This is the BEST year EVER for 1st quarter betting. Condensed schedule is the reason.

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  • PR9
    SBR MVP
    • 12-30-11
    • 2813

    #1
    This is the BEST year EVER for 1st quarter betting. Condensed schedule is the reason.
    The rested teams tomorrow that will be hosting (or playing) b2b teams are:

    Lakers
    Dallas
    Nets

    These are 3 automatic bets for me tomorrow for the 1st quarter playing against tired teams. and I do it all year long and write down the teams the night before.

    Checking my results since the season started, I'm winning with this trend about 75% of the time ( I haven't played EVERY single spot on this but i've played a lot of them). This is a winner, ESPECIALLY in this "CONDENSED" Season !! Remember that teams are pacing themselves this year more than ever, and it's simply human nature for a rested team to start a game well in the 1st and a tired team on a back-to-back (with the travel sometimes) to come out flat.

    ALL you have to do is see the evidence with Orlando the past 2 nights. Tonight on a b2b playing last night in portland, GS was totally kicking ORL's ass in the 1st quarter. However, Orlando was rested for 2 days before playing Portland last night.. meanwhile Portland played 2 nights ago against the clippers in a hard fought game that was on national TV and had to face a rested ORL last night ... Result = Orlando just destroyed Portland in the 1st Q last night.

    Does it work all the time ? Of course not, nothing does. I had Boston 1st quarter last night and they shit the bed against Dallas who was traveling on a b2b. But for every one of those you'll nab 2 or 3 winners.

    I'm going to bet more on this shit all year long, and THIS is the BEST season to do it with the condensed schedule and teams pacing themselves. These are GREAT Spot$. EASY MONEY !!


  • therealdealau
    SBR MVP
    • 11-12-10
    • 3227

    #2
    i hate you so much
    Comment
    • ksnooksk
      SBR MVP
      • 11-18-11
      • 2890

      #3
      Most definitely. Lakers and Dallas will be $$$$.

      I hate parlay's but I like these 3 so much that I may try one..

      Portland +1.5
      Lakers -9.5
      Mavs -8
      Comment
      • PR9
        SBR MVP
        • 12-30-11
        • 2813

        #4
        Originally posted by therealdealau

        i hate you so much
        so under your skin. you're so adorable
        Comment
        • therealdealau
          SBR MVP
          • 11-12-10
          • 3227

          #5
          Originally posted by ksnooksk
          Most definitely. Lakers and Dallas will be $$$$.

          I hate parlay's but I like these 3 so much that I may try one..

          Portland +1.5
          Lakers -9.5
          Mavs -8
          mate did you read the thread?
          Comment
          • rapidfire5
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-25-11
            • 516

            #6
            makes sense
            Comment
            • PR9
              SBR MVP
              • 12-30-11
              • 2813

              #7
              Originally posted by ksnooksk

              Most definitely. Lakers and Dallas will be $$$$.
              I've consciously made these bets all year, and looking at the win/loss history at my books for these spots, the win percentage is quite high.

              thought I'd relay it to the board as I've heard some good people here mention how they stay away from 1Q or 1H betting. There's no need to stay away, especially in this condensed season giving you some really good opportunities to make $$
              Comment
              • BigDeem5
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-26-11
                • 17191

                #8
                Not a bad idea whatsoever. Cavs will be tired, I'll tell ya that.
                Comment
                • ksnooksk
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-18-11
                  • 2890

                  #9
                  Originally posted by therealdealau
                  mate did you read the thread?

                  I had 2 separate parts mate.
                  Comment
                  • PR9
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-30-11
                    • 2813

                    #10
                    You can also make a killing on props using these spots.

                    Let's say that you totally believed Orlando was going to win this game tonight, but know that GS would likely win the 1st quarter going by the percentages..

                    well you have a prop asking you if the winner of the 1st quarter will win the game. The price on this prop for this game was +160 if you selected no.

                    +160 is a hell of a lot cheaper and a far better price than the Orlando ML price for this full game ;-)
                    Comment
                    • BetterBizness
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-20-06
                      • 5737

                      #11
                      I disagree with the logic... as much as I do see lots of unders across the board... I see more fast paced first quarters turn into flailing half court pace games late... fatigue is already built into the line....
                      Comment
                      • BaLLcappin99
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-11-12
                        • 118

                        #12
                        Yeah guys eat it up. BTW, don't forget that he's not actually betting on any of these 1st quarter unless he decides to quote you after you lose saying that the Bucks 1st quarter was a 5unit winner for him but he was too busy to post it before the game tipped off. If you can't see how sharp he is, then you will never learn how to win like he does at sports betting.
                        Comment
                        • nbafanatic2012
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-13-12
                          • 764

                          #13
                          hello pr9 I think you are one of the smartest guys in here. If you did start your own thread and started capping you would be flawless.
                          Comment
                          • manutd19
                            Restricted User
                            • 05-24-11
                            • 340

                            #14
                            I really think he should start his thread since you pick winners consistently
                            Comment
                            • BaLLcappin99
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-11-12
                              • 118

                              #15
                              If he creates a thread and documents all the picks/juice/unit size then he will lose. Why on earth wouldn't he do that? It's because he's full of shit and he knows so. If you go back throughout the week on all of the threads he created he always comes in after a lean of his loses and claims he had a play on the game that won, but not the original lean. This is very typical of a sociopath's personality.

                              PR9, you are a very bad human being. Please go re-direct your rodentry towards the garbage bins outside of my driveway. That is all.

                              - A noble servant for the good of SBR
                              Comment
                              • hoop guru
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-07-09
                                • 2414

                                #16
                                nets +2 1st quarter
                                Comment
                                • Speedy88
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-19-11
                                  • 11717

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BaLLcappin99
                                  If he creates a thread and documents all the picks/juice/unit size then he will lose. Why on earth wouldn't he do that? It's because he's full of shit and he knows so. If you go back throughout the week on all of the threads he created he always comes in after a lean of his loses and claims he had a play on the game that won, but not the original lean. This is very typical of a sociopath's personality.

                                  PR9, you are a very bad human being. Please go re-direct your rodentry towards the garbage bins outside of my driveway. That is all.

                                  - A noble servant for the good of SBR
                                  What did this guy do to you? Did he take your girlfriend or something? He is allowed to come in various threads and claim a win without stating it previously. It's not like he is on here boasting about how he is up 50 units. He makes a lot of great picks before games, and most them end up hitting.
                                  Comment
                                  • PR9
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-30-11
                                    • 2813

                                    #18
                                    I don't bet the same amount for every game. A smart capper always considers other factors in any bet they place. Hence, Phx played poorly at home last night, they will probably come out stronger tonight. The Nets have been poor in most of their 1st Q this year. Smaller bet on this one.

                                    The cavs meanwhile exuded a lot of energy last night, and I have more on the Lakers at home on my 1st Q bet.

                                    On the other game, the Bucks notoriously play the Mavs well. Moreover, the Bucks are 4th best in the league for 1st half point differential (and they are the 4th worst for 2nd H point differential). And Dallas is notorious for being a better 2nd half team than a 1st half team. Though I am still betting DAL, but just a smaller amount

                                    Last night, both GS and MEM covered the 1st Q EASILY (Mem had a commanding 28-19 lead on the b2b traveling knicks after the 1st Q) However, Charlotte didn't cover the 1st Q against a b2b ATL team. But I didn't bet that one. Who the fukk can trust the Bobcats on the road ?! Unless they're playing the pathetic knicks at madison square garden ;-)

                                    So you have to take everything into account. Like I stated in the opening post, I didn't bet every instance for this spot, but most of them I have. Use your better judgement. The bottom line is, it pans out more than it doesn't.
                                    Comment
                                    • PR9
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-30-11
                                      • 2813

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BaLLcappin99

                                      If he creates a thread and documents all the picks/juice/unit size then he will lose.
                                      And I've already taken you to school on this in another thread:



                                      Hilarious how I'm so inside your head that you have such a need to respond to a majority of my posts. To top it off, PM'ing me in a rude manner when I've never even discussed anything w/you prior to that, begging me and crying for my picks like a peasant and a baby. And of course, and again, not only are you a crappy capper, an arrogant prick in every thread you waltz into, but you're also a liar... as every time I have started any plays of the day threads I've won my bets at an extremely high rate:



                                      +



                                      +

                                      covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101225130

                                      You just want to tail. But please go ahead and start your own plays of the day thread so I can find easy fades.
                                      Comment
                                      • The Architect
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-15-09
                                        • 587

                                        #20
                                        Hey PR9,

                                        Lakers (-6) first half? i think this is easy...what you think?
                                        Comment
                                        • kl06ty
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-19-11
                                          • 189

                                          #21
                                          I have Miami -1 in the first quarter. They are probably pissed off for that craptascular showing in LA and they are probably going to be pumped out and running in Denver. Im putting a few dimes on Miami just cause they are going to try to run Denver out of their building in the first half, because we all know Miami cannot cover the 3rd and 4th quarters.
                                          Comment
                                          • rapidfire5
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-25-11
                                            • 516

                                            #22
                                            dallas
                                            Comment
                                            • jaxjonesdrew32
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 04-02-10
                                              • 330

                                              #23
                                              cashed in on Dallas. betting on Lakers also.
                                              Comment
                                              • Yezzir
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 03-29-10
                                                • 933

                                                #24
                                                FFS, missed this thread in time for Mavs.
                                                Comment
                                                • PR9
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-30-11
                                                  • 2813

                                                  #25
                                                  Mavs 32 Bucks 23 after 1st quarter.

                                                  1-0 so far tonight
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Speedy88
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-19-11
                                                    • 11717

                                                    #26
                                                    I'll try it out with Lakers 1Q.
                                                    <input id="gwProxy" type="hidden"><!--Session data--><input onclick="jsCall();" id="jsProxy" type="hidden">
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Yezzir
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 03-29-10
                                                      • 933

                                                      #27
                                                      Tailing with Lakers.

                                                      Also, screw the haters PR9.. Most of us appreciate the info.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Speedy88
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-19-11
                                                        • 11717

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Yezzir
                                                        Tailing with Lakers. Also, screw the haters PR9.. Most of us appreciate the info.
                                                        Agreed. I've noticed over the past few days there have been a ton of PR9 haters. All the guy does is pick winners and give great insight. People on here are getting mad because he doesn't have a season long thread There just mad because they can't tail his picks prior to the games
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ksnooksk
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-18-11
                                                          • 2890

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by PR9
                                                          Mavs 32 Bucks 23 after 1st quarter.

                                                          1-0 so far tonight


                                                          Originally posted by Yezzir
                                                          Tailing with Lakers.

                                                          Also, screw the haters PR9.. Most of us appreciate the info.
                                                          Absolutely.

                                                          Originally posted by Speedy88
                                                          Agreed. I've noticed over the past few days there have been a ton of PR9 haters. All the guy does is pick winners and give great insight. People on here are getting mad because he doesn't have a season long thread There just mad because they can't tail his picks prior to the games

                                                          100% truth here....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BookieOweMe
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-01-10
                                                            • 2106

                                                            #30
                                                            any insight on the Heat game?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Yezzir
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 03-29-10
                                                              • 933

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Speedy88
                                                              Agreed. I've noticed over the past few days there have been a ton of PR9 haters. All the guy does is pick winners and give great insight. People on here are getting mad because he doesn't have a season long thread There just mad because they can't tail his picks prior to the games
                                                              I've noticed nothing but the majority of his write ups being accurate and informative and his picks, along with BettingWizard and a few others being spot on.

                                                              "B-B-B-BUT HE DOESN'T HAVE A THREAD "
                                                              Comment
                                                              • rapidfire5
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-25-11
                                                                • 516

                                                                #32
                                                                what was spread for lakers 1q?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jaxjonesdrew32
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 04-02-10
                                                                  • 330

                                                                  #33
                                                                  ship it
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jaxjonesdrew32
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 04-02-10
                                                                    • 330

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by rapidfire5
                                                                    what was spread for lakers 1q?
                                                                    we are just betting the moneyline
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rapidfire5
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-25-11
                                                                      • 516

                                                                      #35
                                                                      fckkkkkk was out all day. Should have cashed in on both. Good post PR9

                                                                      Something so simple and it seems to always work.
                                                                      Comment
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