OVER is the play in SA/Mem 4/25/11

[Love The Action]

Thanks guys...

Adding 1 more unit to the spurs over play at 189. Line movement is in our favor as pinny juicing over 189 big time. I also put .5 unit on 1q and 1h over. I like the fact that this is the only total that didn't close below its opener despite all the action on the under.

Looking forward to this game. Let's cash this over play!

[ColdBeerHere]

Wow, I don't watch basketball that often....But seems like they are missing a ton of shots right now.....Hope things change for the better here.....

between the two teams they must have missed about 7 in a row now

[Love The Action]

Not looking good, but very early. Adding one unit to portland under

[hoyas2007]

Pace is just what we expected - on pace for 184 possessions. They're at 1.01 PPP so far - we need that to improve a little. The big thing that would help would be for teams to take it to the hole and draw some more fouls - very few free throws that quarter. That was a good drive by memphis to the basket to start the second quarter

[ThaTopMoron]

Over may have been the play, but i bet on 1Q under 47 1/2... won it having that extra 1/2 point!!! Was thinking it was a loser with 4:30 left but then each team went cold for a couple minutes!



hope the over for the game hits for u guys!

[Love The Action]

Pace is just what we expected - on pace for 184 possessions. They're at 1.01 PPP so far - we need that to improve a little. The big thing that would help would be for teams to take it to the hole and draw some more fouls - very few free throws that quarter. That was a good drive by memphis to the basket to start the second quarter

Agreed...unfortunately, I don't think we're going to get much help from the zebras...two of the three refs favor the under. Can't complain about current pace or score, I just hope they keep it up 2h...

Fingers crossed...

[Love The Action]

Missed my first quarter .5 unit play by 1/2 a point. Cashed the 1h over though so we split on those plays.

We have 98 points at the half (should have had at least 100). My concern is that these teams are shooting so well, they will come back down to earth. Spurs shooting 60% and Memphis 50%. Can that really continue?

I could shoot for a middle with 2h under play. I can get 2h under at 94. Therefore, if they score 91, 92 or 93 2h, I could hit the middle. However, I'm not a fan of hedging so probably won't do it.

Interested in your guys' thoughts on 2h.

I'm also frustrated that Narveson just got shelled in the 3rd inning by the Reds and that under call is dead in the Reds/Brewers game (only one run cushion in the third inning). Although, at least Drabek is pitching well against the Rangers.

I'm probably going to start capping tomorrow's NBA and MLB so might not watch the 2h. Keep me updated. Thanks!

[Love The Action]

Looking solid on the 2 unit Portland/Dallas under.

Hey Hoyas, what does your math tell us about the 2h in the SA/Mem game?

[Antibet]

I decided to protect my OVER 189 bet, and went with UNDER 94 for the 2nd half for 1/2 of my OVER 189 bet.

[NBA_Brosuf]

They are going to push Parker out of the paint to slow the guy down. Just heard it on tv.

[alamo]

I played the Portland under. That is looking like its up bar overtime.

[Love The Action]

Wow, Portland and Dallas just exploded for a bunch of points in the last 3 to 4 minutes of the 1h. Still pointing under, but not much of a cushion.

[Love The Action]

No hedge from me...I'm sticking on this over call for the full 5 units.

The Blue Jays just exploded for six runs against the Rangers. Hopefully, Drabek can continue to shut the Rangers down.

[NBA_Brosuf]

4 minutes in spurs game and only 10 points. Is that about right?

[hoyas2007]

47 possessions in the first quarter, then 43 in the second quarter, so 90 total. That puts it on pace for 180, which is exactly what we predicted. PPP was 1.09 in the first half which is good. We're going to need more free throws though for that to continue - I doubt both teams will shoot as well from the field in the second half. Spurs need to start scoring soon. That's already 5 free throws on SAS this quarter, so Memphis could get a bunch of free throws here which would help. My guess is that it is going to be really close to 189 - will probably come down to a few points at the end

[Love The Action]

SA has no points through first 4 minutes of second half

[Love The Action]

47 possessions in the first quarter, then 43 in the second quarter, so 90 total. That puts it on pace for 180, which is exactly what we predicted. PPP was 1.09 in the first half which is good. We're going to need more free throws though for that to continue - I doubt both teams will shoot as well from the field in the second half. Spurs need to start scoring soon. That's already 5 free throws on SAS this quarter, so Memphis could get a bunch of free throws here which would help. My guess is that it is going to be really close to 189 - will probably come down to a few points at the end

Yep...that's exactly what I was thinking. This scoring drought of SA is killing us. They need to start raining treys.

This one is going to be really close. We're definitely going to have to sweat it out...

[garbin]

If they keep the pace OVER scores, if there is a 5-6 minutes melt down then UNDER could do. GL everyone!

[Love The Action]

Adding .5 unit in the MLB on Braves/Padres over (7) and Oakland/LAA over (6.5).

[Love The Action]

We need 46 points per quarter in the 3rd and 4th quarters. Going to be interesting...

[Love The Action]

We need 47 points for the 4th quarter. My worry is that Memphis slows it down a bit. Hopefully, both teams shoot well and we get a lot of foul calls down the stretch.

[alamo]

Both teams shooting at 50% so you guys will be ok. I think it will be 98-99 final

[ColdBeerHere]

Adding .5 unit in the MLB on Braves/Padres over (7) and Oakland/LAA over (6.5).

tailin' ya on each at 2/3 unit each play

[Jm5900]

Both teams shooting at 50% so you guys will be ok. I think it will be 98-99 final

...

[Jm5900]

Both teams shooting at 50% so you guys will be ok. I think it will be 98-99 final

your on some good shit... pray memphis keeps scoring. bol

[Love The Action]

tailin' ya on each at 2/3 unit each play

Good luck to us!

These two plays are in part based on line movement/following the smart money and the other part based in trends. Over 62% of the public was on the under in both games, yet the smart books were juicing the over big. Plus, sometimes when great pitchers face off, you see 4-3 or 5-4 type game because the bullpens will give up late runs.

[Love The Action]

your on some good shit... pray memphis keeps scoring. bol

Agreed...

SA is freekin killing us! Memphis is just going to run out the clock. WTF

[Love The Action]

We need a little under 4.3 points per minute for the remainder of the game. It's going to up to SA. Memphis should hit 100...the question is if SA will hit 90?

[alamo]

San Antonio are in trouble guys. Down 20 with 6min and change to go. Could be an upset here

[Cuseyboyy]

LTA your pretty good at totals man. how you feel about this nuggs game i think it should go over

[Love The Action]

SA farging sucks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[hawley]

Garbage time, this overs done

[ColdBeerHere]

OMG i am on tilt now...making dumb live bets i picked a winner but i misclicked team...just micslicked on 3 bets....over 10% of my BR

probably closer to 15%

[Love The Action]

I can't believe SA let us down like this. I thought for sure they would hit at least 90-95 points per game. Sorry guys.

[Love The Action]

Garbage time, this overs done

Absolutely...the scrubs are going to come in now. We're f'd. I seriously am going to hold a grudge against the
Spurs for this one