Tracking New System (80% in 1st week)

[Axis]

Tonight has been good...1 loss so far, but I took UNLV +5 which isn't lookin' so hot right now...can't complain about 6-2 nights though.

[GGZOLA]

yes axis,seems whoever did whatever system/filter is winning today, wish it was this easy but we'll take it day at a time...

[Aussiecapper101]

Tonight has been good...1 loss so far, but I took UNLV +5 which isn't lookin' so hot right now...can't complain about 6-2 nights though.

I got screwed with the unlv line too but like u I had a big day! Looking at going 8-4 if everything holds up. Good work fellas

[skipwalker]

FYI, all, looks like TXbulldog's filter of the original plays is 6-2, with Colorado State coming in, even with the line movement down to +8.5.

For the Kineproffesor system, Toledo pushed, and Fordham lost.

[DuncHen22]

DAILY WRAP UP

1/12

Pitt +2.5 (3.5) WIN
Seton -2 (2) WIN
UTEP -3 (2) WIN
George Mason -6 (2) WIN
Ball St -6 (2) WIN
Duke -8 (3)LOSS
Vandy -9 (3)LOSS
Tulsa +3 (2)LOSS
UNLV +5 (3)LOSS
Nebraska +11 (5) WIN
Colorado +10 (2) WIN
Colorado State +10 (2) WIN
[ADDED] Clemson -7.5 (2.5)WIN
[ADDED] Furman +3.5 (2.5)LOSS

9-5 +3.5 UNITS
2H plays were 4-2 +1.8 units

(since Dec 11, 2010)
97-59 (62%) +32.1 units

(since Jan 8, 2011)
2H Plays: 14-8 (64%) +5.2 units
+Full Time Plays: 40-26 (61%) +11.4 units

[shopbar picks]

nice hit dunchen

[Axis]

Cut 4 losses and 1 win...gotta love it.

Good work going on in this thread...

[The Haze]

Pitt +2.5 (3.5) WIN Teaser +8.5 Win
Seton -2 (2) WIN Teaser +4 Win
UTEP -3 (2) WIN Teaser +3 Win
George Mason -6 (2) WIN Teaser Pk Win
Ball St -6 (2) WIN Teaser Pk Win
Duke -8 (3)LOSS Teaser -1 Lose
Vandy -9 (3)LOSS Teaser -2 Win
Tulsa +3 (2)LOSS Teaser +9 Win
UNLV +5 (3)LOSS Teaser +11 Win
Nebraska +11 (5) WIN Teaser +17 Win
Colorado +10 (2) WIN Teaser +16 Win
Colorado State +10 (2) WIN Teaser +16 Win
[ADDED] Clemson -7.5 (2.5)WIN T -1.5 Win
[ADDED] Furman +3.5 (2.5)LOSS T +9.5 Win
Just throwing out how i did with my teasers so far since 11-8 the only one not to cover the tease are Providence, Cal Irvine, and DUKE. $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ CHA-cHING....... IM JUST PISSED AT DUKE THEY ****** ME TODAY WITH A FIVE TEAM PARLEY.... SHOULD HAVE BELIEVED IN THAT TRAP GAME MORE!

[jerry12345]

Ok so i just recalculated the line movements so only the closing lines are taken into account rather than the opening lines.

So i came up with:

Positive line movement – 35 – 17 = 67 %

No change in line movement – 12 – 8 = 60%

Negative line movement – 23 – 21 = 52%


After todays games it now stands at:

Positive line movement – 39 – 18 = 68 %

No change in line movement – 16 – 8 = 67% (rounded up)

Negative line movement – 25 – 25 = 50%

JUST A NOTE DUNCHEN22 i added in an extra play that i think you missed - sorry i completely forgot to mention it earlier

but Indiana St opened at -1. The score was estimated to be Indiana St 67-64 which is a difference of 2. I think you missed it because the opening line moved very quickly to -1.5.

[DuncHen22]

Thanks for the update, Jerry and nice catch on my missed game. Would've been nice to have it but I'll take my 9-5 for now.

[Heandog]

great job agian guys keep it going ,off to work now be back around 5pm

[Heandog]

FYI, all, looks like TXbulldog's filter of the original plays is 6-2, with Colorado State coming in, even with the line movement down to +8.5.

For the Kineproffesor system, Toledo pushed, and Fordham lost.

toledo went off @13- and 14 so it depends on what you got so that would make toledo a win unless you played it early @ 12 or 13 it would have been a loss @12 push @ 13

[jnsbanman]

+4.5 Units for me last nite... 3 came from these picks. LUV IT!! Thx

[DaOutlaw1x]

Excellent job yesterday guys looks like we have at least ten games today.

[LockPickMaster]

I'm hoping USC is on the list today.

[jaythegreat]

Excellent job

[BOSTONFAN]

great job

[jnsbanman]

I am just posting this to see if I understand how Dunchen makes his list please do not use these until confirmed by Dunchen and TxBulldog.

Purdue -3.5(5), Washington-7.5(3.5), Loyola Chicago +2(3), Buffalo +2(3), Chattanooga+2(3), West Kentucky -4.5 (2.5), Cal State North -4(2), Santa Clara -6.5(2.5), Elon +7.5(3.5)... Questionable play Richmond -10(4)

[peterpan19]

Richmond is no play, lines 10 or more I think are excluded? But not sure Colorado was +10 yesterday? And still a play...but maybe kp diff was less than 10...?

[jnsbanman]

I think it was cuz they were projected to lose by 7 or 8 by KP.

[GGZOLA]

dunchen, what time do you determine "opening line" number?
one night b4, perhaps, or earliest number you see when you get on a computer gameday?

i also have:
ucla -3.5 (projection -6)
san jose state +1 (-1 projection) right now.

[liamalan]

Interesting stuff. I'll check every day. ty

[Axis]

I'd be careful about Purdue tonight...even though they are a play.

[xtrzor]

are there already plays for tonight ? can someone copy them please for me !? thx in advance..

[Holdin Aces]

I'd be careful about Purdue tonight...even though they are a play.

I agree, Purdue traditionally struggles at Minnesota. Reminds me of Duke at Fla St. last night.

[GGZOLA]

I went 6-0 yesterday; 2-0 in lines that didnt move, 4-0 in lines that moved "our way" I.e. took team that was +10 at +8.5
gonna stick to this filter personally.

[overthecut]

hello!

amzing results ! keep doing the great job

dci blog is doing the similar predictions, maybe some peaople will be interested in that blog too !

[Aussiecapper101]

Guys, these are the plays for the kineproffesor system - Remember we are tracking until February unless your crazy enough to play them small like me!!

UL Monroe +8.5
UC Riverside (should be able to get +6 by gametime)
UNC Greensboro +15
Elon College +7.5
Tenn Martin +10.5 (might be able to get higher line later)
Sacramento State +15 (line trending down)
Portland +5.5 (if line moves out half point then this is also a play)

lets see how it goes today - someone can check these if they like there is a few games close today

[Axis]

are there already plays for tonight ? can someone copy them please for me !? thx in advance..

Well, used the lines that were up last night...so:

Elon +7.5 (3.5)
Purdue -3.5 (4.5)
Buffalo +1 (2)
Chatt. +1 (2)
Western Kent. -4.5 (2.5)
Loyola Chicago +1 (2)
Santa Clara -6.5 (2.5)
Washington -8 (3)
Cal State Northridge -4 (2)


Hopefully that helps a few until D22 posts what he thinks...just trying to help

Edit: No Utah State...was tired last night...BSU was +3, not Utah St.

[Aussiecapper101]

Well, used the lines that were up last night...so: Elon +7.5 (3.5) Purdue -3.5 (4.5) Buffalo +1 (2) Chatt. +1 (2) Western Kent. -4.5 (2.5) Loyola Chicago +1 (2) Santa Clara -6.5 (2.5) Washington -8 (3) UC Riverside -4 (2) Utah State +3 (6) Hopefully that helps a few until D22 posts what he thinks...just trying to help

hey just check that riverside one I think it should be a +

[Axis]

You're right...it's supposed to be a play on Cal State Northridge actually haha -4

[Aussiecapper101]

You're right...it's supposed to be a play on Cal State Northridge actually haha -4

damn I thought the systems were together on that one! hey I like the fact that Elon shows up on both though I just locked her in at +8

[GGZOLA]

axis, whats up with utah state, they are 2.5 favs this morning, where really +3 last night what a jump if so.

[Aussiecapper101]

Guys, these are the plays for the kineproffesor system - Remember we are tracking until February unless your crazy enough to play them small like me!! UL Monroe +8.5 UC Riverside (should be able to get +6 by gametime) UNC Greensboro +15 Elon College +7.5 Tenn Martin +10.5 (might be able to get higher line later) Sacramento State +15 (line trending down) Portland +5.5 (if line moves out half point then this is also a play) lets see how it goes today - someone can check these if they like there is a few games close today

Please note its Portland state not Portland U.. my bad

[peterpan19]

utah state is -3, which makes it a no play