FIBA Asia 2011

[sharlataans]

What like do you think the bookies will set for Philippinnes vs. China?

China at home is a monster. I say at least -8 China. And UNDER 150

[sharlataans]

I found Bet365 has lines already.
China -12.5 (quite possible).
UNDER 148.5.

[sharlataans]

India vs. Malaysia UNDER 138.5

[sharlataans]

South Korea ML +110. I expect an upset.

[tullamore21]

have you recently watched these teams playing?

[kobstopa]

India vs. Malaysia UNDER 138.5

I took this one under 139.5

[sharlataans]

have you recently watched these teams playing?

Yes, some clips of recent games on http://forums.interbasket.net

[sharlataans]

South Korea ML +110. I expect an upset.

Wow did you see the odds swing on this one? Korea now is a huge favorite

[tullamore21]

Yes, some clips of recent games on http://forums.interbasket.net

thanks, i just wanted to know, how well you know these teams, because i have no idea myself.
i ll have my mind at this thread.
Good Luck

[kobstopa]

Wow did you see the odds swing on this one? Korea now is a huge favorite

this is expected; Lebanon has yet to play a game, eventhough they will be without a good center in Darryl Watkins but added naturalize power forward Sam Hoskin, the book weight the fact that Korea had won big margin against Malaysia & prior to this they had won an average 50 in another Asian Championship. But Lebanon has the depth to make top 3.

[sharlataans]

this is expected; Lebanon has yet to play a game, eventhough they will be without a good center in Darryl Watkins but added naturalize power forward Sam Hoskin, the book weight the fact that Korea had won big margin against Malaysia & prior to this they had won an average 50 in another Asian Championship. But Lebanon has the depth to make top 3.

I agree with you. This is a no play for me as Lebanon is tough

[sharlataans]

After first minutes Lebanon +7.5 has a decent chance. Korea struggles to overcome Lebanon defence and gets all points from outside. Lebanon will eventually learn not to foul them.

[sharlataans]

I took this one under 139.5

Hell, looks like it is going over

[sharlataans]

Hell, looks like it is going over

Whew it cashes!!!!

[sharlataans]

Looks like all calls are winners if you followed

[kobstopa]

Hell, looks like it is going over

so far so good, in the next day or so we'll see the book adjust to these crazy teams. for example these Japanese loves to bombs away from downtown and run for offensive rebound off the rim & had an explosive 60 points + in 4th quarter. Some can't even bring the ball up the court without silly traveling calls against

[sharlataans]

Which games are you looking at tomorrow?

Malaysia vs. Lebanon is interesting. I would take +15 Malaysia if anyone gives me

The rest, got to see the lines. Hope bookies give us a chance

[kobstopa]

dono yet, 8 games to look at, I am starting my way with semi final euro - WNBA then Fiba Asia around 4 hours to game time, till then

[sharlataans]

Which games are you looking at tomorrow?

Malaysia vs. Lebanon is interesting. I would take +15 Malaysia if anyone gives me

The rest, got to see the lines. Hope bookies give us a chance

Well I see bookies set +15.5 for Malaysia. But I gave it a second thought. I probably won' t go with this spread, that' s too risky. (I expect line will rise to at least +20, but I would be comfortable with +25).
Lebanon will have huge advantage at post over Malaysia. I just looked up, they got the same amount of rebounds as South Korea (Lebanon - 12 offensive rebs, Korea - 9, Lebanon 32 total rebs, Korea - 33).

So Malaysia will try to score 3 pointers or fast breaks (only 4 pts against Korea). Malaysia scored 10 3 pointers against India (38%), but only 3 against Korea (17%).

Funny thing about Lebanon is they are throwing a lot of 3 which they are bad at (6/26 23% against India, 4/20 20% against Korea).

I expect Lebanon to be in control of the game and the pace and I don't think it will be high.

Malaysia vs. Lebanon (UNDER 140.5)

[sharlataans]

Another good bet could be
China -29.5 (against UAE)

China has already advanced and they don' t need to go 100%, but they are at home and they want to show off to their home crowd.

[kobstopa]

South Korea vs India
I can see Korea can get up around 40 points & steam ahead with their shooting
Take South Korea -28.5
______________________________
Jordan v Indonesia -Group C
Indonesia is a sitting duck of this group, Jordan with Rasheim Wright, the tournament score leader board
will need to win another game badly & now to fulfill their 2nd round ticket and to stay top 2 of this group.
Indonesia is averaging 60 ppg in last two while loss by average margin 17 ppg, & Jordan should not have trouble to win by 30.

projection 89 56 Jordan

Take Jordan -24.5
______________________________
Bahrain v Philippines
Bahrain another sitting duck of Group D with unique & remarkable record FT = 2FG = 3FG = 28 % so far, ugh.
Philippines will need a win after had faced china to stay top 2, and they should easily shoot FG 54% & 35% 3FG in this game.

projection 97 52

Take Philippines -38.5

[kobstopa]

______________________________
Bahrain v Philippines Bahrain another sitting duck of Group D with unique & remarkable record FT = 2FG = 3FG = 28 % so far, ugh. Philippines will need a win after had faced china to stay top 2, and they should easily shoot FG 54% & 35% 3FG in this game. projection 97 52 Take Philippines -38.5[/quote]

result: 71 113 Philippines won - so far so good

[sharlataans]

Good picks man!

[sharlataans]

Korea cashes too

I will go with Jordan -21.5, too. Weird that line went down. Is their ace still playing?

[kobstopa]

[quote=kobstopa;11462629]South Korea vs India
I can see Korea can get up around 40 points & steam ahead with their shooting
Take South Korea -28.5
result: 84-53
couldn't get to the book on time so they jacked it up to South Korea -30.5
with 1:30 min to go in the 4th India down by 37 & started to hits a few 3's, scared the hell out of me
but a win is a win I take it.

[kobstopa]

Korea cashes too I will go with Jordan -21.5, too. Weird that line went down. Is their ace still playing?

Take it, my book still is Jordan -24.5

[sharlataans]

Wow I am watching SBO line movements. People are HAMMERING Lebanon -17.5 even @1.65 odds!! Crazy.

I see this is going to be a hectic game with lots of errors and turnovers. Lebanon will still struggle and if it goes to +23 they will have to earn it

[kobstopa]

Wow I am watching SBO line movements. People are HAMMERING Lebanon -17.5 even @1.65 odds!! Crazy. I see this is going to be a hectic game with lots of errors and turnovers. Lebanon will still struggle and if it goes to +23 they will have to earn it

interesting, they barely escape india & malay had defeated india. Under 137.5 Points probably a good spot in that game, but I am not involved in that one for the sake of action.

[kobstopa]

South Korea vs India
I can see Korea can get up around 40 points & steam ahead with their shooting
Take South Korea -28.5
______________________________
Jordan v Indonesia -Group C
Indonesia is a sitting duck of this group, Jordan with Rasheim Wright, the tournament score leader board
will need to win another game badly & now to fulfill their 2nd round ticket and to stay top 2 of this group.
Indonesia is averaging 60 ppg in last two while loss by average margin 17 ppg, & Jordan should not have trouble to win by 30.

projection 89 56 Jordan Score: 89 59 Jordan

Take Jordan -24.5
______________________________
Bahrain v Philippines
Bahrain another sitting duck of Group D with unique & remarkable record FT = 2FG = 3FG = 28 % so far, ugh.
Philippines will need a win after had faced china to stay top 2, and they should easily shoot FG 54% & 35% 3FG in this game.

projection 97 52

Take Philippines -38.5

we're 3 for 3 today

[sharlataans]

kobstopa you are on fire.

My leans for monday are China -19.5 and Philippinnes ML (+100)

[kobstopa]

kobstopa you are on fire. My leans for monday are China -19.5 and Philippinnes ML (+100)

Jordan v Philippines
Philippines -4.5 , not sure what you can get for ml

Syria v China
China -28.5 that's abit much, -24 is about right.
in their last game the Chinese sat most of their starters, the 2nd unit was slow & shooting brick

[kobstopa]

I like these two plays:

South Korea v Uzbekistan
Take Under 148.5 Points

Jordan v Philippines
Take Philippines -4.5

gl all

[tullamore21]

i want to take South Korea -42.5
i know it is not sharp to lean enormous spreads, but Uzbekistan's tunnel is endless, you know. Such a weak team. If Korea wants to, then we should see a final 95-40 or something

[tullamore21]

Jordan v Philippines
Philippines -4.5 , not sure what you can get for ml

Syria v China
China -28.5 that's abit much, -24 is about right.
in their last game the Chinese sat most of their starters, the 2nd unit was slow & shooting brick

i have China at -23,5 at Bet365.
do you think this is ok?

[kobstopa]

i want to take South Korea -42.5 i know it is not sharp to lean enormous spreads, but Uzbekistan's tunnel is endless, you know. Such a weak team. If Korea wants to, then we should see a final 95-40 or something

I really not sure in this one, I leave it to you but South Korea will try to put a good score leading with whom ever they play.