nba season picks

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  • BL
    SBR MVP
    • 05-11-09
    • 4070

    #2661
    Originally posted by No coincidences
    Tonight was a classic lesson in why the 5.5 home dog is always your friend. It doesn't hit every time, but it's a very profitable long-term venture in a field full of landmines. Also, I hammered both late-night unders. A lot of RLM for both games. When Pinny hung a 211 for GS/DAL and almost every other book was at 212, I knew it was a big play waiting in the wings. Public got absolutely torched on both the home dogs and the unders tonight to finish things off.
    nice call on those unders nocoin! way to go. I actually made a small 100Euro livebet on Clippers ML at +265 when they were down by 4 in the 3rd
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #2662
      Originally posted by BL
      nice call on those unders nocoin! way to go. I actually made a small 100Euro livebet on Clippers ML at +265 when they were down by 4 in the 3rd
      Thanks.

      LAC played like zombies early, but I had a feeling OKC would hit a wall down the stretch.

      Two unders I love for Sunday:

      ATL/HOU under 200.5
      LAL/DEN under 202.5
      Comment
      • Ambrucio
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-01-11
        • 201

        #2663
        Originally posted by BL
        we have this Eurohoopz play from Germany pending for Sunday
        I'm believing you, taked it big also.
        Comment
        • agrippa
          SBR Hustler
          • 02-09-11
          • 64

          #2664
          No Coincidences, do you have a thread too with your picks and record? Should be interesting.
          Comment
          • rafa martin
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-15-10
            • 256

            #2665
            thanks for yr advises and knowledge bl,, the german play, together with español to win today are my last bets,,, i quit gambling for a while,,, too much variance,,,, i do not profit,,, i even lose a lot of money in hoops, and guess that like you,, stay up all night, just to watch those idiots ruin our bets night after night,, i did not see yr last hour bets, so all my hope was in the under, when i went to bed we have a cushion of 14 points,,,, this morning once i checked,, too bad another loss..... this happens to me so often, that i just realized that you just follow one guy,, or our destiny is to lose, i will keep an eye in yr thread without gambling, and if return i wish i have the balls to only follow you,not 20 people, like most of us do(bl you are the best) not by a small margin, by a large one,,,,,but nowdays in hoops is so damn difficult to profit.........i forecast a very strange playoofs just like in college hoops, at times i think if some games are fixed, but this is too exhausting for the money got in return,, all night up,,,, i quit fellows. go back to the stock market, won't win either but will sleep better thanks for your work and effort bl..do anyone really win money betting hoops? i do not believe,,
            Comment
            • BL
              SBR MVP
              • 05-11-09
              • 4070

              #2666
              NBA SEASON 187-137 (57,72%) +69,7 units

              Comment
              • BL
                SBR MVP
                • 05-11-09
                • 4070

                #2667
                rafa martin I hear you. I think you are right when u saying it's really hard to win when u are tailing more guys. If not making your own plays it should be the best to only follow one guy you trust. If you follow different cappers you get plays from different capping angles what is way harder to make profit off on the long run.
                Comment
                • GTS925
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-06-10
                  • 1158

                  #2668
                  What are your leans for tonight, BL?
                  Comment
                  • rafa martin
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-15-10
                    • 256

                    #2669
                    Originally posted by BL
                    rafa martin I hear you. I think you are right when u saying it's really hard to win when u are tailing more guys. If not making your own plays it should be the best to only follow one guy you trust. If you follow different cappers you get plays from different capping angles what is way harder to make profit off on the long run.
                    exactly said,,,, when get a nice run in totals.. then mess up with spreads from the other capper.... is not possible, also i normally flat bet, do not find this units system so attractive, so when i double my bet size,, also lose i only profit in soccer but is way less atractive, both to watch and bet...than hoops.....hope we cash the under german league,,, do you also stay up all night?. cause i am tired of this crap...i already make withdrawals from my bookies, if i return will follow you, there is not any other solution to profit, hopefully i will act like a true german, well disciplinated,, if you come to andalucia, let me know please,,, best of luck to all the good people in this thread..bol.
                    Comment
                    • michael_23
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 04-03-11
                      • 3

                      #2670
                      Hello BL, you are very good, I follow you for time. I am French and my schedule does not allow me to be the whole dawn dependent on the forum. Yesterday only I could take the first bet and other two me the to lose. My balance sheet like that was bad enough. For all that we follow you to seeing if you are capable of extracting a bit before in near times. Avenge phenomenon, an embrace!
                      Comment
                      • BigBurk
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-25-11
                        • 3785

                        #2671
                        I think what he is saying is that he can't stay up all night to await your plays and asks you to post them a bit earlier given the fact he is from Europe.

                        Looks like a google translator or such. lol
                        Comment
                        • GTS925
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-10
                          • 1158

                          #2672
                          Originally posted by BigBurk
                          I think what he is saying is that he can't stay up all night to await your plays and asks you to post them a bit earlier given the fact he is from Europe.

                          Looks like a google translator or such. lol
                          Comment
                          • goompirsin
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 07-19-10
                            • 237

                            #2673
                            Good luck with your picks.
                            Comment
                            • coilinsud9
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 07-22-10
                              • 215

                              #2674
                              I need other winners. Thank you, very good work
                              Comment
                              • mookie
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 03-20-11
                                • 7

                                #2675
                                I have same problem as m23. btw BL u r the best
                                Comment
                                • agrippa
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 02-09-11
                                  • 64

                                  #2676
                                  Originally posted by BigBurk
                                  I think what he is saying is that he can't stay up all night to await your plays and asks you to post them a bit earlier given the fact he is from Europe.

                                  Looks like a google translator or such. lol
                                  Yes but he is not French. Google-translated French would have never looked like that.
                                  Comment
                                  • agrippa
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 02-09-11
                                    • 64

                                    #2677
                                    Originally posted by rafa martin
                                    exactly said,,,, when get a nice run in totals.. then mess up with spreads from the other capper.... is not possible, also i normally flat bet, do not find this units system so attractive, so when i double my bet size,, also lose i only profit in soccer but is way less atractive, both to watch and bet...than hoops.....hope we cash the under german league,,, do you also stay up all night?. cause i am tired of this crap...i already make withdrawals from my bookies, if i return will follow you, there is not any other solution to profit, hopefully i will act like a true german, well disciplinated,, if you come to andalucia, let me know please,,, best of luck to all the good people in this thread..bol.
                                    I had a benefit of 90 units last month following 8 tipsters. It can be done. You just need a good strategy, and to be careful with your money management. If you follow 8 guys, it's obvious you can't match their stakes, you have to bet flat a small unit with some of them, divide other's unit by some bigger or smaller factor (depending on hit rate but also number of picks per day average), and so on, but it can be done and it has been done.
                                    Comment
                                    • BL
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-11-09
                                      • 4070

                                      #2678
                                      I had a lot of freetime last days that's why I posted some plays late and stayed up the nights. In the future I will post my plays early again so there won't be need to stay up all night long. Getting in the bets, going to sleep and checking the account the next morning

                                      On a sidenote: Will have limited online time from April 13th till April 26th because I'll be in Mexico. But will post every play I make during that time in here of course
                                      Comment
                                      • aussieH
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-04-11
                                        • 1188

                                        #2679
                                        Thanks bl that would be great. Do you expect playoff series to be profitable
                                        Comment
                                        • BL
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-11-09
                                          • 4070

                                          #2680
                                          Originally posted by aussieH
                                          Thanks bl that would be great. Do you expect playoff series to be profitable
                                          playoffs are great for profit! the lines usually are very sharp so I will buy 3 points from time to time on spreads. Has been very profitable over the last years.
                                          Comment
                                          • BL
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-11-09
                                            • 4070

                                            #2681
                                            Today I am starting with a bet on the Nuggets/Lakers game.

                                            Nuggets/Lakers UNDER 201,5 (2x)
                                            Playoff preview here. I won't mess with the spread but the total. This one stands out to me as Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Both teams are on 1 day rest. Nuggets are 5-1 for the under in that spot, Lakers 38-15.
                                            Todays referees are combined 13-35 for the o/u on totals between 195 and 204.5 points.
                                            Comment
                                            • agrippa
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 02-09-11
                                              • 64

                                              #2682
                                              Thank you BL. Let's cash that one.
                                              Comment
                                              • GTS925
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 11-06-10
                                                • 1158

                                                #2683
                                                BL, do you have leans on some spreads?
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #2684
                                                  Love the Lakers under play BL. Just worried the value got sucked out of it after opening at 204.5 and reopening at 202.5. I'm all over it regardless. Right now, all the line movement, trends and refs all point under here. Let's cash this ticket! Good luck!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BL
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-11-09
                                                    • 4070

                                                    #2685
                                                    SA Spurs -10 -120 (1x)
                                                    I am playing the Spurs in the early game. I do expect their team chemistry being back for good now after all those player rotations in the last matches. Coming off an OT loss they should be highly motivated especially with Lakers looking to get #1 seed. Nash and Pietrus are still out for the Suns.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Ambrucio
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 02-01-11
                                                      • 201

                                                      #2686
                                                      Two hours remaining before Gottingen game. BL, you are strong believing on that under?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BL
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-11-09
                                                        • 4070

                                                        #2687
                                                        Originally posted by Ambrucio
                                                        Two hours remaining before Gottingen game. BL, you are strong believing on that under?
                                                        I like it a lot actually. 3 units on a German bbl game is a lot of money for me. usually bet this league 1x each play.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Aubsdad
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 09-20-09
                                                          • 131

                                                          #2688
                                                          Originally posted by BL
                                                          rafa martin I hear you. I think you are right when u saying it's really hard to win when u are tailing more guys. If not making your own plays it should be the best to only follow one guy you trust. If you follow different cappers you get plays from different capping angles what is way harder to make profit off on the long run.
                                                          Agree 2000% !! Been there , done that. And this is the place for NBA !
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mookie
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 03-20-11
                                                            • 7

                                                            #2689
                                                            Do u have link to livescore Germany bbl?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • agrippa
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 02-09-11
                                                              • 64

                                                              #2690
                                                              Originally posted by mookie
                                                              Do u have link to livescore Germany bbl?
                                                              livescore.com/basketball
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mookie
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 03-20-11
                                                                • 7

                                                                #2691
                                                                thanks agrippa
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Rolo1984
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 02-16-11
                                                                  • 204

                                                                  #2692
                                                                  Originally posted by BL
                                                                  rafa martin I hear you. I think you are right when u saying it's really hard to win when u are tailing more guys. If not making your own plays it should be the best to only follow one guy you trust. If you follow different cappers you get plays from different capping angles what is way harder to make profit off on the long run.

                                                                  Mm..dont agree with you. For me in soccer I make my own plays since that is my expertise. In American sports I look at people who have sound reasoning behind their picks. The thing is you can follow multiple cappers. The problem is indentifying a profitable one. There arent many of them. So the problem is not following multiple cappers. The problem is following cappers who arent profitable. Personally, I follow you mostly and keep an eye on SJ for example. But less on him since he is not that profitable. In european baskbetall i start following a guy from blogabet. Since the guy has an ROi of 9% over 800 bets.

                                                                  You just have to be sure about a guy being profitable in the long run. But people just like to bet

                                                                  Anyway man thanks for your effort
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dude_bg
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 09-01-10
                                                                    • 376

                                                                    #2693
                                                                    BL do you think it is a wise idea to try to get better line live on the Suns game, i mean if Suns make some short 4-5 point run, there might be a line Spurs-7 or 8
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • agrippa
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 02-09-11
                                                                      • 64

                                                                      #2694
                                                                      Originally posted by Rolo1984
                                                                      Mm..dont agree with you. For me in soccer I make my own plays since that is my expertise. In American sports I look at people who have sound reasoning behind their picks. The thing is you can follow multiple cappers. The problem is indentifying a profitable one. There arent many of them. So the problem is not following multiple cappers. The problem is following cappers who arent profitable. Personally, I follow you mostly and keep an eye on SJ for example. But less on him since he is not that profitable. In european baskbetall i start following a guy from blogabet. Since the guy has an ROi of 9% over 800 bets.

                                                                      You just have to be sure about a guy being profitable in the long run. But people just like to bet

                                                                      Anyway man thanks for your effort
                                                                      The blogabet guy is especially good in Spanish basketball perhaps?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Ambrucio
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 02-01-11
                                                                        • 201

                                                                        #2695
                                                                        Gottingen total now is 149.5 @ bet365.
                                                                        Comment
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