~2010-2011 NBA Plays~

**gv12** · 12-28-10, 06:24 PM

good luck tonight guys

**Dexter** · 12-28-10, 09:39 PM

nice to be on this orlando streak....thats 4 in a row ATS.

now we just need the autobets to hit

**Dexter** · 12-28-10, 09:57 PM

hang in there NY!!!!

**gv12** · 12-28-10, 09:58 PM

let's go Knicks!

**Dexter** · 12-28-10, 10:08 PM

wow.........the knicks just fouled down 8 with 17 seconds left

**gv12** · 12-28-10, 10:08 PM

damn Knicks suck at the free throw line

**Dexter** · 12-28-10, 10:09 PM

whew....for a minute i thought the game was rigged

**gv12** · 12-28-10, 10:11 PM

was not looking good for a while but the Knicks came through

**Dexter** · 12-28-10, 11:03 PM

Wed 12/29:

(2x) lakers -1.5

**fly fisher** · 12-28-10, 11:27 PM

how do you feel about the jazz at ~~-1.5~~ in LAC? I mean -2.5

I took them already for 1.5x

**Pauulzcappin** · 12-28-10, 11:31 PM

Dex I don't think it's time to take the lakeshow yet

**Dexter** · 12-28-10, 11:41 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

Dex I don't think it's time to take the lakeshow yet

maybe not but i couldnt pass up on the value of the lakers basically having to win vs an opponent they are superior over (on paper)...

its all about the twolves tomorrow anyway

**fly fisher** · 12-29-10, 12:01 AM

lakeshow seem to do well against any non-top tier teams. might be worth a try.

**Dexter** · 12-29-10, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by fly fisher

how do you feel about the jazz at ~~-1.5~~ in LAC? I mean -2.5

I took them already for 1.5x

im not crazy about it....looks like the classic road favorite trap to me...

not saying i would take the clips, but an easy stay away for me....GL though....early movement is with you

**Dexter** · 12-29-10, 12:13 AM

actually fly fisher, utahs avg margin of victory off a loss is pretty solid....this play looks pretty good but im likely going to make the pistons my 3rd play for wed

**gv12** · 12-29-10, 12:16 AM

good luck with your plays Dexter, I'm thinking about taking Detroit also

**No coincidences** · 12-29-10, 02:25 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Kobe will deliver the message himself. the lakers play well in sa always. the spurs are pretty undersized in the paint and the tougher rebounding teams like dallas and the hornets they have had close games.

betting against kobe after a humiliation on christmas day? no thanks. problems on tape are easily fixable, stagnant offense, and everyone trying to play outside their roles. i don't know i just would rather put my money in kobe's hands in this game after 2 embarassing losses at home.

**Goat Milk** · 12-29-10, 02:45 AM

lol quotes me but not lyons lengthy writeup

where is your thread no coin?

**No coincidences** · 12-29-10, 02:47 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

lol quotes me but not lyons lengthy writeup

where is your thread no coin?

I didn't see lyon's writeup.

I just like posting threads on individual plays for a given day -- better discussion that way.

**madworld** · 12-29-10, 04:06 AM

I like Utah -2.5 here. They are just too strong on the road and I believe the low number is a reflection of LA's good play as of late. I like LA in the 1st half and Utah -2.5. (Utah likes to come back on the road.)

**Wilforth** · 12-29-10, 11:02 AM

Heat/Rockets UNDER 199
Nets/Thunder OVER 197
Nets +10

**Dexter** · 12-29-10, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

Wed 12/29:

(2x) lakers -1.5

(10x) wolves -120 (A1)
(2x) pistons +6.5

**No coincidences** · 12-29-10, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

(10x) wolves -120 (A1)
(2x) pistons +6.5

Love it.

**ChicagoCover** · 12-29-10, 03:29 PM

MY INPUT ON THE BOSTON / DETROIT GAME

Line looks very tempting after Boston just beat Indiana by 12. But some ATS trends are pushing me away. Boston is 2-5 ATS after allowing 85 points or less. And 3-7 ATS after winning by 10 or more. As much as the Pistons suck, and we all expect Boston to win this with ease, Detroit is 8-2 ATS after allowing 105 points or more. Over at covers.com , Boston is getting 70% of the action for the spread. That scares me a little, with joe public pounding the C's after that big win last night. StarightWager pointed something out last night, saying word 4 word " the trend is teams that are on 2nd of b2b allow points and lose. " He has a good point, but when that situation came in for boston in the past, they came out and won the next game. I don't wanna lose money on the spread, so the ML is my play.

Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Central.
Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Celtics are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

Celtics are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Detroit.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

**Dexter** · 12-29-10, 05:46 PM

chicago cover - so who are you taking? celtics ML?

boston is 3-4 ats on btb this year...5-2 su.....but i'll bank on the btb affecting the elder celts with no rondo....the pistons have been playing really well lately and this is a lot of pts for a home dog.....

**Dexter** · 12-29-10, 10:29 PM

A1 just cant get it going...visions of the monster week wiped away....

still up 5units for the week in the nba even with that loss.....what could have been

**fly fisher** · 12-29-10, 10:40 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

A1 just cant get it going...visions of the monster week wiped away....

still up 5units for the week in the nba even with that loss.....what could have been

FWIW: It is a little late for me to say this, but one thing to add to your formulas, is that those of us who live up in the mountains at 4,000 to 5,000 feet, have a lot more endurance when we get to sea level. So while I was thinking that after last night Denver should be winded in the second half, I forgot about the lower elevation and higher oxygen content at lower elevations that provide an additional lift for those of us that go to lower elevations. I know this just from the fact that not being in my best shape can go to Southern Cal and be able to keep up with my younger cousins on the basketball court when I know I would be winded in the mountain valleys of Utah.

**fly fisher** · 12-29-10, 11:36 PM

going to use the same thinking on why I take the jazz 2nd half to win back my minny loss.

**Dexter** · 12-29-10, 11:49 PM

Originally posted by fly fisher

going to use the same thinking on why I take the jazz 2nd half to win back my minny loss.

sloan out of the locker room when down at the half....i like it.

utah -2 Q3 is the play...too bad i cant bet that

**mlb** · 12-30-10, 12:04 AM

that minny game was unreal ...

**curious** · 12-30-10, 02:05 AM

Hey Dexter,
Sorry that I am such a crackhead.

Today I switched to spreads, went 5-6 +5.5 units.

I had a day, I think maybe yesterday I was 6-2 and DOWN 16 units, if I had been using the spread I would have been up 8 units.

I am going to try spreads for a while.

**curious** · 12-30-10, 02:20 AM

Dexter,
In case it wasn't clear, the post above is an apology. Now you have to print this out and frame it because I am not known for apologizing much (or at all).

**Goat Milk** · 12-30-10, 02:47 AM

**7secondsOrLess** · 12-30-10, 03:55 AM

lol those MLs got you

**Dexter** · 12-30-10, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by curious

Dexter,
In case it wasn't clear, the post above is an apology. Now you have to print this out and frame it because I am not known for apologizing much (or at all).

Apologizes to you as well pal.....

Printed and Framed! lol