CK's Carjaking the NCAA Threads Leans for Wednesday 2/4/09

[repski]

My Booked Bets...all X10
VCU -9 1st half..50
MEM -9.5 1st half..45
ND -2.5 ..........45
GS +5...................40
Clev-2.5 1st half..30
VCU -16.................30
CFU/HOU over 145....20
Duke/Clem over 146...20

[ANDYW15]

wrong thread..

sorry for the confusion, I was replying to a post but in the wrong thread lol

[UndersSuck]

Just looking ahead to the weekend NBA Games. I believe we have a handful of A games.

Friday Feb 6
Toronto @ New Orleans
Denver @ Washington
(Both B games on Saturday)

Sunday Feb 8
San Antonio @ Boston
New York @ Portland

I believe I am looking at the pre-requisites correctly. Please tell me if I am wrong

[johnnyP]

1Q

Lemon, I just updated the spreadsheet with tonights numbers. I've highlighted the games with the largest discrepancy on 1st Quarter averages. Spread and Moneylines provided by BetUs

Looks like Orlando has the largest point difference average but they are also given the largest 1Q line at -3.5

The following teams look to have significant advantages in 1Q averages with fairly normal spreads.

Cavs -1.5
Pistons -1
Rockets -1.5
Nets PK

I will make my personal decisions closer to game time after reading all the game reviews and looking for injuries and misc stuff. I almost put a ton on Celts the other night only to find out KG was out with the flu right before game time. They won but did not cover that night. I've learned a few times to wait to make the plays.

Also, I never go full size on 1Q bets because a lot of wacky stuff can happen in the 1Q which doesn't show up in the final scores. Good teams can start off really slow against poor teams and poor teams can sometimes shoot lights out in the 1Q and then just die. Toronto is really good at 1Q but not so much the rest of the game.



good luck guys!

[TheLemonDropKid]

Just looking ahead to the weekend NBA Games. I believe we have a handful of A games.

Friday Feb 6
Toronto @ New Orleans
Denver @ Washington
(Both B games on Saturday)

Sunday Feb 8
San Antonio @ Boston
New York @ Portland

I believe I am looking at the pre-requisites correctly. Please tell me if I am wrong

Shoot.....I must have missed the system that lists games as "A or B" games. Can I refer to the previous thread that might have outlined those pre-requisites?

And JohnnyP.....I'm sorry for asking you for that info like that....I might as well have asked you to go get me a beer too. I will try to just use the existing grid and update it myself on a daily basis. Thanks for not telling me to get off my lazy arse and get the info myself....lol.

[TheLemonDropKid]

Wow......thanks Johnny.....I appreciate ya brutha!

[ANDYW15]

Great work Johnny

[Sweatyguido]

call me stupid but i cant figure out how to post a pic for my avatar

[BmoreBucco]

Dex, have you been watching this OKC/Denver line? I'm assuming it is jumping around due to Billups' ankle, but I feel like OKC might just have to be the play at +1.5. Any thoughts? I'll buy it back to 2, but the line movement has been nuts on this, just trying to get my bearings straight!

[Ludovike]

btw where do you live in germany ?

just next to Frankfurt

Still like Dallas to win that one for sure. Enough embarrassement this season, they will show it up now or never. I've also booked the under as it's always a lowscoring affair in Dallas. Average total was 172 last 5 meetings there, highest total 180 points. Got this line at 198,5 and it went down 3 points already

[johnnyP]

LEMON, you have a great attitude and spirit! Keep it up bro!
I'm actually glad you asked because it gave me a chance to dig in a bit to tonights games. I know you weren't trying to boss me around and I'm glad I can do a little something to help out around here. God knows that my capping write ups have been pretty poor lately. I just gotta read more and learn from the guru's on here.

[johnnyP]

call me stupid but i cant figure out how to post a pic for my avatar

Sweatyguido, toward the top left there is a link to User CP ... click that and then once inside you will see Edit Avatar on the left. Dex taught a bunch of us how to do this before.

[cgars1]

****Money Management Tip****

Email question from a gentleman that was interested in how do I play my Secret Plays with respect to which of my three books. Good question. I told him that I would give an answer that would be clear for the board as if i can answer that question for him, I can answer it for all.

As most of the readers know by now, I keep three books in motion at all times. One for my baseball prop wagers, one for my Straight wagers and one for my fade wagers which is basically money shaved from my baseball account that I generally bounce around with the objective of getting bonus money for depositing it. The last account is more liquid than the other two because I actually move it at least 4 times a year, even if that means pulling it out of a particular book and then putting it back in to get 20% on it and free plays, etc.

I am actually playing the Secret Plays on book #2, the book for my baseball wagers. Because of the nature of this type of wager, I as a rule of thumb play them all for $1650.00 to win $1500.00 (-110) apeice since there is no point buying in 1st halves. A good thing about playing them seperately is that I can actually see how the raw numbers have added up to almost $80,000.00 just off of Secret Plays alone. With a 39-9 record for NCAA football and a 29-6 record for NCAA basketball that is a +53 units just on Secret Plays. I plan on withdrawing these funds at $2500.00 a week starting at the end of March Madness, and obviously leaving a rather nice sum in the account to play my 1st inning baseball wagers which won't start until May. I like to see my money stack before i start to pull it out for some reason...

As a side note, with respect to the upcoming baseball season, I am requesting that everybody that is going to play along with the CK Mafia in baseball this year to put $4000.00 aside.

I will orchestrate the whole show and that way for future years no one will need my guidance anymore. Beacuse of the volatility of the wager, there are times when your roll may go down to $1800.00 or so, but you must stay the course and keep on doing it through the end of the World Series. it is not for the faint of heart. This is a ballsy way of wagering but just know that you are playing what the book does not want you to play because they know that the law of averages is heavily in your favor.

I'm in 4k ready for baseball...CK Mafia I'm all in!

[Sweatyguido]

aye, johnny
thanks

[alittlemoresound]

**** yea lets wasted the books in baseball this year...

[cocknocker]

Well speaking of first quarter bets, if i were still playing NBA basketball, it would be hard for me to not take Toronto+2 1st quarter. they're already a better first quarter team than the Lakers and they're getting points at home nonetheless.

[peterpan19]

Ludovike
well nice, I live close to Dresden right now

I am also adding two first half nba games:
Lakers -3.5
Cavs -2

full game: Cavs -5.5, NJ +2, GS +4 (waiting for more points on the last two)

[peterpan19]

ck
yes Tor should cover the first qtr, but I think Lakers should cover the half, as Tor is really bad in the 2nd this year (as of late I almost have the feeling Tor is better in the 2nd than in the 1st, last 2 games they played Orl and Cle and they were destroyed in the first, but did quite well in the 2nd)

[TheLemonDropKid]

Well speaking of first quarter bets, if i were still playing NBA basketball, it would be hard for me to not take Toronto+2 1st quarter. they're already a better first quarter team than the Lakers and they're getting points at home nonetheless.

Well if it's hard for you NOT to take Tor +2 1Q....then it's impossible for me NOT to......consider it done.

Thanks bro.....

[ANDYW15]

ck
yes Tor should cover the first qtr, but I think Lakers should cover the half, as Tor is really bad in the 2nd this year (as of late I almost have the feeling Tor is better in the 2nd than in the 1st, last 2 games they played Orl and Cle and they were destroyed in the first, but did quite well in the 2nd)

Clev's worst quarter win percentage wise is the 2nd if I remember rightly as is Orl

[nonsense48]

booked plays for today:nba:lal-7' orl-13' cle-5' g.s.+3 cbb:va com-9 1st 1/2 va. com.-16 n.d.-3 nickle each. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE

[peterpan19]

thx andy

[TheLemonDropKid]

booked plays for today:nba:lal-7' orl-13' cle-5' g.s.+3 cbb:va com-9 1st 1/2 va. com.-16 n.d.-3 nickle each. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE

Good luck to you too Nonsense......I have the exact plays, so if they come through we will be doing a lot of this....

[ANDYW15]

thx andy

this is a very useful tool, which I believe Johnny introduced us all too

http://www.82games.com/0809/QSORT11.HTM

[peetlui]

What's up ck? Just walked in from doing jury duty. I noticed that The Greek has Virginia Commonwealth At 9.5 with no half time moneyline. Does it now fall under the criteria as a TRUE secret play?

[alukk]

CK is VA COMMONWEALTH first half a SP?

[Bezerk15]

peetlui - Guilty or Not Guilty

[peetlui]

peetlui - Guilty or Not Guilty

I spent the whole damned day waiting for my name to be called as a possible juror and they never called me. I was so pissed because I got home late last night from a banquet and I drank pretty heavily so this morning wasn't something I was looking forward to. Since they didn't call me I've gotta go through to whole process again manana. Geez!! (well one thing I found out whichis is good....you're allowed to bring a laptop if you want)

Imagine that.....being a degenerate gambler while sitting in a court of law. Little contradiction in terms I'd say.

[cgars1]

where has hockeytown been?

[schaapattack]

Yes it is

[cocknocker]

peetlui,

yes now it is an official pure CK Secret Play, oh and BTW I got that thing that we talked about thanks! I'll crack it open this weekend!

alukk

Good luck Lemondropper,

let me know how it turns out.

I have to update the front page now to notify the public that VCU 1st half is now a pure Secret Play

[TheLemonDropKid]

where has hockeytown been?

Was wondering the same thing.....

[TheLemonDropKid]

peetlui,

yes now it is an official pure CK Secret Play, oh and BTW I got that thing that we talked about thanks! I'll crack it open this weekend!

alukk

Good luck Lemondropper,

let me know how it turns out.

I have to update the front page now to notify the public that VCU 1st half is now a pure Secret Play

Thanks CK.......you too bro.....let's go get em baby!!!!!!

[alukk]

ty ck

[johnnyP]

CK, VA Commonwealth has a moneyline at BetUs.
Does this change your position?

Va Commonwealth -9 -110 ML -700