Tracking New System (80% in 1st week)

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • DaOutlaw1x
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-15-10
    • 191

    #386
    Thanks Aussie and heandog
    Comment
    • Heandog
      SBR MVP
      • 12-30-09
      • 1634

      #387
      Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
      thats all for today for the kineproffesor system, plenty of close games but no cigar..
      thanks aussie Ill talk to you later gotta go shovel some 16 inches of snow be back later.
      Comment
      • Aussiecapper101
        SBR MVP
        • 09-04-10
        • 2220

        #388
        Originally posted by Heandog
        thanks aussie Ill talk to you later gotta go shovel some 16 inches of snow be back later.
        we got bush fires where I am I'll swap you some snow for fire Good luck with that
        Comment
        • nunny
          SBR Hustler
          • 11-09-10
          • 76

          #389
          Thanks for the info guys. I followed you yesterday, Im on you guys today as well. Keep up the good work!
          Comment
          • DaOutlaw1x
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-15-10
            • 191

            #390
            Watching these lines shoot up Toledo +13 Fordham +9.5 now guess I will see how many points I can get with these two
            Comment
            • Aussiecapper101
              SBR MVP
              • 09-04-10
              • 2220

              #391
              Originally posted by DaOutlaw1x
              Watching these lines shoot up Toledo +13 Fordham +9.5 now guess I will see how many points I can get with these two
              its actually suprising me we are getting +13 on toledo, last year the highest spreads we got were about that so this will be good to see where its at.. Hey just remember we are backing these underdogs purely because of system.. usually if one of these plays lose its because the team is pathetic and they get blown right out from opening tip off, Im not saying thats going to happen tomorrow Im just telling you thats how it works so no-one is laughing at us if a team loses by 30 or whatever.. its about the long run with this system and february being the main month, anyway good luck Im on them for 1.5x each
              Comment
              • Aussiecapper101
                SBR MVP
                • 09-04-10
                • 2220

                #392
                Originally posted by DuncHen22
                1/12 Pitt +2.5 (3.5) Seton -2 (2) UTEP -3 (2) George Mason -6 (2) Ball St -6 (2) Duke -9 (2) Vandy -9 (3) Tulsa +3 (2) UNLV +4.5 (2.5) Nebraska +11.5 (5.5) Colorado +10 (2) Colorado State +10 (2) I decided to just get rid of the 3 sections altogether. After over 140 plays, they're all at 62% so I'm not seeing the difference I was expecting. I can analyze them again at the end of the season if needed. Also, let me know if I missed something.
                Originally posted by DuncHen22
                1/12 Pitt +2.5 (3.5) Seton -2 (2) UTEP -3 (2) George Mason -6 (2) Ball St -6 (2) Duke -9 (2) Vandy -9 (3) Tulsa +3 (2) UNLV +4.5 (2.5) Nebraska +11.5 (5.5) Colorado +10 (2) Colorado State +10 (2) I decided to just get rid of the 3 sections altogether. After over 140 plays, they're all at 62% so I'm not seeing the difference I was expecting. I can analyze them again at the end of the season if needed. Also, let me know if I missed something.
                Originally posted by TxBulldog
                Since, 1/1/11, my subset of these games is running 25-9 (73.5%). While this is a hell of a run, it could turn at any time, so please don't go crazy. I have been wanting to back check the beginning of the season, but just haven't had the time. I will post if I can get around to it. For Wed, my subset of games for Dunc's system is: Seton Hall UTEP G. Mason Duke UNLV Colorado Colo St.
                bumping these up for you guys
                Comment
                • BIGDAY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 02-17-10
                  • 48245

                  #393
                  WOOT WOOT
                  Comment
                  • BIGDAY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 02-17-10
                    • 48245

                    #394
                    Glad I snaged CO state at +10 as it's allready at +8.5!
                    Thanks guys for getting these selections out early!
                    Comment
                    • Axis
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-08-09
                      • 1255

                      #395
                      I like a fair amount of these games today...only weeded out a few with my other filters..
                      Comment
                      • GGZOLA
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-30-06
                        • 1118

                        #396
                        guys, are all of you playing the kineproff angle prematurely? I'm tempted but dont know think tracking and being patient is better until Feb?
                        If someone can find me a weekly/daily kenpom ranking sheet that goes back years (does he archive or can they be found) I would be glad to backtrack system because another sports forum has spreads+results since 2006 or 2007. Now all we need are kenpom's ranking archives.
                        Comment
                        • DaOutlaw1x
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-15-10
                          • 191

                          #397
                          Anyone know why Duke is falling open at -8.5 now at -7.5
                          Comment
                          • LockPickMaster
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-15-09
                            • 1943

                            #398
                            Originally posted by DaOutlaw1x
                            Anyone know why Duke is falling open at -8.5 now at -7.5
                            at that number would Duke be the play now?
                            Comment
                            • DaOutlaw1x
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-15-10
                              • 191

                              #399
                              Duke has been a play all day just wondering if there is a reason for the drop.
                              Comment
                              • Axis
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-08-09
                                • 1255

                                #400
                                Originally posted by DaOutlaw1x
                                Anyone know why Duke is falling open at -8.5 now at -7.5
                                Because Florida State has a habit of beating #1 teams (including Duke twice)
                                Comment
                                • Axis
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-08-09
                                  • 1255

                                  #401
                                  Originally posted by GGZOLA
                                  guys, are all of you playing the kineproff angle prematurely? I'm tempted but dont know think tracking and being patient is better until Feb?
                                  If someone can find me a weekly/daily kenpom ranking sheet that goes back years (does he archive or can they be found) I would be glad to backtrack system because another sports forum has spreads+results since 2006 or 2007. Now all we need are kenpom's ranking archives.
                                  I'm not playing the Kineproff system. I'd never even heard of it...if I did play it, I'd for sure wait until February like the 2 people said who've used it.

                                  Hopping on to new systems I've never see is sketchy to me...especially because it's not the right time frame.

                                  To each their own.
                                  Comment
                                  • LockPickMaster
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-15-09
                                    • 1943

                                    #402
                                    Originally posted by Axis
                                    Because Florida State has a habit of beating #1 teams (including Duke twice)
                                    Everything I am reading about FSU says they have no offense and go thru one guy, Singletary.
                                    Comment
                                    • The Haze
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 10-24-09
                                      • 11

                                      #403
                                      I gotta say you guys are top notch when it comes to these picks. I've only come across your thread 4 days ago and im already up big. Im a $1 and $2 player and i've been teasing these picks. So far UC Irvine And Providence are the only plays that lost with the 6pt Teaser. I got 73 point to give ill split them with you and the bulldog. Keep up the incredible work!
                                      Comment
                                      • Aussiecapper101
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-04-10
                                        • 2220

                                        #404
                                        Originally posted by GGZOLA
                                        guys, are all of you playing the kineproff angle prematurely? I'm tempted but dont know think tracking and being patient is better until Feb? If someone can find me a weekly/daily kenpom ranking sheet that goes back years (does he archive or can they be found) I would be glad to backtrack system because another sports forum has spreads+results since 2006 or 2007. Now all we need are kenpom's ranking archives.
                                        hey, Im not sure where you'll be able to find that info.. but with this system I am only playing it prematurely because Ive been on a roll and willing to see if a can squeeze some money out of it before february if it loses then I'll know for next year to not touch til Feb.. I have been playing it since January 1 and its now 8-4 but I do advise that unless you've got the money to risk then just track it til February because you wont miss much (if it heats up it now then it still will in February)
                                        Comment
                                        • DuncHen22
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-20-09
                                          • 1079

                                          #405
                                          Damn, I totally messed up that Duke play. It actually opened at -8 and I caught it last night at -9 but now it's down to -7.5

                                          Oh well, here's to hoping for a blowout.
                                          Comment
                                          • Axis
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-08-09
                                            • 1255

                                            #406
                                            Originally posted by LockPickMaster
                                            Everything I am reading about FSU says they have no offense and go thru one guy, Singletary.
                                            I'm not playing that game...seems like a trap. Duke is on the road though, and FSU generally plays them fairly well...I'm sure that arena will be rocking.

                                            I don't know anything on FSU though as a team.
                                            Comment
                                            • DuncHen22
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-20-09
                                              • 1079

                                              #407
                                              Originally posted by tonycarr

                                              Excellent night last night. Just so I am clear your not doing away with the games that were in the Tier 2 and 3 just not tracking them as seperate right?
                                              Correct, it's only a cosmetic change but all the plays are there.

                                              Originally posted by DaOutlaw1x
                                              What about Maryland -12 (KP -18)
                                              Clemson -7.5(KP -10)
                                              Clemson is a play so I added it. (Just making it noticeable for people.) Maryland line is too high (must be less than 10)

                                              Originally posted by armistel
                                              Doesn't KenPom have Duke by 12 and Vandy by 11, so wouldn't they not be plays?
                                              As long as the actual spread is less than 10 we can play it. Originally I threw out double digits from KP and the lines, but I saw these plays were winning too so I threw them in.
                                              Last edited by DuncHen22; 01-12-11, 12:37 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • DaOutlaw1x
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-15-10
                                                • 191

                                                #408
                                                Thanks DuncHen
                                                Comment
                                                • gdoom
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-25-10
                                                  • 606

                                                  #409
                                                  well boys I'm a football specialist and been struggling so I'm gonna follow this. Took toledo +13 and fordham +10 risking 250 to win 680. Let's see.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TxBulldog
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 08-03-10
                                                    • 185

                                                    #410
                                                    Originally posted by Heandog
                                                    This is the (Kineproffesor system) I see 2 plays today Toledo +12 ,and Fordham+8- Aussie let me know if you see any more. Thanks
                                                    My PR's lean the right way for both of these. I will track these as a subset of the Kineprofessor system.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DaOutlaw1x
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-15-10
                                                      • 191

                                                      #411
                                                      Good luck gdoom
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TxBulldog
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 08-03-10
                                                        • 185

                                                        #412
                                                        Originally posted by DuncHen22
                                                        Clemson is a play so I added it. (Just making it noticeable for people.)
                                                        This also qualifies for the Bulldog subset for today, so there are 8 Plays in my KP subset and 2 in the new Kine group.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gdoom
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-25-10
                                                          • 606

                                                          #413
                                                          well boys I'm a football specialist and been struggling so I'm gonna follow this. Took toledo +13 and fordham +10 risking 250 to win 680. Let's see.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GGZOLA
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-30-06
                                                            • 1118

                                                            #414
                                                            Bulldog,
                                                            do you mind posting all together your elite 8? THX.

                                                            Guys,
                                                            Kenpom goes a way back to 2003 which is great. However, the rankings of NCAABB teams on previous years only show FINAL ratings after NCAA tourney.
                                                            My assumption is that teams dont show a sharp jump from bottom tier to 180 or better (at least not that many) in Feb/March, so what I can do, if anyone is interested, is go back a few years, matchup teams that fit the -6/180 or worse criteria (just based on FINAL rankings have no choice) but at least will give us a general idea how the games fared? What do you guys think?
                                                            Last edited by GGZOLA; 01-12-11, 01:22 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fins007
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 01-04-11
                                                              • 104

                                                              #415
                                                              Hey guys,

                                                              I went through a ton of these games. I missed Colorado St but will watch the line. Shucks!

                                                              The teams that could be added are Furman and LB State......Furman +4...playing Davidson
                                                              who doesn't have a winning record......LB State is a little reach and don't like playing double digits
                                                              but when top meets bottom at home that's a good thing....LB State is battle tested playing SD State,
                                                              UNC and Clemson.....I'm also watching the 1.5 games like yesterday with Kent St and Florida coming
                                                              through.......Good luck.....Thanks Bulldog for the plays!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Heandog
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-30-09
                                                                • 1634

                                                                #416
                                                                Originally posted by TxBulldog
                                                                My PR's lean the right way for both of these. I will track these as a subset of the Kineprofessor system.
                                                                Thanks TxBulldog that is nice to know that we are on the same page and like i said before we are all here to make a little money,so any input sure dose help thank agian.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DuncHen22
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-20-09
                                                                  • 1079

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Originally posted by Fins007
                                                                  Hey guys,

                                                                  I went through a ton of these games. I missed Colorado St but will watch the line. Shucks!

                                                                  The teams that could be added are Furman and LB State......Furman +4...playing Davidson
                                                                  who doesn't have a winning record......LB State is a little reach and don't like playing double digits
                                                                  but when top meets bottom at home that's a good thing....LB State is battle tested playing SD State,
                                                                  UNC and Clemson.....I'm also watching the 1.5 games like yesterday with Kent St and Florida coming
                                                                  through.......Good luck.....Thanks Bulldog for the plays!!
                                                                  You're right, Furman is a play as well. Thanks! It opened at +3.5 so I'll list it as that. This was one that changed with updated data (Davidson was listed to win by 2 but then it changed to one.

                                                                  Furman +3.5 (2.5)

                                                                  LB State line is way too high though.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Heandog
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-30-09
                                                                    • 1634

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Originally posted by GGZOLA
                                                                    guys, are all of you playing the kineproff angle prematurely? I'm tempted but dont know think tracking and being patient is better until Feb?
                                                                    If someone can find me a weekly/daily kenpom ranking sheet that goes back years (does he archive or can they be found) I would be glad to backtrack system because another sports forum has spreads+results since 2006 or 2007. Now all we need are kenpom's ranking archives.
                                                                    I have been tracking mostly as of now I have it at 8-4-1 for the last 11 days or so I have played a few of them(last nite N.ill ) seeing it matched up with Dunchenn and TxBulldog and those two guys have been better than any service plays out there,those service play guys are a bunch of scam artist anyway just looking to make a ton of money off of you.Im really going to wait until Feb before I really start betting a little more on these games.also I tried to look up the Kineproffessor this year and had no luck ,I copy his system and the angles last year and have been holding on to it for the last year. Be patient it may just pay off in the long run ,Hop on Dunchenn and Tx they are doing great ,Just dont bet more than you can afford,you never Know that is why it is called Gambling GOOD LUCK (I dont know about the old kp rankings)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DuncHen22
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-20-09
                                                                      • 1079

                                                                      #419
                                                                      Originally posted by DuncHen22
                                                                      1/12

                                                                      Pitt +2.5 (3.5)
                                                                      *Seton -2 (2)
                                                                      *UTEP -3 (2)
                                                                      *George Mason -6 (2)
                                                                      Ball St -6 (2)
                                                                      *Duke -8 (3)
                                                                      Vandy -9 (3)
                                                                      Tulsa +3 (2)
                                                                      *UNLV +5 (3)
                                                                      Nebraska +11 (5)
                                                                      *Colorado +10 (2)
                                                                      *Colorado State +10 (2)
                                                                      *[ADDED] Clemson -7.5 (2.5)
                                                                      [ADDED] Furman +3.5 (2.5)

                                                                      I decided to just get rid of the 3 sections altogether. After over 140 plays, they're all at 62% so I'm not seeing the difference I was expecting. I can analyze them again at the end of the season if needed.

                                                                      Also, let me know if I missed something.
                                                                      Bumping this for everyone to see the 2 added plays I missed earlier. Also, I put an asterisk next to TXBulldog's overlapping picks.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Fins007
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 01-04-11
                                                                        • 104

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Dunc,

                                                                        Great Job!!!The homework on this is like a full-time job and your input is just superior. Let's keep
                                                                        it going!!
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...