lines went from 192 and 192.5 to 191.5 across the board all since this play has been posted. any thoughts?
Granger not playing is why.
Comment
aznjeff07
SBR MVP
05-22-09
1295
#3503
the report of him being doubtful has bene out for a bit..don't relaly thing that has anything to do with it
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3504
Originally posted by daneault23
Hmm Indiana and Chicago have combined for 14 overs and 29 unders this year. That's 67% of the time the game goes under
In the previous five meetings between these two teams in chicago the total number of points have been 230,199,218,195 & 209,Add to that the two out of the three refrees officiating tonight namely Jason Phillips ( 13/6) in favor of the over with a 7-2 record in favor of the over when the line has been set between 185-194.5 Points.The other one being Ron Garretson who has a 8/12 over under record but is 2/0 when the line is set between 185-194.5 points.At the end of the day this is all statistical data,but my play is instinctive as well.Good luck
Comment
tqpolo
SBR Hustler
10-08-10
76
#3505
Lc,
whats your angle on Utah/GSW and Dallas/Mil over?
Comment
demens
SBR MVP
10-22-10
2785
#3506
Originally posted by aznjeff07
the report of him being doubtful has bene out for a bit..don't relaly thing that has anything to do with it
Yeah, it was LCs play that moved the line...in the wrong direction.
The report of him being doubtful doesn't matter.
The report of him being OUT is what matters. And that came out around 6-11pm, by 6-24pm the total was dropping everywhere.
So it has EVERYTHING to do with it.
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3507
Originally posted by tqpolo
Lc, whats your angle on Utah/GSW and Dallas/Mil over?
Jazz and the warriors have been involved in two relatively low scoring previous meetings where one game combined to yield just 163 points where the line was set at O/u 223.5 and the other one yielding 197 combined points where the total was set at O/U 231.The point to note here is that both of these games were played at golden state.In the Previous Five meetings between these two at Utah,the games have totaled 232,226,233,228 & 243 Points respectively.I think Utah will come out strong tonight and this game will see a lot of points scored.Utah will score more than their share and the warriors should do their bit to cash this for us.Good luck!
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3508
Originally posted by demens
Yeah, it was LCs play that moved the line...in the wrong direction. The report of him being doubtful doesn't matter. The report of him being OUT is what matters. And that came out around 6-11pm, by 6-24pm the total was dropping everywhere. So it has EVERYTHING to do with it.
Yes,granger is out for this game and the Books did know that beforehand,the line opened at 190.5,Moved to 192 and from where i see,it has finally settled at 191.5 points.If Granger being out makes so much of a difference here,then the line would almost certainly drop down a couple of points below where it opened.I don't think they would move it half a point because of granger not playing,Makes absolutely No sense.
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3509
Originally posted by demens
Yeah, it was LCs play that moved the line...in the wrong direction. The report of him being doubtful doesn't matter. The report of him being OUT is what matters. And that came out around 6-11pm, by 6-24pm the total was dropping everywhere. So it has EVERYTHING to do with it.
None of the Books have moved the line back to what it originally opened.Covers has it at 191.5,alongside beted,betus,sbg global,5 dimes,betfair.Sportsinteraction has it at 192 and mirage casino has it at 192.5 !!
Comment
aznjeff07
SBR MVP
05-22-09
1295
#3510
Originally posted by Laker_crazy
Yes,granger is out for this game and the Books did know that beforehand,the line opened at 190.5,Moved to 192 and from where i see,it has finally settled at 191.5 points.If Granger being out makes so much of a difference here,then the line would almost certainly drop down a couple of points below where it opened.I don't think they would move it half a point because of granger not playing,Makes absolutely No sense.
perfect answer.
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3511
Originally posted by aznjeff07
perfect answer.
,At the end of the day we are cappers,we use our knowledge,our system,or whatever gives us insights on setting our plays,but at the end of the day the players have to go out and play.I have always stood by my picks be it winners/losers like other cappers,i have my share of the win/loss,but then one has to take them in their stride in order to benefit long term from gambling.Good luck tonight mate!
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3512
Let The Action Begin
Comment
aznjeff07
SBR MVP
05-22-09
1295
#3513
You too. think i'm going to tail the over play although a only see a slight edge from my perspective.
Comment
maxcraft
SBR Wise Guy
11-15-10
680
#3514
I hope the scoring in IND-CHI catch-up.. OT for sure over..
Comment
ukbsktbll
SBR MVP
11-25-09
2048
#3515
Def low scoring
Comment
wilfor1
SBR High Roller
09-06-10
129
#3516
In runnin the pacers total is now 165.5 so were goin to need a couple of ot to get this up
Comment
aznjeff07
SBR MVP
05-22-09
1295
#3517
I hope i'm wrong, but it's over. onto another game
Comment
Zwer23
SBR Sharp
06-22-10
465
#3518
Originally posted by Laker_crazy
Good Luck on that mate,As i said earlier,this too shall pass,been in this trade too long now to bother about these losses,they will eventually even out if you are good in the long run.Good luck!
It's not like i said i fade you...but GL anyway, and today Chi-Ind pick, Utah over too, going down, continuing to go on a bad bad bad skid with wrong side of the bet...maybe i really should fade
dont take this as an offence )
Comment
maxcraft
SBR Wise Guy
11-15-10
680
#3519
IND - CHI will go to OT..
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3520
Originally posted by Zwer23
It's not like i said i fade you...but GL anyway, and today Chi-Ind pick, Utah over too, going down, continuing to go on a bad bad bad skid with wrong side of the bet...maybe i really should fade dont take this as an offence )
The Night Ain't Over till It's over mate.As i mentioned earlier,These picks have made me money over the past so there is no reason for me to get worried,even after a bad bad bad skid that you put me on,i am up a few units so ya i am playing with what i won from the books,my bankroll still stands untouched,anyway good luck on the fade :-),Cheers!
Comment
Zwer23
SBR Sharp
06-22-10
465
#3521
Originally posted by maxcraft
IND - CHI will go to OT..
2OT needed XD
Comment
ukbsktbll
SBR MVP
11-25-09
2048
#3522
OT is the only chance for an over, may need two OTs
Comment
Zwer23
SBR Sharp
06-22-10
465
#3523
Originally posted by Laker_crazy
The Night Ain't Over till It's over mate.As i mentioned earlier,These picks have made me money over the past so there is no reason for me to get worried,even after a bad bad bad skid that you put me on,i am up a few units so ya i am playing with what i won from the books,my bankroll still stands untouched,anyway good luck on the fade :-),Cheers!
nah...i'm not a fader, and I make my own picks, gonna stick to that! Got burned again by picking Ind over coz i saw your big bet on that, and my capping was slightly on over side, i thought of not touching that, but followed, grrrrr
yeah, i know your bankroll isn't touched, but is major tuched to those who started to follow you late, like me, from 22.11.2010, since then, it was downhill big time...well, i wish u to get back on track and start winning again, GL!
I'm around 20 units down following you, but luckly, I am 22 units up from my picks past 2 weeks so I'm on a 2 units profit
Comment
demens
SBR MVP
10-22-10
2785
#3524
Originally posted by Laker_crazy
None of the Books have moved the line back to what it originally opened.Covers has it at 191.5,alongside beted,betus,sbg global,5 dimes,betfair.Sportsinteraction has it at 192 and mirage casino has it at 192.5 !!
Maybe you're right.
I think the books knew there was a strong possibility Granger wont play when the line came out. People/Money moved it a few points during the day, but once news on Granger became official and open to the public the line moved down.
I dont understand the significance of the line not moving under what it started so that didnt even cross my mind. But its good info, will pay more attention to it from now on.
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3525
Only 23 points scored in the 4th quarter in the heat vs Hornets Game....Ridiculous.....WTF is going on with these games !
Comment
southpaw74
SBR Hall of Famer
12-21-09
7104
#3526
Lots of unders these days. Players can't make jumpers and not many are running much so clocks are getting used...even golden state doesn't score much anymore.
Comment
demens
SBR MVP
10-22-10
2785
#3527
The overs are inflated as hell. Someone already posted what Indy and Chi are on the O/U, i didn't realize how bad that was until i saw the rest of the teams. They are 2 of the worst. GS right there with them too.
Comment
Zwer23
SBR Sharp
06-22-10
465
#3528
GSW is an big big Under team this year, like Indiana, just dont get it why LC is all over Overs on their games :S :S :S
Saved my ass today with this over for Ind-Chi with in-game bet for Under
Comment
Hammondr
SBR High Roller
11-25-09
155
#3529
I know how you feel i am really thinking about only betting odds or evens now
Comment
wilfor1
SBR High Roller
09-06-10
129
#3530
Guys, I'm out for a while. I have dropped 26units alone since Friday so as far as I can see were in free fall. The units also appear to b goin up but the results are just gettin worse. The 5 unit play tonight never threatened from tip off and for me were on a slippery slope to goin completely bust. All the best for the future.
Comment
ManBearPig
SBR MVP
12-04-08
2473
#3531
two teams scored 9 pts in a quarter tonight...really I've seen a JV girls team score more.
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3532
Been On A Terrible Run off Late,I have been capping games with the same intensity as i always have,not looking for excuses,i have always taken my losses chin up,but the way the NBA is panning out is really weird.I have filtered my system once which worked for a while,i guess i need to make a few changes,apologies for letting a few of you down who started tailing me late,For others ,well you guys know everything,so i won't say much.Will be capping for the next week and see how it goes before i decide whether i should really take a break till new year's .Good luck everyone.
LC
Comment
Laker_crazy
Restricted User
02-08-09
9669
#3533
Hello Everyone,
Let Us Recap Last Night i.e 13/12/2010
We Had 6 Plays Worth 15 Units At Stake:
Our Plays Went 2-4 ( Adding a Loss of 7.10 Units to Our Bankroll)
Cheers,
Laker_crazy
My Updated NBA Season Record 2010-11 : ( 212 -173-3) ( 26.53 UNITS - 7.10 UNITS = + 19.43 UNITS)
Point Spreads ( 37-44-1) ( -13.89 UNITS)
Game Totals ( 87-63-0) : ( + 30.42 UNITS) { Record Updated Till 13/12/2010
Team Totals ( 67-46-1): ( + 13.39 UNITS)
Quarter lines ( 2-1-0): ( + 2.60 UNITS))
Half Lines ( 4-5-0) : ( -0.97 UNITS)
Player Performances ( 12-12-0) : ( + 1.30 UNITS)
Punjabi Tadka Special Plays ( 1-1-0) ( + 2.20 Units)
Comment
memo99
SBR MVP
01-08-10
2368
#3534
you'll be fine LC just a bump in the road
Comment
necro
SBR MVP
06-07-09
1633
#3535
don't get me wrong but i have just good intention=> lower your # of plays to max. 2-3 per day and you will be fine
no one can beat bookies in long run when playing 5-10 games on night....