Snowball's CBB real bets

[creditcardclown]

dmn portland sucks!

[Snowball]

my apologies to those who tailed last night.. Portland was flat and got in early foul
trouble. Portland doesn't suck. They are head and shoulders the better team over San Fran.
However what I'm noticing this year is that the better team just is not showing up on the road.
It's been very dangerous to take road teams. Sure, once in a blue moon one will win that shouldn't.
The winners on my card last night were Elon and Jacksonville State.
I am going to be a lot more careful concerning betting money on visitors.
Tonight's card is the usual light action in MAAC and a little Horizon, and Atlantic Sun.
Vegas has the home teams marked up high and pricey.
Butler and Valpo are too high for my taste. Iona on road at -15 is priced at a premium,
but Niagara is the worst team in the MAAC.
St. Peters is unreliable and is only favored bec. they are home vs. Siena.
Canisius is improved this year but nowhere near the same team as Fairfield, yet I
feel wary of taking Fairfield ATS, and ML is pricey at (-220).
Valpo is a good bet to include in ML parlays, but I am not laying 9 pts. I don't even want to tease them to -4. I think Siena will show up tonight to reach 4-4 in Conference Play
and Rossiter can go large in the paint on St. Peter's.
Now that the Belmont line is out, I'm hitting it at -19 also. Just look at how they have been
thoroughly decimating other teams. This team will be in the Tournament to represent AS conf.
(in all likelihood). http://www.cbssports.com/collegebask...belmont-bruins
their opponent, South Carolina Upstate, is a cellar team.
Belmont has a penchant for blowing out inferior competition.
This is the last time I will go with the better team on the road for a while, if they lose.
If just one of Siena ML or Belmont covers, fine.. but if both lose

Belmont -19 1x
Siena ML (115) 1x
1x 3-team 5pt teaser (ties push) pays +140
Siena +7, Fairfield +0.5, Belmont -14.

p.s. in NBA i like the Celtics tonight at home over Jazz to cover 5.

[No coincidences]

my apologies to those who tailed last night.. Portland was flat and got in early foul
trouble. Portland doesn't suck. They are head and shoulders the better team over San Fran.
However what I'm noticing this year is that the better team just is not showing up on the road.
It's been very dangerous to take road teams. Sure, once in a blue moon one will win that shouldn't.
The winners on my card last night were Elon and Jacksonville State.
I am going to be a lot more careful concerning betting money on visitors.
Tonight's card is the usual light action in MAAC and a little Horizon, and Atlantic Sun.
Vegas has the home teams marked up high and pricey.
Butler and Valpo are too high for my taste. Iona on road at -15 is priced at a premium,
but Niagara is the worst team in the MAAC.
St. Peters is unreliable and is only favored bec. they are home vs. Siena.
Canisius is improved this year but nowhere near the same team as Fairfield, yet I
feel wary of taking Fairfield ATS, and ML is pricey at (-220).
Valpo is a good bet to include in ML parlays, but I am not laying 9 pts. I don't even want to tease them to -4. I think Siena will show up tonight to reach 4-4 in Conference Play
and Rossiter can go large in the paint on St. Peter's.
Now that the Belmont line is out, I'm hitting it at -19 also. Just look at how they have been
thoroughly decimating other teams. This team will be in the Tournament to represent AS conf.
(in all likelihood). http://www.cbssports.com/collegebask...belmont-bruins
their opponent, South Carolina Upstate, is a cellar team.
Belmont has a penchant for blowing out inferior competition.
This is the last time I will go with the better team on the road for a while, if they lose.
If just one of Siena ML or Belmont covers, fine.. but if both lose

Belmont -19 1x
Siena ML (115) 1x
1x 3-team 5pt teaser (ties push) pays +140
Siena +7, Fairfield +0.5, Belmont -14.

p.s. in NBA i like the Celtics tonight at home over Jazz to cover 5.

It's just not worth the hassle, Snow -- unless you have a real angle that you're comfortable with.

[Boxer300]

USC Upstate is terrible. I think Belmont wins by 25 maybe 30. Fairfield at -5 looks pretty good too.

[Snowball]

It's just not worth the hassle, Snow -- unless you have a real angle that you're comfortable with.

like my upcoming Yale to the Moon V play on February 18th ?
a full moon and Friday night.

[WIZARDOFBEANTOWN]

i like siena and belmont but canisus worries me at home good luck

[creditcardclown]

darn tough night again sorry snowball!

[Snowball]

i knew it may not work - as I've been getting paved with road teams..
but the Celtics did cover and I had them ATS and in a tease with Fairfield.

I definitely like the Celtics again tonight @ Wizards. They really didn't overexert themselves
too much last night in the second half. They ran plays the Jazz have never seen before.
Jazz were left standing around wondering what the hell happened. Same thing tonight, the line
is not high around -6 and C's are very smooth.

call me a glutton for punishment, but I'm going with Ohio State at noon. It's on CBS.
Like I said, going to have to become very choosy with road teams. This year is going that way.
Ohio State is ranked #1 by AP, Coaches, and Parrish. I know the Illini will have all their homers
out in full noise, but OSU is one of those teams which obviously has big plans and can win on
the road.. at 19-0. Illini play over their heads sometimes, but I don't think they break the OSU
win streak.. 20-0 sounds like it's coming to me.
What I'm going to do is play them ML(-150) in some parlays and SU at -3(-110).

Ohio St -3 (-110)

11-team parlay pays 11.9/1
Ohio St(-150),AirForce(-280),LoyolaChi(-800),Kentucky(-400),CentralFla(-800),
Marshall(-440),WichitaSt(-800),NoColo(-400),Montana(-550),Celtics(-300),Clippers(-360)

7-team parlay pays 5.24/1
Ohio St(-150),AirForce(-280),LoyolaChi(-800),WichitaSt(-800),NoColo(-400)
Celtics(-300),Clippers(-360)

after the Ohio St game, if win -3, I'll have some more plays with that money.

[Snowball]

all right ! finally caught a break with a road team. hit OSU ATS and parlays alive.


3:05pm OHIO -1 1st Half (hosting Buffalo)
7:00pm YOUNGSTOWN ST +2.5 1st Half (hosting Detroit)

4-team parlay pays 5.11/1
1st Half Ohio -1(-110), 1st Half Youngstown St +2.5(-110), Celtics(-280), Clippers(-400)

[Snowball]

ok, Ohio-1 1h is in with the cover, 43-25.
taking them 2h also, because
when this team is hot, they are smoking.
Ohio +3 2h on the board til 4:17

[sweethook]

gl. on your half plays

[fishtot]

wow this sux

[No coincidences]

If you double down on the MAC, the MAC will kick you in the nuts every time.

[ukbsktbll]

Yep Ohio takes 1h and buffalo the 2h

[Snowball]

yeah, Ohio caved 2h.. but the parlay with them 1h is still alive, and
Youngstown 1h paid. This is a winning day. I am 3-1 ATS posted plays
with 3 parlays at (+511),(+524), and (+1190) odds all surviving.
fingers crossed.

[Snowball]

takin it easy tonight

10-pt teaser
NC Wilmington +24
Va Commonwealth -0
Pittsburgh -1
Siena +9

[Snowball]

just one bet tonight

Richmond @ Dayton Over 131.5 (-110)

[Snowball]

10-pt teaser ties lose:
Evansville +17, Cincinnatti -0.5, JMU +5.5, St Bonaventure +5

10-pt teaser ties lose:
Tulane +22, Houston +16, Long Beach St +16.5, Georgia Southern +27

5-pt teaser ties push 3.5/1
Northeastern +8.5, Marshall +11, Northwestern +10, East Carolina +7.5, Northern Illinois +8.5

5-pt teaser ties push .77/1:
Evansville +12, Long Beach St +11.5

Parlay 3.15/1
Wichita St(-220), LaSalle(-165), Tulsa(-650), Cincinnatti(-700), Northern Iowa(-260)

[No coincidences]

just one bet tonight

Richmond @ Dayton Over 131.5 (-110)

A lot of us got screwed on that one.

CBB totals are straight bullshit.

[Snowball]

A lot of us got screwed on that one.

CBB totals are straight bullshit.

yes, which is why i virtually always play sides instead.
overall this year has been a crapshoot anyway
last year was better.
still making the bets like tonight
but not as big $ as NBA.

[soonerstud7804]

i played the under because i read it wrong yesterday got it @ 132 and was pissed after i played it but happy at the outcome...

[Snowball]

i played the under because i read it wrong yesterday got it @ 132 and was pissed after i played it but happy at the outcome...

good for you. i had half on 131.5 and half on 131 (bought .05)
tough to lose by a half point, even more so on totals..
anyone going with any of my plays tonight ?

[Snowball]

10-pt teaser ties lose:
Evansville +17, Cincinnatti -0.5, JMU +5.5, St Bonaventure +5

10-pt teaser ties lose:
Tulane +22, Houston +16, Long Beach St +16.5, Georgia Southern +27

5-pt teaser ties push 3.5/1
Northeastern +8.5, Marshall +11, Northwestern +10, East Carolina +7.5, Northern Illinois +8.5

5-pt teaser ties push .77/1:
Evansville +12, Long Beach St +11.5

Parlay 3.15/1
Wichita St(-220), LaSalle(-165), Tulsa(-650), Cincinnatti(-700), Northern Iowa(-260)

friggin Tulsa just had to lose by 1 point at home to SMU.
Bona the only other loss.
still have 3 of these alive, including the +350 tease

[davus4]

friggin Tulsa just had to lose by 1 point at home to SMU.

AGHHHH.... i had Tulsa in a really awesome parl too! damn you, severely-dogged away teams!!! (or should i say: damn you, severely-favored homes!)

[Snowball]

all i can say is i hope the bad luck is over with.
losing the 3x parlay by 1pt and then with Northwestern
I only needed +10, they lost by 11.. another 1pt loss, that teaser was +350.
2 teasers won last night.
here we go:

4-team 10-pt teaser .77/1 ties lose
Youngstown St +21.5, UCLA +17.5, St Mary's +13, Portland -6.5

4-team parlay 1.47/1
VCU (-420), Ark St (-700), Cleve St (-600), Celtics (-200)

7-team parlay 9.82/1
VCU (-420), Ark St (-700), Cleve St (-600), Celtics (-200)
Ball St (-135), Wofford (-190), LaSalle (-155)

VCU -8.5 (-110)
Ball St -2 (-110)
Celtics -4 (-120)

[davus4]

hmm... it seems those Portland kids keep trying to make 3's (and FAIL) when focusing on their 2's would be more beneficial most of the time. i am on them for 1st-Half tonight though! and Celtics. good luck.

[davus4]

cool, fairly awesome night for you! congrats!
only Ball State let you down. *sigh*
as for Portland, i see they actually made 9 out of 24 three-ptrs tonight. whoa, that's a bit improved. by comparison, St. Mary's made 8 out of 23 tonight. i am tempted to say they almost pulled a Portland and lost it.. (hehehe.) note: i did not watch both games fully though. but maybe tomorrow Portland will actually have a chance to cover if they are more than +15, or something. (and they might even win if their coach enacts an experimental no 3-ptrs policy, hehe. -sorry.)

hope you continue to hit these teasers & parrrlays!

[Snowball]

thanks davus, yeah last night i did well.. +2.04 units if bets were taken
equally, but nobody would bet a 7-team parlay equally, at least I hope not.
imagine if Ball St won it woulda been a sweep including a 7-team parlay at 9.82/1..
getting close. here's what i'm drumming up tonight. again I like the Celtics enough
to include them, these are real bets so I feel it would be disingenuous to not post
just because there's a little NBA mixed in.

notes:
Niagara: Kashief Edwards G (12.7ppg,6.4rpg,1.35bpg,.88spg) is back after a 3-game miss.
Niagara @ Canisius (niagara falls to buffalo) 7pm on ESPNU cable.
Niagara in its last 2 gm lost by 8 to Fairfield and by 5 to Iona, the two best teams in MAAC.
look for word on whether captain Ronnie Dixon will play for Dartmouth. They are at home vs Cornell.
he's been out over a month. for the first time he is listed as questionable. No better time
to take a stab at playing than Friday night at home. the line indicates such (without possible emergence of Dixon, I believe it would be higher), but, moreover, Chris Wroblewski is playing in pain for Cornell. He averages 15.5 ppg.. expected to play with partially torn hip flexor. Far from 100%. Dartmouth fought well at Harvard in their last outing, losing by only 9 there. Harvard is far superior to Cornell this year. It's also a long cold ride up to New Hampshire.
---

Niagara +12 (-120)

10-pt teaser ties lose:
Columbia +21, Niagara +21.5, Princeton -4, Dartmouth +13.5

10pt teaser ties lose:
NBA Denver +0.5, NBA Boston +6.5, NBA OKC -0.5, NBA LA -2.5

5-pt teaser ties push, odds (+700)
Columbia +16, Niagara +16.5, Dartmouth +8.5, NBA Denver -4.5,
NBA Miami -5.5, NBA Toronto +7.5, NBA Boston +1.5

Parlay odds (+141)
NBA Miami (-700), NBA OKC (-750), NBA Denver (-600), NBA Boston (-165)

Parlay odds (+359)
Niagara +11.5 (-110), NBA Miami (-700), NBA OKC (-750), NBA Denver (-600), NBA Boston (-165)

Parlay odds (+7286)
Princeton -14 (-110), Dartmouth to Win (150), Columbia +11 (-110), Niagara +11.5 (-110),
NBA Boston -3.5 (-110), NBA Miami (-700), NBA OKC (-750), NBA Denver (-600)

[Snowball]

teaser 1 has cashed.
well i was right about Dartmouth, they won..
Niagara was tied 41-41 then proceeded to blow it.. but right at the end the Niagara
player shot a 3 at the buzzer and made it, they called the game over with no replay !
sucks, missed that ATS although they covered the teases.
need the Heat here and Celtics.
i also like Charlotte over Warriors later.

[Snowball]

ok.. starting off today with these.. likely more to come.
no more NBA in any of the plays.. the thread is about CBB only.
I will also start enumerating the wagers, making it easier to refer to them.

Saturday

(1) Temple @ St. Joseph's 1st Half Under 61.5 (11am tipoff)

(2) Parlay +104: Temple(-800), Geo Mason(-600), Connecticut(-180)

(3) Parlay +2250: Temple(-800), Geo Mason(-600), Connecticut(-180), Villanova(-200),
Northeastern(-200), Purdue(-550), North Carolina(-650), CollCharleston(-155)
Creighton(-220), Kentucky(-700), Long Beach St(-700), Utah St(-500).

[alydar]

snow

do you have any kind of record on your straight plays from beginning of season?

[Snowball]

(1) hit..
(2) and (3), parlays, lost with UConn by 1 pt in 2OT.

aly, i don't keep a record on ATS. honestly I probably run 55-60% on avg ATS.
but because the way I choose to play is so often not ATS, it's just not something I monitor.

(4) 2:53 tipoff, 2 half Colorado +8.5 (-110)
ht score 35-21 Colorado

[Snowball]

(5) 1st Half Creighton -3 (Indiana St @ Creighton 3:00)

[Snowball]

lost (4) Baylor came back and rolled big in 2h.
won (5) Creighton 1h -3 (36-29)

taking (6) Creighton 2h -1.5 (-110) tip 4:13

[Snowball]

hit (6), Creighton 2h.

6pm plays
(7)Air Force +3 (-110)
(8)Tenn-Chattanooga -1 (-110)

7pm
(9)Dartmouth ML (110)