Tracking New System (80% in 1st week)

[bigkrezca32]

All I'm seeing tomorrow thus far is ND +3 but I'm going to have to wait for updated data before pulling the trigger on that one.

I don't.

Going to start following this thread. I have always been a big Ken Pom fan and am interested to see how it plays out. I gotta believe it will be a profitable system...

[DuncHen22]

All I know boys is I started betting with a local for the first time (my friend actually financially backed a local and is giving me the opportunity to bet though him) ... over my first 3 weeks of betting I had my ups and downs but in the end was down $250 dollars to him total over the 3 weeks...

My bets are either 20 or 40 bucks so nothing serious... but thanks to this thread... (as well as a 4-0 NFL Wildcard Weekend)... I am currently up $435 dollars this week with the betting week ending Monday... getting me not only out of the hole but putting me up $185 for the month as a whole as well...

Cheers again to all of you!

Great work, Brp! Especially going 4-0 in the NFL! Hopefully we can keep it up!

So I just broke down all of the system plays since the beginning and, quite surprisingly, games between PK and +2 went 19-13 (59.3%) which would be +4.7 units. And being up 25.7 units total, that's almost 1/5th of our profit. So it was a good thought but they're going to have to stay for now. We're also 6-0 on the +3's. Not really seeing anything in this breakdown that's statistically significant though.

[DuncHen22]

KenPom is updated.

1/10 Plays:

Road Dogs:

ND +3


...Why does my gut tell me this is a loser?

[shopbar picks]

youre doing great thanx

[TxBulldog]

KenPom is updated.

1/10 Plays:

Road Dogs:

ND +3


...Why does my gut tell me this is a loser?

Your gut must have been reading my PR's.....NO PLAY for the Bulldog....FYI, I am still hitting almost 72% when my PR's concur with Dunc's system

[geeze]

Thank you for sharing your opinions with us, Bulldog.

Good luck!

[DuncHen22]

Your gut must have been reading my PR's.....NO PLAY for the Bulldog....FYI, I am still hitting almost 72% when my PR's concur with Dunc's system

Good to hear! I'll still count this toward my system either way, but I think may avoid playing it for real...

[tonycarr]

Your gut must have been reading my PR's.....NO PLAY for the Bulldog....FYI, I am still hitting almost 72% when my PR's concur with Dunc's system

Nice and thanks for the continued support, Im going to donate my daily pts today to the both of you. :-)

[DuncHen22]

Nice and thanks for the continued support, Im going to donate my daily pts today to the both of you. :-)

[Axis]

I like ND tonight...even if it wasn't a system play.

[Fins007]

Not many games on the line or being played tonight. Monday is typically a light day for college
sports. It usually acts as a make-up day.

Anyway, after seeing all the results from last night Duke didn't cover (line was 14 or so) and they won
by 7 and have been winning at Cameron Indoor by 10+, Kansas was favored by 10 and Michigan
took them to overtime and they pulled it out there, Ohio State was favored by 15 and Minnesota
had a 3 point shot to tie the game in regulation, Temple was favored by 15 against St. Louis and they
failed to cover, I stated Butler's lack of energy earlier (supposed to win by 28 won by 6), and the only teams that stayed strong were Purdue and Villanova (no jinx just stating facts here).

If we are pulling our hair trying to work this thing how about the coaches this morning?? Fitness will be on the docket I'll bet. Maybe the E. Illinois Coach and Bradley Coach should get together to discuss
getting a lead and keeping it. It was a weird and wild weekend. BUT, our system stayed in tact
and WE were on the + side. How bout that?? Keep working it and doing our homework it all helps the cause. Keep the thread going!!

[Brp27345]

Great work, Brp! Especially going 4-0 in the NFL! Hopefully we can keep it up! So I just broke down all of the system plays since the beginning and, quite surprisingly, games between PK and +2 went 19-13 (59.3%) which would be +4.7 units. And being up 25.7 units total, that's almost 1/5th of our profit. So it was a good thought but they're going to have to stay for now. We're also 6-0 on the +3's. Not really seeing anything in this breakdown that's statistically significant though.

Appreciate you lookin that up for me man... really above and beyond... I will start playin em again I guess...

By the way the +3's being 6-0 looks good for Notre Dame today huh...

Although I agree with you in that Notre Dame catching 3 even on the road seems like a trap... prob gonna play it... but real small... 20 maybe even 10...

Thanks again

[Heandog]

dunchen and Tx bulldog both are doing a great job I also have a system I used last year using KP but it dose not kick in until 2nd week of Feb I got it off another site it was ellecent last year I have been tracking it right nowbut nothing really solid yet its like 7-4 and a push yesterday I will let you guys in when the time comes

[LockPickMaster]

ND is now +4

[Axis]

dunchen and Tx bulldog both are doing a great job I also have a system I used last year using KP but it dose not kick in until 2nd week of Feb I got it off another site it was ellecent last year I have been tracking it right nowbut nothing really solid yet its like 7-4 and a push yesterday I will let you guys in when the time comes

Sounds awesome.

I only bet NCAABB from January to March...and I don't be the tourny...still haven't found a great way to cap those games effectively.

[Axis]

lmao...well, ya win some and lose some...ND just wanted me to not sit on the edge of me seat waiting for a cover haha...

Damn, really liked them for this game too...normally pride myself on not falling into traps...

On to the next one.

[LockPickMaster]

lmao...well, ya win some and lose some...ND just wanted me to not sit on the edge of me seat waiting for a cover haha...

Damn, really liked them for this game too...normally pride myself on not falling into traps...

On to the next one.

I don't think you can cap based on stats. I have watched Marquette and they are a fiery team that attacks you all day long. They just never stop coming at you. You gotta watch these teams play before betting or you will lose your bank.

[Axis]

Eh...if that's the case I'd only be able to gamble on the Red Wings, U of M, and Michigan State...I don't have special TV packages...nor the time to watch everyone else haha...I generally do pretty well based on stats alone, and what games I can catch on the weekends...

I know what you mean though...always easier when you see teams play.

[DuncHen22]

I don't think you can cap based on stats. I have watched Marquette and they are a fiery team that attacks you all day long. They just never stop coming at you. You gotta watch these teams play before betting or you will lose your bank.

I actually disagree. I used to think like that, but I've since learned that the thing that plays out in the long run is stats. It's the only thing that stays consistent game-to-game and the only thing that fluctuates is randomness. This has been proven time and again from every single measurable stat for decades. You find a system (based on stats) that hits 60% of the time and you'll be a winner in the long run. If you start trying to over-think games and weed stuff out based on "fiery" teams or just a "feeling" you're just gambling. Just my thoughts, anyway.

[DuncHen22]

It's also very easy to look at one game and overanalyze your entire system, especially when it's your only play of the day. If this game was on Saturday, we wouldn't have blinked an eye at it because it would have just been one of 23.

P.S., ND lost both 1H and 2H lines for those keeping track of those plays.

[Axis]

I actually like ND more for the pure fact that Marquette has now won ATS 5 straight games...

[DuncHen22]

First look at tomorrow. Will update after new stats later, if necessary.

1/11:

Faves:
Boston College -6 (2)
Texas -8 (2)

Road dogs:
Northern Illinois +5 (2)
Wisconsin +3.5 (2)


EDIT: Checked updated data and everything is now good to go.

[LockPickMaster]

I actually disagree. I used to think like that, but I've since learned that the thing that plays out in the long run is stats. It's the only thing that stays consistent game-to-game and the only thing that fluctuates is randomness. This has been proven time and again from every single measurable stat for decades. You find a system (based on stats) that hits 60% of the time and you'll be a winner in the long run. If you start trying to over-think games and weed stuff out based on "fiery" teams or just a "feeling" you're just gambling. Just my thoughts, anyway.

I'll follow you on that. Thanks for the info.

[Aussiecapper101]

dunchen and Tx bulldog both are doing a great job I also have a system I used last year using KP but it dose not kick in until 2nd week of Feb I got it off another site it was ellecent last year I have been tracking it right nowbut nothing really solid yet its like 7-4 and a push yesterday I will let you guys in when the time comes

I think I know the system u are talking about, I saw u mention your plays a week or so ago and the plays matched mine (according to the system) and the records for this week are identical! Anyway if it is then it's pure money in February I agree Ive been waiting all year for it

[tonycarr]

It's also very easy to look at one game and overanalyze your entire system, especially when it's your only play of the day. If this game was on Saturday, we wouldn't have blinked an eye at it because it would have just been one of 23.

P.S., ND lost both 1H and 2H lines for those keeping track of those plays.

Thanks for the update on the halfs plays. Didnt get a chance to get in today.
Like you said if this was Sat wouldnt have noticed it at all. When looking back at the end of the season it will also be nothing more then a part of the % losing plays.

[EasyHustlin]

I also have Kent State -8 (2)

[skipwalker]

Aussiecapper101, would you mind pointing us to more information on this other KP system that kicks in in February?

[DuncHen22]

I also have Kent State -8 (2)

Hmm... My book is showing -9 and most other books are -8.5 so I'm not going to call that one.

Aussiecapper101, would you mind pointing us to more information on this other KP system that kicks in in February?

I'd also like to know what this system is! Let us know!

Just checked the updated data and there were no changes so we're set to go tomorrow! BOL!

[Fins007]

Florida could be a play.....2.5 on some books and 3 on others...I guess it has to be unanimous?

GT/Clemson isn't out with a line yet from what I saw published. No guarantees.

[TxBulldog]

First look at tomorrow. Will update after new stats later, if necessary. 1/11: Faves: Boston College -6 Texas -8 Road dogs: Northern Illinois +5 Wisconsin +3.5 EDIT: Checked updated data and everything is now good to go.

For those who care about the Bulldog "subset":

I will be playing Wisc and N. Ill
Pass on Texas and BC

Good Luck all!

[jaythegreat]

thanks bulldog keep up the good work

[LockPickMaster]

N.Illinois is +6 now. WOW

[celtics3388]

Hate to be a prick, but do have the KP point differentials for these games?

[Aussiecapper101]

Hmm... My book is showing -9 and most other books are -8.5 so I'm not going to call that one.



I'd also like to know what this system is! Let us know!

Just checked the updated data and there were no changes so we're set to go tomorrow! BOL!

Hey guys I'll mos def write it up for u tomorrow so u can all check it out but right now I'm on the iPhone and haven't got the patience to deal with it! But I'll be back, GL with your plays

[DaOutlaw1x]

Can't wait to check it out Aussiecapper