SA/PHO under 205.5 is a golden opportunity for Game 3

[No coincidences]

I can't believe Vegas didn't adjust the total, given the fact that the game is in SA and the Spurs are going to be in desperation mode -- which means they'll lean on their D and half-court sets now more than ever.

I was wrong on the unders in Games 1 and 2, but I'm doubling up on the under here and don't think it will miss.

[big0mar]

Well, in theory, SAS will lean on their D and half-court sets. But in reality, they may not be able to.

These totals have been pretty sharp the entire series. I don't see any reason to believe otherwise.

[lyon804]

Good idea.I also think it is a better play on the spurs taking the under. Chances are likely if this game goes over then san an don't cover. San an isn't going to cover a game in the 100's imo. The need to win 101-92 type game to have a shot to cover.

[No coincidences]

Good idea.I also think it is a better play on the spurs taking the under. Chances are likely if this game goes over then san an don't cover. San an isn't going to cover a game in the 100's imo. The need to win 101-92 type game to have a shot to cover.

This was true in PHO, but even moreso now.

Let's just put it this way -- if you think SA has any chance in hell of winning this game, but feel uncomfortable laying so many points, I think under 205.5 is the way to go.

The only way this could backfire if you like the Spurs' chances in Game 3 is if they win like 109-98. I just don't see that many points being scored, and I don't see SA winning by that much, either. I'm predicting 103-97 or so.

[lyon804]

This was true in PHO, but even moreso now.

Let's just put it this way -- if you think SA has any chance in hell of winning this game, but feel uncomfortable laying so many points, I think under 205.5 is the way to go.

The only way this could backfire if you like the Spurs' chances in Game 3 is if they win like 109-98. I just don't see that many points being scored, and I don't see SA winning by that much, either. I'm predicting 103-97 or so.

Sounds about right to me as well. When I saw that total posted I immediately thought it was high for a game being played i San An. Spurs will try to do everything they can to make this a half court game. That is there only chance.

[No coincidences]

Sounds about right to me as well. When I saw that total posted I immediately thought it was high for a game being played i San An. Spurs will try to do everything they can to make this a half court game. That is there only chance.

I would be stunned -- STUNNED -- if Gentry outcoaches Pops in this spot.

[lakerboy]

I would be stunned -- STUNNED -- if Gentry outcoaches Pops in this spot.

this series has nothing to do with the coaches anymore- i thought that before but its obvious the suns have too many horses and the spurs are outclassed in this series. if the spurs win game 3 it wont have anything to do with coaching.

[KingKolzig]

combined both teams shot about 44% from 3-pt range last game. i dont think that will happen in san antonio. plus the spurs will get some more calls, Phoenix will be hard pressed to score 95+, look at what they did in portland..............i like the spurs 100-93, so under

[Goat Milk]

Spurs TT OVER will hit
Suns TT under will hit.

The over/under will be up in the air

[arizona22]

Like this under here.

[suicidekings]

this series has nothing to do with the coaches anymore- i thought that before but its obvious the suns have too many horses and the spurs are outclassed in this series. if the spurs win game 3 it wont have anything to do with coaching.

100% agree with this. Too many people seem to be relying on Pop to work miracles.

[Domestic]

I am with you on this, last game looked like it was going under at numerous times and the D fell apart at the end. This time it's due.

[Qwista]

thanks for the reasoning gentlemen, after reading all that I'm now 100% confident in the OVER

[tealish]

Parker needs to start. Burn Nash as much as you can; no reason not to.

[CHAZ]

I'm on the other side here. I think if SA wants to beat Phoenix they have to out run 'em. SA has shown they arent able to slow them down all season.

IN PHOENIX
December 15th
1st 45
2nd 74
3rd 54
4th 47
TOTAL 220 – Phoenix wins 116-104

IN SAN ANTONIO
February 28th
1st 46
2nd 55
3rd 52
4th 70
TOTAL 223 – Spurs win 113-110
Highest total of games they played against each other this season

IN PHOENIX
April 7th
1st 58
2nd 55
3rd 55
4th 45
TOTAL 213 – Phoenix wins 112-101

IN PHOENIX
May 3rd
1st 53
2nd 51
3rd 56
4th 53
TOTAL 213 - Phoenix wins 111-102

IN PHOENIX
May 5th
1st 51
2nd 51
3rd 52
4th 58
TOTAL 212 – Phoenix wins 110 - 102

[cmle123]

i like over. sun coarch is way sharper than before. i love that sun coarch quote at halftime in game 2 where the score is tie. "Remember guys, you got to go and take it, they are not going give it to us.

[jon38386]

im putting 5 buck on the over, but best of luck to you!

[illcrushem]

this pick is driving me nuts, most likely staying away

[cmle123]

dremember sun can almost jack up 200 them self. the only way spurs make it under kill the time and juice 24 second every time.

[shari91]

I'm on the Suns and the over. I agree with LB - don't think this has anything to do with coaching anymore. It has to do with the desire and ability of a team to win. Plus the Suns have my Nashy boy. Enough said.

Good luck all!!

[balman]

lets not outthink ourselves if 5 of 5 games have gone over 210, then it's likely that 75-80% of the games in this series will go over 205... so lets keep betting the over until we see a few unders... if you can win 75% of your bets in the long run you will make money

[Qwista]

lets not outthink ourselves if 5 of 5 games have gone over 210, then it's likely that 75-80% of the games in this series will go over 205... so lets keep betting the over until we see a few unders... if you can win 75% of your bets in the long run you will make money

Seriously.

OP is just chasing losses. No need to bring the forum down with you.

[jgiun1]

that total just shot up to 207

[Sawyer]

It depends on which side will control the tempo/pace of the game. If Spurs win, total may stay under 205. If Suns win, game may went over the total.

[Jae iLL]

I like the under

[DODGERBLUES24]

there is going to be a lot of fouls in this game this ones going over

[gshock1]

Mother f'er, I took the under for 205.5 and see it 207 everywhere. WTF!

[jmiezie]

over hits spurs have to run if they wanna keep up

[jgiun1]

It depends on which side will control the tempo/pace of the game. If Spurs win, total may stay under 205. If Suns win, game may went over the total.

agree

[Goat Milk]

It depends on which side will control the tempo/pace of the game. If Spurs win, total may stay under 205. If Suns win, game may went over the total.

Did you cook that up all by yourself Sawyer?

[Cornerback]

They definitely adjusted it.... 2 more points. I'm on the OVER at 205. BOL

[jgiun1]

Did you cook that up all by yourself Sawyer?

It's common sense based on the tempo of game 1 and 2 and results

[big0mar]

Did you cook that up all by yourself Sawyer?

[tealish]

Spurs can win and cover an over game. More likely than the Suns winning an under game, at least.

[THEGREAT30]

no idea about total here, good day