Books BEGGING you to take Indiana

[lunchbawks]

They know something we can't possibly know. Indy is in the thick of the playoff chase... they SMOKED NJ last game in Newark in February. *(105-86) Granger is back, and Indy has been winning?


Yet the pacers only get -3? This is really fishy, anyone going to take the bait?

[bowers1989]

i took indiana on ML so i guess i took the bait. lol

[ThingsFallApart]

You are right here, it just looks too good. I may play NJ ML just on principle.

[lunchbawks]

Maybe the refs are homers?
Maybe there's an undisclosed injury for Indy...

something's up i'm looking around but finding nothing.

[bowers1989]

yea. the injuries seem to be mostly on the nets.

[vyomguy]

stop over-thinking things....Pacers win today. Nets have nothing to play for and are on B2B without deron williams.

And why do u say line is low?....nets have been winning lately as well with or without d.williams.

The line is right...pacers would have been 7.5 favs at home and 3.5 favs on the road...seems fair to me. If d.williams was playing, this would have been a PK.

[No coincidences]

This reminds me of the NJ/PHO Monday night game a few weeks ago.

Pacers will probably win by 1 or 2.

[bowers1989]

This reminds me of the NJ/PHO Monday night game a few weeks ago.

Pacers will probably win by 1 or 2.

i hope so i took pacers on ML. either way its gonna be a long and stressful game. lol

[face]

new jersey had trouble with the wizards yesterday, while indiana had the day off after getting their ass kicked in memphis on saturday.

[alukk]

Does anyone know if deron is playing?

[actiondan]

Pass better games on the board

[btd]

Should be a close game either way.

[Eating Bookies]

i hope so i took pacers on ML. either way its gonna be a long and stressful game. lol

That's for sure...it's gonna be stressful just watching this game.

[lunchbawks]

stop over-thinking things....Pacers win today. Nets have nothing to play for and are on B2B without deron williams.

And why do u say line is low?....nets have been winning lately as well with or without d.williams.

The line is right...pacers would have been 7.5 favs at home and 3.5 favs on the road...seems fair to me. If d.williams was playing, this would have been a PK.

The line opened at -3

pacers winners of 9 of l10 meetings. usually a team that obliterates the other every time gets more respect. the pacers could win big though, and it's another square payday for SBR.

[kcDdegenerate]

suspicion should not be used as a factor in capping a game..-3 is a fairl line for 2 teams that did not play well in the previous games..Only way this would be a "bait" is if the line was Nets -3

[sweetjones55]

The line did not open at -3. The line opened at -1.5 yesteday then reopened at -2.5 and moved to -3.5

If the books were begging for Indiana money they wouldn't have moved the line against them. Also, of they really wanted Pacer money then they wouldn't have made them a road fave.

[vyomguy]

The line did not open at -3. The line opened at -1.5 yesteday then reopened at -2.5 and moved to -3.5 If the books were begging for Indiana money they wouldn't have moved the line. Also, of they really wanted Pacer money then they wouldn't have made them a road fave.

This. Line will close at -4 or -4.5.

[lunchbawks]

i know about 20 people on indy, noone on NJN. books want 50/50 action and they know that's not happening with a -3 spread

they can move it to -5 before gametime, they still sided with the Nets

[goldengreek]

They were begging you to take Utah and Toronto last night and we saw happened there

[lunchbawks]

i did take toronto last night. it's not like 75% of the public paid for OKC to win by 15.

[vyomguy]

i know about 20 people on indy, noone on NJN. books want 50/50 action and they know that's not happening with a -3 spread they can move it to -5 before gametime, they still sided with the Nets

Go back to past week and check how many public sides won. -3 is a fair line. If you dont get it, then I cant help you. Just because you are taking a public bet, doesnt mean its a bad bet.

Gambling 101: Public wins 50% of the times. Say it 100 times. Get it into your head......Public wins 50% of the times.

[No coincidences]

My guess is this closes around 4/4.5 and the late bettors will have to sweat that number out.

[Muggy]

I jumped on the bait. Let's hope I don't get stuck in a trap.

[lunchbawks]

They also lose 50% of the time. Calling you an idiot would be an insult to all the stupid people.

[demens]

I dont think the line will hit 4.

[thaman79]

Does anyone know if deron is playing?

Per ESPN is not playing tonight.

[antoc]

Maybe because indi is 1-7 in there last 8 road game SU..

[thaman79]

I like the Pacers by 5 or 6 here. They are in the thick of it with Charlotte and Milwaukee. And they play Char on Wed. So this would be a good opportunity for them to get a game ahead. If D Will were playing this my be a pickem game. But with him out I think Indy can get it done. Taking into account they are not good on the road 11-25 SU and 14-20 ATS. They are 17-13 ATS against teams with a losing record. ML on indy is my play. Good luck to all.

[thaman79]

Maybe because indi is 1-7 in there last 8 road game SU..

Good point.

[ohnevah]

I think NJ will take it at home...they been playing aggressive lately...

[sweetjones55]

Go back to past week and check how many public sides won. -3 is a fair line. If you dont get it, then I cant help you. Just because you are taking a public bet, doesnt mean its a bad bet.

Gambling 101: Public wins 50% of the times. Say it 100 times. Get it into your head......Public wins 50% of the times.

Some people will just refuse to believe this. They think when 90% of the public is on something that it hits like 40% yet no one has ever had any success always fading the big 90% public plays.

[CHAZ]

Indy is a favorite on the road, how often will you see that? What kind of line do you expect? I'm really not understanding how you think its "fishy"

[vyomguy]

Pacers have been horrible on the road and still -3.5 favorites????...ask yourself why???... when nets have been playing great at home with or without d.williams.

Line already moved 1 point from the opener...the sharps have the early action. In this game, both sharps and squares seem to be on the same side.

[DemoralizdDreamr]

pacers are a very safe bet

[vyomguy]

One of the most important things not mentioned in this thread.....Nets are playing their 4th game in 5 days.