NCAAB system thats been working

[ZedsDead]

Good luck to everyone tonight! Lets cash it!

[Fins007]

I think DePaul has Melvin out......not good.....Yesterday we had the Superbowl and now we are looking at the ToiletBowl.....PASS....Northeastern line was 6 1/2 and dropped to 5......They might be a play.......Syracuse/ND under is probably better
than figuring out that game.........I'm going with the 3 in bold that I stated above......I'll tease the Syracuse/ND under and tease it with
Northeastern......Sounds ok.....

[BeanTownClown88]

Im goin to grab on and go for a wild ride with ND lol

[Beetlejuice]

I feel like we're doing something wrong, like some kind of hitman will seek all of us out for letting this secret be revealed.

[JonEJet]

Might roll with Furman 2nd half

[bjb7223]

what's the record of this system?

[JonEJet]

Furman +1 2nd half

Anyone rollling with this?

[JonEJet]

Furman +1 2nd half

Anyone rollling with this?

WagerType:	Date:	Team:	Risking / To Win	Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET	Feb 03	CBB [2746] 2H FURMAN +1-110	220.00 USD / 200.00 USD

[JonEJet]

Furman's done

[drfunkmaster]

furman sucks wow

[JonEJet]

Montana State sucks

[JonEJet]

Rough night.....rebound tomorrow

[AOSpades]

2-3-1 not awful but not what we're looking for. Lot of games on the radar for Tmo.

[Beetlejuice]

0-3 fuuck meee

[AOSpades]

So I ran all of the games through the system today and have 13 games that fit the threshold of a difference of 3 lol. So I'm thinking I need to change my threshold.

[The Horse]

Post em

[JonEJet]

Post em

Been waiting on them so we can all have some input

[alamo]

Im goin to grab on and go for a wild ride with ND lol

Beanie can you post the updated record please for the thread.

[AOSpades]

Been waiting on them so we can all have some input

Iowa -5.5
Towson St -7
Providence -3.5
Baylor +3.5
TCU +8.5
Clemson -7.5
N Illinois +3
Wake Forest +18
Missouri +12
Illinois +3
Monmouth +5.5
St Peters +13
Colgate +1

[JonEJet]

Iowa -5.5
Towson St -7
Colgate +1

What is the system line after you worked the equation sorry not trying to be a pain in the ass

[THam12]

Iowa -5.5
Towson St -7
Providence -3.5
Baylor +3.5
TCU +8.5
Clemson -7.5
N Illinois +3
Wake Forest +18
Missouri +12
Illinois +3
Monmouth +5.5
St Peters +13
Colgate +1

ew. I wanna check back tonight and see how this worked out.

[AOSpades]

What is the system line after you worked the equation sorry not trying to be a pain in the ass

The new spreads that the system comes up with for those games are...

Iowa -12
Towson -11
Colgate -2.5

[AOSpades]

ew. I wanna check back tonight and see how this worked out.

As stated 100 times in this thread, no one is suggesting blindly playing every pick that the system spits out. You comb through the statistically correct picks to find actual good plays.

[JonEJet]

What are the best plays today with largest spread under new system

Just started doing the math on the games....will do the leg work for you guys tomorrow...lol

[AOSpades]

What are the best plays today with largest spread under new system

Just started doing the math on the games....will do the leg work for you guys tomorrow...lol

Lol I have a spreadsheet and can get it done fairly quickly anyway. Plus I'm off for the next few days lol.

The biggest differences today would be Baylor +3.5 which the system puts them at a -4.5...

N. Illinois at +3 which the system puts at a -4.5 ...

And Monmouth +5.5 which the system puts at -2.5

That being said, the "best" play on paper yesterday was the furman play which didn't turn out well. I'm not sure if it's better to play the games which are the least different from the Vegas spread, or play games that are the most different. Seems like the ones with the biggest difference have a bigger room for error.

[JonEJet]

Seems like the ones with the biggest difference have a bigger room for error.

Yesterday wasn't good....but over the long haul since you started, it seems to be working.....one night shouldn't change that

I'm going to roll with the "best" plays again tonight

[AOSpades]

Yesterday wasn't good....but over the long haul since you started, it seems to be working.....one night shouldn't change that

I'm going to roll with the "best" plays again tonight

Agreed. There's way too little data to make any changes yet I guess.

[JonEJet]

Obviously these 3 or 4 games that are "best" still need to be researched for injuries, suspensions ect

[alamo]

Yesterday wasn't good....but over the long haul since you started, it seems to be working.....one night shouldn't change that

I'm going to roll with the "best" plays again tonight

Hey Jon. Can you let us know the record to this point since it's inception. Cheers bud

[BeanTownClown88]

I cant speak for everyone but I've gone 50-33-2 with this since like 1/27 betting wildly like a degenerate. Just tallied up wins and losses.
We really only made thread picks starting two days ago I think and we are 2-2 if I'm correct. 2-0 day 1 and 0-2 yesterday.

Hopefully tonight goes well!

[SlleepyR]

Bean, I would like to 1st off by saying you are doing a great job in here and with the rest of the guys contributing their inputs really does make this thread something to truly tail. I just got into CBB this season and figured to get some good advice and hopefully make alil cash on the side. To you and the other major supporters I most appreciate it.

ok now on to business...
based on the example/model you were giving and explaination to Marcus earlier above ... what numbers are you guys using? I was using the overall ATS instead of the home/away ATS and got a few different plays. So my translations were off from the majority. Care to help a brotha out?

[JonEJet]

Hopefully tonight goes well!

Curious what your plays are....I'm playing the 3 "best" tonight and will continue for a week based on we're 2-2 under that system

[AOSpades]

Bean, I would like to 1st off by saying you are doing a great job in here and with the rest of the guys contributing their inputs really does make this thread something to truly tail. I just got into CBB this season and figured to get some good advice and hopefully make alil cash on the side. To you and the other major supporters I most appreciate it.

ok now on to business...
based on the example/model you were giving and explaination to Marcus earlier above ... what numbers are you guys using? I was using the overall ATS instead of the home/away ATS and got a few different plays. So my translations were off from the majority. Care to help a brotha out?

Bean fully explains it a few times in this thread but you're supposed to be using the home teams ppg at home, and points allowed at home. And the away teams ppg while on the road, and points allowed on the road.

[SlleepyR]

Bean fully explains it a few times in this thread but you're supposed to be using the home teams ppg at home, and points allowed at home. And the away teams ppg while on the road, and points allowed on the road.

AOS, Ty for he quick reply. What sites are you using or would suggest to use for the numbers? I was using team rankings but I didn't see a breakdown of separate home/away ppg listed. I think it's jus an overall avg.

[AOSpades]

AOS, Ty for he quick reply. What sites are you using or would suggest to use for the numbers? I was using team rankings but I didn't see a breakdown of separate home/away ppg listed. I think it's jus an overall avg.

Scoresandodds.com If you go to the game you want, and click matchup report and scroll down to team statistics, it lists the exact numbers that we use.