-350 experiment

[House]

I just like to thank Mcduggley, again for his great run and the idea, I only play NCAA and NFL Football ...I'm doing the same thing but started with the last bet on the 1st round , Giants over Browns $800 to win $216 so my quest is to 10k , I do hope you keep up the great picks Mcduggley, I'll be looking for those Football picks.... And Adam , how do you figure ? I can probably get in 3 good ones if I needed to on Sunday plus Saturday, thats probably another 5 , Thursday $ Monday night ,collage Tuesday shit ....there are enough games for me as far as Football is concerned , I'm on play #4 ,and tomorrow I went with the Steeler's , If it doesn't hit ,I'll start over,no biggy and so should mcduggley , start it up again !!! ..and If I knew baseball as well as Mcduggley does, I'd probably try to sneak in a bet or two , but I don't follow baseball that much ..Good luck on the next run you guys

[adamf11]

Wrong, you can bet on Monday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday and the occasional Wednesday.

Depending if there is a good enough play for the system on an odd day. MNF might only be -350 and a good play every once in a while.

[kj8210]

Wrong, you can bet on Monday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday and the occasional Wednesday.

Well I think he meant that there aren't always gonna be teams that are heavily favored Monday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday that fit into this system.

[Thblur7]

Round 3!!! Id agree without the MLB pick!!!

[A4K]

Well I think he meant that there aren't always gonna be teams that are heavily favored Monday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday that fit into this system.

TOUCHE!

[pokerwhiz90]

How much did you lose?

Don't worry about it, but look at my new thread 23.38 -> 1k, time to make a run!

[Luckycharms2012]

Don't worry about it, but look at my new thread 23.38 -> 1k, time to make a run!

Because you didn't play you fraud, you just were in this thread F'N around, causing trouble, i was watching all your posts and they were all bullshit. You never had any good intentions, asshole

[Luckycharms2012]

my heart just skipped a beat - solid hit ball looked gone

You were watching it live, of course it was gone.

[Luckycharms2012]

lol there it goes

Why you mocking everyone for, you never even bet money you pussy. You're nothing but a troll

[pokerwhiz90]

Lucky I did lose, not too much but more than 150 like the people on this thread.... sucks for all of us, hence I started a new thread to steam off

[pokerwhiz90]

Single #266800458
Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
Best of Five (2-3) Series tied 1-1
AMERICAN LEAGUE - DIVISION SERIES
(929) Baltimore Orioles +165* Oct 10/12@06:35p

Final Scores
Baltimore Orioles 2
New York Yankees 3


Outcome: Loss
Date settled: Oct 10, 2012 10:11:26 PM
* Odds and win amount may not be the same as at time of placement, if a pitcher change takes place.

Why you hating man?

[Luckycharms2012]

Post your ticket, screenshot or you're talking shit.

[Luckycharms2012]

Single #266800458
Baseball - MLB (Game) Moneyline
Best of Five (2-3) Series tied 1-1
AMERICAN LEAGUE - DIVISION SERIES
(929) Baltimore Orioles +165* Oct 10/12@06:35p

Final Scores
Baltimore Orioles 2
New York Yankees 3

Outcome: Loss
Date settled: Oct 10, 2012 10:11:26 PM
* Odds and win amount may not be the same as at time of placement, if a pitcher change takes place.

Why you hating man?

Because you're a prick.

[sergiudec]

dudes calm down we just need to dash the MLB plays (or at least these damn yankees, they are so unreliable) and it's all good. NCAAF ML's are just the thing for this system and it worked beautifully at the beginning, when duggly was hitting them without a sweat. when we got into this MLB thing, I for one started to sweat the plays...

[pokerwhiz90]

yupyup in mcduggly we trust lol

[sergiudec]

keeping the thread positive it's at utmost importance, remember guys we lost just $100 so no need to despair......let's do this !

[Luckycharms2012]

[mcduggly]

Alright, I will continue this system with only college and limited NFL games. I honestly never wanted to implement MLB props into this, but I felt bad for you guys having to wait such long periods of time between plays. Like someone said before, yes there are games being played throughout the week, but they aren't quality ones for this system.

[utmoody10]

Time to regroup guys. I was looking to start this system this week, strictly betting on football. An early look at games that are -350 or greater include:

Thurs (5Dimes Lines)
UTEP @ Tulsa (-860)
Arizona State (-2075) @ Colorado

Saturday (5Dimes Lines)

Noon-2:30 EST Games
Iowa @ Michigan St (-360)
UAB @ Houston (-500)
Duke @ Va Tech (-360)
SMU (-800) @ Tulane
Toledo (-550) @ E Michigan
Akron @ Ohio (-1375)

3:00-6:30 EST Games
Buffalo @ No Illinois (-500)
Illinois @ Michigan (-2400)
Oklahoma St (-7000) @ Kansas
Alabama (-1600) @ Mizzou
Memphis @ ECU (-1000)
BC @ FSU (-7000)
Colorado St @ SDSU (-1500)

7:00-12:00 EST Games
South Alabama @ Arkansas St (-1600)
Kentucky @ Arkansas (-1000)
USC (-375) @ Washington
Ohio State (-1000) @ Indiana
So Miss @ UCF (-900)
FAU @ UL Monroe (-2500)

It seems that there are many games that are projected to be closer than the -350 or blowouts that leave little value to bet individually. One could get creative and bet these larger ML together in a parlay to improve odds, for instance throwing Bama Ohio State and Michigan together yields -460 but you do leave yourself open to one of three games busting you.

The game I have had my eye on as a play has been Toledo (-550) @ E Michigan. E Michigan comes into this game 0-5 and rank towards the bottom of nearly every statistical category. Toledo has won by 24 points or more in each meeting after being beat by the Eagles in '06. Terrence Owens in his career vs E Michigan has went 23-29 for 380 yards, 6 TDs and 0 INTs in two starts. Would like to see what other games people are looking at as possibilities.

[swordsandtequila]

Alright, I will continue this system with only college and limited NFL games. I honestly never wanted to implement MLB props into this, but I felt bad for you guys having to wait such long periods of time between plays. Like someone said before, yes there are games being played throughout the week, but they aren't quality ones for this system.

Here's a novel idea, post what you want to post, it's your money. We're all adults here (even the ones who act like f*kn' children), nobody's putting a gun to anyone's head. If you don't like the pick, don't play it. Simple. For those bitching about losing, an even better idea, cap your own games. If you don't know how, learn. Use others picks as a guide, a source of info, whatever. Tailing picks is one thing, tailing blindly will break you. Guy goes 15-1 and people (some here all of 4 days) become assholes. Get a grip.

McDuggly, your March madness picks were money, so keep it going. There are those that appreciate it.

[mcduggly]

Time to regroup guys. I was looking to start this system this week, strictly betting on football. An early look at games that are -350 or greater include:

Thurs (5Dimes Lines)
UTEP @ Tulsa (-860)
Arizona State (-2075) @ Colorado

Saturday (5Dimes Lines)

Noon-2:30 EST Games
Iowa @ Michigan St (-360)
UAB @ Houston (-500)
Duke @ Va Tech (-360)
SMU (-800) @ Tulane
Toledo (-550) @ E Michigan
Akron @ Ohio (-1375)

3:00-6:30 EST Games
Buffalo @ No Illinois (-500)
Illinois @ Michigan (-2400)
Oklahoma St (-7000) @ Kansas
Alabama (-1600) @ Mizzou
Memphis @ ECU (-1000)
BC @ FSU (-7000)
Colorado St @ SDSU (-1500)

7:00-12:00 EST Games
South Alabama @ Arkansas St (-1600)
Kentucky @ Arkansas (-1000)
USC (-375) @ Washington
Ohio State (-1000) @ Indiana
So Miss @ UCF (-900)
FAU @ UL Monroe (-2500)

It seems that there are many games that are projected to be closer than the -350 or blowouts that leave little value to bet individually. One could get creative and bet these larger ML together in a parlay to improve odds, for instance throwing Bama Ohio State and Michigan together yields -460 but you do leave yourself open to one of three games busting you.

The game I have had my eye on as a play has been Toledo (-550) @ E Michigan. E Michigan comes into this game 0-5 and rank towards the bottom of nearly every statistical category. Toledo has won by 24 points or more in each meeting after being beat by the Eagles in '06. Terrence Owens in his career vs E Michigan has went 23-29 for 380 yards, 6 TDs and 0 INTs in two starts. Would like to see what other games people are looking at as possibilities.

Yes, I too was looking at the Toledo game, but I may start with Ohio University 1st half. And then hopefully the Akron game is within a touchdown so I can try to hit their second half. Some of those later games scare me, and I don't really see any where I have a great line for a great matchup. USC might be a play, but I'd have to look into it further. Thanks a lot for posting these, it's nice to actually look at them this way. Maybe I can slip you some points every week if you post this stuff every week or something?

[mcduggly]

Here's a novel idea, post what you want to post, it's your money. We're all adults here (even the ones who act like f*kn' children), nobody's putting a gun to anyone's head. If you don't like the pick, don't play it. Simple. For those bitching about losing, an even better idea, cap your own games. If you don't know how, learn. Use others picks as a guide, a source of info, whatever. Tailing picks is one thing, tailing blindly will break you. Guy goes 15-1 and people (some here all of 4 days) become assholes. Get a grip.

McDuggly, your March madness picks were money, so keep it going. There are those that appreciate it.

Thanks buddy, I appreciate it. I know you appreciate the picks, and we have made a decent amount of money in the past year. Can't wait for those NBA and college basketball games!

[utmoody10]

Yes, I too was looking at the Toledo game, but I may start with Ohio University 1st half. And then hopefully the Akron game is within a touchdown so I can try to hit their second half. Some of those later games scare me, and I don't really see any where I have a great line for a great matchup. USC might be a play, but I'd have to look into it further. Thanks a lot for posting these, it's nice to actually look at them this way. Maybe I can slip you some points every week if you post this stuff every week or something?

Would be happy to keep this up weekly. Any points sent my way would be appreciated. Will also come back and tally the winners and losers from the week so we can reference how these plays are working out.

[kj8210]

I like the positive energy guys lets take round 3 to bank!

[stikymess]

mcduggly, rooting for you pal or anyone else that attempts this! Just a thought, you wouldn't consider breaking it down, instead of "all ins" maybe 33%, sure it's slower but you maybe get away from some fluke outcome and still be alive and when and if that fluke outcomes happens maybe follow it with an all in to recover? Just a thought.

[A4K]

Here's a novel idea, post what you want to post, it's your money. We're all adults here (even the ones who act like f*kn' children), nobody's putting a gun to anyone's head. If you don't like the pick, don't play it. Simple. For those bitching about losing, an even better idea, cap your own games. If you don't know how, learn. Use others picks as a guide, a source of info, whatever. Tailing picks is one thing, tailing blindly will break you. Guy goes 15-1 and people (some here all of 4 days) become assholes. Get a grip.

McDuggly, your March madness picks were money, so keep it going. There are those that appreciate it.

Nailed it.

[A4K]

In my opinion, it is preferable to take home teams @ -350 when possible.

[utmoody10]

mcduggly, rooting for you pal or anyone else that attempts this! Just a thought, you wouldn't consider breaking it down, instead of "all ins" maybe 33%, sure it's slower but you maybe get away from some fluke outcome and still be alive and when and if that fluke outcomes happens maybe follow it with an all in to recover? Just a thought.

This system lends itself to many hedging opportunities given how conservative of an approach you would like to take. Once you hit 3-5 of these high moneylines through the all-in approach, u can essentially play with house money for the duration. For instance, mcduggly doubled his starting balance by winning his first 3 bets (Bet 1 won 27.40, Bet 2 34.90, Bet 3 38.64). On the fourth wager he chose a game at -410 odds, while I will estimate the underdog was around +310 for example purposes. To win back his original 100 dollars bet, a wager of $32.26 can be placed on the underdog. By placing the "all-in" amount of $200.94 as well on the favorite to win 49.01. There are one of two results in this case.

1. The underdog wins outright and your $32.26 to win $100 cashes, thus leaving the attempt a wash. Attempt lost but original bet amount covered by hedge.
OR
2. The favorite wins so your $200.94 to win 49.01 cashes and your balance becomes $217.69 due to subtracting the $32.26 wagered on the dog from the amount won by the favorite being the winner at $49.01 (($200.94+$49.01)-$32.06). This is a net gain of $16.95.


This could be repeated each time and due to the fact that the favorite winning yields more of a gain than the amount risked on the underdog to recover the original bet, the balance will continue to grow (much slower) as long as the favorites keep winning. This is only applicable when the moneylines are close enough between favorite and dog where hedging will leave you with a greater profit on the favorite's side.

This is my line of thinking, hopefully there isnt an error in there. If someone would like to analyze that and note any issues with this method. Feel free to share.

[doublecreek]

mcduggly

dont know if you have thought of this. but if you have two games that go off at same times or overlap, you could do an if/then bet specify which game first and how much the second bet would be so you can play both games with your original stake in order to move the train closer to the goal in a shorter amount of time.

[doublecreek]

for example--I personally am going to institute my own "experiment" starting saturday. I am going to bend a little because I like MSU -335 at home along with Virginia Tech -370 starting at 12 and 12:30. So I hope to hit both and have two legs under my belt at 3:30

[Bdolan33]

More talk than plays in this thread lately

[racer43]

Your gonna lose it all somewhere around 950

always such wonderful insight from you Bdolan..... thanks for contributing

[GunShard]

Nice bets.

[MiAMiEDDY]

What a good thread . Not many plays but who cares. Great info here. Reminds me of the old sbr days

[mcduggly]

Sooo yea, guys. A friend of mine thought it would be awesome while he was drunk to put all my money in on the Steelers last night, and I just saw it 30 seconds ago when I went to go look through tomorrow's potential plays. I have a Mac and it leaves my username and password set in their respective fields so all I have to do is press enter. He pressed enter and lost it all on the Steelers. So I do not know if I can continue this thread right now. I will be more than happy to post plays and look deeper into them for you guys, but I can't afford to do this right now. I've made too many deposits lately and that fukk won't reimburse me for his (and my) retardedness.