John Morrison 2011-12 NBA Thread

**ChiLLx** · 03-07-12, 11:12 PM

Portland is another B bet coming up too.

**stevex** · 03-07-12, 11:23 PM

Money Management is the key to getting through a bad streak. Which if you think about it, should be coming considering we won a huge amount of A bets in a row.

**Wallco99** · 03-08-12, 12:09 AM

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 46-2 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +8.71 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-3.83 units)

(3/7/12):
#49 Houston (M/L) (B) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 28-21
(B) 9-12
(C) 6-5
(D) 3-2

V2 Plays
In production

There are no system plays for (3/8/12):
#49 Resumes (C) on 3/10/12

**Firebird27** · 03-08-12, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by stevex

Money Management is the key to getting through a bad streak. Which if you think about it, should be coming considering we won a huge amount of A bets in a row.

I agree with your first statement, but the 2nd statement is a total fallacy as each game is an event unto itself. There is no such thing as being due for a loss or for that matter a win. This article explains what I'm talking about in greater detail. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamblers_fallacy

**petters72** · 03-08-12, 01:21 PM

,,,,-

**stickbit** · 03-08-12, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by Firebird27

I agree with your first statement, but the 2nd statement is a total fallacy as each game is an event unto itself. There is no such thing as being due for a loss or for that matter a win. This article explains what I'm talking about in greater detail. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamblers_fallacy

Steve nailed it right on the head. There's no way we just tear thru the season on a high % of 'A' bet winners. A run will come sooner or later with plenty of B & C bets...and some losses mixed in there. Bottom line - Money Mgmt. is the #1 key no matter how you play these systems...and happens to be the hardest thing for people to do.

**J.M. Disciple** · 03-08-12, 06:33 PM

0-3 since i started labbying B & C bets for JM again.

Anyone else betting on Dallas today?

**1gamer** · 03-08-12, 06:54 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

0-3 since i started labbying B & C bets for JM again.

Anyone else betting on Dallas today?

Dallas is 8-0 outright ATS versus Phoenix last 8 meetings. Count me in!

**Firebird27** · 03-08-12, 09:32 PM

I'm on Dallas and I hope they take care of business tonight having to play back-to-back-to-back games. Hopefully the oddsmakers will take that into consideration and we can get some favorable lines Fri and/or Sat if needed.

**bisturis** · 03-08-12, 09:50 PM

I'm on Dallas! I follow all system plays AND the Mavs are my team!! Let's go MAVS!!!

**knugen** · 03-09-12, 12:50 AM

What the fukk are mavs doing, they were up 10 points when i woke up, now have suns done almost 20 straight points

**J.M. Disciple** · 03-09-12, 01:40 AM

Dallas definitely blew it 2nd half. All good though, always tomorrow and hopefully some JM bets... Lets get the plays posted early!

Thanks
JMD

**cmdyrds** · 03-09-12, 05:31 AM

anyone think we are doomed on this c bet for the lakers? man this line seems like it sure does stink.

**knugen** · 03-09-12, 05:52 AM

Why is it a bad line you mean, +1 on Lakers , i thought it was a really good line

**Wallco99** · 03-09-12, 07:07 AM

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 46-2 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +8.71 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-3.83 units)

v1 Plays
(A) 28-21
(B) 9-12
(C) 6-5
(D) 3-2

V2 Plays
In production

Games for (3/9/12):
#49 Resumes (C) on 3/10/12
#50 N.Y. Knicks (M/L) @ Milwaukee (A) (8:35 pm EST)

We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.

**thelimit0310** · 03-09-12, 09:14 AM

JM Mar 7

V3 MEMPHIS +4 @ Golden State (A) WIN
V2 PORTLAND +4 @ Minnesota (A) LOSS
V2 LA LAKERS -4.5 @ Washington (B) : 7/5 @ -7.5 LOSS
V2 NY KNICKS +10 @ San Antonio (C) Push from A LOSS

JM Mar 8

V3 DALLAS -.5 @ Phoenix (A) LOSS

Results Per Version

Version 1
A: 14-5
B: 2-3
C: 3-0

Version 2
A: 7-4-1
B: 2-2
C: 0-1
NYK 3/4-3/7 (A bet push)

Version 3
A: 33-15
B: 11-3
C: 2-1
DET 1/28-1/31

Totals
A: 54-24-1
B: 15-8
C: 5-2

JM Mar 9

V3 DALLAS +1.5 @ Sacramento (B) 7/5 @ -1.5
V2 PORTLAND +6 @ Boston (B) 7/5 @ +3
V2 LA LAKERS +4 @ Minnesota (C) : 7/5 @ +1

**dlunc3** · 03-09-12, 09:31 AM

are you not playing dallas at portland with the 7/5?

**analyzer** · 03-09-12, 10:02 AM

I have Portland as 7/5 as well - the +3.5 filter would have made their spread on Weds. +4.5 and they lost by 12.

**GGPLAYER** · 03-09-12, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by cmdyrds

anyone think we are doomed on this c bet for the lakers? man this line seems like it sure does stink.

The Lakers blew two games in a row with 1st half leads....that sucks. I'm more pissed about the Knicks who could not beat their way out of a wet paper bag!! Go Cuse!

**WILLIE** · 03-09-12, 11:17 AM

thelimit0310, do you have a more precise breakdown of + Profit or - Loses on each A, B, or C of each version?

**dlunc3** · 03-09-12, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by analyzer

I have Portland as 7/5 as well - the +3.5 filter would have made their spread on Weds. +4.5 and they lost by 12.

I believe dallas should be as well, as they lost by 2 last night and they were favored by 3.5.

**J.M. Disciple** · 03-09-12, 12:08 PM

all three games are good bets. Stop thinking so much if your following the system directly. Just close your eyes and let the math do the work.

**Swan4brownlow** · 03-09-12, 02:54 PM

Woweeeee huuuuuge day! Locked in por+3, Dal -1.5 and LAL -1. Let's bring home 3 wins! Good luck all!

**Nino7** · 03-09-12, 03:50 PM

thelimit shouldnt all three be 7/5 plays?

**MoneyOnBball** · 03-09-12, 03:56 PM

I'm not TheLimit, but i think i have a good understanding of this system and yes all three are 7/5 plays. Dallas and Portland didn't even come close to covering even with 3.5.

Also... just a heads up to people...keep an eye on the Lakers - Wolves line. It just moved due to a rumored Gasol trade.

**casdio** · 03-09-12, 04:02 PM

25% of my bankroll at play today (4 system bets). What a night

**Wallco99** · 03-09-12, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by Nino7

thelimit shouldnt all three be 7/5 plays?

YES, two B's and one C. There, it's official!

**dlunc3** · 03-09-12, 04:10 PM

ugh... scary now even if pau plays

**WILLIE** · 03-09-12, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by casdio

25% of my bankroll at play today (4 system bets). What a night

Wow, I see you already lost your shirt. Hope you win it back PLUS some tonight.

**NZT-48** · 03-09-12, 04:29 PM

wow really? thanks for the info moneyonbball.....I was wondering what the heck that was all about with the line movement in our favor.....just let us or anyone can post it if he does indeed get traded and doesnt play tonight that would suck a ss for sure.....

Originally posted by MoneyOnBball

I'm not TheLimit, but i think i have a good understanding of this system and yes all three are 7/5 plays. Dallas and Portland didn't even come close to covering even with 3.5.

Also... just a heads up to people...keep an eye on the Lakers - Wolves line. It just moved due to a rumored Gasol trade.

**on3** · 03-09-12, 04:59 PM

my Twitter feed says Gasol is a no go for tonight (per @lazenby, @world_wide_wob)

**BSUWADDY** · 03-09-12, 05:45 PM

Bad news continues--just read that Lowery is likely out tomorrow for Houston, in the hospital being tested.

Big Day--follow the system and we'll all be OK, even though this is a tough stretch, betting with your emotions is always a bad thing. Good bankroll management will get us all through and end the season in the green.

**1gamer** · 03-09-12, 06:04 PM

A wise man once said: "The system has no eyes"

**on3** · 03-09-12, 06:21 PM

per @KBergCBS, Gasol will play tonight

**dlunc3** · 03-09-12, 06:27 PM

Gl boys... Might be stupid, but I'm out.... I bought out of my la play and now actually bet the minny ml.. all on all, I have the minny ml at -133..... Bol for us all! Maybe they will tie