Bankers NCAA hoops tracking thread

[KDF500]

Yea I know they solid. They not in same class as aggies, ASU only team that has looked more impressive than aggies to me so far this year, and I think a&m better than them.

Not in the same class as Aggies I agree with that. Line sits at -11.5 which just seems generous for A&M considering they shoot their FTs well..

[2daBank]

Not in the same class as Aggies I agree with that. Line sits at -11.5 which just seems generous for A&M considering they shoot their FTs well..

Really don't understand the drop off? Really only reason I'm discussing or considering. The open of -16 might have been little high but seems like it been adjusted too much imo.

[DOM_Toretto]

I took the Aggies at -11.5. Robert Williams was out last game under the concussion protocol. Maybe that has something to do with it, but he's probable tonight. I don't think he's needed to cover this line regardless. Too much defense and rebounding for NKU to overcome.

Robert Williams OUT
Admon Gilder OUT

[HeeluvaGuy]

Robert Williams OUT
Admon Gilder OUT

Ah. Thanks. I completely missed the Gilder injury.

[GPrime19]

I still think that’s dropped way too much if that’s all the movement is for.

[DOM_Toretto]

I still think that’s dropped way too much if that’s all the movement is for.

I think it’s about right. 2 starters out. If it were just one of those two guys I’d be comfortable laying a dozen but with a starting guard out plus an nba level talent down low out it screws up that rotation enough to make me uncertain.

[2daBank]

Robert Williams OUT
Admon Gilder OUT

Didn't know gilder was out. Thanks. At least the drop makes more sense to me now. Back to passing, lol.

[2daBank]

I think it’s about right. 2 starters out. If it were just one of those two guys I’d be comfortable laying a dozen but with a starting guard out plus an nba level talent down low out it screws up that rotation enough to make me uncertain.

Yea i don't much like it with both out. Im not playing it.

[DOM_Toretto]

Yea i don't much like it with both out. Im not playing it.

Sucks cuz the only two plays I was considering were Texas a&m and SMU...

[jeffchitown]

Well shit I have $110 on it and actually 3 guys out

[2daBank]

Sucks cuz the only two plays I was considering were Texas a&m and SMU...

I figured I was gonna have more plays when I first saw card but I'm only at 4, might find a 5th but that pretty much it.. gl tonight

[2daBank]

Originally Posted by 2daBank
12/19

Auburn -2 -105 1st half/ -3 -115 full game.. bruce pearl has this squad playing pretty good ball. They took apart MTSU for 30 minutes before giving up a late push. That is my biggest worry here is the last 10 minutes as tigers have not closed out well. In their only loss vs temple they were actually up after 30 minutes then temple creamed them the last 10 minutes. That been a theme, pretty much every game I looked at tigers lost the last 10 minutes, there a few exceptions vs lessor teams but it is a problem and I'd assume has to do with tigers being very young.. defense the difference here, tigers play it as they incredibly tough to score on around the rim while racers do not. Both played mtsu, both had problems the last 10 minutes, the difference was auburn jumping out on them and had the ability to hang on while racers couldn't.. splitting between half and game as mentioned tigers been fast starters.


Gtech/uga under 127.. think this one of our dirty little hidden pleasure shitfest here! Feel like it gonna be a real struggle for them to hit 120 so got our 7-8 points of perceived value I look for to play these. Both teams really bad offensively and the kicker here is their efficiency numbers should even be lower when facing each other! Why? Both teams get their mediocre numbers by thriving at the foul line, averaging around 24% of their points from the charity stripe. Thing is both do a good job not allowing teams free points, both only allowing teams to get around 17% of their points in that fashion. Last season these 2 played to a 103 total and only took 24 FTs between them! Expect lot of ugly offense in this one, if neither living at the FT line there will be enough bricks to build houses for the homeless this holiday season! These kids should get their union cards cause this gonna be a bricklayer convention!

Cuse -11.. as ya probably know this a little out of my comfort zone but been trying to play more favs in this range when my capping suggest the dog isn't a good play. So far it has went pretty well and this one here even tho I like buffalo I just can't make a case for them as this a very bad matchup for them. Cuse length is gonna be a serious issue for the bulls, not only on the offensive glass where I expect cuse to thrive but on the other end where that length of cuse zone gonna make life incredibly difficult for a smallish bulls team who doesn't really have the shooters and still missing one of their best passers. When bulls play good teams that play man to man I think they a good bet getting points, as seen vs cincy, bulls have guys who can get to the rack off the bounce. The problem lies when they get zoned up and not allowed to penetrate off the bounce, as seen when they struggled vs bonnies who played a lot of zone. As we know cuse zone is second to none and I just don't think bulls will be able to solve it while on the other end cuse gonna get lots of 2nd and 3rd chances as they have bunch of athletic rebounders who bulls will struggle to get a body on. This just a bad matchup so lay the points


Belmont +6.5 ... line move created some decent value here imo. Considered waiting to see if a 7 pops but running out of time and not gonna be around to watch line, don't want to risk coming back and seeing ppl got their heads out their asses and bet it back down!! Bruins have owned this matchup, they play every year and Belmont has taken the last 3 with last year being a beat down. Maybe that will motivate wku and make no mistake wku very good. Thing is they were just 10 point favs vs a crappy Indy state team, so while they covered easily the point being Belmont way more than 3.5 better than Indiana st so feel we have some nice value here in a game I think will come down to final minute. The reason bruins have owned this matchup? They live and die from behind the arc and wku is poor defending treys. What I really like about this is at this number while I expect this comes down to the wire we have few ways to cash, if wku were to outplay them and have lead late this a game our dog very well could get back inside this spread with the foul game, wku not a good ft shooting team and Belmont capable of draining some late 3s. We don't want it to come to that but fact we have that advantage just makes the likelihood of a cover that much greater as it can be achieved in multiple ways!

Well guys I think that pretty much it for me,, I had few other leans but honestly didn't think they were strong enough to play. A&M a no go with all the guys out. I didn't really get deep into a few of the west coast games so I'll come back in few hours and see if I can find one but initially didn't see a lot.. gl everyone

[Knamelis]

Bank, curious to hear your thoughts on SFA v MIZZOU if you have a second

[2daBank]

Bank, curious to hear your thoughts on SFA v MIZZOU if you have a second

I posted bout it here; not playing it tho.

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/ncaa-basketball-betting/3444274-winner.html

[2daBank]

Shit really feel like cuse should have covered, already up 13 5 minutes after half, then they stop trying until letting bulls come all way back and take lead, once bulls take lead cuse takes right back and goes on to win by 7. Just got lazy and cost us the cover.

Jesus Christ, the Georgia schools make a agreement just not to play defense so they could both look good? This unreal. 2 terrible offenses and they gonna go for 200 fukkin points.

[2daBank]

Princeton +15

[2daBank]

Cash Belmont outright. Cash auburn 1st half and game.. don't think there any chance the battle of Georgia stays under, both shooting better than they have all freaking session.

[jeffchitown]

Hey bank tell me if I made a good move... I did a 2 game parlay Princeton +15.5 and over 138.5 $150 to win 266

[mackave]

Princeton +15

Gonna try and catch this higher live if I can ..

[2daBank]

Hey bank tell me if I made a good move... I did a 2 game parlay Princeton +15.5 and over 138.5 $150 to win 266

I actually grabbed a little under 141 so I dunno bud. I certainly could be wrong but I think it played in the 130s.. more importantly where you play that let you parlay it? My outs usually tell me anything over 14.5 is coralated and won't let me parlay, that what I wanted to do with under but couldn't at BM and they were only one that had +15 when I played it.

[jeffchitown]

I actually grabbed a little under 141 so I dunno bud. I certainly could be wrong but I think it played in the 130s.. more importantly where you play that let you parlay it? My outs usually tell me anything over 14.5 is coralated and won't let me parlay, that what I wanted to do with under but couldn't at BM and they were only one that had +15 when I played it.

I use a local person and he has a website I use. I'm guessing cause i took the over. I googled it and this came up...

College Basketball

There doesn’t seem to be as much correlation with NCAA basketball. When a team covers as a favorite of six or more the under went 4,309-3,954 (52.1%). Favorites of eight or more that covered went under 3,264-2,865 (53.3%) of the time.
However, once you went up to double digits the numbers started dropping. Double digit favorites went under 52.8% of the time (2,318-2,072). 13+ point chalk that covered only went under 1,371-1,231 (52.7%) of the time.

[2daBank]

I dunno, pretty sure they tell me no when I try over also, maybe they just scared of me!! Lol.,

Man I'd have felt better had Princeton held lead thru half. Still in pretty decent shape, hopefully they don't let it get away from them.

[jeffchitown]

Probably lol... my guy is probably like thank god for jeff. All it takes is one day for me to not think straight and degen gamble bad picks one right after another chasing. It is amazing how I can go months where I do pretty well and blow it all away in two days.

[jeffchitown]

wow over looks amazing now!! I think i may actually win this parlay unless princeton really screws up

[mackave]

Damn don't even need the pts with Princeton, surprised refs aint letting USC get back in this game at the end

[jeffchitown]

odds of them blowing a 15 point spread in OT? Asking due to my luck lately lol

[mackave]

Probably never since this team still sux dik. Ain't gonna cash my live bet in OT on USC ml

[2daBank]

odds of them blowing a 15 point spread in OT? Asking due to my luck lately lol

Lol. I'm glad I fell asleep so didn't have to sweat it out!! Nice hit on the parlay!

[2daBank]

4-2 day puts season total at:

106-89 54.3%

[2daBank]

Fukkin shit, I thought Bradley started at 2. Get home and go to bet it and obviously had already started. Of course I see they handling business! lol

[jeffchitown]

Well once I saw the bpi ranking difference I had a bad feeling about SEMO. Sigh oh well starting the day most likely 0-1 unless SEMO comes back which I doubt.

[Louisvillekid1]

Nice job last night once again

[2daBank]

Well once I saw the bpi ranking difference I had a bad feeling about SEMO. Sigh oh well starting the day most likely 0-1 unless SEMO comes back which I doubt.

I fully intended to play bradly but didn't realize I was looking at eastern time for stinking tip so thought I had time to play it when I got home, lol. Oh well, hopefully they blow it, rather you guys get the win and prefer I didn't miss a winner. lol.

[GPrime19]

Took SEMO too just hoping for FTs, within striking range. Just need to keep this tight.

[2daBank]

Nice job last night once again

Thanks bro. You too. Can't believe how well freaking uga shot, I'd play that under every time and pretty confident they wouldn't shoot that well in 8 of 10 of the games!! Cuse probably pissed me off worse, they were clearly capable of covering that number they just got lazy for a stretch after building 13 point lead in 2nd half, soon as bulls got lead they once again started outplaying them by a lot. Lazy little fukks!! Lol