2K to 10K - Roag's 2011 WNBA Project

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  • fitguy67
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-13-11
    • 5082

    #806
    season-long threads often (USUALLY) turn into "circuses" where bitchnmoaning cherry-pickers and garden-variety jealous assholes propogate...sorry for the keyboard stuttering
    Comment
    • RoagBettor
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-20-09
      • 8355

      #807
      Well said! Thanks guys I appreciate all the kind words. just know that we win together and lose together but I'm working my butt off for all of us.
      Comment
      • unclebuzz1
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 08-23-09
        • 565

        #808
        Originally posted by RoagBettor
        Wow. So trying to help others manage their bankrolls accordingly is telling them their idiots?

        And I don't put out that many plays like most others, so I'm still unsure how I can kill bankrolls by hitting only 30% out of 1 week. I remember 2 runs of 9-0 and 8-0 since I started reposting again on MARCH 21. WTF?
        For those that haven't been around from the start, either have faith or get off the wagon.
        Comment
        • bondguy007
          SBR High Roller
          • 04-02-11
          • 109

          #809
          I'm trying to find tonight's picks....Did I read too fast?
          Comment
          • unclebuzz1
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 08-23-09
            • 565

            #810
            Originally posted by bondguy007
            I'm trying to find tonight's picks....Did I read too fast?
            He posts soccer and MLB picks in his other thread. I count 4 upcoming games starting with post 3800. GL



            Next one goes off at 12:00 Eastern. The 4th one is for Sunday.

            .
            Comment
            • lilb999
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-13-10
              • 997

              #811
              Thanks for the 2 winners this morning with soccer Roag!

              P.S.-In no way am I bitching towards you for my slide. Just getting unlucky with my other picks as well. (multiple baseball teams blowing 4-6 run leads in the 8th and 9th innings and soccer bets when I pick a draw a team decides to score in extra time). Just one of those things I suppose.

              Keep up the solid work bud. Ima keep following and keep "Roagbitchin" as well
              Comment
              • Love The Action
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-08-10
                • 10952

                #812
                The ladies can be volatile as you relayed to me. I made over 12x on Monday through Wednesday, but lost 15x on Thursday and Friday so you're not the only having some troubles these last couple days. No worries though, you'll continue grinding out profit just like you always do. Keep up the hard work and it will pay off with profit. I believe that for myself and I believe it for you. Good luck on all of your plays today.
                Comment
                • ManBearPig
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-04-08
                  • 2473

                  #813
                  As expected...2 early W's in cities I didn't even know existed, in the words on EPMD.."Don't call it a comback!"
                  Comment
                  • Dharmonize
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-10-10
                    • 1991

                    #814
                    What do you think about Tulsa today, guys? Isn´t it about time for them to get their first win against the Mystics at home? I really don´t have a clue, as I struggle hard trying to cap the WNBA during the regular season...
                    Comment
                    • ManBearPig
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-04-08
                      • 2473

                      #815
                      Any leans on the game tonight Roag? Minny and/or Over?
                      Comment
                      • ANGRYBLACK
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-16-10
                        • 1148

                        #816
                        Originally posted by Dharmonize
                        What do you think about Tulsa today, guys? Isn´t it about time for them to get their first win against the Mystics at home? I really don´t have a clue, as I struggle hard trying to cap the WNBA during the regular season...
                        It will be time for Tulsa to get a win when they play a team that they are better than. They are without Cambage and Holt. Let's not over-think this, guys. Hell, Phoenix goes hard and their 0-3, so why can't the worst team in the WNBA be 0-6 after tonight?. I'm fading Tulsa until they win...

                        Mystics-5 $110 to win $100. Win or lose, I feel that I'm on the right side. LET$ GET IT!!!
                        Comment
                        • Dharmonize
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-10-10
                          • 1991

                          #817
                          Originally posted by ANGRYBLACK
                          It will be time for Tulsa to get a win when they play a team that they are better than.
                          The problem is that there´s no such team, nor will there be one, as the Shock suck big time again this season Anyway, GL with the Mystics!
                          Comment
                          • RoagBettor
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-20-09
                            • 8355

                            #818
                            Nothing on tonight's game, 2 horrible teams anything can happen. I see one big play for tomorrow but waiting for the line to move. There are 2-3 other plays I like so far also.
                            Comment
                            • dume walker
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 04-08-10
                              • 971

                              #819
                              Originally posted by RoagBettor
                              Nothing on tonight's game, 2 horrible teams anything can happen. I see one big play for tomorrow but waiting for the line to move. There are 2-3 other plays I like so far also.
                              I hope you get some good rest tonight, Roag. All this has got to be draining as hell on you. Making the picks, sweating the games themselves, all the commentary afterwards. Or... Get sh*t-faced drunk and pass out. Either way, I hope you get some good down time to recharge.
                              Comment
                              • RoagBettor
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-20-09
                                • 8355

                                #820
                                I'm upping my unit size on WNBA to $100 so there is no confusion. So every sport I bet 1 unit = $100
                                Comment
                                • Rellik
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-11-09
                                  • 1945

                                  #821
                                  I think Tulsa has a chance to cover this game but the Over might be the best play. Good
                                  Luck guys with all your plays today and tomorrow.

                                  Let's Play.

                                  Comment
                                  • RoagBettor
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-20-09
                                    • 8355

                                    #822
                                    Washington blows, but Tulsa probably blows a little more. It could go either way; I wouldn't be surprised to see Tulsa win by 10 or Washington win by 20. Tomorrow there are much better plays.
                                    Comment
                                    • Love The Action
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 10952

                                      #823
                                      Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                      Washington blows, but Tulsa probably blows a little more. It could go either way; I wouldn't be surprised to see Tulsa win by 10 or Washington win by 20. Tomorrow there are much better plays.



                                      They both suck pretty bad. I'm expecting Washington to run a fast paced game and Tulsa try to keep up. They both shot really poorly last game and like them to rebound tonight and shoot for a higher percentage in the mid-40's. I think this one hits 161 so I'm going to take a shot on the over.

                                      I agree about tomorrow's card...looking good
                                      Comment
                                      • RoagBettor
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-20-09
                                        • 8355

                                        #824
                                        Good luck on that over LTA.
                                        Comment
                                        • ManBearPig
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-04-08
                                          • 2473

                                          #825
                                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                                          They both suck pretty bad. I'm expecting Washington to run a fast paced game and Tulsa try to keep up. They both shot really poorly last game and like them to rebound tonight and shoot for a higher percentage in the mid-40's. I think this one hits 161 so I'm going to take a shot on the over. I agree about tomorrow's card...looking good
                                          Im going with the over here as well so glad to see you on it too. Let's cash this beotch
                                          Comment
                                          • rumple
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-19-07
                                            • 2499

                                            #826
                                            Lol these teams are awful, feel bad for over backers.
                                            Comment
                                            • ManBearPig
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-04-08
                                              • 2473

                                              #827
                                              Originally posted by rumple
                                              Lol these teams are awful, feel bad for over backers.
                                              Haha...I love these...I will look for an out at the half and hopefully I can get one. 21 for the 1Q, this league is def not for the weak...oh well I'm not ruling it out yet.
                                              Comment
                                              • Rellik
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-11-09
                                                • 1945

                                                #828
                                                Tulsa came out and play for the full game. Washington went to halftime and stayed in the locker room
                                                for the 2nd half. Tulsa covered but total was killed thanks to Washington. Better plays tomorrow, gentlemen.
                                                Comment
                                                • ANGRYBLACK
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-16-10
                                                  • 1148

                                                  #829
                                                  Mystics were up by 6 at the half. They decided to score 27 points in the 2nd half while the Shock scored 29 points in the 3rd quarter alone. At least it wasn't even close. On to the next one...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • abedin
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 04-18-11
                                                    • 53

                                                    #830
                                                    "Together" is the right word: thank you
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dharmonize
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-10-10
                                                      • 1991

                                                      #831
                                                      So the Shock got it done... didn´t pull the trigger though...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • alibet
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 03-23-11
                                                        • 76

                                                        #832
                                                        Sparks +2. Any thought?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mirar Baseball
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-05-10
                                                          • 1263

                                                          #833
                                                          WNBA first halves

                                                          ...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RoagBettor
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-20-09
                                                            • 8355

                                                            #834
                                                            WNBA 2-Team Parlay (5Dimes): Connecticut Sun ML (-225)/Atlanta Dream ML (-165) - 1 unit pays approximately 1.32

                                                            $100 to win $131.99
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #835
                                                              Good luck today.

                                                              Did you see the line movement on the total in the Chicago/Conn game? Some sharp (Billy or whoever) had it bet all the way up to 157 from 152 by mid-morning yesterday and then had his boys unload on the under dropping it back down to the 153-152 range. Huge middling opportunity in this one as I have it capped around 150 but could easily see it end in the 154 range. I really loved the under at 155 or so, but neither of my locals open WNBA lines until late morning on the day of the games. It kills me that I miss all this juicy steam in both directions.

                                                              Anyway, I just found that interesting. I see this extreme line movement more on WNBA lines than anything else...just wild. I guess you just have to get used to the wild line movement and not really put too much stock into it either way. If you follow the steam one way, you will probably just get burned when it goes the other way.

                                                              On another related note, I'm surprised that RAS/Ed guy you talk about is still moving lines despite cancelling his WNBA service. I ended up seeing he was on that SA/Pho over the other day and was likely responsible for the big move on the over. It went way over so it was a good call by him. I was on the other side unfortunately. At least it showed me that I need to make adjustments on higher scoring games.

                                                              Good luck on the parlay and your other picks today!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cankid
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-22-08
                                                                • 7229

                                                                #836
                                                                thx for the info, quite themiddle for those that got it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Love The Action
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 10952

                                                                  #837
                                                                  Just started capping the Seattle/LA game as well. I can't believe LA moved from -2.5 to +2. I know Seattle is a great team that has just started slow, but I really like LA with a healthy Candace Parker. She can dominate. This is one of the first times this season I have seen a home dog. Seem as though the early money is on Seattle but I really like LA....should be an interesting and hopefully fun day.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • risk_ay
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-11-10
                                                                    • 147

                                                                    #838
                                                                    Cut directly from 5dimes...Apparently the Clippers are home dogs to the Storm. HAHAHAHA!

                                                                    un 6/19 607 Seattle Storm -2½ -105 -138 o149½ -105
                                                                    8:35PM 608 Los Angeles Clippers +2½ -105 +128 u149½ -105
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                                      • 8355

                                                                      #839
                                                                      I'm not messing with any points today, I think both teams win straight up but I don't want to chance a last second 3 pointer or foul to f*ck up the cover. So I'm adding 4 more units to the parlay and that's it for today:

                                                                      WNBA 2-Team Parlay (5Dimes): Connecticut Sun ML (-260)/Atlanta Dream ML (-165) - 1 unit pays approximately 1.22

                                                                      $400 to win $489.51
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • dume walker
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 04-08-10
                                                                        • 971

                                                                        #840
                                                                        Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                                        I'm not messing with any points today, I think both teams win straight up but I don't want to chance a last second 3 pointer or foul to f*ck up the cover. So I'm adding 4 more units to the parlay and that's it for today:

                                                                        WNBA 2-Team Parlay (5Dimes): Connecticut Sun ML (-260)/Atlanta Dream ML (-165) - 1 unit pays approximately 1.22

                                                                        $400 to win $489.51
                                                                        You meant to say you're adding 3 more units for a total risk of 4 units, right?
                                                                        Comment
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