Hi Bankie. I'm leaning on U49 -110 or Broncos tt O31.5
What do you think bro?
What do you think bro?
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week 4
nyj+4.5.. once again backing the jets as for some reason defense and a rushing attack are undervalued imo....think jets will be able to pound the rock vs a team that giving up 4.4ypc which will open up geno to hit a few deep passes, cant believe it but really like the formula of this team right now, they should have blown the bills out if it wasnt for bunch of dumb ass penalties..this line stinks of ten being over valued after winning the overrated bowl, like i been saying think they both ten/sd being thought of to highly before last weeks gm and now titans are laying more than a fg because they won that gm? im still not a buyer, titans ypc is horrible yet they run a ton cause there no real trust in locker or his avg weapons, jets will keep the rushing yards down and then make locker beat a pass defense that is holding teams to a less than 50% completion percentage.. bottom line to me is unless geno plays absolutely terrible (as in turnovers leading to tds) there just no way i dont see a team that will dominate on the ground at the least keeps this gm close if not win...
hou ml +130...almost will certainly be my dog teaser team for the week as well and that team has had the honor of winning each week thus far.. when i played balty last week i mentioned that it be nice if hou looked bad in that gm cause then all the dickriders would jump ship to the seemingly invincible seachickens and sure nuff it worked out well. look is sea better than hou? probably. does that mean anything for this week? not likely. sea missing their all world tackle and going into a noisy ass stadium against a great pass rushing team, not a good combo. as dominate as sea has looked lets remember that was at home, they looked ordinary at best at carolina week 1 and for all intensive purposes should have lost that gm as deangalo ran well until the late gm red zone fumble, id expect hou rushing gm to have similar if not better success which opens up play action which only time schaub is above avg..to me this is a no brainer, hou will get pressure off the edge, sea wr corp doesnt strike fear into me which always what scares me when looking to back hou.. dont get me wrong you have to put sea 1 or 2 in your power rankings but to be road favs vs a solid hou team is crazy imo...
stl/sf..you should already know what im doing in this gm if ya paying attention
still plenty of stuff to come but these were the 1st ones i bet..looking forward to plenty of discussion, leans, plays, whatever this week as i have much more time than last week...Comment -
Hawks on the road make me nervous, but their defense has looked as good as Denver's Offense. Maybe not on the stat line, but that Front 4 with Avril and Bennet added in there was the missing piece and I can't bet against them. You definitely nailed the thing people are over-looking here and that's Okung being out. The matchup with Mercilus doesn't scare me, but add that to Watt lined up on the other side and all the rest of those guys on that front 7 and it's going to be a long day for a below-average Seattle O-line.
Wondering what you think of PIT this week only laying 1 maybe 1.5 right now to MIN in London this week.Comment -
pit or nothing but man their oline scares me.. i think the defense be good enough vs minny just worry bout same thing that been killing them and that big dummy turning the ball over in face of pressure..maybe going to london will help get their minds right? i dunno but i never been a fan of that london gm anyway so most likely a pass for me..
oh yea sea d is really really good, seriously think they the only unit in the nfl atm that even has a chance at slowing manning and co down. that said you pretty much hit why im taking hou and it pretty much same reason i took balty last week, cause i think hou pressure off the edge will make the difference at home..Comment -
Word. What do you make of NYG/KC? Can't argue that this is the spot to be bouncing back if the NYG got it in them. Public all over KC w/ 70% of bets and I gotta agree with them only laying 4. KC is pretty healthy other than Flowers' knee and there is nothing fluky about what they're doing. KC offense matches up really well with NYG D running outside the tackles and letting Alex Smith run the WCO against that secondary. IDK what NYG are doing on offense not running the ball, but KC front 7 should wreck their O-line based on everything we've seen this year.
I think this line is just some residuals from last couple years and that KC really is that much better than the NYG.Comment -
starting to feel like a ass for being scared of fading nyg, but what can i say im still scared..agree with everything you saying bout kc but still for some reason i cant fathom that the gmen are this bad (as funny as i find it) and even tho ive watched their oline get eaten alive i still worry about laying any kind of points with kc simply cause their style doesnt really lend itself to large margins of victory, really like kc but they almost gotta be laying less than 3 or dogs for me to bet them with caption checkdown at qb and reids conservative nature..Comment -
Bank - love your write ups. Great work dude. Have you decided your units yet for Jets & Texans? I like tailing your NFL picks and helps me to know your unit size. (Unit size - probably not best choice of words) lol!week 4
nyj+4.5.. once again backing the jets as for some reason defense and a rushing attack are undervalued imo....think jets will be able to pound the rock vs a team that giving up 4.4ypc which will open up geno to hit a few deep passes, cant believe it but really like the formula of this team right now, they should have blown the bills out if it wasnt for bunch of dumb ass penalties..this line stinks of ten being over valued after winning the overrated bowl, like i been saying think they both ten/sd being thought of to highly before last weeks gm and now titans are laying more than a fg because they won that gm? im still not a buyer, titans ypc is horrible yet they run a ton cause there no real trust in locker or his avg weapons, jets will keep the rushing yards down and then make locker beat a pass defense that is holding teams to a less than 50% completion percentage.. bottom line to me is unless geno plays absolutely terrible (as in turnovers leading to tds) there just no way i dont see a team that will dominate on the ground at the least keeps this gm close if not win...
hou ml +130...almost will certainly be my dog teaser team for the week as well and that team has had the honor of winning each week thus far.. when i played balty last week i mentioned that it be nice if hou looked bad in that gm cause then all the dickriders would jump ship to the seemingly invincible seachickens and sure nuff it worked out well. look is sea better than hou? probably. does that mean anything for this week? not likely. sea missing their all world tackle and going into a noisy ass stadium against a great pass rushing team, not a good combo. as dominate as sea has looked lets remember that was at home, they looked ordinary at best at carolina week 1 and for all intensive purposes should have lost that gm as deangalo ran well until the late gm red zone fumble, id expect hou rushing gm to have similar if not better success which opens up play action which only time schaub is above avg..to me this is a no brainer, hou will get pressure off the edge, sea wr corp doesnt strike fear into me which always what scares me when looking to back hou.. dont get me wrong you have to put sea 1 or 2 in your power rankings but to be road favs vs a solid hou team is crazy imo...
stl/sf..you should already know what im doing in this gm if ya paying attention
still plenty of stuff to come but these were the 1st ones i bet..looking forward to plenty of discussion, leans, plays, whatever this week as i have much more time than last week...
ThanksComment -
my fault..1.5x on nyj and 1x on hou atm but that mostly cause im assuming hou will also be my teaser team more so than jets being stronger really, i do really like the jets tho, just havnt bet much more than 1.5u on anything yet (im pretty conservative)..good bet would be jets are 2u as they will more than likely be in a parlay (which i never really post) and hou will not as i expect to tease them..Comment -
Haha, there is no way the Giants are as bad as they've looked. Their offense at least should get back to normal and they can win some shootouts. Diehl will be back in a week or two, still got Eli and a great top-to-bottom WR corps. Run the ball a little more to keep teams honest and quit throwing picks.
That defense on the other hand .... I don't know that there is hope for them.Comment -
On hou already...
Bank thoughts on sd moneyline and the over?Comment -
Lol, ravens -3.5 @ bills
This aint a trap then what is??Comment -
Ya BUF+3.5-110 was the last game I was on as well for 1u so far hoping it gets juiced up a bit by the public to add another .5 or 1 unit. Looked like it was about to steam down to +3 and just wanted to lock it down. Books been ballsy as hell this year taking massively lopsided action, esp last week, and absolutely crushing it so I didn't trust that 75% public action woudl scare them away.
Where you at on BAL/BUF?Comment -
passing all the way on balty/buf..if you got more than 3 w bills you prob did good but i still have to much respect for balty to take bills at that number, think lot of ppl still to low on them, maybe im to high? i dunno, which makes it pretty easy pass.. id worry about bills run d tho as pretty much everyone has gashed them..so many ppl low on balt im not even sure this line is trappish? not that i believe in "traps" ..Comment -
Yeah they been bad stopping the run and losing Carrington can't be good. I did factor that in thinking Ray Rice would at least be a little hampered coming off a Hip Flexor, and Pierce is just an average backup. Don't understand the hype around him as he was pretty middle of a the road coming out of college and I watched a lot of his games at Temple. Not fast, not physical, just a one-cut and lean forward through the hole guy with 4.5 speed.
I'm with you on BAL, I think they been under-rated all year especially after that DEN box-score, but I think this Bills team matches up well with them. BAL's offense is a problem, no two ways about it especially if Rice is out. Their passing attack has no teeth behind it without an intermediate possession guy. Boldin, Pitta, whoever. BAL can't rely on the deep ball to Torrey Smith all day because Flacco isn't accurate enough and Smith isn't physical enough to make that a high percentage throw. Especially now because you can always drop a safety on him with choke-artists like Dallas Clark and Ed Dickson batting down balls across the middle. Buffalo front 4 also been getting home a lot this year so that should shorten the time that splash plays can have to develop.
BAL's D also I think does really well against teams that run downhill between the tackles. DEN, CLE, HOU all fit that mold, but IDK about how rangy those LB's are. They all seem a little big and slow to me. I think BUF definitely has a shot in this one getting Spiller and Jackson in space, and IDK how BAL will match up against a mobile QB either. Just seems like a tough matchup for a BAL team that is better going toe-to-toe in the trenches and we're getting 3.5 at home.Comment -
good post, i agree buf style isnt exactly a good matchup for balty, almost lead my 1st post with that ej/jackson/ spiller (if spiller healthy) a tough deal for them and hou was a way better matchup style wise cause you right i think they deal with downhill teams way better than a team that spreads them laterally...
agree balty needs some kind of mid-range passing attack as well, think brown can become decent in that roll but trusting rookie wrs is a tough deal even when they come in with way more pedigree than him.. yeah buf can get to the qb but how much of a hit does that take if mario cant go or is really hobbled (im really unsure of his status and certainly dont trust him atm with his history) and again if ravens are gashing them in the run gm that certainly lends itself to deep shots (you see geno airing it out on them last week?)..
i understand playing bills and you know me im allergic to road favs in the range balt gonna land in but i still would prob take them if you put gun to my head, luckily no gun so more than likely gonna pass..Comment -
their run gm still looked like ass in the preseason before he went down, i dont generally put a lot of stock in preseason but when i saw that oline operate the 1st couple gms i dropped him way down my fantasy draft boards cause they couldnt block for shit and that was with pouncy..dont get me wrong ill prob pick them in any pools i play but far as putting any bets on them? no thanx..Comment -
ok im officially sick of seeing the replay on that skins almost td, when i was watching live we were channel flipping saw the td and turned it, wasnt till like 5 min or so went by i realized they took it away and had no idea why till much later.. not sure if it was a catch or drop cause at what point did he cross the goaline and have possession? i understand the stupid ass megatron rule and not trying to start a argument as im just as mad at dude for not just holding the damn ball. still pisses me off cause would have hit huge parlay if skins won..ok im done venting just saw the replay for the 100th time between watching myself and espn.Comment -
Yes, their Oline hasn't looked good for sure. But Bell is probably the best RB on that team. But it will take him some time to get going. I still think Steelers are better coached than the Vikings. So i'll give them the edge. But like you said, it is hard to pick a side there. Vikings lost their home opener and may want to get a win on the board.Comment -
he by far best back i think, i def trust pit head coach and dc more, oc not so much as i think haley a idiot that been living off the good fortune of having warner/fitz/boldin for a season.. i really think pit will win but at same time would it shock me if minny had a special teams and/or defensive score? not really cause they got the dude returning kicks to get a few this yr and big dummy turns it over a lot..i doubt minny generates a whole lot offensively but between my concerns with pit and fact i hate gms with extra shit involved (trip to london) it just a easy pass for me, after pit wins i wont be too mad i passed, not as mad as if i bet pit and they fukk up anyway..we talk about this gm much more and im gonna end up on pit, lol..Comment -
hey bank, new to this forum and i'm loving your write ups. what's your take on thursdays game?Comment -
i only bet 1 thing on thu nights..1st half under, doesnt matter what my take is really as i think it a hard gm to cap but this has worked pretty well the last couple years for us. it will lose some but def be up at end of year with it, dont do it on turkey day and you be set for thu night rest of year... sometimes i live bet it a little bit but for most part i dont bother with sides or handicapping it as this has worked out to be a really successful autoplay.
if you really wanna know what i think bout gm i dont think i could take my lambs only getting 3 but i dont bet this kind of short road fav very often and certainly wouldnt here, so in this case it great i have a built in play cause honestly i dont know as both these teams got issues that gonna be hard to figure out on a short week. honestly id prob still like this under if it was on sunday, just a bonus it thu night, last weeks thu night under was much tougher play (still cashed tho
)..
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Apologies as I didn't read all the precourse. I tend to disagreee on Tenn based on sched. Tenn has faced way tougher schedule and performed decent. Like Tenn here.Comment -
kinda disagree far as schedule, both have had it easy imo.. who has ten played that was tough? only hou and hou kept them in a gm they dominated most categories, pit couldnt run on me you and 9 other guys, and sd is higher up on everyone's list for the same reason titans are, cause hou made them look good.. certainly not claiming jets have had it killer but hard to say they have had it that much easier for me anyway. i been wrong before tho..Comment -
Lions lose their #2 receiver and open up as 2.5 point favorites...hmmm.Comment -
i was reading someone else mentioning losing nate a big deal but i really dont think that is the case, sure it may sting a little bit but everything i read coming into the season had broyles overtaking him anyways and now he healthy so not sure there much drop off assuming he can stay healthy..bears gonna be way to sexy of a dog for me either way, think it over or nothing for me here..scored 50 in this matchup in det last yr and that was a stingier bears d and far less productive offense..bears giving up damn near 7 yards per play i believe (looked earlier 6 something), lost a pro bowl dt and tillman is gimpy and they havnt exactly been shutting down teams number 1s with green and brown going off on them..long as we dont many get red zone mistakes think both teams score at least 24..Comment -
2 team 6 point teaser of the week.(1.5x)week 4
nyj+4.5..(1.5x).. once again backing the jets as for some reason defense and a rushing attack are undervalued imo....think jets will be able to pound the rock vs a team that giving up 4.4ypc which will open up geno to hit a few deep passes, cant believe it but really like the formula of this team right now, they should have blown the bills out if it wasnt for bunch of dumb ass penalties..this line stinks of ten being over valued after winning the overrated bowl, like i been saying think they both ten/sd being thought of to highly before last weeks gm and now titans are laying more than a fg because they won that gm? im still not a buyer, titans ypc is horrible yet they run a ton cause there no real trust in locker or his avg weapons, jets will keep the rushing yards down and then make locker beat a pass defense that is holding teams to a less than 50% completion percentage.. bottom line to me is unless geno plays absolutely terrible (as in turnovers leading to tds) there just no way i dont see a team that will dominate on the ground at the least keeps this gm close if not win...
hou ml +130..(1x).almost will certainly be my dog teaser team for the week as well and that team has had the honor of winning each week thus far.. when i played balty last week i mentioned that it be nice if hou looked bad in that gm cause then all the dickriders would jump ship to the seemingly invincible seachickens and sure nuff it worked out well. look is sea better than hou? probably. does that mean anything for this week? not likely. sea missing their all world tackle and going into a noisy ass stadium against a great pass rushing team, not a good combo. as dominate as sea has looked lets remember that was at home, they looked ordinary at best at carolina week 1 and for all intensive purposes should have lost that gm as deangalo ran well until the late gm red zone fumble, id expect hou rushing gm to have similar if not better success which opens up play action which only time schaub is above avg..to me this is a no brainer, hou will get pressure off the edge, sea wr corp doesnt strike fear into me which always what scares me when looking to back hou.. dont get me wrong you have to put sea 1 or 2 in your power rankings but to be road favs vs a solid hou team is crazy imo...
stl/sf..you should already know what im doing in this gm if ya paying attention
still plenty of stuff to come but these were the 1st ones i bet..looking forward to plenty of discussion, leans, plays, whatever this week as i have much more time than last week...
hou+8.5
indy-1.5
not a lot to explain here i dont think, already talked about hou and there several other threads talking that gm..indy wtf should i say? jags might keep it somewhat close as i think mjd could have some success and indy not really bout blowing teams out very often and they coming of blowing out sf so close is possible, losing? i seriously doubt it, ill take my chances with luck vs jags late if it goes that way.. just playing now cause 2 of my 3 books are starting to climb on indy and lower hou (other already has indy teaser protected at 9.5, pricks)so figured might as well get it before end up with worse numbers..Comment -
Where you post your college plays at?? If at all...Comment -
normally ill post few in my guy BiffT thread but honestly i dont really have the time in the fall to cap the college card extensively enough every week where id feel good giving much advice bout it..if you ever go to CTG those cats over there are all pretty sharp when it comes to ncaa fb and do a pretty good job explaining instead of just spitting out a gm so ill pick and choose few plays from those cats, sometimes tail BiffT on a few, then just add a few of my own, nothing to write home bout really..Comment -
if i was to use another gm it would prob be bears over a td, liked that for my dog as well(for some reason i always do dog/fav) but preferred hou at home in what i expect much lower scoring gm (obviously lower scoring lends itself to points being more valuable)..zona prob be ok cause their d really good and that should be super low scoring but hate zona traveling far and playing early against a d that could seriously shut them out...you know me i love the fish but i wouldnt play them even teased this week, superdome on monday night like road gm on steroids and with way saints defense is playing i just dont feel good about mia in this one and it not like the 6 point tease gets you over 14...id actually take saints down before teasing phins up..
im not huge indy believer either i feel ya there, i think it be closer than most think cause mjd can shred this d but in the end i trust luck to pull out the W vs jags even if i might have to sweat it a little..Comment -
Yea, and Tbay is starting their backup QB instead of freeman. So you never know what he is going to bring to the table. Palmer had a terrible game last week. I like the Bears tease better now. Those 2 teams generally play a field goal game. Yea, NO saints defense has been very good. They have been kind of flying under the radar as well. I like Miami on the road, but it is a Monday night game. So dome is gonna be rocking for sure. So I may simply go with Hou and Bears tease. For some reason, I am not feeling indi. They should easily beat Jax, if they can play like how they did against the 49ers. But this is the nfl and Jax is capable of pulling some weird stuff. Especially when u have players like MJD on the team.Comment -
Originally Posted by 2daBank 
week 4
nyj+4.5..(1.5x).. once again backing the jets as for some reason defense and a rushing attack are undervalued imo....think jets will be able to pound the rock vs a team that giving up 4.4ypc which will open up geno to hit a few deep passes, cant believe it but really like the formula of this team right now, they should have blown the bills out if it wasnt for bunch of dumb ass penalties..this line stinks of ten being over valued after winning the overrated bowl, like i been saying think they both ten/sd being thought of to highly before last weeks gm and now titans are laying more than a fg because they won that gm? im still not a buyer, titans ypc is horrible yet they run a ton cause there no real trust in locker or his avg weapons, jets will keep the rushing yards down and then make locker beat a pass defense that is holding teams to a less than 50% completion percentage.. bottom line to me is unless geno plays absolutely terrible (as in turnovers leading to tds) there just no way i dont see a team that will dominate on the ground at the least keeps this gm close if not win...
hou ml +130..(1x).almost will certainly be my dog teaser team for the week as well and that team has had the honor of winning each week thus far.. when i played balty last week i mentioned that it be nice if hou looked bad in that gm cause then all the dickriders would jump ship to the seemingly invincible seachickens and sure nuff it worked out well. look is sea better than hou? probably. does that mean anything for this week? not likely. sea missing their all world tackle and going into a noisy ass stadium against a great pass rushing team, not a good combo. as dominate as sea has looked lets remember that was at home, they looked ordinary at best at carolina week 1 and for all intensive purposes should have lost that gm as deangalo ran well until the late gm red zone fumble, id expect hou rushing gm to have similar if not better success which opens up play action which only time schaub is above avg..to me this is a no brainer, hou will get pressure off the edge, sea wr corp doesnt strike fear into me which always what scares me when looking to back hou.. dont get me wrong you have to put sea 1 or 2 in your power rankings but to be road favs vs a solid hou team is crazy imo...
stl/sf..you should already know what im doing in this gm if ya paying attention
still plenty of stuff to come but these were the 1st ones i bet..looking forward to plenty of discussion, leans, plays, whatever this week as i have much more time than last week...
sf/stl 1st half un 20.5 (1.5x)...y'all know the drill, nothing to do with capping this bitch just the thu night shitfest auto play.. was hoping for 21 but with these offenses and defenses id suspect some fgs anyways tho so 20.5 -105 fine with me..
i did cap it and while im not playing it if there is a side here i think it actually my lambs, honestly atm rams problems are much more fixable than sf's. stl biggest issue (besides murry) has been they have started horrible each gm, think it a combination of shitty play calling and a unfocused effort early in gms which i think can and should be fixed...on other hand sf issues are plentiful from a decimated defense, smith, willis, that corners name i cant even attempt to spell, they banged up or in rehab. offensively davis still hurt and sf is dying w/o a wr that can get separation, boldon too old, and the rest just garbage, those issues are hard to fix on a short week,,,,still just gonna stick with the total cause it has served me well then if lambs come out flat again ill prob live bet them when they down a couple scores..Comment -
bank - for my work pool we only pick winners, no spreads. Who you like in Cincy/Clev; Pit/Min; Ari/TB; Dal/SD; Mia/NO? I suck at NFL so need all the help I can get. Thanks dudeComment
