Cheme82's CBB plays for November

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  • TheKevman
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-28-09
    • 40

    #1261
    Georgetown just take a few days off and breathe. I read some of your older posts and you said you lost a ton of money on Boston/Colts or whatever, something in the range of a grand and now you're down to $109.

    If you're going to use this system of betting it's a good idea to make sure unit sizes are between 0.05% and 1% of your bankroll, and since your roll is low now it's probably a better idea to either reload (and take a chance to get any sort of bonus if they have it, which are easily clearable using this system might I add ) or play the absolute bare minimum. Variance can and will **** you over. I think most people in here have had winning days but lost money overall (I went 2-1 last night but lost units overall THANKS GOLDEN STATE +12!)

    Honestly if I'm in your spot here I'm taking a few days off (THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NO SHAME IN THIS AND I DO IT EVEN WHEN WINNING) to get/keep your head straight. Losing sucks!

    Read up on bankroll management if you want to have any shot at doing this profitably for any sort of term longer than a few weeks.
    Comment
    • Gtownguy487
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-21-08
      • 539

      #1262
      What's a good amount to reload? I guess the better question is what are most peoples units? And knowing that I'd multiply it by .05
      Comment
      • pokerwhiz90
        SBR MVP
        • 10-02-10
        • 2618

        #1263
        good advice man!
        Comment
        • Romanov
          SBR MVP
          • 10-08-10
          • 4137

          #1264
          About to run some numbers. Awaiting Chili
          Comment
          • chilidog
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-05-09
            • 10305

            #1265
            Going to be leaving soon, so I only did the CBB numbers; I'm not doing NBA today, since I won't be here to do it.

            CBB
            La Salle +11 3.6u
            Furman +8 2.8u
            E. Washington +16.5 2.2u
            Portland State -2.5 3.2u

            GL!!
            Comment
            • phillybadboy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-11-09
              • 9383

              #1266
              good luck felas today
              Comment
              • jolmscheid
                Restricted User
                • 02-20-10
                • 3256

                #1267
                Good luck guys....so I know Chili runs your numbers for CBB at 11 and NBA an hour before gametime...

                But impper...do you do ALL your plays at 11?

                Just would like to know as I never have the time to place the NBA games an hour before gametime....thanks a lot...

                Will keep you guys updated on the NHL totals..
                Comment
                • phillybadboy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-11-09
                  • 9383

                  #1268
                  Originally posted by jolmscheid
                  Good luck guys....so I know Chili runs your numbers for CBB at 11 and NBA an hour before gametime... But impper...do you do ALL your plays at 11? Just would like to know as I never have the time to place the NBA games an hour before gametime....thanks a lot... Will keep you guys updated on the NHL totals..
                  hey dude tried to pm you, but it did't work, you post somethin about lobby lans, what are lobby leans?
                  Comment
                  • jolmscheid
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-20-10
                    • 3256

                    #1269
                    Sorry Philly...I don't have PM as I posted in a thread that was trying to get a buy group together which is not approved on this site I guess...LOL....buy anyways a Pinny Lean is where Pinnacle is leaning towards one side of a game...for instance if Pinnacle has -108 odds on one side, and -102 on the other side, then we can see that Pinnacle is leaning slightly towards the -108 side of the game...
                    Comment
                    • Romanov
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-08-10
                      • 4137

                      #1270
                      La Salle looking good
                      Comment
                      • phillybadboy
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-11-09
                        • 9383

                        #1271
                        Originally posted by jolmscheid
                        Sorry Philly...I don't have PM as I posted in a thread that was trying to get a buy group together which is not approved on this site I guess...LOL....buy anyways a Pinny Lean is where Pinnacle is leaning towards one side of a game...for instance if Pinnacle has -108 odds on one side, and -102 on the other side, then we can see that Pinnacle is leaning slightly towards the -108 side of the game...
                        but you wrote lobby lean, is that another word for it ? or just misppelled? thanks
                        Comment
                        • Romanov
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-08-10
                          • 4137

                          #1272
                          La Salle up 5 with under 5 to go. This is amazing
                          Comment
                          • Romanov
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-08-10
                            • 4137

                            #1273
                            All is looking good. I believe there is a small play (.86%) on the bobcats tonight as of now
                            Comment
                            • ghost xx
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-26-10
                              • 170

                              #1274
                              what bobcats?
                              Comment
                              • Romanov
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-08-10
                                • 4137

                                #1275
                                NBA, Char Bobcats. But don't take my word for it. I have only been watching this thread for about a week. But it was only a minor play for me at 9.5. I am pretty sure you can only get it at 10 now at most places so that wouldn't be even a minor play

                                EDIT:

                                Lasalle hit
                                E. Wash hit
                                Furman hit
                                Port St. not looking too hot, down 8 but 19 mins left
                                Comment
                                • Romanov
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-08-10
                                  • 4137

                                  #1276
                                  On second thought, since I didnt even get the team name right, I rescind my suggestion
                                  Comment
                                  • ghost xx
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-26-10
                                    • 170

                                    #1277
                                    Are you playing one more tonight?
                                    Comment
                                    • Romanov
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-08-10
                                      • 4137

                                      #1278
                                      Probably not

                                      HOLY SHIT PORT ST MIGHT HIT! THEY HIT!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Romanov
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-08-10
                                        • 4137

                                        #1279
                                        Small advantage on the Clippers
                                        Comment
                                        • impper
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-11-10
                                          • 490

                                          #1280
                                          Hey guys, you wanted to know about the football, and I"m here to say:

                                          It hit amazingly well! 5-3 on the day, with bets at -110. I had a side bet with a 3 team teaser and that hit as well, but I won't count that one. Up 3.5 units from football, 8 units counting the 3 team teaser.

                                          Two of the losses came from Green Bay, who lost Rodgers sometime early in the first half I think. I believe they would have covered if not for that. Everything else covered very comfortably.
                                          Comment
                                          • Romanov
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-08-10
                                            • 4137

                                            #1281
                                            Originally posted by impper
                                            Hey guys, you wanted to know about the football, and I"m here to say:

                                            It hit amazingly well! 5-3 on the day, with bets at -110. I had a side bet with a 3 team teaser and that hit as well, but I won't count that one. Up 3.5 units from football, 8 units counting the 3 team teaser.

                                            Two of the losses came from Green Bay, who lost Rodgers sometime early in the first half I think. I believe they would have covered if not for that. Everything else covered very comfortably.
                                            If you could elaborate on the football variant that would be lovely. Sorry if you already have pages of thread ago. I tried to find it. Also, would you say the clippers are a play?
                                            Comment
                                            • impper
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-11-10
                                              • 490

                                              #1282
                                              Yeah, Clippers should be a good play today.

                                              And I did explain in this thread, not even 5 pages ago! It can't be that hard to find. Basically you tease past 3 and 7 any time you can
                                              Comment
                                              • TheKevman
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 11-28-09
                                                • 40

                                                #1283
                                                Crunched the Clips/Magic game a sec ago, pinny had the game at -8 Orlando +102, LAC -113. BetUS had the spread at 8.5 (free half point!) so I'm on for 5 units with LAC.

                                                Sent the bet through (LAC bet to win 5 units +11.5 (-170) ) and now Pinny just dropped to 7.5. The price has changed (3!) times in the last 5 minutes and is currently 7.5 Orlando +100 LAC -110.

                                                Interesting...

                                                e: Currently 7.5, Orlando -101/ LAC -109

                                                Never comfortable betting LAC but I'll stick with the system!

                                                Took down La Salle and Furman earlier so I'm 2-0 on the day, up 6.5 units
                                                Comment
                                                • impper
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-11-10
                                                  • 490

                                                  #1284
                                                  Nice job kev

                                                  Man, with line movement like that I'm thinking of maybe dropping another unit on the clippers ML.

                                                  Hell, why not, the Magic have been on a serious skid
                                                  Comment
                                                  • impper
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 11-11-10
                                                    • 490

                                                    #1285
                                                    Ah, screw it, I can't bring myself to bet a clips ML
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TheKevman
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 11-28-09
                                                      • 40

                                                      #1286
                                                      Originally posted by impper
                                                      Ah, screw it, I can't bring myself to bet a clips ML
                                                      Great minds!

                                                      I was literally hovering on LAC on BetUS a sec ago at +300....but I just can't make myself click "Submit"
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jolmscheid
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-20-10
                                                        • 3256

                                                        #1287
                                                        Impper...i get that you want to tease past the 3 and 7....but does it have to be both or just one? Are there any other filters? How do you know what the edge is? Thanks man...look forward to see how its done
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Romanov
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-08-10
                                                          • 4137

                                                          #1288
                                                          I was looking for a one game bet, not a teaser but Ill give it a go with teasers if thats what you've found works.

                                                          On another note:

                                                          Clippers finding a way
                                                          Comment
                                                          • incomeraise
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-28-09
                                                            • 1136

                                                            #1289
                                                            wow u guys killed it in ncaa today...good job...a sweep
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chilidog
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-05-09
                                                              • 10305

                                                              #1290
                                                              wooohooo! perfect 4-0 day, picking up +11.8 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheKevman
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 11-28-09
                                                                • 40

                                                                #1291
                                                                Haha what a ridiculous game!

                                                                Clips down 26 at one point, find a way to come back and lose by 9. I think we all covered if we played in this thread (I had them to 11.5 but I don't think the line ever got below 7.5 so no one in here should have played them for less than 10.5).

                                                                3-0 on the night, +11.5 units on the day.

                                                                e: Since starting on December 7th I'm 15-3 overall, 12-1 in system plays (-110 bets were BetUS freeplays, -170 are system plays). The bankroll is growing quite nicely

                                                                I've got Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday off this week....guess what I'll be doing

                                                                Comment
                                                                • impper
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 11-11-10
                                                                  • 490

                                                                  #1292
                                                                  Amazing day for me... 20-7 for +36 units. lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • chilidog
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-05-09
                                                                    • 10305

                                                                    #1293
                                                                    Originally posted by impper
                                                                    Amazing day for me... 20-7 for +36 units. lol
                                                                    Very awesome! I wasn't around a computer today, so i didn't get a chance to run any other games, but very very cool for yah
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheKevman
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 11-28-09
                                                                      • 40

                                                                      #1294
                                                                      Originally posted by chilidog
                                                                      Very awesome! I wasn't around a computer today, so i didn't get a chance to run any other games, but very very cool for yah
                                                                      My problem as well, I only crunched some of the earlier NCAAB games before I had to run to work at 9:30AM PST.

                                                                      Can't wait till I actually get a chance to be at home on a day where we have 60+ NCAAB games lol.

                                                                      Way to tear shit up Impper
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • phillybadboy
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-11-09
                                                                        • 9383

                                                                        #1295
                                                                        Originally posted by jolmscheid
                                                                        Impper...i get that you want to tease past the 3 and 7....but does it have to be both or just one? Are there any other filters? How do you know what the edge is? Thanks man...look forward to see how its done
                                                                        hey johmscheid you told about the pinnicle lean, but before you wrote lobby leans, is this another word for pinnicle leans or just mispelling? thanks
                                                                        Comment
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