celtics +3.5 versus mil HUGE

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  • YouHave2outs
    SBR MVP
    • 07-02-11
    • 4448

    #36
    PR9 i honestly think your evaluation of how the Celtics look in the pregame is always influenced by hindsight. you say how they looked, whether good or bad, after the game is over or halfway through. maybe i have just missed a few of the posts that gave pregame thoughts on their body language. to be honest, when the celtics were at warriors a couple weeks ago they looked lethargic as hell during warmups and were not looking like a tight knit group at all. they shot lights out and beat the warriors in a close one that went like 20 points over the total.

    that being said, i do like the bucks a lot here.
    Comment
    • hawley
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-10-10
      • 14270

      #37
      Knicks, Raptors, Net, Cavs, Warriors, Trailblazers


      In the Bucks recent run when have they faced a half decent defense?
      Comment
      • face
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-31-11
        • 14740

        #38
        Originally posted by hawley
        Knicks, Raptors, Net, Cavs, Warriors, Trailblazers


        In the Bucks recent run when have they faced a half decent defense?
        no. good point. celtics will slow it down, kg will get rebounds, and rondo will have space to work his assist magic. celtics need to make their shots though, which is always sketchy.
        personally i would rather slam marquette or grizzlies though. maybe cincinnatti and the points.
        Comment
        • PR9
          SBR MVP
          • 12-30-11
          • 2813

          #39
          Originally posted by YouHave2outs
          PR9 i honestly think your evaluation of how the Celtics look in the pregame is always influenced by hindsight. you say how they looked, whether good or bad, after the game is over or halfway through. maybe i have just missed a few of the posts that gave pregame thoughts on their body language
          Don't know where you're trying to get at, but here's one of them which I posted right at the tipoff... Link-



          following post was with ATL "IN THE LEAD". anyone who watched that game knows BOS never led in the 1st H - it was either tied or ATL with a lead in a defensive struggle.

          Placed twice my usual high bet of 5u, to 10u ($1000) for that game (as posted in the link). With how confident I am in reading Boston early.

          had other posts about it but there's one with wager added

          BOL

          .
          Comment
          • PR9
            SBR MVP
            • 12-30-11
            • 2813

            #40
            In these wee hours the line has moved to Bucks -3


            hmm
            Comment
            • PR9
              SBR MVP
              • 12-30-11
              • 2813

              #41
              Originally posted by hawley
              Knicks, Raptors, Net, Cavs, Warriors, Trailblazers


              In the Bucks recent run when have they faced a half decent defense?
              12 of last 13 Milwaukee games went over the total.
              Comment
              • squid44
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-13-10
                • 353

                #42
                bovada doing their thang- line at 3.5 now for bos/mil !
                Comment
                • BigBurk
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-25-11
                  • 3785

                  #43
                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                  Taking bos +3.5 -110 for 5k here. Then going the other way on friday. Mil is a huge square play here. Off the trip and bos is rested. So simple.

                  Bos +3.5 -110 (50x)
                  Clown
                  Comment
                  • I am Happy
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-11-10
                    • 597

                    #44
                    I like the Celtics play here, LB... I'm hopeful and optimistic this catches for you... the line is set right, IMO however. The Drew Gooden show will end tonight with the Big Ticket. Ray will hopefully be hitting, Pietrus, etc.. I like the matchups in favor of the Celts.
                    Comment
                    • crispix
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 03-20-12
                      • 89

                      #45
                      Originally posted by YouHave2outs
                      the square/sharp definitions on this forum baffle me
                      x2....
                      Comment
                      • innn
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-31-10
                        • 492

                        #46
                        Originally posted by PR9
                        12 of last 13 Milwaukee games went over the total.
                        I 'm glad to know that I 'll take the under tonight
                        Comment
                        • hawley
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-10-10
                          • 14270

                          #47
                          Originally posted by PR9
                          12 of last 13 Milwaukee games went over the total.

                          what does that have to do with my question?
                          Comment
                          • IllyPhilly[DOC]
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-18-10
                            • 2512

                            #48
                            Bucks started off the super Ats record with a 2pt buzzard beater from chi towns best Derrick rose. Chicago also the best d in the league so bucks can run with good D teams ...
                            Comment
                            • lakerboy
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-02-09
                              • 94379

                              #49
                              How come milwaukee hasn't moved to -4?
                              Comment
                              • Speedy88
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-19-11
                                • 11717

                                #50
                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                How come milwaukee hasn't moved to -4?
                                It has at my book (betislands).
                                Comment
                                • celticsboy
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-21-11
                                  • 736

                                  #51
                                  bos +3.5
                                  Comment
                                  • GoBlue77
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-20-11
                                    • 9166

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by celticsboy
                                    bos +3.5
                                    and there it is!

                                    POUNDING Bucks tonight. Sorry Celt supporters, you are getting worked tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • celticsboy
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-21-11
                                      • 736

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by GoBlue77
                                      and there it is!

                                      POUNDING Bucks tonight. Sorry Celt supporters, you are getting worked tonight.
                                      POUNDING your MOM tonight after bos pounds mil.
                                      Comment
                                      • ROFLcopter
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-16-10
                                        • 4446

                                        #54
                                        5dimes has moved to 4 also. Should you be concerned?
                                        Comment
                                        • BigDofBA
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-30-09
                                          • 19313

                                          #55
                                          A line moving .5 isn't too big of a deal.

                                          Lines move. It's the nature of the beast.

                                          My biggest bet of the year was on UTA against Weber St.

                                          The line more a full poor against me and Weber got pounded before tip. I still won my bet.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                            How come milwaukee hasn't moved to -4?
                                            Why would it when the public is 66% on Boston ML?
                                            Comment
                                            • byronbb
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-08
                                              • 3067

                                              #57
                                              Market does seem to be leaning to take Mil $$. GL
                                              Comment
                                              • YouHave2outs
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-02-11
                                                • 4448

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by PR9
                                                Don't know where you're trying to get at, but here's one of them which I posted right at the tipoff... Link-



                                                following post was with ATL "IN THE LEAD". anyone who watched that game knows BOS never led in the 1st H - it was either tied or ATL with a lead in a defensive struggle.

                                                Placed twice my usual high bet of 5u, to 10u ($1000) for that game (as posted in the link). With how confident I am in reading Boston early.

                                                had other posts about it but there's one with wager added

                                                BOL

                                                .
                                                what i was saying was that there have been numerous times where after a Boston game you have posted in one thread or another that you personally knew they would cover or not before the game started. all you had to look at was their body language. didn't mean any disrespect. you give a lot of good insight that i enjoy reading. bol tonight.
                                                Comment
                                                • YouHave2outs
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-02-11
                                                  • 4448

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by celticsboy
                                                  POUNDING your MOM tonight after bos pounds mil.
                                                  high school virgin?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brainfreeze0
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-19-12
                                                    • 2146

                                                    #60
                                                    I like Bucks here as well. GL though
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                      • 19313

                                                      #61
                                                      If you're on Boston tonight, you have to love the fact that 90% of the board seems to love the Bucks.

                                                      It kind of reminds me of a few days ago when I took Boston on the road against Atlanta. I'm pretty sure everyone was telling me Atlanta would kill them.

                                                      What happened?

                                                      As for this game, I really don't have a good feel for it. I don't like that this is Monta's first game in Milwaukee since the trade. The place should be energized. Likewise, I don't like the fact that Boston has a game they might be looking forward to tomorrow against Philly.

                                                      This is a tough one for me. I think I might just play Cincinnati in NCAA hoops. I'm starting to warm up to the Bearcats in that matchup.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jmbbarata
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 10-08-11
                                                        • 309

                                                        #62
                                                        I pointed to the over
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Speedy88
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-19-11
                                                          • 11717

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                          If you're on Boston tonight, you have to love the fact that 90% of the board seems to love the Bucks.

                                                          It kind of reminds me of a few days ago when I took Boston on the road against Atlanta. I'm pretty sure everyone was telling me Atlanta would kill them.

                                                          What happened?

                                                          As for this game, I really don't have a good feel for it. I don't like that this is Monta's first game in Milwaukee since the trade. The place should be energized. Likewise, I don't like the fact that Boston has a game they might be looking forward to tomorrow against Philly.

                                                          This is a tough one for me. I think I might just play Cincinnati in NCAA hoops. I'm starting to warm up to the Bearcats in that matchup.
                                                          I think the two games are a little different. Boston matches up real well with ATL, I think MIL poses a harder matchup for BOS. But yeah it is similar in the fact that everyone was against Boston then, and it seems the same here as well.

                                                          Should be a great game, a lot at stake for both teams, probably won't even watch it though because of the March Madness games. I kind of get a feeling that MIL will either win by double digits or lose SU.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigDofBA
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-30-09
                                                            • 19313

                                                            #64
                                                            I gotta think that if this goes over, the Boston pick might be in trouble.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDofBA
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-30-09
                                                              • 19313

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Speedy88
                                                              I think the two games are a little different. Boston matches up real well with ATL, I think MIL poses a harder matchup for BOS. But yeah it is similar in the fact that everyone was against Boston then, and it seems the same here as well.

                                                              Should be a great game, a lot at stake for both teams, probably won't even watch it though because of the March Madness games. I kind of get a feeling that MIL will either win by double digits or lose SU.
                                                              Agreed about matching up with Atlanta. That's why I'm not taking Boston tonight.

                                                              I also agree about Boston winning or losing by double digits. I feel like if they don't cover, it will be because they got blown out. I might wait until halftime to get a feel for the game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • lakerboy
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-02-09
                                                                • 94379

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                Why would it when the public is 66% on Boston ML?
                                                                What does that have to do with the spread?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hawley
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-10-10
                                                                  • 14270

                                                                  #67
                                                                  WOnder if Pinny just keeps juicing the 3.5 or moves to 4
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Speedy88
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-19-11
                                                                    • 11717

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by hawley
                                                                    WOnder if Pinny just keeps juicing the 3.5 or moves to 4
                                                                    Thinking the same thing. What seems to be a better deterrent for Pinny, high juice or a half point higher? I'm not much of an expert when it comes to Pinny. I'd guess people get more scared from the high juice.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                                      • 19313

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Speedy88
                                                                      Thinking the same thing. What seems to be a better deterrent for Pinny, high juice or a half point higher? I'm not much of an expert when it comes to Pinny. I'd guess people get more scared from the high juice.
                                                                      I have noticed one thing. When other books move a line and Pinny just juices the hell out of it, the side that is juiced typically loses.

                                                                      Boston +3.5 looks like a better play than Milwaukee -3.5 juiced imo, especially when other books have moved to 4 and Pinny is content staying at 3.5.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Speedy88
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 03-19-11
                                                                        • 11717

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                        I have noticed one thing. When other books move a line and Pinny just juices the hell out of it, the side that is juiced typically loses.
                                                                        Last night the Wiz were at +7 at -119 juice. But that may be too early to pay attention to the whole juice thing. But yeah, I've noticed the same. Last year GoldenGreek had "Pinny Plays," and they are anytime Pinny juiced a team to a certain extent (i think anything higher than -120), I think they hit at like a 65% rate.
                                                                        Comment
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