NYK going to be a C bet 
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I think what he's referring to is for the people following JM NBA on just -110. Houston didn't cover without buying the points the past 2 games so yes, today would be an "unofficial C bet" on Houston if just playing the ML...Comment -
I F**king hate the KnicksComment -
I agree the Knicks have been incredibly disappointing this year. All that talent wasted.Comment -
Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 47-2 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +9.71 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-4.52 units)
(3/11/12):
#50 N.Y. Knicks (M/L) (B) - Loss
v1 Plays
(A) 28-22
(B) 9-12
(C) 7-5
(D) 3-2
V2 Plays
In production
Games for (3/12/12):
#50 N.Y. Knicks (**) @ Chicago (C) (8:05 pm EST)
** Denotes line not available at time of post
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.Comment -
good pick up on Boston tonight. What are the bets for tomorrow?Comment -
All the bet today are on shitty teams, Except Minnesota does any of them he anything to play for?
charlotte B
was A
Det A
minnesota AComment -
Another quickie today, note that Charlotte lost by over 3.5 to the spread on their A bet on the 10th.
JM MAR 12
V1 WASHINGTON +16.5 @ San Antonio (A)
V1 DETROIT +10.5 @ Utah (A)
V3 MINNESOTA +6.5 @ Phoenix (A)
V1 CHARLOTTE +9.5 @ New Orleans (B) : 7/5 @ +6.5Comment -
Here is an updated spreadsheet of JM plays with 4 diffrent betting methods.
7-5 : +91.66 units
B/C to win 3 (buy 3 points) : +52.64 units
B/C to win 3 : +34.64 units
1-3-5 : +32.04 units
Notes and filters:
All results are based on closing odds at covers.com.
All methods that do not buy points use odds of -110 and are ATS.
The 7-5 method includes the +3.5 filter to the A bet for each series.
The B/C to win 3 (buy 3 points) assumes 3 points cost -170. (5dimes)
The results include all NBA teams on any 3 game road trip. (V1,V2,and V3)Last edited by nitsuj378; 03-12-12, 02:48 PM.Comment -
I will skip Charlotte
Around 50% chances that they will lose ats both B & C according to their record...
Risking 21 to win 7 (or 5)...
No thanks!Comment -
Why would you risk 21 to win 7?
If you buy 3 points you'd be betting around 10 to win 7.
And if you are playing 7/5 or 1-3-5 then you are playing straight up at -110 and would be betting 7.7 to win 7.
Edit: Nevermind, LOL. I see what you mean. I thought you were a newbie confused on how to bet in this system.Last edited by MoneyOnBball; 03-12-12, 04:12 PM.Comment -
What? I bet 28 to win 14...at 5-dimes. F..k, do I buy those damn points or what with 7/5? To many systems in this thread...Comment -
50% of losing BOTH games ats
That's why the risk for the whole series is 21 and the possible reward 7 (or 5).
In other words , 1/2 times, you will win one of the 2 games and win 7 (or 5)
1/2 times you will lose BOTH games and lose 21 units.
BOLComment -
According to their record this year, yes.
Of course, it is a ridiculous sample of games, but I don't expect them to run better than this.
To make it a good bet, we would need them to have a 50% chance of winning on EACH game.
That would create a 75% of winning AT LEAST one game ats.
Needed winrate when risking 21 to win 7.Comment -
True. Well im still betting on it because i think the spreads for the bobcats are going to be favorable for them now that we and vegas know how bad they are as a team (they are getting 6.5 points at home against the Hornets with Eric Gordon out). But i can understand your opinion too and i can see why you wouldn't want to bet on this terrible team.
Edit: Wait the game is in New Orleans, not Charlotte.Last edited by MoneyOnBball; 03-12-12, 06:14 PM.Comment -
Good bet if you want extra action.
Det/utah over190.
Good luck
Not a system bet, just a really good bet for the day.
I had to buy 1.5pts because it jumped to 191.5 already. (-140 juice)Comment -
Good win by the 'Cats. Follow the system to get the best results.Comment -
B is for Bobcats that's good enough for me.
Thanks 7/5Comment -
Cash CHA
Was & Det both looking good as well. Its a good day for JM. Glad the 7/5 bettors made some of their money back from previous 2 series losses. (1 unofficial on the knicks due to the 3.5 filter.
On to tomorrow.
Good luck all.Comment -
Wallco Might want to update your post to include the spread on the NYK; unless I have trouble reading as well....I think they were +8?Comment -
whats the 7/5 method anybodyComment -
Washington barely covered with the 3pt buy. B bet does not qualify for 7/5.
Might be a sweep for JM today if Min cashes.
Ok this is my last post hopefully.
Good night all.
PS
Stop bickering... Every series is 50/50 based on spread long term. That is why the sports books make so much profit! Some times the books get the spreads wrong and we make money $$$
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2 game chase at -110. Bet 7.7 to win 7 on B if A loses by more then 3.5pts ATS. If it loses bet to show 5 unit profit + your 7.7 loss from B so bet to win 12.7 profit on C. All bets are at -110 odds.
I'm sure the full break down and back test someone else has the post # to it. Make sure you give limit and wallco points for it.
Thanks
JMDComment
