NFL Week 16: Power Plays of the Week!

[cweh]

Plays of the Week

Indianapolis Colts -6

Baltimore Ravens +4.5

Pittsburgh Steelers -2

Kansas City Chiefs +4.5

New England Patriots -7

Cincinnati Bengals +3

Philadelphia Eagles -5

San Francisco 49'ers -5

Atlanta Falcons +3

Detroit Lions +7.5

Carolina Panthers +3 Watch NYG Injury Report!!!

Seattle Seahawks+6

Houston Texans -7

Denver Broncos -7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3

Chicago Bears -4 Wait for the result of the Minn game!

Write Ups no later than Friday, stay tuned.....

Where did you find Seattle +6?? I will bet my entire account on that kind of point spread!

[riggs]

Where did you find Seattle +6?? I will bet my entire account on that kind of point spread!

Got it at +6 on Tuesday from my local, it was also at +6 on bet-us earlier this week. But now I noticed it's at +4.5 or +5 on most online books!

I still think it's fairly safe at +4.5 though.

BOL

[riggs]

Everything in one post with score predictions, & Grades!

Thursday's Play: Colts -6 (1 Unit) win


Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans

Yes, I did call the upset of the week last Sunday with the Texans over Titans in Houston. This Tennessee team has gotten away with winning too many close games this year and I knew they’d trip up in that spot on the road, at least that was some of the logic behind my “Play of the Year.” The Titans had all kinds of problems running and throwing the ball last week against Houston. How do you think they’ll fair against Pittsburgh? I guess they’re going to ask Collins to win this one with his arm, because I don‘t see Fat-Boy White and the Rookie running all over Pittsburgh in this one. The problem with that is, Pittsburgh has been solid against the pass all year and they’ve sacked the quarterback nearly 50 times this year .

In my opinion, Tennessee might be the worst 12-2 team I have ever seen! Think about this for a second, and I brought this up before the Houston game, Who the f*** has Tennessee beat this year (as of late) in a convincing fashion? And don’t tell me Detroit! To add to that, the Titans have bigger problems, Kyle Vanden Bosch and Albert Haynesworth will be watching this one from the sidelines on Sunday. I know the Steelers don’t have a great O-Line, but without Vanden Bosch and Haynesworth out there, I’d be absolutely shocked if Pittsburgh struggles running the ball. The Steelers have won a lot of close games this year so I don’t expect this one to be easy, but I do expect them to win by at least 6 or 7 points. This game is huge for both teams, home field advantage throughout the playoffs, in a conference that’s tough as hell right now!

Score Prediction: Steelers 20, Titans 13

Sunday’s Play: Steelers -2 (5 Units) pending



San Diego Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I’m going to keep this one short & sweet. I guess you could say that this is an interesting game at first glance, but the more you look into this one, the more you question the line. In the beginning of the week my local had this one set at TB -3. You can bet your a** I jumped all over that one! The Chargers were dominated by the Chiefs (21-3) for the better part of that game last Sunday. I had this game capped at about TB -7 or -6 at the least. So even at -3.5 or -4 I still see a lot of value in TB. It’s amazing to think that at 6-8, the Chargers are somehow still in the playoff picture?

Tampa Bay played a decent game at Atlanta last Sunday (with the exception of that piss poor Run-D). Brian Griese also played much better than I would have thought. So with the Buccaneers playing so poorly against the run surely LT will have a huge day against Tampa’s D right? Wrong, LT had 40 f****** yards on the ground vs. the Chiefs (ranked last in the league vs. the run). Alright then, Phillip Rivers to the rescue! Nope, Tampa hasn’t lost a step in their Pass-D, they picked off Matt Ryan twice last week on the road, so expect more of the same vs. the unpredictable Phillip Rivers.

We’re not really sure who’s going to get the nod at QB for Tampa, but I don’t think it really matters. Tampa should dominate this game, these west coast teams are f****** soft and they play like s*** on the east coast late in the year! I’m expecting a huge day out of the TB defense and solid performances by Williams, Dunn, Bryant, and Clayton. Furthermore I’ll take Gruden over Turner any day of the week. Throw all the bullshit trends out the f****** window in this one, Tampa Bay BIG.

Score Prediction: Buccaneers 27, Chargers 13

Sunday’s Play: Buccaneers -3 (5 Units) pending


Arizona Cardinals at New England Patriots

1st Question: WTF happened to Arizona last week? Holy s*** did they look bad! They looked bad at home vs. a mediocre (middle of the pack IMO) Minnesota team. They made Tarvaris Jackson look like John Elway in his prime. Not too far away in Oakland Matt Cassel had an excellent day, what a great story in NE. This guy deserves a big contract next year playing somewhere. If the Jets had any brains left, they’d make him an offer. Look at Pennington this year!

Outside of Cassel’s great performance, NE ran all over Oakland on Sunday with nobody’s in the backfield. They should have similar success against Arizona this Sunday. The only thing that really scares me in this one is NE secondary. If Fitzgerald and Boldin both play, this game might be closer than we think. But, I’m getting reports of bad weather for Sunday’s game in Fox Borough. Temperature in the 30’s with Snow in the forecast and 20 mph winds. If that’s the case, how do think the Cardinals receivers will do in that spot? Even with that said, I still expect Arizona to put up a much better fight than they did last week. But the Patriots need this win in order to stay even with Miami and New York. The Patriots are 16-8 ATS in December at home over the past 8 years. Let’s ride the East-Coast team here in December! (If your book has it at -7.5, and you're unsure about this one, ya might want to buy the .5)

Score Prediction: Patriots 26, Cardinals 17

Sunday’s Play: Patriots -7 (3 Units) pending


Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs.

If someone would've told me in the beginning of the season that Miami would be 9-5 at this point in the year I would've checked them into an insane asylum! Miami has really surprised all of us this year, I always liked Chad as a game manager and it's obvious he's the difference maker here! Miami's defense has also kept them in games this year as well! Credit the Dolphins this year, even if they don't make the playoffs.

The Chiefs on the other hand have had a tough year and Herm "the worm" Edwards is probably gone well before the start of next year! But I have to be honest even at 2-12 KC has played well in several games this year (they've been competitive in at least 8, if not more). 17-10 at NE, 24-28 at NYJ, 27-30 vs TB, 19-20 at SD, 20-13 at OAK, 17-24 at Den, 33-19 vs Den, and 21-22 vs SD. The Chiefs had that game sealed last week against the Chargers. They were winning 21-3. How in the f*** do you let that one slip away? Probably becuase the Chiefs are ranked last in the league against the run, they cant recover onside kicks, and Herm Edwards is their coach!

The Dolphins will have Chad Pennington work off of play-action on Sunday and Miami should have no problem running the ball. But KC has a weapon of their own, Tyler Thigpen. So far this year KC is 6-2 ATS with Thigpen. KC's offense has been decent since this guy's taken over they're averaging well over 20 ppg with Thigpen in there. I think Gonzales & the KC receivers are capable of putting up some decent numbers vs. Miami. The Dolphins haven't really covered anything as of late, they may be looking ahead to next week also as they're playing in NY (most likely for the division). The Dolphins need this game and they'll probably win, but not by much! The Chiefs are 13-6 ATS at home in December over the past 8 years, and 85% of the public is on Miami in this one.

Score Prediction: Dolphins 20, Chiefs 19

Sunday's Play: Chiefs +4.5 (2 Units) pending


Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys

I was on both the Ravens and the Giants last week and really had to suffer through both games. If the Giants and Baltimore covered last week I would have had an excellent day! But they didn’t. Baltimore was a strong play, their defense played great regardless of that last drive, they just missed some critical plays on the other side of the ball and lost on a blown call in the last seconds of the game. The Giants offense decided not to show up again for the second week in a row. I had a decent size play on the Giants because I believe (as I still do) that Dallas is an overrated team and Romo can destroy a game better than any quarterback in the league, especially late into the season, but Tony Romo had a decent game, as did Jason Witten. But lets be honest here, the Giants offense was the worst it’s been all year, and they left the defense on the field way too long! Any a**hole (including Romo) could have put together at least 1 or 2 scoring drives throughout the course of that game. With that said, Romo and the Cowboys will have to do much better than that against Baltimore’s defense, a defense stacked with monster run stoppers and ball-hawks who love to hit!

So here’s the question: Will the Boys be able to run the ball on Baltimore??? We’ll have to wait and see, but the Ravens are only allowing teams an average of 78 yards on the ground. In total defense, Baltimore lets up an average of 15 points per game, 258 total yards, 180 of that total through the air. I highly doubt Romo throws for 250 and 2tds vs. this defense, especially considering his back injury. Let’s take a look at Baltimore’s offense now. On the road, Baltimore averages 25 points per game, 335 total yards, 205 in the air, and 130 on the ground. They’re not the same old Ravens anymore, their offense is rather efficient this year, compared to their teams of the past, and I love this kid Flacco (give this guy some time to mature, he’s going to be very good). With that said he has thrown 3 interceptions over the past 2 weeks, and this is going to be a huge test for this kid, the biggest game in his life (up to this point). The Ravens might have trouble running the ball Saturday too! Dallas only let up 72 yards on the ground vs. the Giants and 47 on the road vs. Pittsburgh. With no one of any stature in their secondary it’s amazing teams aren’t picking them apart in the passing game to set up the run, amazing!

The Ravens are coming off one of the worst loses I have ever seen. Will they come out pissed off or will they have a let down game? It’s hard to judge, but I can tell you one thing, I don’t feel confident at all betting on the Cowboys. The public is already all over Dallas in this one, 70% of the public is on Dallas. There’s reverse line movement in this game, the opening line was at -5 now it’s at -4.5 or -4, depending upon your book. Expect more action in the way of Dallas, possibly 80%. Baltimore is 5-3 ATS as an underdog and 5-2 ATS on the road. Tony Romo is now 2-9 ATS in December games. Don’t get too carried away with Romo’s performance against NY, the Cowboy’s defense CLEARLY won that game. Also, the Giants are a good defense, the Ravens are a great defense! I’m counting on a few things here: the Ravens playing stout defense, the Ravens being more successful running the ball against Dallas’s front, and Flacco protecting the ball and taking his shots down field off of play action. Even if the Ravens don’t win this game, I see it as a low scoring and close one!

Score Prediction: Ravens 16, Cowboys 17

Saturday's Play: Ravens +4.5 (2 Units) pending


**Philadelphia Eagles -5 (pending)
A must win for the Eagles, even at 8-5-1 their chances are slim, but I'm guessing no one in the league wants to play them round 1 with the way they've been playing!

Score Prediction: Eagles 24, Redskins 17


**Houston Texans -7 (pending)
I love this team, I've made a lot of money playing Houston this year and this is a spot for them to really pour on the points. I expect them to head out strong once again, ready to make a serious run next year!

Score Prediction: Texans 30, Raiders 13


**Detroit Lions +7.5 (pending)
New Orleans has nothing to play for here, Bush is out, and I actually like Detroit to win this one Straight Up. I may place a small wager on the money line in this one, what the hell, it's week 16!

Score Prediction: Saints 26, Lions 27


**Seattle Seahawks+6 (pending)
Prove me wrong Jets. You've f***** me 1 too many times this year. Seattle gets the cover!

Score Prediction: Jets 23, Seahawks 20


*San Francisco 49'ers -5 (pending)
I probably wont touch this game, but my lean here is Frisco by a td.

Score Prediction: 49'ers 26, Rams 20


*Cincinnati Bengals +3 (pending)
Cleveland is so bad right now I cant imagine any clear thinking person wagering on this horrid team!

Score Prediction: Bengals 19, Browns 16


*Denver Broncos -7 (pending)
They can't lose to Buffalo, I don't care how inconsistent they are!

Score Prediction: Bills 20, Broncos 31

*Atlanta Falcons +3 (pending)
This is a toughy, might not get involved. Williams is out, Peterson is nicked up, but Minnesota is home. This is a perfect spot for Ryan to shine!

Score Prediction: Falcons 23, Vikings 22

*Carolina Panthers +3 (pending)
Haven't pulled the trigger yet, waiting until Sunday night to get the full extent of the Giants Injury report.

Score Prediction: Panthers 20, Giants 17

*Chicago Bears -4 (pending)
Haven't pulled the trigger yet, waiting to see if Atlanta beats Minnesota.

Score Prediction: Packers 17, Bears 23

[riggs]

Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys

I was on both the Ravens and the Giants last week and really had to suffer through both games. If the Giants and Baltimore covered last week I would have had an excellent day! But they didn’t. Baltimore was a strong play, their defense played great regardless of that last drive, they just missed some critical plays on the other side of the ball and lost on a blown call in the last seconds of the game. The Giants offense decided not to show up again for the second week in a row. I had a decent size play on the Giants because I believe (as I still do) that Dallas is an overrated team and Romo can destroy a game better than any quarterback in the league, especially late into the season, but Tony Romo had a decent game, as did Jason Witten. But lets be honest here, the Giants offense was the worst it’s been all year, and they left the defense on the field way too long! Any a**hole (including Romo) could have put together at least 1 or 2 scoring drives throughout the course of that game. With that said, Romo and the Cowboys will have to do much better than that against Baltimore’s defense, a defense stacked with monster run stoppers and ball-hawks who love to hit!

So here’s the question: Will the Boys be able to run the ball on Baltimore??? We’ll have to wait and see, but the Ravens are only allowing teams an average of 78 yards on the ground. In total defense, Baltimore lets up an average of 15 points per game, 258 total yards, 180 of that total through the air. I highly doubt Romo throws for 250 and 2tds vs. this defense, especially considering his back injury. Let’s take a look at Baltimore’s offense now. On the road, Baltimore averages 25 points per game, 335 total yards, 205 in the air, and 130 on the ground. They’re not the same old Ravens anymore, their offense is rather efficient this year, compared to their teams of the past, and I love this kid Flacco (give this guy some time to mature, he’s going to be very good). With that said he has thrown 3 interceptions over the past 2 weeks, and this is going to be a huge test for this kid, the biggest game in his life (up to this point). The Ravens might have trouble running the ball Saturday too! Dallas only let up 72 yards on the ground vs. the Giants and 47 on the road vs. Pittsburgh. With no one of any stature in their secondary it’s amazing teams aren’t picking them apart in the passing game to set up the run, amazing!

The Ravens are coming off one of the worst loses I have ever seen. Will they come out pissed off or will they have a let down game? It’s hard to judge, but I can tell you one thing, I don’t feel confident at all betting on the Cowboys. The public is already all over Dallas in this one, 70% of the public is on Dallas. There’s reverse line movement in this game, the opening line was at -5 now it’s at -4.5 or -4, depending upon your book. Expect more action in the way of Dallas, possibly 80%. Baltimore is 5-3 ATS as an underdog and 5-2 ATS on the road. Tony Romo is now 2-9 ATS in December games. Don’t get too carried away with Romo’s performance against NY, the Cowboy’s defense CLEARLY won that game. Also, the Giants are a good defense, the Ravens are a great defense! I’m counting on a few things here: the Ravens playing stout defense, the Ravens being more successful running the ball against Dallas’s front, and Flacco protecting the ball and taking his shots down field off of play action. Even if the Ravens don’t win this game, I see it as a low scoring and close one!

Score Prediction: Ravens 16, Cowboys 17

Saturday's Play: Ravens +4.5 (2 Units)

This line is going crazy!!! I first saw it at -5, then it dropped to -4, and now I'm seeing this thing at -6. What the f*** is going on here. Are the squares and Johnny come lately's slamming this game now?

[Robust]

Last game in dallas.. all Texans are betting it will end with a win..

rlm just got screwed.. hehe

good luck to you bro... i am not playing it..

Robust

[jotoha]

This line is going crazy!!! I first saw it at -5, then it dropped to -4, and now I'm seeing this thing at -6. What the f*** is going on here. Are the squares and Johnny come lately's slamming this game now?

I know...i'm watching it to this line is going hella crazy!

[riggs]

Haha, maybe with pushing Dallas up to -6 the books figured they smoke the squares for some extra cash?

[laxdjock]

riggs, I got your msg....I have been slammed with stuff lately, so I'm behind on my CFB. I'll update my thread this week to include a bunch of the upcoming games.

[riggs]

riggs, I got your msg....I have been slammed with stuff lately, so I'm behind on my CFB. I'll update my thread this week to include a bunch of the upcoming games.

No problem, just wanted some friendly advice. You've been smoking CF all year!!! I'm 2-0 so far this week with Wake -3 and Colorado St. (ML) +120. I got BYU tonight at +3 and a little on the ML.

Thanks

[laxdjock]

Thanks for the compliment.....unfortunately I went from 58-62% in the NFL back down to barely breaking even. I enjoy the heck out of the NFL, so I consider it a fun tax. I think I'm going to limit myself to 1 and 2 unit bets in CFB....though I still think I'll finish up after the bowls.

[riggs]

Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys

I was on both the Ravens and the Giants last week and really had to suffer through both games. If the Giants and Baltimore covered last week I would have had an excellent day! But they didn’t. Baltimore was a strong play, their defense played great regardless of that last drive, they just missed some critical plays on the other side of the ball and lost on a blown call in the last seconds of the game. The Giants offense decided not to show up again for the second week in a row. I had a decent size play on the Giants because I believe (as I still do) that Dallas is an overrated team and Romo can destroy a game better than any quarterback in the league, especially late into the season, but Tony Romo had a decent game, as did Jason Witten. But lets be honest here, the Giants offense was the worst it’s been all year, and they left the defense on the field way too long! Any a**hole (including Romo) could have put together at least 1 or 2 scoring drives throughout the course of that game. With that said, Romo and the Cowboys will have to do much better than that against Baltimore’s defense, a defense stacked with monster run stoppers and ball-hawks who love to hit!

So here’s the question: Will the Boys be able to run the ball on Baltimore??? We’ll have to wait and see, but the Ravens are only allowing teams an average of 78 yards on the ground. In total defense, Baltimore lets up an average of 15 points per game, 258 total yards, 180 of that total through the air. I highly doubt Romo throws for 250 and 2tds vs. this defense, especially considering his back injury. Let’s take a look at Baltimore’s offense now. On the road, Baltimore averages 25 points per game, 335 total yards, 205 in the air, and 130 on the ground. They’re not the same old Ravens anymore, their offense is rather efficient this year, compared to their teams of the past, and I love this kid Flacco (give this guy some time to mature, he’s going to be very good). With that said he has thrown 3 interceptions over the past 2 weeks, and this is going to be a huge test for this kid, the biggest game in his life (up to this point). The Ravens might have trouble running the ball Saturday too! Dallas only let up 72 yards on the ground vs. the Giants and 47 on the road vs. Pittsburgh. With no one of any stature in their secondary it’s amazing teams aren’t picking them apart in the passing game to set up the run, amazing!

The Ravens are coming off one of the worst loses I have ever seen. Will they come out pissed off or will they have a let down game? It’s hard to judge, but I can tell you one thing, I don’t feel confident at all betting on the Cowboys. The public is already all over Dallas in this one, 70% of the public is on Dallas. There’s reverse line movement in this game, the opening line was at -5 now it’s at -4.5 or -4, depending upon your book. Expect more action in the way of Dallas, possibly 80%. Baltimore is 5-3 ATS as an underdog and 5-2 ATS on the road. Tony Romo is now 2-9 ATS in December games. Don’t get too carried away with Romo’s performance against NY, the Cowboy’s defense CLEARLY won that game. Also, the Giants are a good defense, the Ravens are a great defense! I’m counting on a few things here: the Ravens playing stout defense, the Ravens being more successful running the ball against Dallas’s front, and Flacco protecting the ball and taking his shots down field off of play action. Even if the Ravens don’t win this game, I see it as a low scoring and close one!

Score Prediction: Ravens 16, Cowboys 17

Saturday's Play: Ravens +4.5 (2 Units)

Haha, I knew they'd put up at least 16. What a great day/night of betting!

[riggs]

Thursday's Play: Colts -6 (1 Unit) WIN


Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans

Yes, I did call the upset of the week last Sunday with the Texans over Titans in Houston. This Tennessee team has gotten away with winning too many close games this year and I knew they’d trip up in that spot on the road, at least that was some of the logic behind my “Play of the Year.” The Titans had all kinds of problems running and throwing the ball last week against Houston. How do you think they’ll fair against Pittsburgh? I guess they’re going to ask Collins to win this one with his arm, because I don‘t see Fat-Boy White and the Rookie running all over Pittsburgh in this one. The problem with that is, Pittsburgh has been solid against the pass all year and they’ve sacked the quarterback nearly 50 times this year .

In my opinion, Tennessee might be the worst 12-2 team I have ever seen! Think about this for a second, and I brought this up before the Houston game, Who the f*** has Tennessee beat this year (as of late) in a convincing fashion? And don’t tell me Detroit! To add to that, the Titans have bigger problems, Kyle Vanden Bosch and Albert Haynesworth will be watching this one from the sidelines on Sunday. I know the Steelers don’t have a great O-Line, but without Vanden Bosch and Haynesworth out there, I’d be absolutely shocked if Pittsburgh struggles running the ball. The Steelers have won a lot of close games this year so I don’t expect this one to be easy, but I do expect them to win by at least 6 or 7 points. This game is huge for both teams, home field advantage throughout the playoffs, in a conference that’s tough as hell right now!

Score Prediction: Steelers 20, Titans 13

Sunday’s Play: Steelers -2 (5 Units) pending



San Diego Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I’m going to keep this one short & sweet. I guess you could say that this is an interesting game at first glance, but the more you look into this one, the more you question the line. In the beginning of the week my local had this one set at TB -3. You can bet your a** I jumped all over that one! The Chargers were dominated by the Chiefs (21-3) for the better part of that game last Sunday. I had this game capped at about TB -7 or -6 at the least. So even at -3.5 or -4 I still see a lot of value in TB. It’s amazing to think that at 6-8, the Chargers are somehow still in the playoff picture?

Tampa Bay played a decent game at Atlanta last Sunday (with the exception of that piss poor Run-D). Brian Griese also played much better than I would have thought. So with the Buccaneers playing so poorly against the run surely LT will have a huge day against Tampa’s D right? Wrong, LT had 40 f****** yards on the ground vs. the Chiefs (ranked last in the league vs. the run). Alright then, Phillip Rivers to the rescue! Nope, Tampa hasn’t lost a step in their Pass-D, they picked off Matt Ryan twice last week on the road, so expect more of the same vs. the unpredictable Phillip Rivers.

We’re not really sure who’s going to get the nod at QB for Tampa, but I don’t think it really matters. Tampa should dominate this game, these west coast teams are f****** soft and they play like s*** on the east coast late in the year! I’m expecting a huge day out of the TB defense and solid performances by Williams, Dunn, Bryant, and Clayton. Furthermore I’ll take Gruden over Turner any day of the week. Throw all the bullshit trends out the f****** window in this one, Tampa Bay BIG.

Score Prediction: Buccaneers 27, Chargers 13

Sunday’s Play: Buccaneers -3 (5 Units) pending


Arizona Cardinals at New England Patriots

1st Question: WTF happened to Arizona last week? Holy s*** did they look bad! They looked bad at home vs. a mediocre (middle of the pack IMO) Minnesota team. They made Tarvaris Jackson look like John Elway in his prime. Not too far away in Oakland Matt Cassel had an excellent day, what a great story in NE. This guy deserves a big contract next year playing somewhere. If the Jets had any brains left, they’d make him an offer. Look at Pennington this year!

Outside of Cassel’s great performance, NE ran all over Oakland on Sunday with nobody’s in the backfield. They should have similar success against Arizona this Sunday. The only thing that really scares me in this one is NE secondary. If Fitzgerald and Boldin both play, this game might be closer than we think. But, I’m getting reports of bad weather for Sunday’s game in Fox Borough. Temperature in the 30’s with Snow in the forecast and 20 mph winds. If that’s the case, how do think the Cardinals receivers will do in that spot? Even with that said, I still expect Arizona to put up a much better fight than they did last week. But the Patriots need this win in order to stay even with Miami and New York. The Patriots are 16-8 ATS in December at home over the past 8 years. Let’s ride the East-Coast team here in December! (If your book has it at -7.5, and you're unsure about this one, ya might want to buy the .5)

Score Prediction: Patriots 26, Cardinals 17

Sunday’s Play: Patriots -7 (3 Units) pending


Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs.

If someone would've told me in the beginning of the season that Miami would be 9-5 at this point in the year I would've checked them into an insane asylum! Miami has really surprised all of us this year, I always liked Chad as a game manager and it's obvious he's the difference maker here! Miami's defense has also kept them in games this year as well! Credit the Dolphins this year, even if they don't make the playoffs.

The Chiefs on the other hand have had a tough year and Herm "the worm" Edwards is probably gone well before the start of next year! But I have to be honest even at 2-12 KC has played well in several games this year (they've been competitive in at least 8, if not more). 17-10 at NE, 24-28 at NYJ, 27-30 vs TB, 19-20 at SD, 20-13 at OAK, 17-24 at Den, 33-19 vs Den, and 21-22 vs SD. The Chiefs had that game sealed last week against the Chargers. They were winning 21-3. How in the f*** do you let that one slip away? Probably becuase the Chiefs are ranked last in the league against the run, they cant recover onside kicks, and Herm Edwards is their coach!

The Dolphins will have Chad Pennington work off of play-action on Sunday and Miami should have no problem running the ball. But KC has a weapon of their own, Tyler Thigpen. So far this year KC is 6-2 ATS with Thigpen. KC's offense has been decent since this guy's taken over they're averaging well over 20 ppg with Thigpen in there. I think Gonzales & the KC receivers are capable of putting up some decent numbers vs. Miami. The Dolphins haven't really covered anything as of late, they may be looking ahead to next week also as they're playing in NY (most likely for the division). The Dolphins need this game and they'll probably win, but not by much! The Chiefs are 13-6 ATS at home in December over the past 8 years, and 85% of the public is on Miami in this one.

Score Prediction: Dolphins 20, Chiefs 19

Sunday's Play: Chiefs +4.5 (2 Units) pending


Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys

I was on both the Ravens and the Giants last week and really had to suffer through both games. If the Giants and Baltimore covered last week I would have had an excellent day! But they didn’t. Baltimore was a strong play, their defense played great regardless of that last drive, they just missed some critical plays on the other side of the ball and lost on a blown call in the last seconds of the game. The Giants offense decided not to show up again for the second week in a row. I had a decent size play on the Giants because I believe (as I still do) that Dallas is an overrated team and Romo can destroy a game better than any quarterback in the league, especially late into the season, but Tony Romo had a decent game, as did Jason Witten. But lets be honest here, the Giants offense was the worst it’s been all year, and they left the defense on the field way too long! Any a**hole (including Romo) could have put together at least 1 or 2 scoring drives throughout the course of that game. With that said, Romo and the Cowboys will have to do much better than that against Baltimore’s defense, a defense stacked with monster run stoppers and ball-hawks who love to hit!

So here’s the question: Will the Boys be able to run the ball on Baltimore??? We’ll have to wait and see, but the Ravens are only allowing teams an average of 78 yards on the ground. In total defense, Baltimore lets up an average of 15 points per game, 258 total yards, 180 of that total through the air. I highly doubt Romo throws for 250 and 2tds vs. this defense, especially considering his back injury. Let’s take a look at Baltimore’s offense now. On the road, Baltimore averages 25 points per game, 335 total yards, 205 in the air, and 130 on the ground. They’re not the same old Ravens anymore, their offense is rather efficient this year, compared to their teams of the past, and I love this kid Flacco (give this guy some time to mature, he’s going to be very good). With that said he has thrown 3 interceptions over the past 2 weeks, and this is going to be a huge test for this kid, the biggest game in his life (up to this point). The Ravens might have trouble running the ball Saturday too! Dallas only let up 72 yards on the ground vs. the Giants and 47 on the road vs. Pittsburgh. With no one of any stature in their secondary it’s amazing teams aren’t picking them apart in the passing game to set up the run, amazing!

The Ravens are coming off one of the worst loses I have ever seen. Will they come out pissed off or will they have a let down game? It’s hard to judge, but I can tell you one thing, I don’t feel confident at all betting on the Cowboys. The public is already all over Dallas in this one, 70% of the public is on Dallas. There’s reverse line movement in this game, the opening line was at -5 now it’s at -4.5 or -4, depending upon your book. Expect more action in the way of Dallas, possibly 80%. Baltimore is 5-3 ATS as an underdog and 5-2 ATS on the road. Tony Romo is now 2-9 ATS in December games. Don’t get too carried away with Romo’s performance against NY, the Cowboy’s defense CLEARLY won that game. Also, the Giants are a good defense, the Ravens are a great defense! I’m counting on a few things here: the Ravens playing stout defense, the Ravens being more successful running the ball against Dallas’s front, and Flacco protecting the ball and taking his shots down field off of play action. Even if the Ravens don’t win this game, I see it as a low scoring and close one!

Score Prediction: Ravens 16, Cowboys 17

Saturday's Play: Ravens +4.5 (2 Units) WIN


**Philadelphia Eagles -5 (pending)
A must win for the Eagles, even at 8-5-1 their chances are slim, but I'm guessing no one in the league wants to play them round 1 with the way they've been playing!

Score Prediction: Eagles 24, Redskins 17


**Houston Texans -7 (pending)
I love this team, I've made a lot of money playing Houston this year and this is a spot for them to really pour on the points. I expect them to head out strong once again, ready to make a serious run next year!

Score Prediction: Texans 30, Raiders 13


**Detroit Lions +7.5 (pending)
New Orleans has nothing to play for here, Bush is out, and I actually like Detroit to win this one Straight Up. I may place a small wager on the money line in this one, what the hell, it's week 16!

Score Prediction: Saints 26, Lions 27


**Seattle Seahawks+6 (pending)
Prove me wrong Jets. You've f***** me 1 too many times this year. Seattle gets the cover!

Score Prediction: Jets 23, Seahawks 20


*San Francisco 49'ers -5 (pending)
I probably wont touch this game, but my lean here is Frisco by a td.

Score Prediction: 49'ers 26, Rams 20


*Cincinnati Bengals +3 (pending)
Cleveland is so bad right now I cant imagine any clear thinking person wagering on this horrid team!

Score Prediction: Bengals 19, Browns 16


*Denver Broncos -7 (pending)
They can't lose to Buffalo, I don't care how inconsistent they are!

Score Prediction: Bills 20, Broncos 31

*Atlanta Falcons +3 (pending)
This is a toughy, might not get involved. Williams is out, Peterson is nicked up, but Minnesota is home. This is a perfect spot for Ryan to shine!

Score Prediction: Falcons 23, Vikings 22

*Carolina Panthers +3 (pending)
Haven't pulled the trigger yet, waiting until Sunday night to get the full extent of the Giants Injury report.

Score Prediction: Panthers 20, Giants 17

*Chicago Bears -4 (pending)
Haven't pulled the trigger yet, waiting to see if Atlanta beats Minnesota.

Score Prediction: Packers 17, Bears 23

2-0 FOR THE WEEK. I actually had Ravens +220 (ML), I thought it was +170.

Results for tonight's game,


Ticket Number: 82811493 - 1 Accepted Date: Dec 20, 2008 07:40 PM - EST Graded Date: December 20, 2008 11:47 PM - EST
Wager Type: Money Line Wager Status: Won
Risk: $330.00 (USD)
To Win Amount: $730.00 (USD)
Amount Paid: $1060.00 (USD)
Description: Football NFL - 103 Baltimore Ravens +220 for Game


Ticket Number: 82674705 - 1 Accepted Date: Dec 19, 2008 11:04 AM - EST Graded Date: December 20, 2008 11:42 PM - EST
Wager Type: Spread (or run line) Wager Status: Won
Risk: $2500.00 (USD)
To Win Amount: $2200.72 (USD)
Amount Paid: $4700.72 (USD)
Description: Football NFL - 103 Baltimore Ravens +4½ -110 for Game