Sadly this thread is a little stuck, yes we had a MEGA blow but the plays are still over 60% even with that. We have at least 3 games left, I'll make them count!!!
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Don't beat yourself up WG... I was on almost the same shit
I'm sure you'll have a big bounce back!
Lakers ML +128 looks tempting, but waiting for your input
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hehehehehe you win some you lose some... but really, you can't account for Ray Allen having a historic nightComment -
Who cares if people come to your thread or not. I don't like anyone coming to my thread that don't know basketball its not about having minions its about winning. Just keep winning and that will be all the satisfaction you need.Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
no worries about yesterday, it happens, you are still doing great. Ray Allen played great and Kobe never got started cuz of foul trouble. My mistake wasn't the lakers not covering he 1st quarter, first half, or the game it was taking the lakers big in the 2nd half which is all on me. Keep going dude, those of us who don't know the game like GM need the help.Comment -
I will have it very soon mate.
Indeed. NBA is still my # sport betting wise.
That's VERY true and seeing you here is great.
For sure. We have a lot of games left here to finish HUGE!
My thoughts about tonight's game will be up soon ...Comment -
My first lean is Lakers ML.
The reasons are simple:
First of all the Lakers ARE the better team and I have them winning it all, now if you believe the Lakers win it all they are a MUST win tonight:
Phil is 47-0 when winning the 1st game.
Since the new finals system the team that wins game 3 when the series is tied 1-1 takes it all, this stat is 10-0.
If the Lakers lose the game tonight, one of these stats must break after a long streak. With the fact I had the Lakers winning it all the second the Cavs lose, with the fact there is no way in hell we see what we saw in game 2, I have a very strong lean to Lakers ML.
With that being said, 95% of my loses at the playoffs was betting against BOS. That is my only concern at the moment.Comment -
95% loss on BOS is tough, but you have the right feel today. I like Lakers to bounce back.Comment -
One more lean guys, OVER 192.5:
The Celtics didn't lose one game these playoffs when their opponent scored less than 100 Points. If I believe the Lakers win tonight they will score more than 100 points. Since I don't see a blow out I believe the Celtics will score at least OVER 90 points.
I will have final plays soon.Comment -
More about the OVER:
I looked to the Lakers games and there is an interesting stat.
Against OKC the first two games were very low:
Game 1 - 166
Game 2 - 187
Game 3 - 197
Then Against the Jazz:
Game 1 - 203
Game 2 - 214
Game 3 - 221
Against the Suns is was different but that game the Lakers were a "no show".
Against BOS:
Game 1 - 191
Game 2 - 197
Game 3 - ?
I would love it to do well over 197 but I'm pretty darn sure it will be over the first game total.
BOS against Miami:
Game 1 - 161
Game 2 - 183
Game 3 - 198
BOS against Cavs:
Game 1 - 194
Game 2 - 190
Game 3 - 219
BOS against the Magic a little different.
In general looks VERY solid. And we should remember both teams are scoring in pretty high percentage. The Celtics can't guard the bigs of the Lakers and the Lakers can't guard Allan and Rondo.
So today either Lakers and OVER or I won't have any bets.Comment -
i dunno WG. some of those match ups has no bearings on the current finals matchup, esp the lakers games. i think i'd be more inclined to look at lakers game 3's, games played with the series tied and close-out games over/under stats and trends. as for the C's, same thing - first games at home, games played with the series tied, close-out games.
ive looked upon this, and more often than not, barring overtime of course, it has trended to the games going UNDER esp games played in boston!
just my 2 cents and im actually not that good with totals.
i play ML/sides 95% of the time. :P 
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No doubt there is a lot to what you are saying. But the big issue here is the winner. If the Lakers win this game is going OVER unless they will destroy Boston. If BOS wins this game will be VERY close to the line. That is the way I have bet all the totals for the BOS games and it worked most of the time, even though as I said if I wouldn't bet ANY BOS games I would be over 85% now ... it's the one team I can bet correctly the pass three years ... tonight I'm looking at everything very closely and once again my lean are the Lakers. I hope that I won't add another bad bet on a Celtics game.i dunno WG. some of those match ups has no bearings on the current finals matchup, esp the lakers games. i think i'd be more inclined to look at lakers game 3's, games played with the series tied and close-out games over/under stats and trends. as for the C's, same thing - first games at home, games played with the series tied, close-out games.
ive looked upon this, and more often than not, barring overtime of course, it has trended to the games going UNDER esp games played in boston!
just my 2 cents and im actually not that good with totals. i play ML/sides 95% of the time. :P Comment -
i see ur point. ur leaning lakers. and if it's going to be lakers, the over shld hit! with the total hovering around 201-206 pts. - my guesstimate :PComment -
good luck buddyComment -
6.8.2010
LA Lakers +2.5 - BIG LOCK
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6.8.2010
Celtics Vs Lakers - OVER 192.5 - BIG LOCK
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To both of us mate.Comment -
Agree w/you WG.
Last 5 gm. avg. for LA is 103. Boston @ 94. LA +9
LA avg'd 205 total pts last 5 gms. Boston avg'd 192 last 5.
Divide total of both by 2 and total is 198.5. Over.
I'm thinking LA got beat @ home, they are going to pay back @ Boston.
For that opinion, alone, the over looks real good.Comment -
WG, like your total points analysis. Maybe the parlay of Lakers and Over has some value. Or use IF bet, if Lakers cover, bet over.Comment -
I'm liking The Lakers +... but I'm on the under pretty big
Thanks for the input anyways man and I wish you the best!
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go lakers!!!
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i'm on the OVER 1st half. so best of luck to all of us!Comment -
Good luck on your plays tonight.Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFSComment -
Indeed ... and tonight BOS loss for the first time in the playoffs when allowing less than 100 points.
IF was right sadly.
Congratz mate.
Thnx mate.Comment -
6.10.2010
LA Lakers +3.5 - MEGA LOCK
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First and foremost they are the better team, I said it from day 1.
One thing that we saw in all three games and we will see tonight is one of the superstars sitting for most of the games of the Celtics due to foul trouble, tonight I will bet on Rondo and probably KG that will come like a maniac to this game.
The Lakers are playing the perfect game against this Celtics team, they take advantage of their size easily and they did so even when they lost game 2. The Lakers had a problem with the outside shooting they took care of that with a PERFECT plan of the best coach of all time, after watching game 3 five times, the way the Lakers are sending ppl to block the 3 pointers is absolutely masterful.
IF Boston will win, it will be SUPER close, and they will have to have Kobe on the bench and Gasol, Fisher and Buynom having an average night.
And finally ppl forget but Boston are better at away than at home.
I said I think Lakers will win game 3, Boston 4 and 5, Lakers 6 and 7. But the adjustments the Lakers did in game 3 will carry on to game 4 and will do the job.
GL.
I wanted to bet the total as well, but I think I will stick to a big bet on the Lakers ...Comment -
6.10.2010
Celtics Vs Lakers - OVER 190 - LOCKED
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Like the over, but not sure about the Laker. Good luck!Comment -
Announced after game 2:
Game 3 - Lakers
Game 4 - Boston
Game 5 - Boston
Game 6 - Lakers
Game 7 - Lakers
Should have went with that and not against my announcement.
Anyway, it was an amazing NBA season for me no matter what will happen until the end of this series.Comment -
Your overall record is still impressive. Day to day is not that important.Comment -
O\U 1st Q (47.5):
Game 1 - 47
Game 2 - 51
Game 3 - 43
Game 4 - 35
3-1 for the UNDER
O\U 1st H (94):
Game 1 - 91
Game 2 - 102
Game 3 - 92
Game 4 - 77
3-1 For the UNDER
Winner 1st Q:
Game 1 - LA By 5
Game 2 - BOS By 7
Game 3 - LA By 9
Game 4 - BOS By 3
Winner of the 1st Q wins game.
Winner 1st H:
Game 1 - LA By 9
Game 2 - BOS By 6
Game 3 - LA By 12
Game 4 - LA By 3
LA 3-1
Until this series this kind of stats and my own understanding of the game, gave me amazing results. So far it wasn't as good. Anyway I will have two plays, maybe three, very soon.Comment -
6.13.2010
LA Lakers +1.5 - 1stH - BIG LOCK
- Lakers are simply the better team.
- If the series will keep it's zig-zag the Lakers must win the 1st H because when they do, they win the game.
- The Lakers are playing better in ALL 1st half's this series, even when they lose.
- If DOC will unleash his bench, it will be in the 3rdQ.
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