FIBA Asia 2011

[kobstopa]

i have China at -23,5 at Bet365. do you think this is ok?

I thought -24 is about right. You have to remember, this is a new round & they will put back their starters; 56 -84 range of score

[tullamore21]

tell me your opinion at Iran-Sout Korea matchup.
if those two were playing tonight which one would have plus points?

[sharlataans]

kobstopa you are on fire.

My leans for monday are China -19.5 and Philippinnes ML (+100)

Damn, Philippinnes turned from +1.5 underdog to -3.5 favorite.

[sharlataans]

tell me your opinion at Iran-Sout Korea matchup.
if those two were playing tonight which one would have plus points?

I say Korea is the favorite

[tullamore21]

is there any reason for South Korea to run the game till the end?
i just noticed that Iran destroyed Uzbekistan and i guess Korea is a better team, but doesn't reach those numbers.
i have watched 2 times Korea and only one game Iran, so i am complicated.
I am leaning -42, but a bit confused right now

[sharlataans]

I would not bet -42. That's a lot

[tullamore21]

I would not bet -42. That's a lot

Just picked it. I want to risk, cause i need to come back after a non-profitable Eurobasket.
I cannot take Under, even if i think this will hit. But i cannot take +42 too.
so...

[kobstopa]

tell me your opinion at Iran-Sout Korea matchup. if those two were playing tonight which one would have plus points?

Iran is the fav & Iran will be the victor - they got players to do it - Hamed HADADI of Memphis Grizzlies is a beast + these guys sure can play defense.
Korea had been very successful to this point due to their out side shooting, they move the ball well against sub .500 team

[kobstopa]

Just picked it. I want to risk, cause i need to come back after a non-profitable Eurobasket. I cannot take Under, even if i think this will hit. But i cannot take +42 too. so...

two things:
1. I think Korea is -39 I say about 60% that they can cover this, they're excellent jumpshooting team, once they get it going they won't stop even after 100 points ahead, they played hard - but still not really a good spot, hence I stay away from this one
2. if you down from previous bets, don't take action for the sake of doing it so you can recover; that's a cardinal sin of sportbet, remember you're in it for a long run with patience and pick good spots. It's so easy to loose & can compound problem to your bank roll, it's not worth it. There's always plenty of action to come; all you need bankroll to invest at the right time and enjoy that winning. gl

[tullamore21]

two things: 1. I think Korea is -39 I say about 60% that they can cover this, they're excellent jumpshooting team, once they get it going they won't stop even after 100 points ahead, they played hard - but still not really a good spot, hence I stay away from this one 2. if you down from previous bets, don't take action for the sake of doing it so you can recover; that's a cardinal sin of sportbet, remember you're in it for a long run with patience and pick good spots. It's so easy to loose & can compound problem to your bank roll, it's not worth it. There's always plenty of action to come; all you need bankroll to invest at the right time and enjoy that winning. gl

Thanks for your advice. When i say i want to risk, i meant that i am taking a pick that normally i wouldn't have made. I say this, because i know only a few things of Asian Basketball. So my picks are always risky. I will spend a standard amount of Units at asian championship, so there's no problem.

[tullamore21]

two things: 1. I think Korea is -39 I say about 60% that they can cover this, ...........

did you have that number at your book?

[tullamore21]

52-24 first half. Doesn't seem good enought. expecting something like 30+...
i hope they won't stop at the second
Uzbekistan is low as expected, though

[kobstopa]

did you have that number at your book?

yes,
I notice very time a new round begin, matches are taken serious as teams want to win & get ahead start; so they really play physical games flat out, hence most of these games are under's due to deflection, low FG % etc; these were valid in african champs but except american champs; today is no exception.

[tullamore21]

wow, unbelieavable.
Korean lost 5 lay ups in a row

[tullamore21]

-42,5 will not hit, i guess. South Korea with many turnovers, allowing many offensive rebs and second chance baskets for Uzb. damn

[tullamore21]

damn Korea. This quarter had to be 15+. They had too much open court and transition game, but didn't hit anything "easy".

[tullamore21]

low level, at Asia. They don't know how to let the ball drop down the basket...

[tullamore21]

i can lose, but no like this.
i hate them

[tullamore21]

thank god, those threes saved my pick

[tullamore21]

Kobstopa, what about next game? Are you on PHILLIPINES or JORDAN?

[kobstopa]

thank god, those threes saved my pick

arh, the joy & pain of sportbet, there are time it's probably best not to follow it but just wait to see win or loose at the end.

[tullamore21]

arh, the joy & pain of sportbet, there are time it's probably best not to follow it but just wait to see win or loose at the end.

so true. Crazy back to back three pointers saved me and killed under same time. May i ask where you are from?

[kobstopa]

Kobstopa, what about next game? Are you on PHILLIPINES or JORDAN?

so you like more action, hey?

I am taking 2x Philippines -4.5 in group F
JORDAN had lose to japan 92-87 , & I think Phil is a far more polished team than the jap, with a balance of depth consisted a good core of their pro players
good luck

[sharlataans]

Hey guys GL with Phil pick, I don't have the time to make it. They should win IMO

[tullamore21]

so you like more action, hey? I am taking 2x Philippines -4.5 in group F JORDAN had lose to japan 92-87 , & I think Phil is a far more polished team than the jap, with a balance of depth consisted a good core of their pro players good luck

Yes just a unit on Phil. Thanks and good luck

[kobstopa]

oh no, i think i'll kiss 2 units goodbye Phil shoot below 10% FG, wTf going on here ?

[sharlataans]

Phil leads.

Probably they are not better individually but as a team they are more well played.

[sharlataans]

Lasett + Alapag = 3 + 3

[tullamore21]

59-51 we have the momentum!!!

[kobstopa]

ref are favor jordan all game long

[kobstopa]

phil up 4 with 25 sec
now
up 6 with 15 sec - hold - hold them

[sharlataans]

Congrats good game

[kobstopa]

64 - 72 Phil pulled it through after 15 points down in the half. Man that's crazy, credit to one Marcus Douthit whom dominated the glass & too had landed awkward on his right leg but he's ok to return and back in.

credit to jordan too for 14/23 at the line

[kobstopa]

Japan at UAE
Now that we got some cash, I like the another physical game coming up while fresh earlier in the round
where both teams will go all out chase a one to one challenge; deflection and low FG % (average 39 to 44% either way). I also like the jap's jump-shooting and a decent post game.

Projection: 56-87

put 1 unit each in the following:

Take Japan -24.5
Take Under 147.5 Points

[sharlataans]

Good stuff here!