posting a official card last week, lots of things going on around the household so had to handle stuff and never really had the time to put into the card.. havnt even looked at this weeks more than just skimming it, obviously will be playing the thu night under then hopefully fri (Sat at the latest) i will have time to go thru it and post some thoughts.. now im off to the bar to watch the Cards get 1 gm closer to the championship!!

[2daBank]

B4 i go,,gotta say that skins/den gm total is another bronco gm i just dont think they can make the total high enough..havnt capped it yet but id guess i would put it a td higher w/o getting into the numbers.

[SmittyZ28]

[killersweet]

sorry about not posting a official card last week, lots of things going on around the household so had to handle stuff and never really had the time to put into the card.. havnt even looked at this weeks more than just skimming it, obviously will be playing the thu night under then hopefully fri (Sat at the latest) i will have time to go thru it and post some thoughts.. now im off to the bar to watch the Cards get 1 gm closer to the championship!!

Wondering what happened to ya. Glad to see you back. Looking forward to hearing your thoughts on the games this weekend.

[2daBank]

Wondering what happened to ya. Glad to see you back. Looking forward to hearing your thoughts on the games this weekend.

just got really busy with work and the wifey demanding things, lol.. all good.. took day off to morn cards gm1 performance so gonna start working on card now and see if we can put some winners together

[2daBank]

going to gym and have bunch of errands to run.. just waiting on the number for 1st half under, 20 is fine to me and 5d has it at +105 which really tempting but im relatively sure that it will never drop below 20 so waiting to see if maybe we can get the hook.. after the recent bad run the autobet been on i actually capped this bitch even tho i never really do and i made the total slightly under the 40.5 it sits at as i have 23-16 type range here, 2 top 5 red zone defenses and just good defenses overall, no time now but ill be back sometime this afternoon..think im not only playing the 1st half under but even tho i hate this gm really considering a panthers and under teaser as well. plus ill be on cards with as much plus money as i can get! anyway back in a while and will post whatever i end up actually doing..feel free to discuss this gm while im gone as id like to hear others thoughts but i just dont see panthers losing (ya'll know im prob too high on them and have been all yr) and far as total if it hits 41 and i can get 47 with 6 point tease while not huge fan of teasing totals these low numbers the ones i will at times just to give a little cushion from a kick return or pick 6 or whatever bs type play that could get it over the posted number..

back in a bit..

[dilaudid8]

bank bol my brother mint gov mint

[killersweet]

Hard to get a read on Tbay. The QB has been decent. But Doug Martin is a big loss for them. I don't trust Carolina as they have screwed me quite a few times this year. In terms of the teams, I thought Tbay had a very good defense. But their defense hasn't been that impressive lately. They only have like couple of sacks in the last 3 games. Struggling Matt Ryan had a field day with them last week. Also not sure how good their backup running back is. I am just gonna take the 1st half under. Also may tease the game total under. If you put a gun to my head, I'll take the panthers.

[Mako-SBR]

The whole TNF Under "auto-bet" 1H under was either never real (fluke, sample size too small), or more likely, has been adjusted to by the books already (artificially lowered 1H lines for Thursdays versus if game was on a Sunday after 2011 and 2012 seasons).

As of today it sits at exactly 33-28 W/L for the previous 61 games.

Here it is in all it's glory, unfortunately it's not a bet to look forward to for making up units in a losing week and should be treated as just something to entertain us while we watch these awful awful eye-gouging TNF matchups:

	2004-05	0-0	0%	0
	2005-06	0-1	0%	-$100
	2006-07	5-1	63.5%	+$381
	2007-08	3-3	-2.5%	-$15
	2008-09	0-6	0%	-$600
	2009-10	3-2	15.4%	+$77
	2010-11	5-3	17.9%	+$143
	2011-12	5-3	17.9%	+$143
	2012-13	9-5	23.5%	+$329
	2013-14	3-4	-15.3%	-$107

[2daBank]

The whole TNF Under "auto-bet" 1H under was either never real (fluke, sample size too small), or more likely, has been adjusted to by the books already (artificially lowered 1H lines for Thursdays versus if game was on a Sunday after 2011 and 2012 seasons).

As of today it sits at exactly 33-28 W/L for the previous 61 games.

Here it is in all it's glory, unfortunately it's not a bet to look forward to for making up units in a losing week and should be treated as just something to entertain us while we watch these awful awful eye-gouging TNF matchups:

	2004-05	0-0	0%	0
	2005-06	0-1	0%	-$100
	2006-07	5-1	63.5%	+$381
	2007-08	3-3	-2.5%	-$15
	2008-09	0-6	0%	-$600
	2009-10	3-2	15.4%	+$77
	2010-11	5-3	17.9%	+$143
	2011-12	5-3	17.9%	+$143
	2012-13	9-5	23.5%	+$329
	2013-14	3-4	-15.3%	-$107

thanx for the post..there are a certain few things to also consider, 1st i only started this last season, second i do not bet it in week one as the premise has a lot to do with short rest so 3-3 this year and id assume it went over 1st week last year as well, and also the turkey day gms i do not play them as i think those have a different feel and there also several of them...all ive ever said is i think playing them all as how ive stated that at the end of yr you should be in the black on them, nothing more nothing less.. again appreciate the post and i agree that the numbers have certainly caught up somewhat..

[Capybara]

Mako, that is quality shit right there. Keep posting!

I'm still undecided on tonight. My head is certainly liking Carolina, but I just don't know how much TB is going to step up vs. cave. On offense, yeah, they look overmatched. Big question is their defense. There are players on there. Do they give a shit or don't they? Because if they do (and if they'd stop playing that stupid soft zone that neutralizes their talent), then maybe this becomes a fist-fight and either team could win an 18-15 type game.

[Mako-SBR]

thanx for the post..there are a certain few things to also consider, 1st i only started this last season, second i do not bet it in week one as the premise has a lot to do with short rest so 3-3 this year and id assume it went over 1st week last year as well, and also the turkey day gms i do not play them as i think those have a different feel and there also several of them...all ive ever said is i think playing them all as how ive stated that at the end of yr you should be in the black on them, nothing more nothing less.. again appreciate the post and i agree that the numbers have certainly caught up somewhat..

Agree, I had to block out the Thanksgiving games to get the right figures isolating TNF only. And I actually have tailed a lot of your sharp picks previously Bank, so this isn't a post for you as you're sharp, but more for the countless forum beginner sheep I'm now seeing posting in other threads outside this one about their "auto bet" tonight and how it's suddenly a given winner.

Uh, no. Not even close.

It does however serve a great "keep me awake during these horrendously bad TNF games" function however, and that's worth any price!

[2daBank]

Hard to get a read on Tbay. The QB has been decent. But Doug Martin is a big loss for them. I don't trust Carolina as they have screwed me quite a few times this year. In terms of the teams, I thought Tbay had a very good defense. But their defense hasn't been that impressive lately. They only have like couple of sacks in the last 3 games. Struggling Matt Ryan had a field day with them last week. Also not sure how good their backup running back is. I am just gonna take the 1st half under. Also may tease the game total under. If you put a gun to my head, I'll take the panthers.

you know me im high on panthers, have been all year, burnt me early but has been paying off sticking with them of late.. im a sucker for a team with this kind of front 7 and honestly i think bucs a sinking ship with a lame should be dead duck coach as he has long ago lost half this locker room. far as bucs rb my fantasy team rbs are all on damn bye this week and im stuck in a spot where i might have to use James and i promise he isnt gonna do much for me (may go bolden instead), he is slow, decent hands, kinda a banger,, ive heard him compared to the law firm and i think that fair cept james has better hands. thing is doug martin wasnt doing shit in this offense and james certainly a downgrade from him. throw in the fact that tampa barely averages 2 red zone trips a gm and doesnt even cash in half of them facing panthers #3 ranked red zone d i just dont see a lot of points for the bucs..i guess panthers secondary still a weakness and they do allow a high completion percentage but they are also tops in the league in yards per catch so even if vincent jackson gets going i dont think he beats them over the top and again will force tb to score from inside the 20..clearly i think bucs d can slow panthers inconsistent offense and bucs ranked right behind panthers in red zone d but think Scam can make enough plays to win this gm, actually think they cover but no real interest laying this many points in what i think is rather low scoring gm....

[Mako-SBR]

you know me im high on panthers, have been all year, burnt me early but has been paying off sticking with them of late.. im a sucker for a team with this kind of front 7 and honestly i think bucs a sinking ship with a lame should be dead duck coach as he has long ago lost half this locker room.

A good defense+ sCam against a coach who according to a new anonymous report today from ESPN is a "laughing stock" to his own players, a total joke, who suffers from "little man's napolean disease" according to multiple players off the record to the reporter.

Seems like an easy one tonight.

[2daBank]

Agree, I had to block out the Thanksgiving games to get the right figures isolating TNF only. And I actually have tailed a lot of your sharp picks previously Bank, so this isn't a post for you as you're sharp, but more for the countless forum beginner sheep I'm now seeing posting in other threads outside this one about their "auto bet" tonight and how it's suddenly a given winner.

Uh, no. Not even close.

It does however serve a great "keep me awake during these horrendously bad TNF games" function however, and that's worth any price!

lol, right on..yea ive noticed that this thing has started to pick up a ton of steam lately in forum world, guess maybe i should have kept to myself cause it been on a downhill slide worse than the year and a half i been playing it. almost positive this the biggest slide it has went on since i started posting them last season..again appreciate the post and agree to a extent that the good times may be over,, if these 2 cant get under in this gm then i dunno if anyone can cause id be interested in this under if it was on sunday... hopefully the cats that have decided to start playing these arnt going nuts with them as i try and preach to keep the bet the same every week and play it like something that should be ahead at the end but ya know how degens can be, that somehow gets misconstrued into some kind of "lock" or something around this joint, lol..

[2daBank]

Mako, that is quality shit right there. Keep posting!

I'm still undecided on tonight. My head is certainly liking Carolina, but I just don't know how much TB is going to step up vs. cave. On offense, yeah, they look overmatched. Big question is their defense. There are players on there. Do they give a shit or don't they? Because if they do (and if they'd stop playing that stupid soft zone that neutralizes their talent), then maybe this becomes a fist-fight and either team could win an 18-15 type game.

i def think 20 is bout all it takes to win.. not sure if bucs can get more than 13-17 point range tho..

[2daBank]

should have took the +105 i guess..

thu night shitfest auto bet (not a lock! lol)

car/tb 1st half un 20 -105.. (1.5x same as always)..

[Smutbucket]

on it banker.....feel good bout it this week

3-4 this season? hows that possible when theres only be 6 qualifying weeks? something tells me your late to the party and not meeting all the requiremeents .... "was never real" wtf you talking about bitch it is real. how many of the losses were bad beats that could have easily been wins but had some bs go down at last minute or penalties (like in buf, that cost the under) the whole 'theory" is real and has proven so IF YOU WATCH THE FUKING GAMES. the whole theory is underprepared/tired offenses that don't show up early and that's exactly what has been happening Thursday nights.....so shove those numbers back up your asshole cuz theyre useless and if you been a part of the thread since the beginning you would know simple shit like week 1 doesn't qualify....not to mention I highly question what numbers your using for the 1st half totals each week...

not to even mention your screwed ****** up numbers that count many losses that shouldn't be still turns a profit....ha

[2daBank]

chill smut my man,, he wasnt trying to be negative at all, i appreciated the post for real...but yea 3-3 on year seeing how we dont play week 1 but still 3 losses in a row and the man is right the numbers have been slanted against us lately on these..he was just contributing bro, wasnt attacking..

[2daBank]

gonna go ahead and add a rare play for thu night..

2 team 6 point parlay....1x


panthers-.5
under 46

talked about gm already, wish i could get the total to 47 as it a nice number but honestly dont think it goes over the original number so im good with this..

bout to get some food and work on finding spot to watch the cards gm...gl everyone.

[killersweet]

I think Carolina wins tonight, cuz Cam has been playing well and not making the mistakes he was making earlier in the season. Also they are running the ball a lot. Tbay has made some other qb's look real good this season. Foles, Ryan all had great games. So cam is probably gonna have a good game as well. I like your 2 team teaser. good luck banker!