HEAT is the play tomorrow

[BennyFang]

There are some reasons to bet Orlando. They are at home is one. Howard is a beast and Heat don't really have a center. Magic already beat the Heat in Orlando by 9. Heat's play calling at the end of games has been suspect. Magic are 9-1 their last 10 home games with wins vs SA, Boston, NY.

Funny I just went back and read your OKC/MIA breakdown to clear my rosy glasses......still big on the heat.

[gtboy]

i am rolling with miami too, lets cash.

[BiePoker]

it will be public bet..huge public bet

[suicidekings]

it will be public bet..huge public bet

The notion that every public bet loses is false. It's an oversimplification of the concepts behind line movement and how the books operate. Sometimes public bet % matter, sometimes not.

[lyon804]

This is just a regular season game in the grand scheme of things, but it is February now and the Heat need this is a statement win. The Heat have the better team in this game tonite and need to break the season series tie and go up 2-1 on the Magic. It's still real early in the season but you have to question the Heats chances of winning a championship if they can't win against Orlando tonite. I think the Heat know the implications of this game and it being on prime time I expect nothing but there best effort. If both teams bring there "A" games tonite I expect the Heat will win.

[rapidfire5]

Im tailing you again for today
Thanks for the Bulls game last night as well!!!

I did 1 unit, might up it to 2

[squid44]

This is just a regular season game in the grand scheme of things, but it is February now and the Heat need this is a statement win. The Heat have the better team in this game tonite and need to break the season series tie and go up 2-1 on the Magic. It's still real early in the season but you have to question the Heats chances of winning a championship if they can't win against Orlando tonite. I think the Heat know the implications of this game and it being on prime time I expect nothing but there best effort. If both teams bring there "A" games tonite I expect the Heat will win.

Nice call here. I think it will be a very exciting game to watch, as both teams will have their hearts more in this game. I just hope it doesn't come down to lebron handling the last 8 posessions of the game himself FTW.

[rapidfire5]

The game became a pickem lol

[sweetjones55]

The game became a pickem lol

Bodog, Beted, and a bunch of sites went to PK a while ago. Pinnacle is about to make the move now with Orlando at -1 -103

[krazey47409]

The notion that every public bet loses is false. It's an oversimplification of the concepts behind line movement and how the books operate. Sometimes public bet % matter, sometimes not.

public bets win 50% of the time and sweetjones big plays win 70+% of the time so i give u a 60% chanc eof a winne rhere this is one of those games where i know heat will win but i just cant bet it

[djpremier36]

Bodog currently has MIA @ -1, while Greek currently has ORL @ -1.5.

If that isn't a red then I don't know what is. Just my 2 cents.

[Shifty107]

With Lebron and Wade driving to the lane the way they do, I can see Howard getting into foul trouble early. Who replaces him at that time. Anderson? Heat is the pick with a healthy line up.

[sweetjones55]

Another tidbit to add to this game, Mike Miller and Mario Chalmers did not play in the last game vs Orlando. Eddie House and Arroyo had to both play +20 minutes tonight, that was a big detriment to the Heat as House and Arroyo play no defense and can't rebound the ball at all. Heat's bench was 1-9 from 3 pointers, I doubt that's the case tonight with everyone healthy this time around.

[sweetjones55]

Bodog currently has MIA @ -1, while Greek currently has ORL @ -1.5.

If that isn't a red then I don't know what is. Just my 2 cents.

You forgot to add that TheGreek is juicing the Heat +1.5 -115. Also look at the Heat ML, it was +105 I believe at one point and is now -105.

Ask yourself, why does the Heat ML keep dropping and why are they juicing the Heat -115 and giving Magic -105?

Let's see the closer at TheGreek and Pinnacle.

[twelvejewelz]

my o/u went from 195 to 198 on the heat game. Does this mean that under is the right play to make?

[og4667]

yea greek is at +1.5 -115 with the ML at -105/-115 weird.

[count da money]

sounds good im in

[ssk13809]

The right play is Heats +6 (Hedged)


I just can't see that play losing

[twelvejewelz]

i got heat +3.5

[suicidekings]

my o/u went from 195 to 198 on the heat game. Does this mean that under is the right play to make?

No. It started at 197, went down, then came back up. Action is split on the total.

[twelvejewelz]

ah i didnt know this. I cant see the previous on my book so i was going by what i saw when i checkd first and checked now, thanks for the clarification

[Le_Donk]

u got the starting lineup wrong.
ryan anderson ( good defender ) will start at powerforward, rest of the starting lineup remains the same. and redick is also expected to play

[Villagers4din]

Heat will win this one big.

[Villagers4din]

But the best play is Ohio St to cover... theyre gonna kill em.

[sweetjones55]

u got the starting lineup wrong.
ryan anderson ( good defender ) will start at powerforward, rest of the starting lineup remains the same. and redick is also expected to play

Regardless the Big 3 will present mismatches, Bosh is going to eat up whoever they put on him.

[BayArea888]

The right play is Heats +6 (Hedged) I just can't see that play losing

i got heat +3.5

wtf? where did you guys grab these numbers?

[Goat Milk]

agree with the points you made.

arenas is the biggest difference maker for orlando. no one on the heat can guard him. if hes feelin that jumper its gonna make that stutter step move even more deceptive. i think orlando will play well but they just don't have the perimeter defense to contain two of the best three players in the world.

stan wants to use quentin richardson after sitting him on the bench for 2 months and expect him to defend an explosive player like wade or lebron. he played for a few minutes against memphis but looked slow and confused. the heat are his old team so you never know how he'll play on the offensive end.

[Duby]

Nice run SJ!

And I agree with your Heats pick tonight....They win this by 7. (101-94)

GL

[ssk13809]

wtf? where did you guys grab these numbers?

Its hedged. Anyone can get it.

[Le_Donk]

Regardless the Big 3 will present mismatches, Bosh is going to eat up whoever they put on him.

anderson isnt that bad also d12 can help him all the time.
they biggest missmatch is howard against Z. Z is too slow and old to defend howard. howard had always good games against him ( rember how he owned him 2 years ago in the playoffs ). orlando is starting with four 3 point shooters, so Z has to defend him alone a lot.

[Pauulzcappin]

I don't like the fact that Reddick is playing.

I'm on the Heat ML at +108 for 6 bills, best of luck to us.

[fox sixers]

best of luck sj on the play tonight, I do like it alot!

[FindTheLock]

I am a huge magic fan and I am taking the heat -1 -105. Also take the over! both teams should break 100.

[sweetjones55]

What's the spread and ML at pinny and thegreek? Don't check sbrodds.

[rfr3sh]

pinny +1 -110/ -1 +100
Heat ML -104
Magic ML -106