John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread

[ghislaine]

for JM system
Both plays cover !

[thelimit0310]

7/5 Plays MAR 4

No Plays

7/5 Plays MAR 5

No Plays

Results: -17.03
Bet 1: 18-19
Bet 2: 9-9
Utah 11/2
Portland 11/25
Boston 12/14
Houston 1/9
Minnesota 1/9
LA Lakers 1/20
Orlando 1/28
Golden State 2/5
Charlotte 3/1

Personal matters once again, I tried to bring my laptop with me but wasn't able to get a connection on my trip. If you missed anything due to my absence you missed a loss, so good for you! To everyone else I'm sorry for being a flake.


Have a Question about 7/5?
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[ChiLLx]

7/5 Plays MAR 4

No Plays

7/5 Plays MAR 5

No Plays

Results: -17.03
Bet 1: 18-19
Bet 2: 9-9
Utah 11/2
Portland 11/25
Boston 12/14
Houston 1/9
Minnesota 1/9
LA Lakers 1/20
Orlando 1/28
Golden State 2/5
Charlotte 3/1

Personal matters once again, I tried to bring my laptop with me but wasn't able to get a connection on my trip. If you missed anything due to my absence you missed a loss, so good for you! To everyone else I'm sorry for being a flake.

Toronto Bet 2 is on 3/6

Have a Question about 7/5?
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Curious as to why Toronto is a 7/5 Bet 2. They did not meet the lose by more than 3.5 to spread last night.

[imotiv8]

My records do not show Toronto as a 7/5 bet

[J.M. Disciple]

Yesterday was a b bet. Did they lose "A bet" by 3.5pts? (rhetorical question) 7/5 rules do not state A and B must lose by 3.5 only A.

[ChiLLx]

They lost the A bet vs. Milwaukee with a score of 122-114. The spread was 6.5 closing line. This means that for a 7/5 play it should have been at least a 10 point loss or more which they did not do. Again I don't think this qualifies as a 7/5 play.

[Kev the Brit]

They lost the A bet vs. Milwaukee with a score of 122-114. The spread was 6.5 closing line. This means that for a 7/5 play it should have been at least a 10 point loss or more which they did not do. Again I don't think this qualifies as a 7/5 play.

thelimit is on the road at the moment without his laptop, hence he's not quite on top of his game. I'm sure he will come good before the end of his road trip; although he's on a personal C bet at the moment....

[Wallco99]

They lost the A bet vs. Milwaukee with a score of 122-114. The spread was 6.5 closing line. This means that for a 7/5 play it should have been at least a 10 point loss or more which they did not do. Again I don't think this qualifies as a 7/5 play.

You are correct, Toronto is NOT a 7/5 play.

[ChiLLx]

thelimit is on the road at the moment without his laptop, hence he's not quite on top of his game. I'm sure he will come good before the end of his road trip; although he's on a personal C bet at the moment....

I mean no offense to thelimit at all. He's done a fantastic job so far with the plays. I just want to get this one correct since he is obviously concerned with other things.

[cambertos]

I mean no offense to thelimit at all. He's done a fantastic job so far with the plays. I just want to get this one correct since he is obviously concerned with other things.

Backhanded compliment... little dig at the end there

[hughesn2]

No shit really? OK 34% ATS. Much better. Keep 4 game chasing bottom feeders, makes no difference to me. Win % percentage is a pretty good way to gauge a teams performance against any spread. There is a reason the get 12-14 points on a regular basis.

You are wrong there! Look at the Wizards bud, they have the SECOND (yes, 2nd!!!!) best ATS record in the entire NBA, including the best AWAY ATS record in the NBA...BUT they have the 3rd WORST record in the NBA and the 3rd worst AWAY record. Yeah, great correlation.

Of the 5 worst NBA records, two of them have an above .500 ATS record (WSH and CLEV). Of the 9 best NBA records, three of them have an ATS record at 53% or less (MIA, NYK, GS), but again 6 of the best 7 NBA teams have at least +8 margin ATS

[dlunc3]

You are wrong there! Look at the Wizards bud, they have the SECOND (yes, 2nd!!!!) best ATS record in the entire NBA, including the best AWAY ATS record in the NBA...BUT they have the 3rd WORST record in the NBA and the 3rd worst AWAY record. Yeah, great correlation.

Of the 5 worst NBA records, two of them have an above .500 ATS record (WSH and CLEV). Of the 9 best NBA records, three of them have an ATS record at 53% or less (MIA, NYK, GS), but again 6 of the best 7 NBA teams have at least +8 margin ATS

[thelimit0310]

Whoops! You guys are correct I edited the Toronto play out of the post. Sorry fellas just trying to play catch up today, honest mistake.

[KennyM10]

Whoops! You guys are correct I edited the Toronto play out of the post. Sorry fellas just trying to play catch up today, honest mistake.

No
one cares

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 62-3 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -18.75 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)

v1 Plays
(A) 36-30
(B) 16-14
(C) 7-6
(D) 3-3
Losses: HOU (-35.91 u), ORL (-26.39 u), CHA (-18.46)


Games for (3/6/13):
#66 Toronto (M/L) @ Phoenix (C) (9:05 pm EST)
#67 Washington @ Minnesota (M/L) (A) (8:05 pm EST)
#68 Brooklyn @ Charlotte (+8) (A) (7:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[hagball52]

Really scratching my head over that Toronto point spread. Phoenix has won 3 in a row and beat the Spurs on the road and Toronto has lost 5 SU and ATS. What gives? All I can think is that the oddsmakers know something and they're begging you to take the Suns.

[bisturis]

According to the ss we have PHI, MIL, POR, and HOU correct?

And then TOR C bet IF you DONT buy points correct?

Just want to make sure I have it right before I place my bets.

[J.M. Disciple]

According to the ss we have PHI, MIL, POR, and HOU correct?

And then TOR C bet IF you DONT buy points correct?

Just want to make sure I have it right before I place my bets.

YES

[thelimit0310]

7/5 Plays MAR 5

No Plays

7/5 Plays MAR 6

No Plays

Results: -17.03
Bet 1: 18-19
Bet 2: 9-9
Utah 11/2
Portland 11/25
Boston 12/14
Houston 1/9
Minnesota 1/9
LA Lakers 1/20
Orlando 1/28
Golden State 2/5
Charlotte 3/1

Have a Question about 7/5?
Click here for your Answer

[bisturis]

Thanks JM! I appreciate your help!

[hagball52]

I haven't forgot about posting the NBA stats for the 3 versions. Just got busy. Will get it up by the weekend.

[ghislaine]

Yup, so four A bets tonight with
Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Portland and Houston.
I got them buying three points at bet365 for
PHI +11.5
MIL +12.5
POR +10
HOU +5

Very interesting to see what happens

[stevex]

JM Traditional
3/6/2013
V1
Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 33-2-1
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 34-2
Current series pending: 1
1. Milwaukee Bucks A Bet +9.5 @ LA Clippers
Milwaukee Bucks A Bet (if buying 3 points) +12.5 @ LA Clippers
V2
Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 22-3
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 23-3
Current series pending: 1 (Raptors straight up ATS)
1. Toronto Raptors C Bet -1.5 @ Phoenix Suns
V3
Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 50-4-4
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 55-3
Current series pending: 3
1. Philadelphia 76ers A Bet +8.5 @ Atlanta Hawks
Philadelphia 76ers A Bet (if buying 3 points) +11.5 @ Atlanta Hawks
2. Portland Trailblazers A Bet +7 @ Memphis Grizzlies
Portland Trailblazers A Bet (if buying 3 points) +10 @ Memphis Grizzlies
3. Houston Rockets A Bet +1.5 @ Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets A Bet (if buying 3 points) +4.5 @ Dallas Mavericks

[Kev the Brit]

Whoops! You guys are correct I edited the Toronto play out of the post. Sorry fellas just trying to play catch up today, honest mistake.

No
one cares

Well, actually, Kenny, we do. But, in response to your post:

No
one cares

[Kev the Brit]

Chase 110 tonight:

#68 Brooklyn @ Charlotte (+8) (A) (7:05 pm EST)

Ordinarily I wouldn't chase a spread bet on the worst team ATS (by far the worst - 32% chance).

However, I'm thinking that even they should win at least once ATS within the next 4 games, surely??

Has any team in recent times (or ever?) had an 11 game losing streak ATS? The bookies must surely ease the odds to get the business.

[hagball52]

Chase 110 tonight:
Ordinarily I wouldn't chase a spread bet on the worst team ATS (by far the worst - 32% chance).

However, I'm thinking that even they should win at least once ATS within the next 4 games, surely??

Has any team in recent times (or ever?) had an 11 game losing streak ATS? The bookies must surely ease the odds to get the business.

Since Wallco has been posting chase 110 I believe we have never had a series go past 9 SU and ATS losses.

[play4win]

why is charlotte a play? don't they have to lose 3 su/ats again after serie loss?

[Wallco99]

why is charlotte a play? don't they have to lose 3 su/ats again after serie loss?

No, you made that up.

[KennyM10]

I haven't forgot about posting the NBA stats for the 3 versions. Just got busy. Will get it up by the weekend.

Do not flatter yourself, or waste your time this is a losing thread please do not confuse wallco with stats he prefers darts.

[KennyM10]

why is charlotte a play? don't they have to lose 3 su/ats again after serie loss?

Yes you are correct and should now take over the posting of picks. Good call of course charlotte should not ever be a pick but in the world of monopoly money it does not matter.

[KennyM10]

Kev the brit with your thinking on why to take charlotte have you ever thought of becoming walkcos assistant.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 64-3 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -16.75 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

(3/6/13):
#66 Toronto (M/L) (C) - Win
#67 Minnesota (M/L) (A) - Win
#68 Charlotte (+8) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 37-31
(B) 16-14
(C) 8-6
(D) 3-3
Losses: HOU (-35.91 u), ORL (-26.39 u), CHA (-18.46)


There are no system plays for (3/7/13):
#68 Resumes (B) on 3/8/13


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[BCC585]

Do not flatter yourself, or waste your time this is a losing thread please do not confuse wallco with stats he prefers darts.

So......... Why do you waste your time posting in this thread then?

[thelimit0310]

7/5 Plays MAR 6

No Plays

7/5 Plays MAR 7

No Plays

Results: -17.03
Bet 1: 18-19
Bet 2: 9-9
Utah 11/2
Portland 11/25
Boston 12/14
Houston 1/9
Minnesota 1/9
LA Lakers 1/20
Orlando 1/28
Golden State 2/5
Charlotte 3/1

Milwaukee Bet 1 starts on March 9th

Have a Question about 7/5?
Click here for your Answer

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 64-3 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -16.75 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

v1 Plays
(A) 37-31
(B) 16-14
(C) 8-6
(D) 3-3
Losses: HOU (-35.91 u), ORL (-26.39 u), CHA (-18.46)


Games for (3/8/13):
#68 Oklahoma City @ Charlotte (+14½) (B) (7:05 pm EST)
#69 Dallas @ Detroit (**) (A) (7:35 pm EST)

** Denotes line not available at time of post


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.