Money Line Parlays in the NBA = By Far the Best Way to Bet

[cheezhead62]

The stats this year totally disagree with this.

Road teams <=-7 are 19-2. This blows away home teams at <=-7.

Check it out yourself.

http://sportsdatabase.com

date>20100707 and site=away and line<=-7

I ran that query. Noticed something interesting on the O/U stats. Of the 21 games only 4 went over and 17 went under. That's 81% went under. Hmmmmm.

[balman]

agree i'm rolling the 4 teams in 2x2 n 3x3...

best of luck
cheers

CASH IT!! sweet night, had my work xmas party got smashed woke up to find out we cashed this 4 team parlay...

[curious]

I'm going to switch things up a little bit today. I went to http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/team...ing-percentage and got the win % home and away for all the teams, then I did the matchups. On any game where the % differential is extreme I took that side. I didn't even look at the line. LOL I probably should do that at some point.

Here are my plays today:
2x round robin $15,000 to win $9,570
Orlando -450
New York -190
Chicago -600
San Antonio -600
Denver -750
Portland -210

2x round robin across all teams (use this site if you need to calculate this http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-tool...alculator.aspx).

Good luck everyone! Get Some!!

[curious]

Let's do this 3 teamer just for fun, look at cheezehad62's post a few posts back for the logic on the UNDER play. I HATE totals but this sounds right.

3 pick parlay +340 (GEEZUZ) $1000 to win $3400
Miami / Washington UNDER 195 -105
New York -190
Portland -210

+340 LOLOLOLOLOL Look at my usual odds and you will see why I am laughing.

[curious]

Indiana -400 (NBA)
Oklahoma City -850 (NBA)
Dallas -300 (NBA)
Portland -600 (NBA)
Virginia -320 (NCAAB)
Tennessee -750 (NCAAB)
Colorado -2000 (NCAAB)

Atlanta -325 ?? (NBA) (books are giving a line of -7 1/2 but no ML, crackheads)

Going to go ahead and give the plays on the 8 teams using -325 for Atlanta, if the line changes a lot I will update the plays. I'm making the plays for the first 7 teams now, when Atlanta becomes available I will make the Atlanta play.

Doing 2x and 3x RR (2 pick round robin and 3 pick round robin)

Betting $200 per play, that gives us $16,800 to win $11,100

Good luck everyone!

Geezuz, freaking Tennessee loses so instead of winning 11K I win 2K, I think I'm going to go visit those ahs, they are taking bribes, I don't live that far from Tennessee, freaking crooks.

Oh well, I win $2,100

[curious]

Okay, this is a test play, don't go crazy on it. I was talking to a guy in another thread, he compares the win% of the away team to the win% of the home team and if the difference is significant he plays the one that is better. I made those comparisons for today's teams and I came up with these 3 that are not already in my picks for today:
Toronto
Detroit
Houston

I know, I wanted to kill myself, but look at this, compare the win% of the matchup:
New Jersey Toronto 0.154 0.462
L.A. Clippers Detroit 0 0.5
Memphis Houston 0.3 0.636

So, let's do an experiment. 2x and 3x on all teams, let's say risking $500
Toronto -200
Detroit -155
Houston -150

Toronto Detroit +147 $500 to win $735
Toronto Houston +150 $500 to win $750
Detroit Houston +174 $500 to win $870

Toronto Detroit Houston +311 $500 to win $1555

OH well, small loss, -$1,385.00.

I've been researching these matchups, I'm going to put them into my regular plays for a while and see what happens.

[c1onebell]

"Brandon Roy is out for sure to rest his ailing left knee.Marcus Camby and Nicolas Batum, who each injured his right shoulder and sat out the second half of Friday's victory over Minnesota, might be missing."
so be careful on portland today; i know it has a good home winning%, but 3 man are on injury list are not a good sign, and it is very close game last night.

[ProPicker713]

Let's do this 3 teamer just for fun, look at cheezehad62's post a few posts back for the logic on the UNDER play. I HATE totals but this sounds right.

3 pick parlay +340 (GEEZUZ) $1000 to win $3400
Miami / Washington UNDER 195 -105
New York -190
Portland -210

+340 LOLOLOLOLOL Look at my usual odds and you will see why I am laughing.

Great play just add in couple dead favs like Denver and Miami.

[ProPicker713]

Let's do this 3 teamer just for fun, look at cheezehad62's post a few posts back for the logic on the UNDER play. I HATE totals but this sounds right.

3 pick parlay +340 (GEEZUZ) $1000 to win $3400
Miami / Washington UNDER 195 -105
New York -190
Portland -210

+340 LOLOLOLOLOL Look at my usual odds and you will see why I am laughing.

Great play just add in couple dead favs like Denver and Miami.

[syy211]

good luck to all today

[curious]

Winner Winner !! +$3790

Unless the 49ers score 32 unopposed points in the 4th Quarter. LOL

Up +$7400 before this, +$7400 + $3790 = $11,190

[curious]

winner winner +$1471

ytd +$11,190
+$ 1,471
----------

ytd +$12,661

[curious]

YTD calculation

I went back over the plays since the last time I updated the YTD

$12,661
+$2,100
-$1,400 (it was $1300 and change, I can't remember the change)

YTD $13,361

Dang, we are slacking this year. Time to step it up.

[balman]

waiting on bookmaker they dont have spurs ml up yet
my picks today
3 team RR bulls/spurs/nuggets i would love to add heat to make it 4 team parlay but not at -1000
2 parlay trailblazers/magic
2 team long shot parlay small bet jazz/knicks
8 team parlay bulls/spurs/nuggets/trailblazers/magic/jazz/knicks/heat

best of luck

[balman]

"Brandon Roy is out for sure to rest his ailing left knee.Marcus Camby and Nicolas Batum, who each injured his right shoulder and sat out the second half of Friday's victory over Minnesota, might be missing."
so be careful on portland today; i know it has a good home winning%, but 3 man are on injury list are not a good sign, and it is very close game last night.

k thanks!! should i drop portland from my parlay plays?
what u guys think?

[curious]

k thanks!! should i drop portland from my parlay plays?
what u guys think?

If you are risk adverse go with a 3 teamer of
Denver ML
Chicago ML
Orlando ML

This has a very high probability of win.

[c1onebell]

k thanks!! should i drop portland from my parlay plays?
what u guys think?

i watched portland game at last night; it was a very close game, and portland only wins because Rudy Fernandez and Aldridge played so well. Aldridge ties career high with 36, and rudy is over season high before half time. however, it is still a close winning, and portland could not get any defence rebounds in the game.

so i would not plck portland today unless Marcus Camby play today.

[obamaismyuncle]

just posting this here for the hell of it....

#27567099: Parlay (12-17-2010 14:08)
Toronto Raptors ( -192) (FG) 100.00 498.00
Miami Heat ( -200) (FG)
Los Angeles Lakers ( -230) (FG)
Atlanta Hawks ( -270) (FG)
Dallas Mavericks ( -300) (FG)

[c1onebell]

If you are risk adverse go with a 3 teamer of
Denver ML
Chicago ML
Orlando ML

This has a very high probability of win.

first, i want to thank cuious and brahmabull, i found your post yestoday, and learned a better sport betting method. i used it yesterday and increases my bankroll 30%. thx for sharing it with us.

for today games, orlando lose 2 game with line>-10 this season at home. so i am not sure it is safe pick on orlando.
denver is good,and chicago is nice too, but he is facing clipper which just won piston last night.
and today's ML line is quite low, i may not play a big stack today.

[madness]

Hey Fellas,

Just stumbled across this thread and have an angle that i am going to follow up on. In College Hoops i feel the numbers are typically softer and line movement is more meaningful. So i would look to ML parlay teams that the line has moved making them a greater favorite. Example today Evansville opened as -5.5 and has moved to -6.5, so i would rather have them as part of my ML parlay than BYU who opened at -6.5 and has moved to -5.5. So the thought process is to pair up 2 or 3 teams that are atleast 5 point favorites and have had 1 full point of movement. Obviously, other research is recommended to determine if line move was due to injury, etc, but curious how these scenarios will perform.

[Le_Donk]

mia
orl
denver
sa
chi

[dimon]

this was a good day yesterday, for predictable plays

[SimonSayz]

Since my book does not offer ML for big point spread games (Denver & Miami for example today), what Sportsbook do you recommend that has this?

[curious]

Since my book does not offer ML for big point spread games (Denver & Miami for example today), what Sportsbook do you recommend that has this?

Find a local, get a friend in Las Vegas to work with you (several books there will take almost any line), or do some RESEARCH on line. Crackhead.

[curious]

first, i want to thank cuious and brahmabull, i found your post yestoday, and learned a better sport betting method. i used it yesterday and increases my bankroll 30%. thx for sharing it with us.

for today games, orlando lose 2 game with line>-10 this season at home. so i am not sure it is safe pick on orlando.
denver is good,and chicago is nice too, but he is facing clipper which just won piston last night.
and today's ML line is quite low, i may not play a big stack today.

Philly is 2-10 on the road. They beat New Jersey and New York.
Orlando is 9-3 at home. They beat Miami and Utah.

Mayer you are right, but I don't see it. Are there any injuries or benched players that affect this?

[curious]

this was a good day yesterday, for predictable plays

Predictable? LOL No play is predictable.

[fanatik1]

Chicago ml
denver ml
portland ml


good luck to all of you!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[SimonSayz]

Find a local, get a friend in Las Vegas to work with you (several books there will take almost any line), or do some RESEARCH on line. Crackhead.

Lol....yeah....that was a stupid question.....haha....good luck to everyone today.

[brahmabull117]

If you are risk adverse go with a 3 teamer of
Denver ML
Chicago ML
Orlando ML

This has a very high probability of win.

don't forgot miami and san antonio

[oChRoNiCo]

I would be careful with all the Trailblazer love I see going on here! Portland in B2B game situation here without Brandon Roy yes they got it done in the 1st game last night but usually teams surprise the 1st game without their superstar and get the shock in the 2nd game without them. They may also be without 2 starters who left the game last night with various injuries and didnt return to the game in Marcus Camby & Nicolas Batum who if do not play tonight only leave Portland with 9 healthy players and this is not the team you want to play with a short bench. I also do not believe they will repeat their 7-21 from 3pt land they shot last night %33 while Minnesota shot 3-17 %17.6 I can gurantee GS will make more than 3 3's avergaing over 8 made per game this year while shooting over 39% from distance on the season. Golden State may also be getting back Stephen Curry for this game tonight and they have taken 3 out of the last 4 from Portland overall in this series.

[spbtpro1]

ML

These money lines are not available at the book i use. Which books are you using for the bets?

[brahmabull117]

I would be careful with all the Trailblazer love I see going on here! Portland in B2B game situation here without Brandon Roy yes they got it done in the 1st game last night but usually teams surprise the 1st game without their superstar and get the shock in the 2nd game without them. They may also be without 2 starters who left the game last night with various injuries and didnt return to the game in Marcus Camby & Nicolas Batum who if do not play tonight only leave Portland with 9 healthy players and this is not the team you want to play with a short bench. I also do not believe they will repeat their 7-21 from 3pt land they shot last night %33 while Minnesota shot 3-17 %17.6 I can gurantee GS will make more than 3 3's avergaing over 8 made per game this year while shooting over 39% from distance on the season. Golden State may also be getting back Stephen Curry for this game tonight and they have taken 3 out of the last 4 from Portland overall in this series.

1)steph curry has been ruled out of the game
2)brandon roy out is actually a good thing for portland cause he has been playing just god awful



But I wouldn't touch this game simply because of the marcus camby situation. They got dominated on the boards last night when camby went out (only reason game was close till the end), without him they may get dominated again

portland also may be without their starting SF (forgot his name)

too much risk on this game although I'm about 95% sure portland will win

[Nellyinctown]

Sprinkle in BYU in NCAAF moneyline @ -380 on your parlays.

[Nellyinctown]

there is a boatload of big NCAAB home favorites tonight too.

[oChRoNiCo]

1)steph curry has been ruled out of the game
2)brandon roy out is actually a good thing for portland cause he has been playing just god awful



But I wouldn't touch this game simply because of the marcus camby situation. They got dominated on the boards last night when camby went out (only reason game was close till the end), without him they may get dominated again

portland also may be without their starting SF (forgot his name)

too much risk on this game although I'm about 95% sure portland will win

Interesting Yeah I said Nicolas Batum that is the SF you forgot his name above in my post and we must be reading different reports because report I read 2 mins before I posted said Stephen Curry was not ruled out but it is what it is I totally disagree about Brandon Roy being out benefiting Portland the only good thing about this is there will be no drama between him and Andre Miller on the bench or in the locker room tonight hahahah I am btw on the team you are only giving %5 chance to win tonight fwiw. I believe this game will totally be deteremined by the tempo of the game of course Portland would like half court sets and slow methodical pace and Golden State wants to get out and run on fast breaks and hoist up the 3ball we will see thats why they play the game right!