Sj55 nba playoff picks

**sweetjones55** · 05-10-10, 10:20 PM

Sorry about that Jazz pick guys. 1-1 night with the heavy loss, bounce back day tomorrow.

**fixedgames** · 05-10-10, 10:21 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Sorry about that Jazz pick guys. 1-1 night with the heavy loss, bounce back day tomorrow.

no problem, man

on orlando 1q
what do you think about the 2nd half? any leans?

**Flopa3** · 05-10-10, 10:24 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Sorry about that Jazz pick guys. 1-1 night with the heavy loss, bounce back day tomorrow.

For sure SJ thanks for the plays tonight

**fly fisher** · 05-10-10, 10:39 PM

yep, we will bounce back tomorrow SJ

**dan31** · 05-10-10, 10:43 PM

The Greek dropped its juice to -105 on utah ; but other books were increasing the juice on utah at an alarming rate. well i did empty my account ($430) on Utah as i like the play plus other books were increasing their juices on Utah. i believed it was a great wager but i do feel something its not right when Greek reduced its juice on utah. however it was too late as i have empty my account on the play. Otherwise i would have wager only half of my account. anyway i will still be tailing you on your next play. good luck SJ. cheers.

**trojanman** · 05-10-10, 10:46 PM

no problems sweet it's all good - we'll get em tomorrow.
amazing all these sweeps - really surprised Jazz are laying down like this.

**doctor_on_call** · 05-11-10, 05:55 AM

sj55 what do you think of celts +7.5?

**fixedgames** · 05-11-10, 07:12 AM

i like celtics

**killersweet** · 05-11-10, 07:44 AM

Screw Utah. Let's bounce back tonight SJ. Good luck

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 07:53 AM

I compiled all the info from the Boston/Cleveland game from these next 3 posts and just put out a big writeup for the game.

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 08:13 AM

Writeup below.

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 08:27 AM

Writeup below.

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 08:38 AM

Cavs -7.5 HEAVY LOCKED

I think the Cavs will be downright pissed after getting beat last game and only scoring 87 points, one of their lowest scoring outputs of the year. Boston won both 1H and 1Q @ Cleveland in this series so far. I think Cleveland will come out firing. I just can't see Cleveland losing two straight at home.

Boston just finished handily beating them @ Cleveland by 18 and the line was Boston +6. Vegas responds to this by giving Boston backers an extra 1.5 points to Boston +7.5? It just doesn't make sense and smells like a blowout to me.

The road team has won in like 8 of the last 9 games in the playoffs. I think it is time for a bit of home cooking and who better than the Cleveland Cavaliers coming off an embarassing loss?

Public betting is split on this game 50/50.

The refs just came out for the game. They are Joe Crawford, Greg Willard and Marc Davis. Joe and Greg favor road teams while Marc favors home teams. I did not want to see Joe because he really isn't who you want to see if you are looking at the home team but a little more HW shows some promise with him. Home favorites of 5-9.5 are 12-4 in games Joe Crawford refs. Marc Davis is 12-2 for home favorites of 5-9.5
Very intersting stat I came up with, the three refs combined are 36-16 (69%) ATS for home favorites of 5-9.5.

Cleveland is the best 1st quarter team in the NBA. Boston is the best 2nd quarter team in the NBA. I will probably lay off the Cavs 1H as it is just much stronger to take them in the 1Q.

Cleveland is 6-2 ATS last 8 games in the playoffs coming off a loss. Only two losses were to Boston in 08 when they were dominant and won it all and the other was to Orlando last year game 2 when LeBron hit the buzzer beater. Both that Orlando and Boston 08 team were much better than this Boston team.

**fixedgames** · 05-11-10, 08:39 AM

thanks sj. Cavs 1Q will you be wagering a single unit play, big, or heavy?

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 08:42 AM

Originally posted by fixedgames

thanks sj. Cavs 1Q will you be wagering a single unit play, big, or heavy?

I haven't decided whether I will play the Cavs 1Q yet, I did play the full game heavy though.

**kobefanatic** · 05-11-10, 08:57 AM

sj what about the totals?

**TakeIt** · 05-11-10, 09:03 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Leaning Cavs 1Q, 1H, and game. Pinnacle and TheGreek are giving Cavs 1H -4 but juicing them -117 and -115. Seems like they are trying to get you off the Cavs. I think the Cavs will be downright pissed after getting beat last game and only scoring 87 points, one of their lowest scoring outputs of the year. Boston won both 1H and 1Q @ Cleveland in this series so far. I think Cleveland will come out firing. I just can't see Cleveland losing two straight at home.

Boston just finished handily beating them @ Cleveland by 18 and the line was Boston +6. Vegas responds to this by giving Boston backers an extra 1.5 points to Boston +7.5? It just doesn't make sense and smells like a blowout to me.

The road team has won in like 8 of the last 9 games in the playoffs. I think it is time for a bit of home cooking and who better than the Cleveland Cavaliers coming off an embarassing loss?

Public betting is split on this game 50/50.

i agree with your analysis about the cavs winning this game except for this part:

"Pinnacle and TheGreek are giving Cavs 1H -4 but juicing them -117 and -115. Seems like they are trying to get you off the Cavs."

obviously, they don't want to go to -4.5 or 5 so they raise the juice. but if even more money comes in they will change the number.

in my opinion they are just raising the juice as high as they can instead of moving the number. i don't think it has anything to do with getting people off of anything. it's just management of the money flow.

i don't think they mind at all of you take -4 @ -117. if too many people take that they'll just move it to -4.5. if they leave it there, that means some money came in on boston.

by the way, as i write this, at 5Dimes it's now cleveland -4.5 -105, boston +4.5 -115.

**WiseGrumpy** · 05-11-10, 09:14 AM

If you saw my thread you can see I'm 100% with you. VERY good points.
GL to us.

**fly fisher** · 05-11-10, 09:24 AM

Thanks for the pick SJ. Wondering are you thinking of taking the Celtics in Q2 they are getting 2 pts and you said earlier they are the best 2nd quarter team? And just to reclarify, heavy means 5 units right?

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 09:33 AM

Originally posted by TakeIt

i agree with your analysis about the cavs winning this game except for this part:

"Pinnacle and TheGreek are giving Cavs 1H -4 but juicing them -117 and -115. Seems like they are trying to get you off the Cavs."

obviously, they don't want to go to -4.5 or 5 so they raise the juice. but if even more money comes in they will change the number.

in my opinion they are just raising the juice as high as they can instead of moving the number. i don't think it has anything to do with getting people off of anything. it's just management of the money flow.

i don't think they mind at all of you take -4 @ -117. if too many people take that they'll just move it to -4.5. if they leave it there, that means some money came in on boston.

by the way, as i write this, at 5Dimes it's now cleveland -4.5 -105, boston +4.5 -115.

I have a feeling you will start seeing 5Dimes, Pinny, and TheGreek move the line to 4.5 and you will see Clev -115 eventually as well. I am laying off the 1H as Boston is the best 2nd quarter team around so it doesn't really matter though.

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by fly fisher

Thanks for the pick SJ. Wondering are you thinking of taking the Celtics in Q2 they are getting 2 pts and you said earlier they are the best 2nd quarter team? And just to reclarify, heavy means 5 units right?

Yes 5 Units.

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 09:40 AM

Originally posted by kobefanatic

sj what about the totals?

Honestly Kobe I haven't been really able to get a good read on the totals so far in the playoffs. I am just going to stick to the side on this one. My lean is UNDER but I would be worried about Cleveland maybe pouring it on tonight.

**big0mar** · 05-11-10, 09:41 AM

I'm on CLE pretty large myself. Lets get it SJ!

**nomeansno** · 05-11-10, 09:41 AM

i think cavs Q1 is a pretty strong play, they will come out bangin at home

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 09:42 AM

Could someone lend me 50 points for today? I will have you paid back by friday the latest and karma will probably pay you back sooner.

**kobefanatic** · 05-11-10, 09:43 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Honestly Kobe I haven't been really able to get a good read on the totals so far in the playoffs. I am just going to stick to the side on this one. My lean is UNDER but I would be worried about Cleveland maybe pouring it on tonight.

thanks, good luck on your play

**fly fisher** · 05-11-10, 09:51 AM

I only have 4 pts, and no need to give them back. Now you only need 46 more.

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 10:08 AM

Appreciate all the points guys. I'll get those back to you as soon as I can.

**dume walker** · 05-11-10, 10:52 AM

No need to pay mine back. In fact, I'm leaving some more for all your great analyses.

**sweetjones55** · 05-11-10, 12:07 PM

The next 5 people that say GO CAVS and post that famous dunk of LeBron on Garnett get 10 points each from me, let's try to get all of the different angles of it lol. Also a youtube video would be nice also of it.

The game where the dunk happened was on May 12 2008, almost exactly the two year anniversary from today. Will a little history repeat itself?

**Laki** · 05-11-10, 12:11 PM

GO CAVS!!!

**mundane** · 05-11-10, 12:13 PM

this ???

**big0mar** · 05-11-10, 12:14 PM

GO CAVS!

**nomeansno** · 05-11-10, 12:15 PM

GO CAVS!!!

**BamaCBass** · 05-11-10, 12:22 PM

Go Cavs!!!

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