LTA's NBA Plays

**Love The Action** · 01-20-12, 09:56 PM

Brutal 3 point loss in the Bulls game. The Bench Mob is relentless.

**Love The Action** · 01-20-12, 09:58 PM

Man the Lakers are really bad right now. Thought they would have a little more pride against the Magic tonight....

**pokerwhiz90** · 01-20-12, 09:59 PM

never gonna forgive the bench mob unless they bring home a championship LOL

**joco** · 01-20-12, 10:01 PM

gs warriors line down to +1 from +2.5 a couple hours ago. wow

**basenock** · 01-20-12, 10:07 PM

GS IND UNDER is a LOCK

**Andrewsurf** · 01-20-12, 10:08 PM

If only San Antonio weren't playing like crap, this would be smooth sailing.

**TC Woods** · 01-20-12, 10:10 PM

Originally posted by SUPREME

Butler? This totally inaccurate. Please do proper research.

Yer a twit

**yoman456** · 01-20-12, 10:11 PM

Nice bucks pick LTA!

**alamo** · 01-20-12, 10:19 PM

Way to go Bryant. Lakers hit back to back Threes to get within 8 and Kobe immediately goes and gets Tee'd up. Magic hit the freebie and follow it up with a dunk then a Three. Fck u Kobe.

**Love The Action** · 01-20-12, 10:21 PM

Originally posted by alamo

Way to go Bryant. Lakers hit back to back Threes to get within 8 and Kobe immediately goes and gets Tee'd up. Magic hit the freebie and follow it up with a dunk then a Three. Fck u Kobe.

Yep. That was their chance to make a run....pathetic.

**absolutkaos** · 01-20-12, 10:36 PM

might need an OT or 2 to make the over in SAC/SA...

what a night....

**Donkeys2012** · 01-20-12, 10:38 PM

Im done doing anything involving Sac. They are pitiful.

**Love The Action** · 01-20-12, 10:41 PM

Lean to the under in the Twolves/Clippers game. The late move in favor of the over at Pinny is going to keep me off of it. I have some reservations because of the fast pace both teams play and that both teams draw a lot of fouls. Even though Twolves defense is really quite good this year, I think the loss of Butler will hurt the Clippers already weak defense. Pinny jumped from 190.5 to 191 juiced at -113 right before the game, so I am going to pass and live to fight on Saturday. Good luck to those on the late games.

**mstrofpigs** · 01-20-12, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Yep. That was their chance to make a run....pathetic.

No you're pathetic

**Andrewsurf** · 01-20-12, 10:47 PM

OT really does seem like a possibility in this one, although it could still easily go under even with an extra period... blah. Seems like a solid choice staying away on the late games, I debated chasing but too many issues to make a play.

**dlunc3** · 01-20-12, 10:51 PM

5 sec left... spurs with the ball down 2..

**Authentic** · 01-20-12, 10:52 PM

Damn no ot!!! =[

**dlunc3** · 01-20-12, 10:53 PM

missed an easy runner to send it to ot... stupid

**CheeseHead** · 01-20-12, 10:53 PM

No overtime this time.....bleh, bad night

**GChild** · 01-20-12, 10:53 PM

Damn

**dlunc3** · 01-20-12, 10:55 PM

anyone else miss the LA bet and grab it at half? Fishers last second 3 won it

**Donkeys2012** · 01-20-12, 10:55 PM

Did that clown in the SA game blow a layup at the buzzer ?

**Love The Action** · 01-20-12, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by mstrofpigs

No you're pathetic

Piggy piggy.....Sammy

**dizzydtw** · 01-20-12, 10:59 PM

I lucked out w the 2nd half line, LAL -3, so I recovered some. I was hoping that LTA's initial thought that LAL having pride would hold up. Playing 2nd halves is a risky venture, but the reward seemed worth the risk, especially with the line being so low.

All these discussions involving live wager betting has really pique my curiosity, as I find myself "mock betting" them for the last few days. Once I build up the courage, I'll definitely start considering them as potential hedge bets moving forward...

**Love The Action** · 01-20-12, 11:03 PM

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 1/20/2012 Recap

1 - 3 = -2.3x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

42 - 35 = +6.95x

Don't regret any of those plays except the Spurs over. We beat the closing number in the other three and missed the Bulls under by 3. Nothing you can do about the natural ebb and flow of the NBA season. Just keep on grinding.

**apurvaas** · 01-21-12, 01:43 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 1/20/2012 Recap

1 - 3 = -2.3x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

42 - 35 = +6.95x

Don't regret any of those plays except the Spurs over. We beat the closing number in the other three and missed the Bulls under by 3. Nothing you can do about the natural ebb and flow of the NBA season. Just keep on grinding.

there is always tomorrow! BOL
Thanks for the pics!

**Gudis** · 01-21-12, 01:54 AM

As always, thanks for the plays LTA! I was with you on your first three, and decided to bet x2 on the MIL game. I'm just wondering how long I can fade BOS/NYK. Looking forward to more great analysis, thanks for all the time you put in!

**Redscot** · 01-21-12, 07:52 AM

Mornin' LTA, looking forward to today's plays. I encountered the book "Conquering Risk" that you have recommended online so thought I'd pass the link on to your thread followers.....I started reading it last night, great stuff.

It is not complete, as it is a preview, but it is pretty comprehensive and offers some great insight.

Conquering Risk: Attacking Wall Street and Vegas

http://books.google.com.do/books?id=qzf619W_LUsC&pg=PA29&lpg=PA29&dq=chasing+steam+betting&source=bl&ots=EIdeGZxCa-&sig=yXniADyy7jMnsFeJoKqnd3gY5HE&hl=es-419&sa=X&ei=LbMaT8G6NYfyggfulajuCw&ved=0CBwQ6AEwADgK#v=onepage&q=chasing%20steam%20betting&f=false

All manners of gambling are becoming increasingly popular in our society. Whether a person places a bet on sports or gambles on a stock, he is making a decision on risk. Most people need much more information than they have to make good decisions on either. A majority of the book focuses on sports betting. Four in-depth winning models are demonstrated for MLB, NFL, NCAA Football and WNBA. In addition to methods for handicapping these sports, there are explanations of a variety of approaches to exploit sports market inefficiencies and incorrect assumptions of bookmakers. The approaches to stock betting challenges commonly accepted knowledge. How important is diversification? Are investors in individual stocks just gambling? Is maximizing your portfolio growth worth taking on added volatility? Is sports betting a better investment than stocks for some people? The approaches offered to risk taking, especially sports betting are ground breaking, with more fresh ideas than ever seen in a single coherent publication.

**Donnie Brasco** · 01-21-12, 09:59 AM

Morning guys, just off a 16 hr poker session. Must be getting old cause my legs and feet are swollen from sitting, and it was not a profitable one either. Variance has swung the other way for a moment. I see it has for you also LTA, but its a marathon right! Proper money mgmt and hard work is the order of the day. Looking forward to your picks today! Good luck.

**pokerwhiz90** · 01-21-12, 10:20 AM

hey donnie where to you grind?

**Donnie Brasco** · 01-21-12, 10:27 AM

Harrah's new orleans

**BigBurk** · 01-21-12, 10:31 AM

Thoughts about the Philly/Miami game? Line opened at 7½ and I'm thinking about playing Philly +points. Just don't wanna take it yet as I think this one might move a bit.

**SoxSide Irish** · 01-21-12, 10:36 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Brutal 3 point loss in the Bulls game. The Bench Mob is relentless.

Gotta love them man. You know what your going to get from the Bulls every night. Can't say that about any other NBA team IMO.

**NotJoshRay** · 01-21-12, 10:44 AM

I think you're playing with fire betting on the heat at home without Wade. I'm a heat fan and I'm just staying away from this game. If you look at it, without Wade on the court you get guys like Miller and Battier getting more playing time. Lebron's game goes back to his old style of just driving almost every possession and kicking it out for threes. Really good chance of getting blown out if everyone is hitting threes like they did vs LA. I might take a look at the over yet, but my site hasn't posted it. Philly can run and I think will have to in order to keep it close. They have too many goo offensive players to get shut down. And usually if a team can score alot on the heat it has to go over because of the amount the heat score.

**Love The Action** · 01-21-12, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by NotJoshRay

I think you're playing with fire betting on the heat at home without Wade. I'm a heat fan and I'm just staying away from this game. If you look at it, without Wade on the court you get guys like Miller and Battier getting more playing time. Lebron's game goes back to his old style of just driving almost every possession and kicking it out for threes. Really good chance of getting blown out if everyone is hitting threes like they did vs LA. I might take a look at the over yet, but my site hasn't posted it. Philly can run and I think will have to in order to keep it close. They have too many goo offensive players to get shut down. And usually if a team can score alot on the heat it has to go over because of the amount the heat score.

I thought Wade was upgraded to questionable