2K to 10K - Roag's 2011 WNBA Project

[Beefcakes]

ive never seen shooting%s so bad, 27.5% FG and 9% 3PT..this is like just rubbing salt on a wound

[RoagBettor]

ive never seen shooting%s so bad, 27.5% FG and 9% 3PT..this is like just rubbing salt on a wound

And this from pretty much the same team that made the Finals last season and gave Seattle all they could handle. This is why it may be best to stay away. We'll see how the next few days go.

[suicidekings]

I don't know yet; I think I may just focus on soccer, I know I can make money there. Maybe the WNBA money train is over this year, I've never seen it like this for a lot of the better WNBA handicappers. That being said, there are some guys here on SBR who are doing well and maybe it's just best to let them do the homework and tail their plays.

Don't lose confidence yet. Only 5 games in, and we always block out the epic meltdowns of past seasons in our minds

[Beefcakes]

look at the free throw % too, its like they are purposely trying to lose..

[unclebuzz1]

Women Men and children 1st.

[RoagBettor]

Don't lose confidence yet. Only 5 games in, and we always block out the epic meltdowns of past seasons in our minds

WNBA has affected my soccer capping also, and soccer is what I love to cap the most. We'll see how it goes on the next couple of plays but I'm frustrated!

[SexyMit]

WNBA has affected my soccer capping also, and soccer is what I love to cap the most. We'll see how it goes on the next couple of plays but I'm frustrated!

Its hard trying to pay attention to more then 1 sport at the same time. Your nich is Soccer, stick to that and make everyone lots of money. When you were hot you pushed other leagues that you don't normally do, take this as constructive critisism. Not talking bad about you in any way, Soccer is definately your thing. But stick to leagues you know and make the most money on, stop venturing out into uncharted leagues hoping the same system works in them all.

On another note Happy Fathers Day to all my Fathers out there today, hope everyone has a good day. And even the Grandpa's too Roag

[RoagBettor]

On another note Happy Fathers Day to all my Fathers out there today, hope everyone has a good day. And even the Grandpa's too Roag

LMAO! How many fathers do you have bro?

[SkySkrapinEnt]

thought u'da jumped on this:
Date placed:
Jun 19, 2011 1:10p


Date settled:
Jun 19, 2011 5:11p
Single #216851698 (Placed by Web)
Basketball - WNBA (Game) Total
(603) Minnesota Lynx vs. (604) Atlanta Dream Under 170 Sun@3:05p


Final Scores
Minnesota Lynx 77
Atlanta Dream 64

Outcome: Win



Risk US$ 241.00 to win US$ 219.09

[SexyMit]

LMAO! How many fathers do you have bro?

Smartass you know what i meant Grandpa

[dume walker]

I agree with Sexy Mit, Roag. And I say this with the deepest amount of respect. Doubling your unit size, then making a wager for 25% of your allotted BR after a down week. Lot of steam rising up over the skies of Houston, buddy. You and I both believe in the gambling gods, and I think you'll agree they respect players who ease up when things are cooling off. I'd be perfectly happy to eat all my WNBA losses, write them off as a learning experience, and see you concentrate on soccer. Maybe even waiting until August for those English and Spanish games you read so well. I'd love to see you get some rest and then focus on your strong suits.

Oh, and Happy Father's Day too. Let's hope your girls treat you a whole lot better than those WNBA femmes.

[unclebuzz1]

Glad I didn't get any cards I wasn't expecting

[Love The Action]

WNBA has affected my soccer capping also, and soccer is what I love to cap the most. We'll see how it goes on the next couple of plays but I'm frustrated!

Number one...you need to stop all the negative talk. You have been successful in the past with WNBA and you'll profit again this year, but you need to battle through these early games.

As cappers, we all need to get a better feel for the players, the coaches, each teams' styles, player and team trends, etc. as the season goes on. The only way to do this is to ride out the early losses. Keep doing what you always do because your systems and processes have been successful in the past and they will be successful again.

A wise man (aka you) once told me about how wild these WNBA games are and that you just have ride the volatility out until we can get a better handle on things. Just look at my start, where I get out of the box like gangbusters going 10-5 to start the season, but then lose like three in a row this week including one big 5x play, only to have a big rebound day today and go 2-0 for 7x in profit in my first two plays.

Your rebound day is right around the corner and if you stop now you are going to miss it. You just need to keep doing what you are doing. I always say the best part of a losing streak is that a winning streak is right around the corner. Well, I have no doubts your winning streak will start with that big 5-game WNBA card on Tuesday.

Now cap the shit out of that card and pull out some winners...that's your job so forget about the losses and move onto Tuesday. Good luck!

[Jimbo42]

Number one...you need to stop all the negative talk. You have been successful in the past with WNBA and you'll profit again this year, but you need to battle through these early games.

As cappers, we all need to get a better feel for the players, the coaches, each teams' styles, player and team trends, etc. as the season goes on. The only way to do this is to ride out the early losses. Keep doing what you always do because your systems and processes have been successful in the past and they will be successful again.

A wise man (aka you) once told me about how wild these WNBA games are and that you just have ride the volatility out until we can get a better handle on things. Just look at my start, where I get out of the box like gangbusters going 10-5 to start the season, but then lose like three in a row this week including one big 5x play, only to have a big rebound day today and go 2-0 for 7x in profit in my first two plays.

Your rebound day is right around the corner and if you stop now you are going to miss it. You just need to keep doing what you are doing. I always say the best part of a losing streak is that a winning streak is right around the corner. Well, I have no doubts your winning streak will start with that big 5-game WNBA card on Tuesday.

Now cap the shit out of that card and pull out some winners...that's your job so forget about the losses and move onto Tuesday. Good luck!

This ^^^

[bondguy007]

Hey look, Phoenix / Indy went to overtime! Oh (bleep!) - shouldn't have bet the under. lol.

[RoagBettor]

If you had Indiana you have to be ripsh*t right now. They blew a wide open layup to tie it late in OT - I MEAN WIDE OPEN! Don't forget they play with a smaller ball also. Seriously, I'm not sure the WNBA is what it once was for bettors. Books are smart, they're not going to get killed year after year they've caught on to the sharps.

[dume walker]

If you had Indiana you have to be ripsh*t right now. They blew a wide open layup to tie it late in OT - I MEAN WIDE OPEN! Don't forget they play with a smaller ball also. Seriously, I'm not sure the WNBA is what it once was for bettors. Books are smart, they're not going to get killed year after year they've caught on to the sharps.

Another good reason to follow your earlier thought and lay off till the 2nd half of the season, when you'll have some better numbers to work with?

[texhooper]

it's all about how you managed that parlay dude. you just put too much on that one 2 teamer and you're pretty pissed about it, as we all are when we take a bit of a chance and it loses. stick with it bro. you know, thread or no thread, that you're gonna be back to betting this shit in no time. just take tomorrow off, man. great thing about this league is it's the only basketball league with a built-in rest period.

[RoagBettor]

Yeah I'm tracking some systems right now that usually kick in as the season goes on. Let's take it easy for a couple of weeks unless I see something glaring. This is just nuts right now. In the meantime I'm going to completely focus on soccer and that one MLB system that I used last night on Oakland that has been hitting nicely.

[dume walker]

Yeah I'm tracking some systems right now that usually kick in as the season goes on. Let's take it easy for a couple of weeks unless I see something glaring. This is just nuts right now. In the meantime I'm going to completely focus on soccer and that one MLB system that I used last night on Oakland that has been hitting nicely.

[pacers101]

If you had Indiana you have to be ripsh*t right now. They blew a wide open layup to tie it late in OT - I MEAN WIDE OPEN! Don't forget they play with a smaller ball also. Seriously, I'm not sure the WNBA is what it once was for bettors. Books are smart, they're not going to get killed year after year they've caught on to the sharps.

yea super ripsh*t salty. but yea a layoff until the dust settles a little and see how things pan out might be good. I've been very inconsistent this week too. for me 1st slightly negative week in about 6 weeks and mostly close beats too. I like to parlay draws and been getting killed yesterday and today with late goals. I figured in just 4 games the past 2 days I'd be up over2k but all had goals after the 85 min mark to bust the draws up. that just hurts. they really hurt more than being way off. but so it goes. we'll get em back. never in doubt.

[dwluv3333]

Sup roag, did you tail the WNBA pick from thesharpgroup that you keep RT'ing? 23-10 sparks over storm with 6 min left in 2nd quarter... over 149 not looking good.

[RoagBettor]

Sup roag, did you tail the WNBA pick from thesharpgroup that you keep RT'ing? 23-10 sparks over storm with 6 min left in 2nd quarter... over 149 not looking good.

I only retweeted it once and yes I played it personally for a 1/2 unit. TSG Free Plays have been hot this month but this one looks dead.

[RoagBettor]

yea super ripsh*t salty. but yea a layoff until the dust settles a little and see how things pan out might be good. I've been very inconsistent this week too. for me 1st slightly negative week in about 6 weeks and mostly close beats too. I like to parlay draws and been getting killed yesterday and today with late goals. I figured in just 4 games the past 2 days I'd be up over2k but all had goals after the 85 min mark to bust the draws up. that just hurts. they really hurt more than being way off. but so it goes. we'll get em back. never in doubt.

I can accept the WNBA losses, they were just the wrong plays (except those 2 bad beats last week on that Washington game).

I knew I was due for losses but some of the beats this week in soccer were brutal with those disallowed goals. What leagues are you parlaying draws in besides MLS lol?

[dwluv3333]

Naw I wasn't talking about RT of that particular play just in general thesharpgroup has been all over your twitter. Hope they're giving you something for all the publicity they're getting from you, surely some of your followers are going to that site to see wth is going on. unfortunately I was on that play as well.

btw... hindsight is 20/20... so don't regret plays that were the "wrong ones", this is gambling after all, the players still have to go out there and do their thing...which this season in the wnba, seems like teams do something different every game.

[RoagBettor]

Naw I wasn't talking about RT of that particular play just in general. Hope they're giving you something for all the publicity they're getting from your twitter. unfortunately I was on that play as well.

Well it's only Tex over there now since I left, and he and I are still good friends. I don't mind giving him some Twitter love when he's on a roll, and he's had a good month so far for his members and on those free plays.

[dwluv3333]

Keep your head up... and remember... money management no need to go Roag, don't lose the chance to hit the streak that's coming your way if you just keep doing what you do...

[suicidekings]

I like Seattle 2H -4. Sparks started fast and took advantage of the Storm being out of rhythm, but they're not going to win this game by double digits.

[RoagBettor]

Keep your head up... and remember... money management no need to go Roag, don't lose the chance to hit the streak that's coming your way if you just keep doing what you do...

Yeah I'm not "Going Roag" lol I was just so p*ssed off, I hate to lose. We'll get on a streak like you said.

Thanks buddy!

[risk_ay]

I like Seattle 2H -4. Sparks started fast and took advantage of the Storm being out of rhythm, but they're not going to win this game by double digits.

yeah i did the same and the second half over, but neither look really hot...started the 3rd so slow. Hopefully SEA makes a strong push...but F*CK now Sparks have outscored for the 3rd! The week of rest, and the Shocks slow starts to games (and well to halves in this case) should be concerting. BOL!
Also, how do I watch these games? They aren't on tv, do I buy the WNBA Package(they prolly pay you for each game you watch for the ad revenues). But if anyone has any good suggestions let me know, I tend to assess NBA and NCAAF by watching volumes of each primarily.

[risk_ay]

also does this now mean that the lynx and sparks are kings (or queens) CT and SA (even though SA is better), have played weak schedules.

[pacers101]

I can accept the WNBA losses, they were just the wrong plays (except those 2 bad beats last week on that Washington game).

I knew I was due for losses but some of the beats this week in soccer were brutal with those disallowed goals. What leagues are you parlaying draws in besides MLS lol?

argentina & mls mainly, and sometimes japan. with other leagues I'll combine with a strong play(big fav) or play single. sweden has been decent lately, russia I'm looking into. my system for draws, and this is total noob but is working somewhat, is look for high juice unders, juiced +.5, both teams +odds to win, preferably with the road team as the slight favorite but not always. like I said it's total noob and maybe just lucky but working for me. I usually round robin w/2's for small ammounts(usually $10). but normally 2 draws parlayed are at around a 10-1 payout it's good. in argentina yesterday I went 2-1 so I made money on that. but the 1 (L-anus)was a goal at 93', which would have gave me a sweep and a little over $300. in mls I went 1-3 but seattle scored at 90' and dallas scored at 85'. so I lost $60 but could have netted around $270. then I combined mls & argentina yesterday 7 game RR, went 3-4 but with those other 3 could have went 6-1. today had a straight 3 gamer 2 in argentina and 1 brazil(20 to win 700+) but old boys scored at 88'. can't do anything but laugh really. if I lament over it, my head will get squirrley and I might do something crazy stupid. so forget it and move on.

[RoagBettor]

That's a good system bro and along the lines of what I was looking at for my Draw system also. I'm going to look at it more in-depth and see if we can refine it further. Thanks.

[SexyMit]

Yeah but the Sparks came through with ease, problem is that Seattle sucked tonight not scoring crap for points. In this league they give up DD leads all the time, so you can't get worried about them getting smoke at the half. More times then not it will be closer by the end of the game, but I didn't see Sparks wanting to lay off the gas since Seattle beat them bad both times last year while Candice was out. I knew it would be a totally different story tonight though and it was.

[luckythansmart]

yeah i did the same and the second half over, but neither look really hot...started the 3rd so slow. Hopefully SEA makes a strong push...but F*CK now Sparks have outscored for the 3rd! The week of rest, and the Shocks slow starts to games (and well to halves in this case) should be concerting. BOL!
Also, how do I watch these games? They aren't on tv, do I buy the WNBA Package(they prolly pay you for each game you watch for the ad revenues). But if anyone has any good suggestions let me know, I tend to assess NBA and NCAAF by watching volumes of each primarily.

You can watch the games on WNBA LiveAccess. It's free. Just sign up.
They have all the games but it's delayed about 1-2mins.
You can also watch past games.
The link (WNBA LiveAccess) is on the bottom of the wnba.com site.
GL on your plays