Snowball's CBB real bets

[Snowball]

ATS: 38-35-3
TEASERS: 31-18

Wednesday:
ATS:

Georgetown +2.5 (-110)
Georgia Southern +17.5 (-110)
Manhattan +12 (-110)
St. Peter's +4 (-110)
St. Bonaventure -3 (-110)
Central Florida (UCF) -1.5 (-110)

Teasers:

10pt: Georgetown +12.5, Georgia So. +27.5, Youngstown St +20.5, Manhattan +22
10pt: Marshall +2, Pittsburgh -7, Duquesne +3, Duke -3.5
10pt: St. Peter's +14, Cleveland St +11.5, Chattanooga +25, Southern Methodist +14
10pt: Tennessee +2, Valparaiso +11.5, Texas A&M -1, UCF +8.5
10pt: Creighton pk, Tulsa +2.5, Montana -5, Oklahoma St +24.5
10pt: Weber St -1.5, Pepperdine +16, St. Mary's -6.5, Cal-Fullerton +21.5

[Snowball]

boy Manhattan really got blown away. messed up a teaser where all others won.
Georgetown did not maintain their nice lead.
Uconn looking better lately (two home games, though..)
Peter's win, Bona win.

add: Cal-Irvine +11.5 (-110)

[LockPickMaster]

Bonnies baby

[Snowball]

Bonnies baby

yes sir

[Snowball]

shouldn't have added Irvine. You never know who will show up
with those Anteaters. Got to be the funniest name in CBB.
also will remember that Manhattan is garbage, Uconn is improving
and everyone shocked that San Diego BEAT St. Mary's.
new record: ATS 41-39-3 / TEASERS 35-20.

not too crazy about the ATS setups today.
definitely like these teasers. my only bets tonight.

(1) 10-pt: Coll. Charleston +0.5, UCLA +11, North Texas +1, Providence -1.5
(2) 10-pt: So. Dakota St +11, No. Dakota St +23.5, Alabama +1.5, Northwestern +1.5
(3) 10-pt: Santa Clara +23.5, San Francisco +20.5, IUPUI (Indiana-Purdue) -4.5, Denver -3.5
(4) 10-pt: Arkansas St +12, Richmond +16.5, Clemson +7.5, Arkansas Little Rock +8

[Snowball]

worst night in a long time.. only won 1. Providence lost at home, forget that team..
no excuses, even Coleman played. Congrats to DePaul who had lost 29 in a row on
the road. They deserved the game. Providence did not. Prov. was the only loser in
teaser (1). Teaser (2) was the winner. (3) saw IUPUI lose, (4) both Richmond and Clemson.
ATS 41-39-3 / TEASERS 36-23

the good news is.. tomorrow night could be YALE TO THE MOON V.
I am 4-0 on YTTM plays.. each had its own thread.
we will see tomorrow if it's ON or not.
YTTM plays must stay undefeated !

[Snowball]

the yale line is not anywhere near the points i expected.
my favorite play tonight is Harvard. They are athletically far superior to Cornell.
They are a young team, but are too talented for Cornell.

ATS:
Harvard -4.5 (-110)
1st Half Harvard -2.5 (-110)
Pennsylvania -2 (-110)
Virginia Comm. +8 (-110)

TEASER:
5-pt: Harvard +0.5, Va. Comm +13

and a parlay:
Princeton (-150), Louisville (-165), Penn (-135), Va. Comm +8 (-110), Harvard -4.5 (-110)
which would pay 15.56 to 1.

[davus4]

your parlay looks mighty awesome... i think you will get it!! i have awful luck with parlays though. the only 4-team parlay i was super sure about i only put 10.00 on. and then i gave up on parlays. but i am gonna help you out big time on your parlay tonight by NOT tailing that parlay. (because i have such awful luck with parlays.) thanks for helping me decide VCU. & Pennsylvania.

[Snowball]

your parlay looks mighty awesome... i think you will get it!! i have awful luck with parlays though. the only 4-team parlay i was super sure about i only put 10.00 on. and then i gave up on parlays. but i am gonna help you out big time on your parlay tonight by NOT tailing that parlay. (because i have such awful luck with parlays.) thanks for helping me decide VCU. & Pennsylvania.

Fridays are usually good to me. Harvard is the most important side for me.

[LockPickMaster]

what was the deal on weber state and joe dot com?

[Snowball]

what was the deal on weber state and joe dot com?

it's a freeplay by him. (SJS +1) he also has a big play in Ivy.. he was on Bonnies
when we hit them. what about it ? i don't want to post a link. joe wiz.

[Snowball]

the yale line is not anywhere near the points i expected.
my favorite play tonight is Harvard. They are athletically far superior to Cornell.
They are a young team, but are too talented for Cornell.

ATS:
Harvard -4.5 (-110)
1st Half Harvard -2.5 (-110)
Pennsylvania -2 (-110)
Virginia Comm. +8 (-110)

TEASER:
5-pt: Harvard +0.5, Va. Comm +13

and a parlay:
Princeton (-150), Louisville (-165), Penn (-135), Va. Comm +8 (-110), Harvard -4.5 (-110)
which would pay 15.56 to 1.

Starting to look likely that I may only need Lou ML to hit this 15.56/1 parlay ! But I feel strongly that they win tonight so will ADD

Louisville -3.5 (-110)


UConn has been lucky in its last two home games. I watched them both
on local cable. Providence and Georgetown beat themselves. They won't have their home crowd or the refs behind them tonight.. it's a long way to
Kentucky, son, for the Yankee. A long way to Kentucky..
Louisville Cardinals - ravenous home court, good coaching, strong in the paint,
fast, hungry team. Laying -3.5 GO CARDS
win this game, PITINO you sonna va bitch.

[LockPickMaster]

I should have tailed you, took Dartmouth and Weber, might get killed tonight.

[Snowball]

I should have tailed you, took Dartmouth and Weber, might get killed tonight.

well we shall see if i hit Louisville.. but I am staying neutral on SJS/Weber..
it's not the type of game that compares well to tomorrow's card which
will be here before we know it. good luck on that one.

[Kuroudu]

Great job Snowball!
Good luck!

[lyon804]

Awesome work Snowball. No NBA tommorow... I know nothing about college but want to make one winning bet who should I take?

[Snowball]

nothin' better than a sweep, guys !
i'm going to put parlays back on my track, that one made a difference @ (+15.56)
(in keeping track of parlays, each was 1 unit, have not posted one since 02/07).

ATS: 46-39-3, TEASERS: 37-23, PARLAYS: (-1.5)

edit: Lyon, welcome, just saw your post.
no plays or leans for tomorrow yet bro, check back around 11am-ish

[Snowball]

bets will be down as equal
Saturday: chronological order

Duquesne -2.5 (-110)
Virginia Tech -6 (-110)
Morehead St +3 (-110)
Mississippi (Ole Miss) pk (-110)
Texas -6.5 (-110)
Missouri -4.5 (-110)
Washington St -2.5 (-110)
Niagara -1.5 (-110)
SMU -1.5 (-110)
Seattle U +8 (-110)
Michigan pk (-110)
Furman -7 (-110)
Valparaiso -1 (-110)
UC Davis -3.5 (-110)
CS Fullerton +1 (-110)
Georgetown -8 (-110)
UNLV pk (-110)
Dartmouth +12 (-110)
Presbyterian +6 (-110)
Cincinnati pk (-110)
George Mason -4 (-110)
Loyola Marymount -1.5 (-110)
New Hampshire -3 (-110)
Memphis -2 (-110)
Marshall -2.5 (-110)
San Francisco +15.5 (-110)
Houston +11.5 (-110)
Montana +5.5 (-110)

teasers in a bout 20 minutes.

[Snowball]

all 10-pt teasers:

Austin Peay +15.5, Morehead St +13, Missouri +5.5, UMass +18
Butler +0.5, Colorado +25.5, Northeastern +14.5, St Peter's +14
Delaware +18.5, VMI +14, Seattle +18, Syracuse -1.5
No.Dakota St +15.5, Michigan +11, Princeton +2.5, North Carolina -1.5
CS Fullerton +11.5, Georgetown +2, Western Michigan +5.5, Florida Intl. +14
Vermont +18.5, George Mason +6.5, So.Dakota St +18.5, Maine +15.5
Cincy +8.5, Wisc-Milwaukee +15, Nevada +1, Georgia Southern +12.5
Valparaiso +9, Toledo +10, Wofford +1, Presbyterian +16
Charlotte +18.5, Memphis +8, Marshall +8, San Francisco +25.5
Dartmouth +22, NC Greensboro +16, Houston +21.5, North Texas -3.5
Utah St +15, Northern Arizona +12, Boise St +13, Montana +15.5

[Snowball]

Parlays:
7.82/1: VTech(-260),Morehead(+135),Texas(-280),WashSt(-145),Butler(-550)
2.50/1: Morehead +3,Texas(-280),Butler(-550),NC(-700)
4.78/1: Morehead +3(-110),Texas(-280),Butler(-550),Seattle +8(-110)
2.90/1: Seattle +8(-110),Oregon(-360),Furman(-300),Nevada(-500)
3.02/1: WasSt(-140),Butl(-550),Oregon(-360),NC(-700),SoMiss(-750),Nev(-600)
1.91/1: SoMiss(-750),Geotown(-400),Princeton(-360),UC Davis (-165)
4.65/1: Alabam(-650),Princet(-360),Geotwn(-400),GMason(-145),Cinc-1.5(-110)
1.75/1: GMason(-145),Geotwn(-400),NC(-700),Wofford(-500)
35.95/1: NC(-700),Geotwn(-400),Woff(-550),Memphis(-130),
Marshall(-135),Dartmouth+12(-110),Cincy-1.5(-110),GMason-3.5(-110)

[Snowball]

Texas loss a shocker. Nebraska tough defense, kept Texas shooting % down.
Longhorns rallied late, but fell short.

adding a play- the Ragin' Cajuns hosting Western Kentucky.

8pm UL-Lafayette -1.5 (-110)

[Snowball]

add: Montana -0.5 2h (ht score 24-36)

[Snowball]

i have to touch upon yesterday's results.. because statistically it was a poor
showing, for me, one of those big card days when I hit at a lower rate.
I went 11-16-2 ATS, and 5-6 Teasers, (-2.35) parlays, making my current posted record
as ATS 57-55-5, TEASERS 42-29, Parlays (-2.35).
Saturdays are daunting in appearance for us all. The card is so large, it can easily cause us to hurry in our decisions. Although I hit all my major plays, such as the ones I had separate threads on, in keeping track, I do not distinguish major to intermediate, to minor plays.
It is a dangerous method to have large plays and small plays. Merely because one believes a play has a higher likelihood of coming to fruition than another, equally capped game, is illogical and in the realm of "gut". Gut is haphazard, we all know. Therefore, the only thing I can do on coming Saturdays is slow down, hold to the same rigorous standards I employ during the week, and abstain from hasty decisions. I must remember that the more games played = the more opprtunity to lose, not to win. We will not find safety or success by falling into the trap of playing too many games on Saturdays. Personally, I do not enjoy CBB Saturdays. Too hectic, too fast, too much time pressure.
I will certainly be posting fewer plays on Saturdays.

I'll be posting my plays for today (which thankfully begin at 1pm) around 12:30.

[Kuroudu]

Okay! Good luck Snowball!

[Snowball]

Sunday
St. Joseph's +16 (-110) .. Scootie Reynolds out for Temple.
St. Bonaventure +9.5 (-110)
Ohio St +1 (-110)
Georgia Tech +20.5 (-110)
UCLA -1 (-110)

Teasers:
10pt: St. Joseph's +26, So.Alabama +20, St. Bona +19.5, NC St +20
10pt: Cleveland St +15.5, Wisc -1.5, Ohio St +11, Geo Tech +30.5
7pt: Cleve St +12.5, Bona +16.5, Geo Tech +27.5

[Snowball]

later tonight i also like the NBA all-star game to fall Under 272/271.5
as more than a standard play. The line is very high since the rookie/sophomore
game went into the 180's.. LM from 266.5 to this. big move.. too much !
I expect there will be at least a small modicum of defense played with Celtics
and Heat on the floor. Rivers and Popovich are both defensive minded coaches.
Not sure how serious they will be, but the setups and mindset may be more defensive
than the public imagines, we won't need a lot to see under this number.
Historically speaking, ATS o/u's are skewed by lower lines than this.

http://www.nba.com/history/allstar/allstargame_recaps.html

[davus4]

hey, i bet the under in the All-Stars too... just because it was the logical choice, not that i know anything about all-star games. agh. 300 points? what was it - some kind of videogame w/ unlimited turbo or something!??

-still think it was a good choice for a half-bet. (i also bet the Under 47 in the NFL All-Stars a few weeks back. heh!)

are you thinkin' about a small kent st +kansas +syracuse + samford 10pt teaser for today?

[Snowball]

i did poorly yesterday. watched the end of the Georgia Tech loss, how pathetic..
they had 3 chances to ensure the cover and blew it on their own, with Duke laying down.
Also lost the 7-pt teaser with Bonnies by a half point. Ohio St didn't even keep the end close.
ATS 58-59-5 TEASERS 43-31.

1 pm game today, taking Central Florida +8.5.

[fly fisher]

damn snow, I am on utep for -7.5, I hope utep wins by 8 so we both win

[Snowball]

damn snow, I am on utep for -7.5, I hope utep wins by 8 so we both win

UCF owning them big.. good luck making it back later.
at least i'm back to .500 ATS 59-59-5 TEASERS 43-31.

[Snowball]

ok, as best bet tonight I am on Valpo -1.
plays:

Valpo -1 (-110)
Furman -3.5 (-110)
Oklahoma St +17 (-110)
Kent St +1.5 (-110)

10-pt: Samford +27.5, Kent St +11.5, OK St +27, Valpo +9

parlay 2.06/1: Furman (-165), Valpo -1 (-110)

[LockPickMaster]

Why did you take UCF. Still trying to figure out how to cap these games.

[Snowball]

Why did you take UCF. Still trying to figure out how to cap these games.

UCF was a quick choice for me. They have been good to me, and I recalled
that their losses were close, within the +8.5 differential. They fought to
the end at UAB, last game where I had them, fighting back from a large deficit
to only lose by 5. Looking at the results, they had not lost a game by 9 points
since Jan 26 @ Memphis, and also, I am not a UTEP buyer.

[linehawk]

With you on Valpo -1. In fact, I don't see them losing any remaining games on their schedule.

[badbyzdmx]

Love that play good luck