Beware: NBA Organization/Officials Should Favor Lakers Game 6

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  • bankjob
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-26-10
    • 234

    #1
    Beware: NBA Organization/Officials Should Favor Lakers Game 6
    Look, Tim Donaghy picks or not, facts are facts.

    The NBA as an organization really only breaks even if a series ends in Game 5. This is after advertising, salaried employees, etc. However, for a Game 6, they make millions upon millions NET. With that said, the Lakers at the beginning of this series most experts were calling for a sweep. They are clearly the better team with the more experienced coach. However, the Suns took games 3 and 4 allowing this series to have a guaranteed 6 games. Most people would salute that effort as the Suns being equal or closer to the Lakers talent, however I have a different take.

    The NBA sent in their henchmen to extend the series to a guaranteed Game 6 (Which is tonight). In fact, take a look at the free throw disparities in games 3 and 4:

    Game 3 at Phoenix:
    Lakers 7-13
    **Suns 22-32

    Game 4 at Phoenix:
    Lakers 16-20
    **Suns 37-42

    That's a combined 74-33 disparity in foul attempts! Coincidence?

    In Game 5 at LA, the disparity was only -6 to Phoenix as it made for a close game, but of course the Lakers pulled through.

    Now, with the above said, you would expect that in game 6 for the Suns to get all the calls again, especially on the home floor. BUT, consider the refs tonight are Foster, Kennedy, and Willard. Here is a look at their stats for the home team in the 0-4.5 spread range:

    Foster 6-10 ATS
    Kennedy 10-13 ATS
    Willard 6-8 ATS


    Folks, this is just a combined 22-31 ATS (41%) for the home team here. NOT FAVORING PHOENIX ANYMORE.

    Bottom line point, it looks like the NBA got their game 6. NOW, they have sent their henchmen in to guide this game and give the Lakers pivotal calls tonight that will affect the outcome. Don't know about you, but I don't want to be against the calls from the officials AND against Kobe and the zen master getting any type of points in this game.

    The hype machine Boston vs. LA finals will make the NBA more money than you can ever imagine. No need for a game 7 here in this series, too risky considering injuries and anything else could happen in a game 7. The NBA wants Lakers and Boston, you can believe it.

    I'm playing the Lakers tonight to close out, just like I played Boston last night. Good luck in whatever you do, just giving some insight here I believe will be crucial points to the outcome of this game.
  • tanner40
    SBR MVP
    • 03-24-10
    • 2129

    #2
    I was on Suns but I think I am going to change my mind. 2 game chase Lakers + the points if the loses big on Lakers ML game 7
    Comment
    • DODGERBLUES24
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-06-10
      • 297

      #3
      very good info thanks and good luck!
      Comment
      • Goat Milk
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-24-10
        • 25850

        #4
        You're clearly just looking at stats then because the Lakers took all pussy ass jump shots in game 3 and 4 while Amare demolished them inside. Kobe was barely even driving, just taking jump shots. Get your facts straight.
        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
        Comment
        • tanner40
          SBR MVP
          • 03-24-10
          • 2129

          #5
          Do you have the refs ATS stats when they reffed Lakers or Suns games?
          Comment
          • bankjob
            SBR High Roller
            • 05-26-10
            • 234

            #6
            Originally posted by Goat Milk
            You're clearly just looking at stats then because the Lakers took all pussy ass jump shots in game 3 and 4 while Amare demolished them inside. Kobe was barely even driving, just taking jump shots. Get your facts straight.
            I like the authoritative style here GM. However, I highly doubt you have ever played any sort of team basketball. Otherwise, you wouldn't make these ignorant statements.

            First off, anyone who has played the game of basketball at a team level knows how tough it is to adjust and drive on a 2/3 defense, especially with zero preparation. The Suns surprised them with the 2/3 zone defense and it's obvious the Lakers couldn't adjust in games 3 and 4. Kobe didn't drive, just tried to shoot around it.

            Additionally, with the foul disparity I have clearly recited above. Wouldn't you think the Lakers would be scared to even breathe on the Suns in games 3 and 4 knowing the refs are calling any and everything the way of the Suns. Again, anyone who has played team basketball would understand that with these types of disparities, defending a driving Amari Stoudemire tightly would result in a possible 3 point situation. Not sure if you noticed, but in game 5 Amari only had 19 points - back to earth when the FT disparity was close to even (-6 to the Suns).

            The Lakers were allowed to be more aggressive defensively and player better, tighter defense against the Suns without the fear of ill advised fouls being called.

            I suggest you do more research yourself before attacking a poster with ignoramus refutes.
            Comment
            • Scorpion
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-04-05
              • 7797

              #7
              All they have to do is call some bs personal fouls on Amare,...
              Comment
              • Baller85
                SBR Sharp
                • 03-21-10
                • 305

                #8
                very great observations
                Comment
                • bankjob
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 05-26-10
                  • 234

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Scorpion
                  All they have to do is call some bs personal fouls on Amare,...
                  Agreed, Amari gets a few quick fouls early, and it's to the bench. Just like Howard last night. It doesn't even have to be an obvious free throw disparity tonight in favor of LA. It just has to be at the right time to either shift momentum in a certain direction. It could be very subtle.

                  Think about it. The Suns needed a HUGE free throw disparity in games 3 and 4 to win. In game 5 they were -6 and still lost. Tonight, I expect the Lakers just to get a few more foul shot attempts, in the 4-7 range. Enough to keep everyone from believing it was fixed, but enough to not give the Suns a shot at winning this thing.
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by bankjob
                    I like the authoritative style here GM. However, I highly doubt you have ever played any sort of team basketball. Otherwise, you wouldn't make these ignorant statements.

                    First off, anyone who has played the game of basketball at a team level knows how tough it is to adjust and drive on a 2/3 defense, especially with zero preparation. The Suns surprised them with the 2/3 zone defense and it's obvious the Lakers couldn't adjust in games 3 and 4. Kobe didn't drive, just tried to shoot around it.

                    Additionally, with the foul disparity I have clearly recited above. Wouldn't you think the Lakers would be scared to even breathe on the Suns in games 3 and 4 knowing the refs are calling any and everything the way of the Suns. Again, anyone who has played team basketball would understand that with these types of disparities, defending a driving Amari Stoudemire tightly would result in a possible 3 point situation. Not sure if you noticed, but in game 5 Amari only had 19 points - back to earth when the FT disparity was close to even (-6 to the Suns).

                    The Lakers were allowed to be more aggressive defensively and player better, tighter defense against the Suns without the fear of ill advised fouls being called.

                    I suggest you do more research yourself before attacking a poster with ignoramus refutes.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      I still think it's very telling that the Suns were -3/3.5 at home for Game 3 when they were down 2-0 after getting beat twice by DD on the road -- now it's 3-2, they've won twice at home, they almost pulled off a miraculous comeback upset in LA, and they're only -1.5?

                      Comment
                      • jcygts6
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-05-09
                        • 3316

                        #12
                        gl on your lakers bet today bankjob! I like your insight
                        DO WORK + KROW OD
                        do work! do work! do work! do work!
                        od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                        Comment
                        • zigomanisinsider
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-28-09
                          • 4007

                          #13
                          suns will win
                          Comment
                          • BettingWorld
                            Restricted User
                            • 05-29-10
                            • 32

                            #14
                            i like the suns
                            Comment
                            • fatty mcgoo
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 04-23-10
                              • 205

                              #15
                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                              I still think it's very telling that the Suns were -3/3.5 at home for Game 3 when they were down 2-0 after getting beat twice by DD on the road -- now it's 3-2, they've won twice at home, they almost pulled off a miraculous comeback upset in LA, and they're only -1.5?
                              Coin I feel the same way you did on this in fact I think it is similar to the Thunder series, I wrote a thread about that, but anyways I think that the Lakeshow closes it out tonight and gets the hype going for the finals.
                              Comment
                              • bankjob
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 05-26-10
                                • 234

                                #16
                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                I still think it's very telling that the Suns were -3/3.5 at home for Game 3 when they were down 2-0 after getting beat twice by DD on the road -- now it's 3-2, they've won twice at home, they almost pulled off a miraculous comeback upset in LA, and they're only -1.5?


                                Great point! Should be in the 3-4 range for sure.
                                Comment
                                • bankjob
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 05-26-10
                                  • 234

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by jcygts6
                                  gl on your lakers bet today bankjob! I like your insight
                                  Comment
                                  • fatty mcgoo
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 04-23-10
                                    • 205

                                    #18
                                    lets go Lakeshow and get it done tonight
                                    Comment
                                    • Goat Milk
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-24-10
                                      • 25850

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by bankjob

                                      I like the authoritative style here GM. However, I highly doubt you have ever played any sort of team basketball. Otherwise, you wouldn't make these ignorant statements.

                                      First off, anyone who has played the game of basketball at a team level knows how tough it is to adjust and drive on a 2/3 defense, especially with zero preparation. The Suns surprised them with the 2/3 zone defense and it's obvious the Lakers couldn't adjust in games 3 and 4. Kobe didn't drive, just tried to shoot around it.

                                      Additionally, with the foul disparity I have clearly recited above. Wouldn't you think the Lakers would be scared to even breathe on the Suns in games 3 and 4 knowing the refs are calling any and everything the way of the Suns. Again, anyone who has played team basketball would understand that with these types of disparities, defending a driving Amari Stoudemire tightly would result in a possible 3 point situation. Not sure if you noticed, but in game 5 Amari only had 19 points - back to earth when the FT disparity was close to even (-6 to the Suns).

                                      The Lakers were allowed to be more aggressive defensively and player better, tighter defense against the Suns without the fear of ill advised fouls being called.

                                      I suggest you do more research yourself before attacking a poster with ignoramus refutes.
                                      My man I don't even want to read anything you have to say after that bolded comment. I never played team basketball? Run along buddy and take Lakers tonight
                                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                      Comment
                                      • masr
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-20-07
                                        • 4773

                                        #20
                                        LAKERS get it done tonight...
                                        Comment
                                        • bankjob
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 05-26-10
                                          • 234

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                          My man I don't even want to read anything you have to say after that bolded comment. I never played team basketball? Run along buddy and take Lakers tonight


                                          Picture says 100 words son

                                          What kind of NBA betting rookie lays points against Kobe in a closeout game and then brags about it boastfully in other poster's threads??? Shame, shame, shame.
                                          Comment
                                          • bankjob
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 05-26-10
                                            • 234

                                            #22
                                            As I stated in the original analysis, the Suns only chance was to get an inordinate amount of calls as they did in games 3 and 4. However, wasn't going to happen whatsoever as the NBA sent in officials for this game who were not partisan to the home team SU or against the spread. The results?

                                            Free Throws

                                            Lakers 23 of 28
                                            Suns 24 of 29

                                            Only a -1 advantage to the Suns at the stripe.

                                            Once the foul disparity evened back out, we find the Lakers are around an +8 point better team than the Suns, exactly as I stated in the original analysis.

                                            If you don't think the NBA playoffs in the deeper rounds are rigged, you need to get your head screwed back on straight. The Lakers would have swept this series if the NBA didn't want a game 6 situation, which adds mutiple millions of dollars to their revenue stream.

                                            Game 6 Final:
                                            Lakers 111-103 (Think about how much money the NBA made off this game.)

                                            Now bring on the real series, Boston vs. LA!

                                            Lakers in 7...You really think this series won't go 7 games???



                                            Comment
                                            • yisman
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-01-08
                                              • 75682

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by zigomanisinsider
                                              suns will win
                                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                              [/quote]

                                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                              Comment
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