thanks for your input. yea i'm worried about the under as well for 1st half but think forte will be fed a bit in the first half until cutler gets bored
-
Comment -
feel for braves fans, that team a bunch of choking dogs down the stretch every season (i do thank them for cards last WS tho! lol, sorry)Mr. Bank,
Congrats on your Cards! My poor Braves chocked in the home stretch
.
Had a few games this week I was looking at. Would love your initial thoughts on...
Oakland (+9.5) vs Kansas City
I'm thinking of buying the hook and getting Oakland at -10 for -125. Pryor has played very well since the Denver game. I've been on Kansas City for the past two weeks, and their offense is sluggish as hell. Alex Smith doesn't put up points and they love to keep the ball on the ground with Charles. The backup Bill's QB had a ton of rushing yards scrambling from the pocket, and I doubt he's the runner Pryor is. 9.5 or 10 points seems a lot to give for this Chiefs team. My only fear is the KS D completely shuts out Oakland.
Two Team 6 Point Teaser for
Bengals -1 over Bills
Houston -2.5 over Rams
I don't know who the Bills are starting at QB, but Pat White or who ever else is going to get eaten by this Cinnci D. Houston seems like more of a stretch since the fans are literally burning their QB's Jersey and showing up at his house, but Sam Bradford is possibly the worst QB no one is talking about. Putting up a fight against the Falcons doesn't seem to mean much anymore, and I think the Houston D shuts them down at home.
Chargers +1.5 vs Indy
I've been on this thread talking up the Chargers for a few weeks now. I was on the OVER last week, since I don't trust the Chargers as more than 3 point favorites vs anyone, and it was frustrating to watch that sloppy game. However this week looks like a good spot for them. They're coming off an embarrassing loss to Oakland vs an Indy team that has looked way better (I hope) then they actually are. I also feel like after the emotional win last week vs SEA, Indy is prime for a slow game. Something silly like 94% of the public is on Indy at the moment, and I think there might be value in the ML if the line keeps pressing up towards 2.5. I doubt it gets to 3 but who knows.
no doubt raiders or nothing in that gm, i think it be a very close gm.. i wouldnt bother paying the juice for the half point honestly as i think anything over a td is gravy..im actually considering putting oak in a pleaser taking them down to +3.5, havnt finished all the way with this gm but certainly has the feel of a 20-17 type gm..
my teasers usually go dog/fav but i agree those are two really good favs, no way in hell lambs beat hou. hopefully kubiak is smart enough not to let schlaub on my knob throw a pass cause he doesnt need to, foster and tate will shred lambs non tackling asses..thadius lewis staring for bills, dude was on practice squad last week, now he playing one of the best defenses in fb.. i have serious distrust of cincy on the road and hopefully it isnt windy cause i dont like noodle arm dalto period but in windy conditions i def dont, damn team superbowl quality if im playing fukkin qb but no it a ginger pussy..still really hard to envision a practice squad lifer beating this d..think you have a winner there..
ive prob been on the opposite end talking chargers down, lol... that said the spot is decent and i think rivers can put up points on indy, just not sure luck wont put up more? over might be where it at except it really high..havnt capped this one yet so i couldnt tell ya,,never really hate the idea of taking a unpopular home doggy on monday night but just dont trust rivers and i do trust luck so that will be a tough one for me..might actually set up well to tease chargers and over but again this just off top of my head as i havnt even looked at this gm yet..Comment -
Definitely gonna have bengals in my NFL teaser, seems super square/too easy but fukk it, gottagive in once in awhile lol. Ravens or Houston could be the other game, more than likely ravens getting +9 at home though. Just too much going on in Houston, dont care if it garbage Bradford on the road.Comment -
Also, to add on to the earlier discussion about stats, I feel a key one when evaluating defences is 3rd down conversion %. Can't get off the field on 3rd downs, well good luck to ya as a defence.
In regards to buffalo game, nfl network says 70 with chance of rain, not sure about wind however.Comment -
id lay the td with hou if i could get kubiak to promise me they wouldnt throw a pass, lol..def looking for foster props, tate props, anyone running the ball props..
balty a fine teaser option and certainly on my short list. brownies also viable..i actually already did a stupid 7 teamer this week just cause there so many teaser numbers out there..i dont even wanna post it cause i know it wont hit again, mainly cause it all sides no totals and it all classic tease number so 1 bound to fail but ill show ya anyways..
Football - 204 Kansas City Chiefs -1½ for Game
Football - 208 Baltimore Ravens +8½ for Game
Football - 210 Cleveland Browns +8½ for Game
Football - 211 Carolina Panthers +8½ for Game
Football - 214 Houston Texans -1 for Game
Football - 215 Pittsburgh Steelers +8½ for Game
Football - 217 Cincinnati Bengals -1 for Game
again i know it not hitting and i played this for only 25 bucks to win 250 so less than last weeks. should have prob taken few teams out and added few totals but man i cant believe how many tease numbers are out there..might be a week they all come crashing down as they been working really well for me anyway..pretty much a given that my 2 teamer of the week will come from that list, although siants creeping into range now as well and getting more than a td with them tempting also..Comment -
Browns for sure an option, Calvin
Johnson still hasn't practiced so who knows whats going on there. I'll more than likely be on Cleveland ML so getting 8/9 range fine with me.
I've been taking up your advice on just sticking with 2 teams for nfl teasers, less is better with NFL lolComment -
nyg/chi 1st half under 24 -105 (1x)....5d just hit 24 and while i still think there a shot it goes up to 24.5 im taking some of the 24 now and might add the other normal half unit to 24.5 if it becomes available...i know it scary, i know everyone and their mothers love this over, i cant even really make a great argument against them. however i also know that i believe in the success rate of this play and will continue to make it despite the matchups until it proves to not be profitable any longer..Comment -
thanx brother, but we spoiled here in stl, expected that win now ill only be happy if we in WS
every book that hit 47.5 went to juice on the under quick so not sure if we see a 24,5 but think ill add a extra full unit if it does. never know,, id imagine as day goes on books will take lot of over money on this one..Comment -
browns ml +115.(1.5x)..grabbing this now as megatron news becomes widely spread he really hurting,, bottom line is i dont care if his gimpy ass plays or not cause brownies have one of the best shut down corners in the league and haden could limit a healthy johnson imo.. y'all know how i feel about det as favs on the road and here we go again i get plus money to fade these overrated clowns who play much much better in a dome on a fast track,, give me cle front 7 to limit bush and the run gm, give me haden taking megatron out of gm (if he even in it). then give me gorden who ya know i luv to go deep on det suspect ass corners and mcghee to chew up yardage and clock against a det team that allows 5.3 freaking ypc! enough of that and you better believe stafford will get anxious and make some mistakes...quite frankly no matter the qb i feel like im getting the better healthier team at home against a shit road team and i get plus money.. yes please...Week 6
let me start by saying i dont love this weeks card, last week was way more appealing card to me which is why i have yet to make any bets yet, it not out of laziness, it out of respect for the lines and matchups this week as i really try not to bet shit just to bet it (clearly doesnt always work out,ha)...with that in mind maybe tread a little more lightly, or not, it your money
panthers ml +122 (1x)...not sure if any team has fukked me more than these clowns so of coarse this where i start, didnt bet them last week and hit the under but man i wanted to, luckily i didnt cause Scam newton turned the ball over every time they had a chance to score..
with that out of the way this is a choice matchup for the panthers, they have one of the best front 7s in fb and are among the best run stuffing teams in the league only allowing 3.6 ypc. i do not believe that ap can beat this team on his own and sorry if im not buying cassel as the answer at qb (neither is minny clearly since they saw fit to give freemon 3 mil to finish the season)..unlike the ball hawking studs zona has in the secondary minny pass defense has been atrocious from the pass rush being among the worst in the league to a back end that gets beaten like a redheaded stepchild on a reg basis. this the kind of team that Scam will feast on, this idiot should be throwing tds all over the place. giving his superman bs pose like he isnt the qb of a losing team and just having a good ol time..maybe im a sucker and just have panthers rated too highly but fact remains i like a team with a good front 7 and theirs is really good, the offense should be better than what it is and this the kind of team id imagine they bust out on a little bit..in the end i cant get off this team and getting + money against a team i rate as one of the worst in the league ill bite, but i swear this be the last time if scam gets me again... 24-16 panthers
ya already know what im doing thu night, just waiting for these stubborn pricks to give us a 24.. hopefully it will come before kickoff as this gm certainly has enough high scoring appeal i think over money will come in..
still have plenty of leans but the numbers are all not really anything i need to grab now..will post'em as i play'em,,if there any particular gm anyone feels like discussing by all means feel free as i could use some ideas for this card..Comment -
Bank, I'm askin u this cause u seem to know what's up with some totals. But what's the deal with the totals per quarter here in Giants/Bears game? Somethin seems weird ab this bc it only adds up to 42 total but the O/U game total is 47.5
1st = 7.5
2nd = 14
3rd = 7.5
4th = 13
This mean anything to you? Seems like they thinkin it's gonna be under 47.5Comment -
BANK-man.. i am in love with the Raiders getting all those points in KC, Pryor was playing a slipshod Bolts Df sure, but he has looked mature accurate and like a leader in his past two starts, thoughts?
Oh and here's my week 6 vid if you're looking for picks and giggles.
Comment -
gotta be perfectly honest bro i never look at qrtr totals so i really have no freaking idea what that means or if it abnormal? but of coarse it prob going under, it is thu night after all and we got 2 world class fukk ups playing qb so hopefully they drive the field and turn it over in red zone all night
Comment -
Banker I played the under 23.5 (-100) yesterday thinking it would go down. But the line hasn't budged under or over, do you think it's a bad number? Since I got it at -100 I can buy it back and lose the vig only if it goes over...what do you think?Comment -
i would have played it at 23.5 if it didnt go up, was just hoping it would as i think 24 about worst case scenario...so i mean up to you but im not exactly playing un 24 hoping for a push.. this gm could go a lot of ways, if these assclowns decide to come out gunning we all in trouble, that said bears need to get back to feeding forte as they have started getting away from the run and it has put a lot of pressure on the oline which has started springing leaks in pass pro, best way to fix that is pound the rock against a team that cant stop it and rather rush the passer..other side i think caughlin leans to the conservative side and rather not have eli slinging it unless he has to which shouldnt be till second half...again this play really isnt about me capping it at all bro, it simply something that has worked more often than not the last few years as teams tend to be sloppy out the gates in this gm.... again id have played at 23.5 obviously im happier with every point i can get but i would just roll with it long as you been playing these for same amount every week..Comment -
wont budge off 23.5 for me....come on...Comment -
Riding the 1st half under again banker.....let's get this.Comment -
motha fukkin eli..that the kind of shit gonna kill this thing..Comment -
thank you bears ineptitude, shocked it was marshal and not cutler but that works out nice...Comment -
are you fukking shitting me eli...holy fukkin shit..Comment -
I can't believe this guy is playing this bad. Sitting on the over, I'll take a couple more of them
Comment -
Damn 2nd half was the 1st half we were looking for... Wanted to play 2nd half under but was annoyed.. Hit a live total but had to give half that back w live bet nyg on last drive cause Td would have killed it.
2 hits suffered in a row for 1st half thu night under after 3 straight. Hopefully it gets back on track..
Oh if anyone didn't notice Eli is fukkin terrible and I don't wanna hear about how he a winner if the word was isn't in front of it!Comment -
I still like your 1h under theory on Thurs night games...we got Seattle @ Arizona next week to get back on itComment -
it been solid last few years, hopefully it not dying, certainly not quitting it over a few losses but it took lot further into the season to suffer 2 last year i believe..didnt make any damn sense nyg coming out and throwing like that so peytons retarded brother could get picked 2 times, would have thought caughlin would have came in hammering jacobs.. oh well not lot can do bout it now..Comment -
bank what do you think of the saints this week? some elementary handicapping of mine has them as narrow favorites but then you have home field advantage and brady has got to be madder than hell after losing last weekComment
