Snowball's CBB real bets

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

why colorado man.. Nebraska's a damn good team plus they got homecourt advantage here

[Snowball]

why colorado man.. Nebraska's a damn good team plus they got homecourt advantage here

Colorado is 3-0 in Big 12 play, and on a 7 game winning streak.
Also, I capped them at 14% better t/o ratio than Nebraska,
10% better shooting, and superior RPI and roster experience.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

I also notice Colorado has a better free throw shooting squad as well. Maybe it's not such a bad play afterall.

[Snowball]

yes, it's my 2nd best play.. but Kentucky is still 1st, and notice
I have Colorado teased up in another bet.
all being said - both my teams are on the road tonight
so don't go nuts with the $... road wins are never a granted.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

That's 1 reason why I never like to bet on the away teams, unless they are a proven team like Kansas, Villanova etc etc. Colorado has done pretty well though and even if they do lose, I'll gladly take the 3.5 points and hope they keep it within 1 possesion

[Snowball]

the thing is I don't see value in only getting 3.5 pts with college b ball.
the reason is that the team which is down always fouls giving the leading team
free throws which more often than not expand the differential beyond say 5.
therefore i prefer to take Colorado outright for 60% more return and insure
that with them teased to a more valuable number like +7 or +8.

[Gross, Inc.]

Patiently waiting for my sportsbook to put CU back at +4.

If this game is officiated closely CU dominates the charity stripe

[Snowball]

Patiently waiting for my sportsbook to put CU back at +4.

If this game is officiated closely CU dominates the charity stripe

you got your +4

[spargament]

If it was gonna be this easy....

[Snowball]

add: 2nd Half-SETON HALL +11 (-110)

[No coincidences]

It's +1.

[freeVICK]

[Snowball]

i booked +11 at VIP ! lol. no wonder THEIR TYPO
my bet still says 11.

ok scratch it for the record but we'll see what happens with my bet.

CB 2nd Half-SETON HALL to Win +11(-110)
2nd Half-GEORGETOWN vs 2nd Half-SETON HALL
HT Score: GT 38 - SH 31

[Snowball]

they just paid me the Seton Hall 2h.
but did they only pay because SH covered +1 ? probably.. would have cancelled it
if they did not cover +1. (but not me lose, because all i would have to do call and say it's +11
which made me bet it.. so you see it was a no-lose situation.)

Rooting for Kentucky now..

[Snowball]

2nd Half-NORTHWESTERN -2 (-110)

Point Total Over 74 (-110)
2nd Half-KENTUCKY vs 2nd Half-ALABAMA

[Snowball]

Guys my favorite pick of the night is Rhode Island -2 @ St. Joseph's.

hurry if you want it, line has moved to -2.5 at some books.

[Snowball]

ok last night was first bad night in a while with Kentucky and Colorado. The only bet I won
was the 10pt teaser. I seem to win at least 80%+ of those, not one posted here has lost.

here is what I am on with possible late action later.

RHODE ISLAND aka URI -2 (2x play)

8-Team Parlay odds 31.07/1
St. John's +7, W&M +2.5, Ohio +1,Ball St(-165),URI(-145),
Duke(-700),Wichita St(-400),Creighton(-550)

4-Team Parlay odds 1.71/1
Ball St(-165), Duke(-700),Wichita St(-400), Creighton(-550)

10-pt Teaser .77/1 ties lose
St. John's +17, Ohio +11, Ball St +7, Wichita St +2.5

10-pt Teaser .77/1 ties lose
James Madison (JMU) +18, Mississippi(Ole Miss)+20.5, Creighton +0.5, NBA Celtics -1.5

[No coincidences]

Good luck, Snow.

No MAC for me. Ever. I've sworn it off -- worst conference in America.

[Snowball]

Good luck, Snow.

No MAC for me. Ever. I've sworn it off -- worst conference in America.

MAC is a guessing game, i know. But I am sticking with my guns on
Ball State and Ohio tonight.
Still, clearly my favorite game is Rhode Island over St Joseph's.. and they are Atlantic 10.

[Snowball]

ok last night was first bad night in a while with Kentucky and Colorado. The only bet I won
was the 10pt teaser. I seem to win at least 80%+ of those, not one posted here has lost.

here is what I am on with possible late action later.

RHODE ISLAND aka URI -2 (2x play)

8-Team Parlay odds 31.07/1
St. John's +7, W&M +2.5, Ohio +1,Ball St(-165),URI(-145),
Duke(-700),Wichita St(-400),Creighton(-550)

4-Team Parlay odds 1.71/1
Ball St(-165), Duke(-700),Wichita St(-400), Creighton(-550)

10-pt Teaser .77/1 ties lose
St. John's +17, Ohio +11, Ball St +7, Wichita St +2.5

10-pt Teaser .77/1 ties lose
James Madison (JMU) +18, Mississippi(Ole Miss)+20.5, Creighton +0.5, NBA Celtics -1.5

hit URI.. the 2x main bet.
4-team parlay and one teaser still alive.

add: Air Force +19 (-120) @ SDSU 1x

[Snowball]

nice win with Air Force.

here's my plays for today.

PORTLAND -3 (-110) 2x
TENN. CHATTANOOGA +12 (-120) 2x
APPALACHIAN ST -2 (-120) 1x
JACKSONVILLE ST +10.5 (-110) 1x
ELON +2 (-110) 1x

2x 10-pt teaser: Tenn Chatt +21.5, Jacks St +20.5, Elon +12, Furman -2
1x 5-pt teaser: No.Arizona -2.5, Youngstown St +12
1x 5-pt teaser: Tenn Chatt +16.5, Jacks St +15.5

.0625x 12-team parlay odds 115.68/1
NC Greens(-360),Elon (115),CoC(-800), AppSt(-140),No.Texas(-300),JacksSt +10.5(-110)
Maryland(-240),PortlandSt -1.5(-110),UCLA(-280),Portland(-150),Wash(-440),No.Col(-600)

.25x 6-team parlay odds 12.5/1
CoC(-800),TennChatt+11.5(-110),AppSt(-140),Furman -12(-110),No.Col(-600),Portland(-150)

[No coincidences]

nice win with Air Force.

here's my plays for today.

PORTLAND -3 (-110) 2x
TENN. CHATTANOOGA +12 (-120) 2x
APPALACHIAN ST -2 (-120) 1x
JACKSONVILLE ST +10.5 (-110) 1x
ELON +2 (-110) 1x

2x 10-pt teaser: Tenn Chatt +21.5, Jacks St +20.5, Elon +12, Furman -2
1x 5-pt teaser: No.Arizona -2.5, Youngstown St +12
1x 5-pt teaser: Tenn Chatt +16.5, Jacks St +15.5

.125x 12-team parlay odds 115.68/1
NC Greens(-360),Elon (115),CoC(-800), AppSt(-140),No.Texas(-300),JacksSt +10.5(-110)
Maryland(-240),PortlandSt -1.5(-110),UCLA(-280),Portland(-150),Wash(-440),No.Col(-600)

.25x 6-team parlay odds 12.5/1
CoC(-800),TennChatt+11.5(-110),AppSt(-140),Furman -12(-110),No.Col(-600),Portland(-150)

What's with this line, Snow?

[No coincidences]

I think this is precisely the kind of spot where App. State loves to shit the bed, and I've been told never to bet against SF at home.

[Snowball]

What's with this line, Snow?

i don't see any injuries.. people still think Wofford is pedigree.

[Snowball]

I think this is precisely the kind of spot where App. State loves to shit the bed, and I've been told never to bet against SF at home.

Portland Pilots are a talented basketball team.
the SF Dons are unathletic run of the mill. They've lost
at home this season to Loyola Chicago, IUPUI, and Colorado St.
Portland is one of those teams I am riding.. so it's a tape measure game.
I think they could be on the bubble this year.

[No coincidences]

i don't see any injuries.. people still think Wofford is pedigree.

I don't think I've ever seen a situation where a team unbeaten in their conference and 8-1 ATS in their last nine league games is a DD dog. Bizarre.

[daprospecta]

Portland Pilots are a talented basketball team.
the SF Dons are unathletic run of the mill. They've lost
at home this season to Loyola Chicago, IUPUI, and Colorado St.
Portland is one of those teams I am riding.. so it's a tape measure game.
I think they could be on the bubble this year.

You are a much better capper than I am with more experience so much respect is due. But be careful. Here's some things that I looked at.

SF are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. West Coast.
SF is 4-1 at home ATS.
SF is 3-0 in conference play while Portland is 1-2.

I think San Fran started kind of rough but this team is gelling now.

[daprospecta]

I'm on the App state play with you but that Chat pick had me clustered and that's why I didn't touch it. No way just needs double digits against Wofford but I think the books know something. Will monitor it though.

[Snowball]

that's what they are doing, daprospecta, scaring guys like you off the bet
with the line.. if someone sees why Wofford should be favored by 11.5
against Chattanooga, let me know.
With the Potland bet, I capped them at -7. Give SF 4 for home and it
matches the -3 line. CBS has them by -1.5. At -3 I see no reason to buy
pts. If they have the lead, they should cover the 3.
just repasting the plays here for easy thread reference.
there will be no further modifications or additions.
let it roll.

PORTLAND -3 (-110) 2x
TENN. CHATTANOOGA +12 (-120) 2x
APPALACHIAN ST -2 (-120) 1x
JACKSONVILLE ST +10.5 (-110) 1x
ELON +2 (-110) 1x

2x 10-pt teaser: Tenn Chatt +21.5, Jacks St +20.5, Elon +12, Furman -2
1x 5-pt teaser: No.Arizona -2.5, Youngstown St +12
1x 5-pt teaser: Tenn Chatt +16.5, Jacks St +15.5

.0625x 12-team parlay odds 115.68/1
NC Greens(-360),Elon (115),CoC(-800), AppSt(-140),No.Texas(-300),JacksSt +10.5(-110)
Maryland(-240),PortlandSt -1.5(-110),UCLA(-280),Portland(-150),Wash(-440),No.Col(-600)

.25x 6-team parlay odds 12.5/1
CoC(-800),TennChatt+11.5(-110),AppSt(-140),Furman -12(-110),No.Col(-600),Portland(-150)

[daprospecta]

that's what they are doing, daprospecta, scaring guys like you off the bet
with the line.. if someone sees why Wofford should be favored by 11.5
against Chattanooga, let me know.
With the Potland bet, I capped them at -7. Give SF 4 for home and it
matches the -3 line. CBS has them by -1.5. At -3 I see no reason to buy
pts. If they have the lead, they should cover the 3.
just repasting the plays here for easy thread reference.
there will be no further modifications or additions.
let it roll.

PORTLAND -3 (-110) 2x
TENN. CHATTANOOGA +12 (-120) 2x
APPALACHIAN ST -2 (-120) 1x
JACKSONVILLE ST +10.5 (-110) 1x
ELON +2 (-110) 1x

2x 10-pt teaser: Tenn Chatt +21.5, Jacks St +20.5, Elon +12, Furman -2
1x 5-pt teaser: No.Arizona -2.5, Youngstown St +12
1x 5-pt teaser: Tenn Chatt +16.5, Jacks St +15.5

.0625x 12-team parlay odds 115.68/1
NC Greens(-360),Elon (115),CoC(-800), AppSt(-140),No.Texas(-300),JacksSt +10.5(-110)
Maryland(-240),PortlandSt -1.5(-110),UCLA(-280),Portland(-150),Wash(-440),No.Col(-600)

.25x 6-team parlay odds 12.5/1
CoC(-800),TennChatt+11.5(-110),AppSt(-140),Furman -12(-110),No.Col(-600),Portland(-150)

That's what I mean Snow, I mistype but what I was saying was Chat doesn't need double digit points it too much of a gift and that has me worried.

[Tower]

i like the picks today! thanks!

[Snowball]

45 mins .. let the games begin...

[sweethook]

nice card gl.

[BigDofBA]

I took the road favorite against San Francisco earlier in the year and San Francisco inexplicably pounded them....I'm trying to think of which game that was. All I know is it looked really easy and of course I lost.

[Snowball]

update.. mezza mezz..

bad news: Appalachian St and Tenn-Chatt got taken to the woodshed. Their strengths
sure did not show up tonight when on the road. Tenn Chatt loss was so wide
they screwed up the superteaser which had them +21.5

good news: Elon won, and Jacksonville St is up big, a 10.5 dog winning by 18 on the road.

biggest bet of the night starts at 10, Portland..
going to add one 1x play for Midnight:

Fresno St +3 (-120).