A Key to betting the Heat all year

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  • LVBOUND
    SBR MVP
    • 07-25-08
    • 2658

    #1
    A Key to betting the Heat all year
    I believe the key to betting the Miami Heat this season is to bet them in the first half.

    Just a tip. I could be wrong but just a hunch.

    What do you guys think?
  • d2bets
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-10-05
    • 39995

    #2
    I think Heat first quarter; opponent 2nd quarter.
    Comment
    • LVBOUND
      SBR MVP
      • 07-25-08
      • 2658

      #3
      I got caught in a conversation during the first post so it had to be short.

      to follow up, The reason I think to bet the Heat first half is because the lines will normally be so large that when they are up late and pull their starters the backups will let the lead fade to under the spread. I feel the first half you will see all the starters play till halftime and you almost always see Lebron get the last shot of a quarter.

      My 2 Cents
      Comment
      • stikymess
        SBR MVP
        • 05-19-10
        • 3288

        #4
        I'm looking forward to the tons of points I'm going to get betting against them. Even tonight! Boston a dog at home against a group that hasn't played together much. This sh*t will take time for them the gel if it comes together at all.
        Comment
        • thebestthereis
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-01-09
          • 11459

          #5
          if they pull their starters there is nobody left
          Comment
          • Husker36
            SBR MVP
            • 12-02-08
            • 3846

            #6
            I cant see betting the first half like ALL SEASON long would be profitable. I can see this team getting bored in the middle of the season, finding themselves down at the half... and then battling back to win against lesser teams. Oh wait..... I guess everyone in the NBA would be a lesser team
            Comment
            • Bradyd
              SBR MVP
              • 12-19-08
              • 1067

              #7
              Originally posted by thebestthereis
              if they pull their starters there is nobody left
              The Heat has a decent bench. I don't know why people think there bench is crap...
              Comment
              • pavyracer
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-12-07
                • 82839

                #8
                Correct. Bet Heat 1st Half. If they don't cover bet them for 2nd half since the line will be better than the game line at that point.
                Comment
                • ukbro00
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 04-02-07
                  • 388

                  #9
                  Whatever the trend is with the team this season, the books will catch on pretty quick. You are not going to keep the same strategy and consistantly win.
                  Comment
                  • CHAZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-09-09
                    • 4978

                    #10
                    Bet against them early and then go from there as the season plays out. Vegas will eventually dial them in.
                    Comment
                    • unusialsusp5
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-18-10
                      • 4198

                      #11
                      unless you have to pay 12-10 on first half or 2nd half wagers then don't. you will get chewed to shreds paying 12-10 on anything. first half 2nd half quarters are for suckers who want to churn their action and have no patience to wait out a whole game to get a result. bet the whole game only.
                      Comment
                      • csm506
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-10-10
                        • 1402

                        #12
                        Thanks for the 2 points GL with that 1st half angle
                        Comment
                        • ukbro00
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 04-02-07
                          • 388

                          #13
                          Originally posted by unusialsusp5
                          unless you have to pay 12-10 on first half or 2nd half wagers then don't. you will get chewed to shreds paying 12-10 on anything. first half 2nd half quarters are for suckers who want to churn their action and have no patience to wait out a whole game to get a result. bet the whole game only.
                          I agree...Teams play to win the game, not a quarter or a half.
                          Comment
                          • newjerseydevils
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-11-08
                            • 3110

                            #14
                            good luck with the strategy
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Everything factored into line

                              Most likely they finish around 500 as far as against spread in 1st half

                              You have to pick your spots
                              Comment
                              • Landscaper
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-12-10
                                • 2712

                                #16
                                Love the heat 2night
                                Comment
                                • Cubs4591
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 12-23-09
                                  • 330

                                  #17
                                  I think the Heat wont be as good as people think!!
                                  Comment
                                  • Michaelmakesit
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 10-19-10
                                    • 1910

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    Everything factored into line

                                    Most likely they finish around 500 as far as against spread in 1st half

                                    You have to pick your spots
                                    teach me how to pick spots like you
                                    Comment
                                    • ukbro00
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 04-02-07
                                      • 388

                                      #19
                                      The heat need to win this game much more than the Celtics do. The three of them will do anything not to lose.
                                      Comment
                                      • raydog
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-07-07
                                        • 6984

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LVBOUND
                                        I believe the key to betting the Miami Heat this season is to bet them in the first half.

                                        Just a tip. I could be wrong but just a hunch.

                                        What do you guys think?
                                        i think you should watch a dozen games or so before applying any type of strategy to betting nba...especially if you are gambling for a living... if its just for entertainment, trying some first half wagers is just as good as anything else i guess... gl
                                        Comment
                                        • Sawyer
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 06-01-09
                                          • 7761

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LVBOUND
                                          I believe the key to betting the Miami Heat this season is to bet them in the first half.

                                          Just a tip. I could be wrong but just a hunch.

                                          What do you guys think?
                                          Agreed %100.
                                          Comment
                                          • ptall
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 08-28-10
                                            • 120

                                            #22
                                            i think your right, in the game vs the hawks they weren't able to close it out at all, i think the hawks went on a 10-1 run to end the game
                                            Comment
                                            • rickbo528
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-22-08
                                              • 1842

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by raydog
                                              i think you should watch a dozen games or so before applying any type of strategy to betting nba...especially if you are gambling for a living... if its just for entertainment, trying some first half wagers is just as good as anything else i guess... gl

                                              I agree. People should tread litely coming out of the gate. Wait and see how all teams are doing. Miami won't always be the play every night.
                                              Comment
                                              • ProfaneReality
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-14-09
                                                • 7607

                                                #24
                                                I think it would be the exact opposite... they are going to get everyones best shot, including the subpar teams who have the ability to jump out early but not sustain it.

                                                I think dogs 1st half are the better way to go than fav's 1st half.
                                                Comment
                                                • Cap dat 4ss
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 10-11-10
                                                  • 3665

                                                  #25
                                                  My best advice, don't fade them this year. They are locked in and focused. Thats really scary considering the amount of talent they have.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TheThreeKings
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 08-14-10
                                                    • 506

                                                    #26
                                                    If you think its going to be this simple or that this is a unique thought you are in for a rude awakening. You have to pick your spots with the heat, just like every other team.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ProfaneReality
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-14-09
                                                      • 7607

                                                      #27
                                                      they dont have much outside the big 2 and a half. When your centers are Joel Anthony and Ilguaskus you are going to get worked inside.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dreamjob
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-21-09
                                                        • 1963

                                                        #28
                                                        I like the first quarter theory. I think the heat should come out strong. I dunno but def something to keep an eye on
                                                        Comment
                                                        • the h man
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-14-10
                                                          • 145

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ukbro00
                                                          The heat need to win this game much more than the Celtics do. The three of them will do anything not to lose.
                                                          Its the first game of the season... its not THAT important.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Cap dat 4ss
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 10-11-10
                                                            • 3665

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ProfaneReality
                                                            they dont have much outside the big 2 and a half. When your centers are Joel Anthony and Ilguaskus you are going to get worked inside.
                                                            Really? 06-07 Cavs go the finals only to get swept by the team of the Decade. 07-08 they make it into the 2nd round. 08-09 they go 39-2 @ home, win 8 str8 playoff games by 10+ and make it to the East. Conf. Finals ALL WITH ILGAUSKUS as the big man. Doesn't sound like a team that got worked inside.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nosniboR11
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-02-08
                                                              • 10042

                                                              #31
                                                              i love it when kids give advice, flat out loveit,lol
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Cap dat 4ss
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 10-11-10
                                                                • 3665

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by nosniboR11
                                                                i love it when kids give advice, flat out loveit,lol
                                                                If it's between Brock and the kid, I'm going with the kid
                                                                Comment
                                                                • agharah1
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-07-10
                                                                  • 2304

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I think they thing to remember is that the Heat might be the most hyped superteam in the league, they're not the only superteam. Boston has added quite a bit although they are older and prone to dogging in the regular season. Before LeBron and Chris Bosh joined Dwayne Wade's team (and it is *his* team), there was Kobe/Pau/Ron Artest.

                                                                  If anything, I'd bet the over. This team looks like they're going to want to run and can score on anyone and they're not going to be too keen on defense. They might not exactly be the Warriors, but averaging 100+ per game shouldn't be that difficult.
                                                                  Comment
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