Mills is out for the season (I think broken hand or wrist)...There season is going to go down hill...They were up by 7 against Gonzaga near half-time until Mills got injured and ended up losing by 7...then lost by nearly 20 to Portland.
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Ouch, yeah, that 1H line is very, very close then.
Last time St Marys played U. San Fan, they were up by 13 at half time, with Mills. He's a great gaurd!Comment -
Well ladies and gentlemen, I am of the minority here when it comes to smarts. I can't understand theory more than principle. Theory can't make grits unless you're a scientist like Einstein. Principle is grits bacon eggs and toast. Principle matters. Principle is all that matters to the layman. "Will this **ckin' thing work if i keep doing it?" That's all that really matters. I feel y'all. Ain't nothin' like getting too comfortable and putting up more than you should. People play them seperately and play them for the same amounts. Guys are mixing these plays in with their other ones on the same book are doing a big disservice to this type of wager. You don't mix a weeks worth of 70% picks in with games that you had to study to pick. It's not the same type of wager and shouldn't be treated as that kind of wager. It's the type of wager that needs appropriate consideration but in an exact like kind fashion each time.
But to show guys that i am sympathetic to their problems, I'll tell you what. As the front man, I'm gonna keep on trying these plays for us. I'll be the crash test dummie. But be advised:
I made my wager for St. Mary's-10 first half without regard/feelings/emotions about whether Mills was out for the season or if the carpet cleaning man couldn't make it. Look, bottom line, the criteria is there, so it gets played at the usual amount. I don't do any homework, or look at injury reports, and what have you. I just play em when I see em. For the same amount every time. Just like my baseball thing. Just like pouring my morning coffee.
It's there; it gets played. That's all the research I need.
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Hello all I am new to this. What is the fastest way for me to deposit money into my "thegreek" account for a US player?Comment -
St. John's burns. NO PLAY. Not a good road team...Comment -
CK, really liking Wash -1.5, was thinking it would be -3? Cal. has been off of late and Wash. has been on of late. Opposite of the first half of year. Teams seem to now be showing their true colors?
Arizona only team to beat UW of late but attempted 51 FTs. Home cooking! Cal. losing to some good teams but 3's aren't falling like eariler. Christoper has slumped badly. Mike M. has no bench to turn to? Rebounding and taken away the inside a problem!
Wash. strong team that can play inside/outside, go to the foul line a ton (aka UConn) have a deeper bench. Plus, alittle pissed about losing that 3OT game.
Tell me CK, unless there is something going on in Berkley I don't know about, what chance does Cal. have? Perfect line, just looking for a win! Any word on the street from the other side of USA? Your insight is always appreciated! Thanks CK!
MrMonkey
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CK,I know you bet all the secret plays for 1500.I have set up a seperate account for these plays with 2000 to start.What would be your suggestion for the amount to wager with that starting bankroll?As the balance increases do you recommend increasing the amount per play.Comment -
150-200 tops. Even that much is too much but i wouldn't sweat as this is a proven thing, sorta like JM's sistem. Think CK's rolling with 40k+ bank and throwing down only 1500 a piece.Comment -
Anyone else think the Denver U +2 line is a little off?Comment -
I understand what you're saying...more power to you. I was not trying to dissrespect you or your pick. I mean, come on, your record speaks for its self...I was just saying what I was going with and what I wasn't....good luck and I hope it's a winner!Well ladies and gentlemen, I am of the minority here when it comes to smarts. I can't understand theory more than principle. Theory can't make grits unless you're a scientist like Einstein. Principle is grits bacon eggs and toast. Principle matters. Principle is all that matters to the layman. "Will this **ckin' thing work if i keep doing it?" That's all that really matters. I feel y'all. Ain't nothin' like getting too comfortable and putting up more than you should. People play them seperately and play them for the same amounts. Guys are mixing these plays in with their other ones on the same book are doing a big disservice to this type of wager. You don't mix a weeks worth of 70% picks in with games that you had to study to pick. It's not the same type of wager and shouldn't be treated as that kind of wager. It's the type of wager that needs appropriate consideration but in an exact like kind fashion each time.
But to show guys that i am sympathetic to their problems, I'll tell you what. As the front man, I'm gonna keep on trying these plays for us. I'll be the crash test dummie. But be advised:
I made my wager for St. Mary's-10 first half without regard/feelings/emotions about whether Mills was out for the season or if the carpet cleaning man couldn't make it. Look, bottom line, the criteria is there, so it gets played at the usual amount. I don't do any homework, or look at injury reports, and what have you. I just play em when I see em. For the same amount every time. Just like my baseball thing. Just like pouring my morning coffee.
It's there; it gets played. That's all the research I need.Comment -
thx repskiComment -
Mush
CK,
let me take the blame for VCU.....I'm the mush with them...second time they burned money for me....lol
love Dividson tonight....keep em comingComment -
Quick look at the NBA game of the Year (LA @ BOS)
The number that stands out a bit to me is 204... It's simple to figure out why the posted number is so high. Both teams have been going over 200 in their respective matchups quite frequently as of late. LA has scored an average of 122 pts on their current road trip (4-0). But to me this is decieving because LA has played Minnesota, Memphis, NYK and Toronto... Not exactly defensive minded units. On Christmas day these teams tallied 175 points. Bottom line is that this game is extremely important to BOTH of these clubs. Tonight we will witness a chess match or a marathon more so than a "sprint". I look for both teams to get back to defensive basics. With KG and Perk in the game LA doesn't get into triple digits. Furthermore if you think Pierce will let Kobe score 61 or 38... guess again.
My play - UNDER 204Comment -
in football, key numbers are 3, 6, 7, 10 etc....that makes sense right? if you have the fav -3.5, you should try and buy it down 1 point to get under the key number (3) to -2.5
same in hoops, where as the mindeset that even numbers are key numbers - 2,4,6,8,10 etc....so if you have the favorite and they are -5, thats a line you should leave as is (since its off the "even" key number). buying 1 point should always be kinda the max when you're doing this daily. buying 1 point on -5 doesnt even get under the key of 4, so its not necessary there imo. baskets in the nba are mostly made 2 pts at a time. if you take an underdog and they are getting 9.5, you should buy a point to get to 10.5 (above the key of 10).
7 has also proven to be a key number in hoops, since when a team is up 7, the other team usually stops fouling since they are 3 possesions down - lots of games have landed on 7 over the past few years.
so bottom line, the whole point when buying pts should be to get over or under the key number (depending if you have the fav or dog)Comment -
thx Dexter...Comment -
**Deron Williams (swollen knee) practiced on Wednesday and will be a game-time decision for Thursday's game against the Mavs.
"I definitely want to play tomorrow, so I'm shooting for that," Williams said Thursday. Hopefully a more concrete update will come prior to Thursday's tipoff, but there appears to be a good chance he'll be in uniform.Comment -
Hockeytown....
where are you??...hope everything is well
lotsa pucks tonight...Comment -
Dex, great call on Golden St. last night brother! only 32% ats money was on your play, very sharp cash there. Yesterday was perfection in the NBA 3-0, but not perfection NCAA 0-2. i have been slacking and not online when i need to be at night. my first pass on the board and penn st getting +4 on the road at a rapidly declining michigan team is a lean for me so far. butler @ u of detroit -11 looks like some value there. also dex, when i was talking about 3 pts for lakers/celts that is what i had it capped at based on the info i had at the time. i might be going against popular sentiment here and going lakers +5.5.Comment -
repski did you end up taking the lakers over last night?Comment -
Davidson -11 1H
L.A.L ML +220
Alabama +7.5Comment -
CK, great info and tip! You continue to educate us and give direct us in the right direction. THANK YOU!
Dex, great call on GS last night!
Question to the board to help me out. So i need to open up an account for these Secret Plays. Which book is the better of them? 5dimes, the greek, betus? Not sure of these as my knowledge of them is not real good. Any help will be much appreciated.
I will deposit a sum and work with this to increase my BK and not use it as per CK's tip.
Thank you!Comment -
I agree it seems that every secret play ive lost has been a road team. oh well im gonna keep hammering themComment -
gotcha - i do my projected lines differently. as i mentioned yesterday, i basically try and predict what the number will/should be, then look for value if i feel confident in the line i projected. also if i zero in on the line, i may throw a few extra few bucks down with the mindset that i have a good read on the game.
thx.Comment -
Thanks for clearing that up Dex and CK. I guess I'll be playing all secret plays the same amount! GL today!Comment -
there are a few websites out there that track that kind of thing, go ahead and google for it. it is a great tool because if 97% of the public is on one side i just might back away....
i would tell you the site but am afraid of catching the ire of willie bee!Comment -
what i usually do is after a few have not cashed is pump up my bet size considerably as the percentages are EVEN MORE in your favor. look when a play is hitting >80% you gotta do what you gotta do. when i do place my wagers in a day though, all of the secret plays do get the same dollar amount. that being said, this is just how i do it and do not hold me liable!Comment -
I think this is fantastic information that shouldn't be swept under the rug. I have no disrespect for CK and the system, if it does well then why not just bet it, but wouldn't you agree that the more information you can gather the better you are informed and the more prosperous you could be? Of course I don't mean ALL information, I mean useful info...like what we have with Home/Away ATS for scret plays. I think it comes in as really great info because the NCAA Hoops and the NFL are (IMHO) the only sports where home court/field advantage actually makes a difference.
If you had time to run down all your secret plays, CK, it would be very interesting to see the Home/Away ATS records for them.
Just my $0.02Comment -
damn it drives me batty when i cap a game and my result is EXACTLY what the spread is!Comment
