Originally posted by necro
Fully're right!
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Fully're right!
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im with you too.Originally posted by necro
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Bad runs are part of the gambling world. So we'll hope for the better days
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The number of unders hitting just in the past week have been around 65% (above 55% for the month I believe)...so if you played every game as an under you made money. You can't really cap that...games that are the right play are screwing people's hard work up. LC know the game...there are lulls in the season and I think this is one of them. Teams aren't just playing real well as I don't think they are totally in season shape. The wear of the travel and B2B's is taking it's toll so teams are under performing. Just look at some of the shooting %'s lately, these are professionals and most can can shoot 45% in their sleep...except when they're tired. I would ease up until after the new year when things may start to normalize once again. There's money to be made in CBB and the bowl games so this is a good opportunity to take advantage.Comment -
I asked about the # of plays before, he says thats his style and thats how he does.
I think he needs to adjust alittle to whats happening in the NBA this year. I'm sure his system has been brilliant in the past, he knows his stuff and it works. But when you hit a bad streak like that you may need to adjust.
He said no more spreads, then went on to play more and more spreads for like 3 days before finally stopping. I think it would be beneficially to open the plays up for discussion too. Nothing wrong with changing it if maybe there is something you overlooked. There have been guys that pointed out some valueable info on a few picks in recent days. Like the guy who talked about Ind/Chi hitting under like 60% of the time. Same with GS. Those 2 games of Miami vs a bad team on the road were bad calls imo, knowing the team has been on a blow out streak playing the OVER wasn't the right call. And like bear said, lately there has been a shitload of UNDERs yet most of the plays are OVER so of course they are not hitting. I also dont think playing the OVERs in games where stars are missing is smart, and theres been a few of those lately too (Granger/Curry yesterday for example). I get how a team missing a star can cover a spread sometimes, the team might play more together, tougher and so on, but i dont see how they score enough points to go OVER when a 25ppg guy is out.Comment -
Good luck today LC!!
I good wave will come to you!Comment -
Some things that I have noticed that might be beneficial:
1. Blowouts are almost always going under. Teams that have big spreads (Mia, Dal, Lakers at home etc) when win in blowouts often times the games go under.
2. GS, Chicago, Indiana, are all under teams thus far. It looks like books are baiting ppl to believe that GS of this year is same as last year and score in bunches and don't play D. That's not true. This year they have a new coach who is more focused on Defense and possession of the ball and slows the game down. Especially when Jeremy Lin comes in at PG for the Warriors he doesn't run at all, so yea GS has been an under machine.
I'll look at some numbers in a bit, but yeah I think perhaps reducing the units and or plays for a bit might be better than playing the usual amount of plays.
LC I trust you that you know what you are doing, but sometimes numbers>instinct/gut.
Hope it gets turned around tonight
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From ******************, first column is ATS W/L O/U Points For Points Against Differential
1covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404288.html 17-7-116-913-12108.5106.62.02covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404302.html 15-7-120-313-10106.496.510.03covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404083.html 15-7-18-159-1498.097.70.34covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404198.html 14-8-115-87-1699.796.33.35covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404047.html 14-8-219-512-1298.893.05.76covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404031.html 15-10-118-813-13101.397.34.07covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404169.html 13-9-119-413-10100.791.09.78covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404049.html 14-10-111-1411-1499.6100.9-1.39covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404330.html 13-10-19-1513-11102.9105.5-2.610covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404155.html 12-10-111-127-1698.597.21.311covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404137.html 12-11-09-149-14104.9104.90.012covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404153.html 13-12-07-1812-1394.4100.8-6.513covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team403993.html 12-11-212-1310-1493.994.6-0.714covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404117.html 12-12-06-1811-1293.399.1-5.815covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404171.html 13-13-018-812-14100.891.09.816covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404101.html 11-12-114-106-1893.292.01.217covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404316.html 12-13-017-816-9103.2101.91.318covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team664421.html 10-11-28-1511-1293.697.0-3.419covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404135.html 12-13-05-2010-1495.8101.7-5.920covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404085.html 11-14-016-911-1498.896.12.721covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404119.html 10-13-18-168-16100.4107.0-6.622covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team403977.html 10-14-017-710-14106.498.67.823covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404029.html 9-13-111-1213-10108.1109.5-1.424covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team403995.html 10-14-06-1812-12101.8109.1-7.425covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404067.html 9-13-06-1613-998.0106.3-8.426covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404011.html 8-13-210-1310-1392.093.2-1.227covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404013.html 9-15-016-810-1397.091.95.128covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404213.html 9-15-07-1712-1293.2102.9-9.729covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team404065.html 7-14-214-910-13106.7104.91.830covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/team403975.html 6-15-05-169-1294.4101.1-6.8Comment -
aww sh*t that didn't work out. Hmm maybe I'll try to add the pic instead of copying it.Comment -
Thanks for the advice fellas,i will see what changes i need to make if any.Going to start capping now,Let us hope for a good rebound night.
LCComment -
[IMG]http://www.******************/n_input/nnweb/scores/header_nba_ats_rankings.htm[/IMG]Comment -
I don't think you can post a website link on here mate.Originally posted by daneault23Comment -
Lol, I see that. How do you add an image? I tried putting in the link where it says to add image, but that didn't workOriginally posted by Laker_crazyComment -
better luck tonight mate
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GL Laker Crazy!Comment -
I Think The Nets will end their 7 game losing streak tonight against a hot 76ers team who has won 6 out of their last 8.Comment -
Well since I don't know how to add an image, I'll just point out the most important stuff. Most notably, the unders have been killing it this season. Out of all 30 teams, only OKC (16-9), WAS (13-9), SAS (13-10), BOS (13-10), PHX (13-10), TOR (13-11), and NYK (13-12) have winning records of overs vs unders. All other teams either have .500 records vs overs and unders, or are well below that. Some outliers are NO (6-18), CHI (7-16), IND (7-16), GS (8-16), PHI (9-14), and HOU (9-14). All these teams have been going under a lot this season.
Also, NYK are (17-7) ATS and are #1 in that category. Spurs and Philly are close second. On the other side, Kings are worse ATS (6-15), followed by Denver, Cleveland, and Orlando.
Just thought I would throw out that info.Comment -
Try maybe the "code" thing, it aligns stuff sometimes.Originally posted by daneault23Comment -
time to get back what we lost so far. BOLComment -
Originally posted by daneault23
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Liking The Lakers -3 for the 1st quarter,I think the lakers get themselves together tonight.Comment -
What "code" thing? I see an "insert link", "insert image" and that's about it. However, I guess I could add it as an attachmentOriginally posted by demens
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To add a pic you can use insert imagine and then paste the link to the pic in the box that comes up. Or attach.Originally posted by daneault23What "code" thing? I see an "insert link", "insert image" and that's about it. However, I guess I could add it as an attachment
"code" is the next one over looksl like #Comment -
Lets have a bounce back tonight LCComment -
Agree. The Nets are playing better than the last year.Originally posted by Laker_crazy
Good luck tonight!Comment -
For the First time in a long time,I don't like any Over in the card tonight except the bobcats TT to score over 104.Posting my plays now.Good luckComment -
I think thats good news. Lets get some UNDERS.Comment -
LAKER_CRAZY'S SIX PACK FOR TONIGHT ( 14/12/2010)
( ALL 2 UNIT PLAYS)
1) New Jersey Nets Vs Philadelphia 76ers ( Pick New Jersey Nets + 1.5 @ -110) ( lost)
2) LA Lakers vs Washington Wizards ( Pick LA Lakers 1st Quarter -3 @ -110) ( lost)
3) Atlanta Hawks Vs Detroit Pistons ( Pick Game Totals Under 187 @ -110) ( WON)
4) LA Lakers vs Washington Wizards ( Pick Game Totals Under 203.5 @ -110) ( WON)
5) Detroit Pistons Vs Atlanta Hawks ( Pick Detroit Pistons + 4.5 @ -110) ( WON)
6) Charlotte Bobcats vs Toronto Raptors ( Pick Charlotte Bobcats Team Totals Over 104 @ -120) (Lost)
Cheers,
Laker_crazy
My Updated NBA Season Record 2010-11 : ( 212 -173-3) ( 26.53 UNITS - 7.10 UNITS = + 19.43 UNITS)
Point Spreads ( 37-44-1) ( -13.89 UNITS)
Game Totals ( 87-63-0) : ( + 30.42 UNITS) { Record Updated Till 13/12/2010
Team Totals ( 67-46-1): ( + 13.39 UNITS)
Quarter lines ( 2-1-0): ( + 2.60 UNITS))
Half Lines ( 4-5-0) : ( -0.97 UNITS)
Player Performances ( 12-12-0) : ( + 1.30 UNITS)
Punjabi Tadka Special Plays ( 1-1-0) ( + 2.20 Units)Comment -
Played two on the card tonight,Not touching any O/U at least tonight.Lets get them!Originally posted by demensComment -
I'm feeling like a sharp tonight.
Got 3 dogs and 3 unders.
With you on the Nets. My team, have not bet on them (at least not in their favor since like the 1st day of the season), feel good about this spot for a win.Comment -
I think this is a good spot to take the nets.The 76ers have been able to bring it together by winning the last 6 of the 8 games,and the nets are on a 7 game losing skid.However,they did keep it close against the lakers and had they been able to play a little better in the last few minutes,they could have had an outright winner there.I have a feeling the nets will bring it together and take it to the 76ers tonight.Originally posted by demensI'm feeling like a sharp tonight.Got 3 dogs and 3 unders. With you on the Nets. My team, have not bet on them (at least not in their favor since like the 1st day of the season), feel good about this spot for a win.Comment -
LC, I am confused. Did you actually bet on all 6 plays you released? Or did you just bet on two of them? Thanks and keep up the hard work!Originally posted by Laker_crazyComment -
Philly is also 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games. I really hate to go against the trend since you'll only be right once. Detroit is really terrible lately. You vowed them off multiple times. I think Atl will take this one, they are a good road team. What's your angle on Detroit?Comment -
Will Al Holford play tonight?Comment -
Originally posted by mikief87Yes Mate,I only post plays that i bet on,I meant that i don't like any overs on the card tonight,but have bet just a few unders,staying away from the rest.Good luck!
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